白酒 2025：寻找份额主线 [Table_Industry] 食品饮料 ——基于苏、皖、汾酒的比较 | [table_Authors] 訾猛(分析师) | 李耀(分析师) | 李美仪(分析师) | | --- | --- | --- | | 021-38676442 | 021-38675854 | 021-38038667 [Table_subIndustry] | | zimeng@gtjas.com | liyao022899@gtjas.com | limeiyi026738@gtjas.com | | 登记编号 S0880513120002 | S0880520090001 | S0880524080002 | 本报告导读： 2025 白酒主线实质在于寻找份额逻辑，行业存量博弈明显，由价的集中到量的集中， 个股超额收益来自于获取市场份额的能力。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 [Table_Report] 相关报告 食品饮料《消费预期回暖，开启估值修复》 2025.03.01 食品饮料《周期寻底，份额优先》2025.02.25 食品饮料《大众品防御属性凸显，聚焦"黑马" 成长性》20 ...

投资要点： 创新转型乘风破浪，精麻市场蓝海启航 海思科(002653) ——海思科首次覆盖报告 | [table_Authors] 丁丹(分析师) | 甘坛焕(分析师) | 姜铸轩(分析师) | 评级 | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0755-23976735 | 021-38675855 | 021-38674878 | 目标价格 | 46.99 | | dingdan@gtjas.com | | gantanhuan028803@gtjas.com jiangzhuxuan029022@gtjas.com | | | | 登记编号 S0880514030001 | S0880523080007 | S0880524080010 | [当前价格： Table_CurPrice] | 34.23 | | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 3,015 | 3,355 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating and raises the target price to 11.66 CNY, up from the previous forecast of 8.23 CNY [1][13]. Core Views - The company is strategically positioned in the AI and cloud computing sectors, with the Tianwen Intelligent Cloud Platform designed for private deployment of large models. It has recently been included in Gartner's report on the competitive landscape of Chinese hyper-converged suppliers, indicating strong long-term growth potential [2][13]. - The company is expected to achieve significant profit growth, with projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 at 0.82 billion, 2.96 billion, and 3.83 billion CNY respectively, and corresponding EPS of 0.07, 0.25, and 0.32 CNY [13][27]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to decline from 3.54 billion CNY in 2022 to 2.88 billion CNY in 2024, before recovering to 3.25 billion CNY in 2025 and 3.68 billion CNY in 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.9% from 2025 to 2026 [4][27]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to turn from a loss of 371 million CNY in 2023 to profits of 82 million CNY in 2024, 296 million CNY in 2025, and 383 million CNY in 2026 [4][27]. - The company’s current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 52.62, with an expected P/E of 131.83 for 2024, decreasing to 36.49 in 2025 and 28.17 in 2026 [4][29]. Market Data - The company has a total market capitalization of 10.285 billion CNY, with a 52-week stock price range of 4.08 to 9.76 CNY [5][9]. - The company has a net asset value per share of 7.84 CNY, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1 [6][29]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to generate revenues of 28.85 billion CNY in 2024, 32.54 billion CNY in 2025, and 36.75 billion CNY in 2026, with a focus on enhancing its AI and cloud computing capabilities [27][29]. Valuation Analysis - The report uses a P/E valuation method, assigning a target P/E of 46.5 for 2025 based on the company's leading position in the network security sector and its comprehensive capabilities [29][30].

Group 1: Utility Industry - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector, particularly focusing on city gas companies transitioning from growth to dividend phases, with expected improvements in free cash flow and dividend payouts [2][24]. - The natural gas consumption volume is projected to grow significantly, with a 5-year CAGR of 12.4%, driven by urbanization and environmental policies [3][24]. - The report highlights the challenges faced by the city gas industry, including slowing gas consumption growth and rising costs, which have led to a decline in return on equity (ROE) and net profit growth [3][25]. Group 2: Kid's King Company - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Kid's King, projecting EPS growth of 76%, 65%, and 37% for 2024-2026, with a target price of 19.14 yuan [6][7]. - The establishment of a subsidiary, Smart Future, aims to provide AI-driven solutions for children and new families, enhancing the company's position in the mother and child retail sector [6][7]. - Kid's King is expanding its store network and enhancing its digital capabilities, which are expected to accelerate its AI product deployment and improve customer engagement [6][7]. Group 3: Market Performance - The report notes that the equity market has performed well, with a year-to-date return of 0.59% for risk parity strategies, indicating a positive outlook for equity investments [8][10]. - The report emphasizes the strong historical performance of H-share gas companies, which have benefited from early market entry and the establishment of exclusive operating rights [3][24]. - The report suggests that the overall market sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations for continued growth in the equity market driven by favorable economic conditions [8][10].

DeepSeek 重构算力基建长期价值的认知 [Table_Industry] 计算机 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.03.14 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 上次评级: 增持 | [table_Authors] 李博伦(分析师) | 伍巍(研究助理) | 钟明翰(研究助理) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0755-23976516 | 021-38031029 | 021-38031383 | | | libolun@gtjas.com | wuwei028683@gtjas.com | zhongminghan029903@gtjas.com | [Table_Report] 相关报告 | | 登记编号 S0880520020004 | S0880123070157 | S0880124070047 | | 本报告导读： 市场低估了 DeepSeek 生态对算力需求的放大效应，我们预计仅其推理端就将产生 近百万 PFLOPS 的算力需求。精度支持及通信效率率先突破的国产 AI 芯片厂商将 获得显著的发展机会。 投资要点： 计算机《AI 应用 ...

外资交易热度抬升，杠杆资金延续流入 [Table_Authors] 方奕(分析师) ——市场主动资金流动性周观察 本报告导读： 本期市场整体交易热度边际下降，TMT 板块交易拥挤度缓解。资金维度看，外资和 融资资金大幅流入，偏股基金发行保持高位，ETF 延续流出，散户交易活跃。 投资要点： 策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.03.13 | | | 021-38031658 | | --- | --- | --- | | | fangyi020833@gtjas.com | | | 登记编号 | S0880520120005 | | | | 郭胤含(分析师) | | | | 021-38031691 | | | | guoyinhan026925@gtjas.com | | | 登记编号 | S0880524100001 | | [Table_Report] 相关报告 促进企业温室气体信息自愿披露 2025.03.12 沪深 300ETF 延续流出趋势 2025.03.09 银行业保险业绿色金融高质量发展 2025.03.04 2024 年科创板业绩快报情况跟踪 2025.03.02 被动资金流出 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for King’s Ray Biotechnology [3][9]. Core Views - The company is experiencing positive development across its three main segments, with an expected improvement in profitability. The joint venture Legend Biotech is ramping up production, which is anticipated to contribute profits to the parent company in 2026 [3][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at $595 million, reflecting a 6.1% increase. The group net profit is expected to reach approximately $2.96 billion, marking a significant turnaround from losses, primarily due to a one-time investment gain from the merger with Legend Biotech [9]. - The adjusted net profit from continuing operations is stable at about $59.8 million, up by 2.9% [9]. - Revenue breakdown includes: - Life Sciences segment: $455 million (+10.2%), with an adjusted gross margin of 52% (+5.9 percentage points) [9]. - CDMO segment: $95 million (-13.2%), with an adjusted gross margin of $14 million [9]. - Baisjie segment: $54 million (+24.6%), with an adjusted gross margin of 36.1% (+2.8 percentage points) [9]. - The CAR-T therapy sales are projected to reach nearly $1 billion, with significant new capacity coming online [9]. Growth Catalysts - The CAR-T therapy is expected to exceed sales expectations, and a recovery in investment and financing is anticipated [9]. - The approval of the second-line MM in the U.S. is expected to drive sales growth, with CARVYKTI projected to generate $963 million in revenue for 2024, a 92.6% increase [9].

春季关注春耕备货，宠物关注新品动向 [Table_Industry] 农业 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 上次评级: 增持 wangyanjun022998@gtjas.com linyidan030085@gtjas.com 登记编号 S0880520100002 S0880524090001 本报告导读： 种子：玉米现货价格继续上涨，关注春耕备货。宠物：京宠展召开，看好宠物经济 蓬勃发展，关注国产品牌新品动向。饲料行业：饲料竞争再起。 投资要点： [种业： Table_Summary] 玉米现货价格继续上涨，关注春耕备货 上周玉米现货价格继续上涨，突破 2218 元/吨，延续年初以来的涨 势。2025 年在美国加征关税背景下，我国玉米粮食进口或进一步缩 减，看好 2025 年玉米粮价景气度回升。近期农业农村部发布 19 项 课题目录，包括"保障国家粮食安全的路径选择"、"粮食作物大 面积单产提升瓶颈制约与对策研究"等，体现政策对于粮食安全的 重视。转基因技术应用推动种业格局进一步改善，品种竞争力强、 技术储备领先的公司有望受益。春耕在即，建议关注种子经销商补 货情况，具备强竞争力的品种或在 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the robotics industry, consistent with the previous rating [7]. Core Insights - The robotics industry is experiencing accelerated industrialization, particularly in logistics automation, with significant advancements in robot deployment and technology [2][10]. - Figure AI has successfully deployed its humanoid robots in logistics centers, marking a milestone in their commercial application, supported by the newly released HELIX VLA model [10][11]. - The introduction of advanced technologies such as implicit stereo vision and learning-based visual perception in robotics enhances operational accuracy and efficiency [11]. Summary by Sections Industry News and Company Developments - Figure AI's humanoid robots are now operational in a second U.S. client's logistics automation scenario, focusing on complex package sorting [10]. - The launch of the AgiBot Digital World simulation framework by Zhiyuan Robotics aims to improve robot training through high-fidelity scenario simulations and extensive asset libraries [20]. - Sanctuary AI has integrated tactile sensors into its Phoenix humanoid robot, enhancing its ability to interact with the environment [15]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key robotics manufacturers and core component suppliers, including: 1. Complete machine manufacturers: Recommended stock is Seris. 2. Actuators and motors: Recommended stock is Zhaowei Electromechanical, with beneficiaries including Sanhua Intelligent Control and Top Group. 3. Reducers: Beneficiaries include Zhongdali De, Shuanghuan Transmission, and others [8][24]. Financing Dynamics - Weiqin Technology completed a Pre-A round financing of several million RMB, aimed at mass production of high-precision sensors and market expansion [23]. - Yuanluo Technology secured hundreds of millions in A round financing, led by Alibaba, to drive innovation in humanoid robot technology [23].