Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 112.25 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 5.7% year-on-year for H1 2025, with a pre-tax profit increase of 5.1% [1]. - The board has approved a second dividend of USD 0.10 per share for 2025 and plans to initiate a share buyback of up to USD 3 billion [1]. - The company is experiencing strong growth in wealth management, with non-interest income increasing by 24.8% year-on-year in H1 2025 [3]. - The company has seen total assets, loans, and deposits grow by 8.0%, 4.5%, and 7.8% year-on-year, respectively, as of June [1]. Financial Performance - The net interest margin for Q2 2025 was 1.56%, down 3 basis points from Q1 2025, primarily due to declining yields in Asia [2]. - The banking net interest income for H1 2025 decreased by 4.0% year-on-year, with a guidance of USD 42 billion for the full year [2]. - Non-interest income from wealth management grew by 22.3% in H1 2025, marking six consecutive quarters of double-digit growth [3]. Asset Quality and Provisions - As of June, the non-performing loan ratio was 2.41%, with a provision coverage ratio of 43% [4]. - The company anticipates credit costs for 2025 to be around 0.40%, reflecting ongoing pressures in the Hong Kong commercial real estate sector [4]. - The company has increased its provisions, with expected credit losses rising to USD 1.1 billion for Q2 2025 [4]. Valuation Metrics - The target price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.25 for 2025, with a forecasted earnings per share (EPS) of USD 1.23 for 2025 [9]. - The company's current market capitalization is approximately HKD 1,688,949 million, with a closing price of HKD 96.95 as of July 30 [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Electronic Arts (EA) with a target price of $179.80 [1][11]. Core Insights - EA reported FY26Q1 net revenue of $1.67 billion, exceeding consensus expectations by 7.4% and showing a year-over-year increase of 0.7%. Net bookings reached $1.3 billion, surpassing expectations by 4% and reflecting a year-over-year growth of 2.9% [1]. - The growth is primarily driven by the strong performance of core products, particularly the global football and rugby series, while the decline in "Apex Legends" was less severe than anticipated. Despite increased investment in new game releases leading to a 4.9 percentage point drop in net profit margin to 12%, the company achieved a net profit of $201 million, exceeding expectations by 51.6% [1]. - EA plans to release "Battlefield 6" within FY26 and maintains its full-year guidance unchanged [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY26Q1 net bookings were $1.3 billion, higher than the previous guidance of $1.23 billion. Game net bookings were $214 million, up 27.4% year-over-year, driven by the new title "Split Fiction" [1]. - Real-time service net bookings were $1.08 billion, down 0.9% year-over-year, impacted by the performance of "FC" and the rugby series, partially offset by the better-than-expected decline in "Apex Legends" [1]. - Key game series performance: 1. "FC" series net bookings showed single-digit growth year-over-year, with "FC Online" achieving double-digit growth and "FC Mobile" surpassing 50 million installations. 2. Rugby series net bookings maintained positive growth year-over-year, although a decline of 8% is expected in Q2 due to high base effects, with a recovery anticipated in H2. 3. "F1 25" launched in Q1, benefiting from the concurrent F1 movie release, resulting in a 27% year-over-year increase in net bookings [1]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report slightly lowers FY26-28E net revenue estimates by 1%, 0.8%, and 0.8% to $7.19 billion, $8.11 billion, and $8.36 billion, respectively, primarily due to pressure on net bookings from the rugby series [3]. - FY26-28E net profit estimates are also reduced by 4.7%, 2.3%, and 2.6% to $911 million, $1.38 billion, and $1.43 billion, respectively, due to rising promotional costs for "Battlefield 6" [3]. - The valuation is switched to FY27, assigning a PE of 33x, consistent with peer averages, leading to a target price of $179.80, down from a previous estimate of $184.60 [3][11]. Upcoming Releases - The first trailer for "Battlefield 6" was released on July 24, with over 7 million views by July 29. The game is expected to launch within FY26 on PS5, Xbox XJS, and PC, with the highest historical investment in its development [2]. - The core football game "FC 26" is set to release on September 26 across all platforms, including Switch 2, focusing on enhancing player experience with competitive and realistic gameplay modes [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 25% year-on-year in 1H25, with revenue of 360 million RMB and a net profit of 31 million RMB, down 69% year-on-year [1] - The company is viewed positively in the long term as a leading provider of wireless IoT devices and solutions, particularly in the context of AI opportunities [1][4] - Despite short-term order fluctuations due to tariff impacts, the company is expanding its video vehicle networking business rapidly [1][4] Financial Performance - In 2Q25, the company's revenue was 203 million RMB, a 23% year-on-year decline but a 30% increase quarter-on-quarter; net profit was 21 million RMB, down 66% year-on-year but up 117% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The overall gross margin for 1H25 was 41.01%, a decrease of 1.59 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The revenue from vehicle information intelligent terminal products was 237 million RMB, down 14% year-on-year, while asset management intelligent terminal products generated 66 million RMB, down 55% year-on-year [1] Emerging Business Opportunities - The company’s new business areas continue to show strong growth, particularly in video vehicle networking products, which saw a 90% year-on-year increase in revenue [2][4] - The company’s ECALL emergency light product has passed DGT3.0 certification, allowing entry into the Spanish and some EU markets, which is expected to drive rapid growth [4] Future Earnings Forecast - The net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted to 133 million RMB, 149 million RMB, and 165 million RMB respectively, down from previous estimates [5] - The target price for the company is set at 14.12 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 49x for 2025 [5]

Report Summary Core Viewpoints - The Fed maintained the target range of the federal funds rate at 4.25 - 4.5% in the July FOMC meeting, in line with market expectations. There were internal disagreements, with two governors voting against and favoring an immediate rate cut, but Powell's hawkish remarks at the press conference reduced the rate - cut expectation. The Fed may wait for employment data to weaken before cutting rates [2]. - Before the FOMC meeting, US economic data was robust, driving up US Treasury yields and strengthening the US dollar. After the meeting, financial conditions tightened, and the US stock market turned down, showing some "mild stagflation" pressure [6]. - The probability of the first rate cut within the year occurring in the fourth quarter has increased, subject to inflation, employment data, and the Fed's decision - making mechanism. The Fed is likely to wait and see based on inflation and employment data [2][9]. FOMC Statement - The Fed kept the federal funds rate unchanged. Two governors, Bowman and Waller, voted against, increasing the easing expectation to some extent, but Powell's hawkish speech later reduced the rate - cut expectation [2]. - The Fed noted that economic activity slowed in the first half of the year, with high uncertainty, a low unemployment rate, and a robust jobs market [2]. Powell's Press Conference - Powell considered the current interest rate to be at a moderately restrictive level. Inflation is slightly above 2%, the labor market is robust, and the Fed has not decided on a September rate cut, waiting for more data [3]. - Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influence, stating that it makes decisions based on data [3]. Market Performance - Before the FOMC meeting, multiple economic data showed a robust US economy, with the 7 - month ADP employment increasing by 104,000 (higher than the expected 75,000), and the Q2 real GDP annualized year - on - year growth at 3% (higher than the expected 2.4% and the previous value of - 0.5%). However, consumer spending cooled, and there was "mild stagflation" pressure [6]. - After the meeting, the 2 - year US Treasury yield rose 7.79bp to 3.95%, the 10 - year yield rose 4.77bp to 4.37%, the US dollar index strengthened, and US stocks turned down [7]. Outlook for Policy Path - By the September FOMC meeting, economic data may not support a rate cut. The probability of the first rate cut within the year occurring in the fourth quarter has increased [9]. - From the inflation perspective, the Fed needs to see the peak of the inflation pulse caused by tariffs pass. The inflation effect of tariffs is slower than expected, and inflation is expected to rise rapidly in the third quarter [9]. - In terms of employment, the Fed is unlikely to cut rates before the unemployment rate approaches 4.5%. Currently, the labor market supply - demand balance is maintained, and the probability of the unemployment rate rising to 4.4% or higher before September is low [9]. - The Fed's decision - making mechanism shows that although two governors supported a rate cut in July, Powell led the majority to maintain a relatively tight stance and a data - driven model, and the Fed's independence is well - defended [10]. Asset Allocation Views - US Treasuries: Due to tariff impacts and Fed policy expectations, short - term risks of US Treasuries may rise slightly in the third quarter, while long - term bonds may be relatively stable. It is recommended to buy 10 - year US Treasuries at a yield of around 4.5% [11]. - US Stocks: After hitting record highs, the US stock market may face short - term volatility due to inflation, Fed's tight - stance, and tariff impacts on corporate earnings. It is advisable to hedge short - term risks by increasing volatility [11]. - US Dollar: With trade partners' concessions on tariffs, the "de - dollarization" concern has eased. The US dollar may stage a rebound in the third quarter, and attention should be paid to its impact on the foreign exchange market and domestic monetary policies [12].

Monetary Policy Insights - The Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% during the July FOMC meeting[1] - Two Fed governors voted against the decision to keep rates unchanged, marking the first such occurrence since 1993[1] - The Fed's assessment of economic growth was downgraded from "expand at a solid pace" to "moderated," indicating concerns over economic slowdown[1] Interest Rate Expectations - Following the meeting, the probability of a rate cut in September dropped to 45%, down from previous expectations[1] - Cumulative rate cut expectations for the year decreased by 7 basis points to 37 basis points[1] - The yields on 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose by 6 basis points and 2 basis points, reaching 3.94% and 4.37% respectively[1] Economic Indicators - Powell emphasized the robustness of the job market but acknowledged existing downside risks[3] - The second quarter GDP growth exceeded expectations, but the overall growth rate for the first half of the year was slower compared to the same period last year[3] - Powell noted that tariffs are contributing to inflation, with companies likely to pass on costs to consumers in the future[3] Future Outlook - The decision on a potential rate cut in September will depend on economic data from July and August, particularly employment figures[4] - There is a possibility of two rate cuts between September and December if economic conditions weaken[4] - Risks include unexpected inflation from tariffs and a faster-than-expected slowdown in the U.S. job market[4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 25% year-on-year in 1H25, with total revenue of 360 million RMB and a net profit of 31 million RMB, down 69% year-on-year [1][5]. - Despite short-term performance pressure due to tariff disruptions affecting some orders, the long-term outlook remains positive, particularly in the context of opportunities presented by AI advancements [1][4][5]. - The company is recognized as a leading provider of wireless IoT devices and solutions, with strong growth in emerging business areas such as video vehicle networking [4][5]. Revenue and Profitability - In 1H25, the company's revenue from vehicle-mounted information intelligent terminals was 237 million RMB, a decrease of 14% year-on-year, while revenue from asset management intelligent terminals fell by 55% to 66 million RMB [2]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 41.01% in 1H25, a slight decrease of 1.59 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin for vehicle-mounted information intelligent terminals improved by 0.45 percentage points to 43.77%, while the margin for asset management terminals decreased by 1.19 percentage points to 41.82% [3]. Emerging Business Development - The company continues to expand in new business areas, with video vehicle networking products showing a remarkable growth rate of 90% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company’s ECALL emergency light products have received DGT3.0 certification, allowing entry into the Spanish and some EU markets, which is expected to facilitate rapid growth [4]. Financial Forecasts - The net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised down to 133 million RMB, 149 million RMB, and 165 million RMB, respectively [5]. - The target price for the company is set at 14.12 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 49x for 2025 [5][7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [7][24]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 49.34 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.44%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.077 billion yuan, up 3.01% year-on-year. However, the second quarter saw a decline in revenue and net profit, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% and 8.25%, respectively, primarily due to weak performance in the central air conditioning segment and increased asset impairment [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's central air conditioning business faced pressure, with revenue from the subsidiary Hisense Hitachi declining by 6% year-on-year to 10.66 billion yuan, and net profit down by 4.9% to 1.86 billion yuan. Domestic sales of central air conditioning dropped by 15.9%, while external sales showed a growth of 24.9% [2][3]. - The home air conditioning segment performed positively, with a revenue increase of approximately 14% year-on-year. The company’s ice washing business also saw a modest revenue growth of 4.8% [3][4]. Profitability and Margins - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was reported at 21.48%, an increase of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved overseas margins and rising margins in the ice washing segment [4][5]. - The report indicates a slight increase in expense ratios due to sports marketing and foreign exchange fluctuations, with the expense ratio rising by 0.51 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company of 3.75 billion yuan, 4.20 billion yuan, and 4.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The report suggests that the company will benefit from the release of replacement demand and its strong brand presence [5][21]. - The target market capitalization is set at 490.98 billion yuan, with a target price of 35.42 yuan for A-shares and 30.62 HKD for H-shares, reflecting a valuation discount due to exchange rate and market volatility risks [5][24].

Monetary Policy Decisions - The Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% during the July meeting, with two members voting against this decision, marking the first such occurrence since 1993[1] - The statement shifted from a dovish tone to a more hawkish stance, with Powell emphasizing the strength of the labor market and the distance of inflation from the target[1][2] Economic Outlook - Powell acknowledged the economy's growth has moderated, with the assessment changing from "expand at a solid pace" to "moderated"[1][2] - The probability of a rate cut in September dropped to 45%, down from previous expectations, reflecting a cumulative decline of 7 basis points in rate cut expectations for the year[1][3] Market Reactions - Following the announcement, the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields rose by 6 basis points and 2 basis points, reaching 3.94% and 4.37% respectively[1] - The US Dollar Index increased by 0.4% to 99.8, while the S&P 500 and gold prices fell by 0.8% and 0.9% to $3324 per ounce respectively[1] Employment and Inflation Insights - Powell highlighted a solid labor market but admitted to existing downside risks, with hiring slowing and labor supply decreasing[2][3] - Tariffs are contributing to inflation, with companies expected to gradually pass on costs to consumers, keeping inflation slightly above the Fed's target even when excluding tariff impacts[2] Future Rate Cut Considerations - The potential for a rate cut in September hinges on economic data from July and August, particularly employment and inflation metrics[3] - If employment data weakens or tariff impacts on inflation are less than expected, the Fed may still consider rate cuts in the September meeting[3]

Core Views - The meeting of the Political Bureau on July 30 emphasized maintaining policy continuity and stability while enhancing flexibility and foresight, aligning with investor expectations [2][3] - Key areas of focus include expanding domestic demand, prioritizing service consumption, and fostering international competitiveness in technology innovation [2][4][5] Focus Area 1: Expanding Domestic Demand - The meeting highlighted the importance of expanding service consumption as a new growth point while ensuring the improvement of people's livelihoods [4] - Policies may increasingly focus on stimulating service consumption, with potential measures including issuing consumption vouchers and upgrading cultural tourism [4] Focus Area 2: Technology Innovation - Technology innovation remains a focal point, with a shift from specific sectors to nurturing emerging industries with international competitiveness, particularly in the domestic computing power chain [5] - The "anti-involution" narrative has been refined to emphasize lawful governance of chaotic competition and capacity management in key industries [5] Focus Area 3: Capital Market Policies - The meeting stressed enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market, aiming to support enterprises at different development stages [6] - There was no separate discussion on real estate policies, indicating that future policy directions need further observation [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 150.00 RMB [6][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 1.626 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.63%, and a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 88.66 million RMB, up 84.56 million RMB year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is focusing on vertical integration of "hardware + algorithms + optics" to optimize cost control and enhance the universality of key components, leading to a recovery in profitability [1]. - The company is accelerating its penetration into overseas markets through smart and localized strategies, aiming to capture a larger share of the global mid-to-high-end market [1]. - The automotive optical products have been successfully implemented in various models from clients such as Seres, JAC, and BAIC, indicating potential for growth beyond the retail market [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 350 million RMB, 404 million RMB, and 447 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 191%, 15.4%, and 10.8% [4][10]. - The expected EPS for the same years is 5.00 RMB, 5.77 RMB, and 6.39 RMB [4][10]. Market Conditions - The domestic market for smart projectors is under pressure, with a 3.9% decline in sales volume to 2.778 million units and a 2.9% decrease in sales revenue to 4.68 billion RMB in H1 2025 [2]. - Despite the challenges, the company has managed to increase its average selling price by 22.7% year-on-year across major e-commerce platforms [2]. Product Development - The automotive optical products are expected to contribute to revenue starting from H1 2025, although initial depreciation and amortization costs may impact profitability [3]. - The company’s long-standing expertise in projection technology is anticipated to create differentiated advantages in various application scenarios, including automotive and commercial uses [3].