证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 15 日 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 邓思平 SAC：S1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 邱达治 SAC：S1350525050001 qiudazhi@huayuanstock.com 豆鹏超 doupengchao@huayuanstock.com 十五五电量宽松电力趋紧 氢能试点工作开展 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——大能源行业 2025 年第 24 周周报（20250615） 投资要点： 煤炭：5 月进口煤下降，进口供给如期延续改善 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 | 1. 电力:十五五电量宽松但电力趋紧 煤电电量增长与否取决于用电增速及光伏新增装机 | | --- | | !! | | 2. 氢能:国家能源局组织开展氢能试点工作 行业有望逐步向成熟阶段迈进… | | 3. 煤炭:5月进口 ...

证券研究报告 交通运输 行业深度报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 13 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 物流无人车浪潮起，产业变革新机遇 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——无人车行业深度 投资要点： 看，本轮无人车产业趋势可类比上一轮分拨中心自动化升级趋势，新技术的诞生和 新一轮的资本开支竞争，或将打破原有的运营模式和平衡，考虑各快递企业总部现 金流差异、加盟商盈利状况差异，具有规模优势和利润优势的企业或加速变革，形 成新的成本优势，进而加速行业格局的变化。建议关注申通快递、圆通速递、中通 快递。 风险提示：无人车渗透不及预期风险，政策与合规风险，行业格局变动风险，成本 增加风险，市场空间测算偏差的风险，快递企 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment based on its growth potential and market position [5][7]. Core Viewpoints - The company is recognized as a leader in smart display technology, with a diverse product portfolio driving new growth momentum. It has established a strong presence in various key sectors, including AI-enabled office, education, medical, and entertainment applications [5][14]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with the actual controllers holding a significant portion of shares, which reflects confidence in future growth [5][19]. - The company is expected to see substantial growth in its net profit from 2025 to 2027, with projected figures of 10.24 billion, 12.47 billion, and 14.59 billion RMB, respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate of approximately 22.92% [7][30]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1995, integrates R&D, design, production, and sales of smart display products, with a rich product matrix covering various applications [14][18]. - It has received multiple national honors, including "National Manufacturing Single Champion Enterprise" and "National Green Factory" in 2024, showcasing its commitment to quality and sustainability [5][14]. Business Segments - The smart interactive display segment is experiencing robust growth, driven by AI technology and increasing demand in education and corporate sectors. The company ranks first globally in shipments of interactive flat panel displays [5][48]. - The smart TV business is focusing on emerging markets along the "Belt and Road" initiative, with a projected revenue growth of 23.47% in 2024 [5][9]. - The innovative display segment has shown significant growth potential, with a revenue increase of 57.94% in 2024, driven by new product developments and market expansion [5][30]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 15.59 billion RMB in 2024 to 19.03 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 22.09% [6][30]. - The net profit is expected to recover from a decline in 2023, with a forecasted increase in profitability due to improved revenue structure and cost management [30][39]. Competitive Advantages - The company maintains a strong R&D capability with over 1,315 patents and software copyrights, enabling it to meet diverse customer needs and enhance product differentiation [5][39]. - Its flexible manufacturing capabilities allow for rapid production adjustments, catering to various customer demands while maintaining quality and cost control [5][39]. Market Outlook - The global market for smart interactive displays is anticipated to grow significantly, with projections indicating a rise in shipments to 347.2 million units by 2029 [48][51]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for smart displays in both domestic and international markets, particularly in education and corporate sectors [5][51].

证券研究报告 美容护理 | 个护用品 非金融|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 13 日 百亚股份(003006.SZ) 投资评级： 买入（首次） ——国内优质卫生巾品牌 大单品持续放量 投资要点： 风险提示：市场竞争日益加剧的风险；原材料价格波动的风险；营销网络拓展的风险。 丁一 SAC：S1350524040003 dingyi@huayuanstock.com 王悦 wangyue03@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | 年 | 11 | 日 | | | | 06 | 月 | 2025 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | 29.21 | | | | | | | | | 一 年 最 低 | 高 | | | | 内 | 最 | / | | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | 34.99/19.97 | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | | 12,551.12 | | | 流通市值（百 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - Tongli Co., Ltd. (834599.BJ) - The report highlights that Tongli Co., Ltd. is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for autonomous mining trucks, with an expected increase in China's autonomous mining truck shipments from approximately 1,400 units in 2024 to about 5,500 units by 2026 [2][5] - The global market for autonomous mining trucks is projected to grow from around 2,100 units in 2024 to approximately 8,700 units in 2026, with significant demand expected from regions such as the Middle East, Australia, and South America [2][5] - The company has established deep collaborations with Yikong Zhijia and Borei Technology, with an estimated delivery of over 700 autonomous vehicles by 2024, capturing more than half of the domestic market share for controlled chassis [6][7] Group 2: Financial Performance and Dividends - Tongli Co., Ltd. is the only company listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange included in the CSI Dividend Index, with a dividend yield of 5.49% in 2024, reflecting a commitment to returning value to investors [7][8] - The company's dividend payouts from 2021 to 2024 were 179 million, 226 million, 226 million, and 317 million respectively, with corresponding dividend yields of 4.07%, 7.06%, 4.73%, and 5.49% [8] - The forecasted net profits for Tongli Co., Ltd. from 2025 to 2027 are expected to be 887 million, 994 million, and 1.114 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.94, 2.17, and 2.43 [8] Group 3: Industry Overview - Sports Nutrition Market - The report indicates that the sports nutrition market in China is expected to experience significant growth, with a projected CAGR of 23% from 2015 to 2024, driven by increasing consumer health awareness and low current penetration rates [11][12] - Key products such as whey protein and energy gels are anticipated to see substantial sales growth, with whey protein revenue expected to increase by 73% in 2024 and energy gels by 95% [11][12] - The company, Kangbiter (833429.BJ), is expanding its product offerings into the mass market, successfully launching electrolyte drinks and entering major retail channels, which positions it well for future growth [12][13] Group 4: Competitive Positioning - Kangbiter has established a strong competitive advantage through its extensive experience in the sports nutrition sector and its innovative product development, which has led to a leading market share in whey protein on e-commerce platforms [11][12] - The company is leveraging its brand strength and established sales channels to penetrate the broader health food market, with plans to introduce more products aimed at general consumers [12][13] - The report anticipates that Kangbiter will maintain a significant market presence due to its brand power, technological expertise, and ongoing expansion into new consumer segments [12][13]

证券研究报告 食品饮料 | 食品加工 北交所|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 12 日 证券分析师 赵昊 SAC：S1350524110004 zhaohao@huayuanstock.com 王宇璇 SAC：S1350525050003 wangyuxuan@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | 年 | 06 | 月 | 日 | 2025 | | | 11 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | 28.61 | | | | | | | 一 年 高 低 | 最 | 最 | | | 34.00/8.28 | | | 内 | / | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | 3,561.95 | | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | 3,241.20 | | | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | | 124.50 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Buy" due to the long-term growth potential opened by autonomous mining trucks, showcasing both growth and dividend attributes [5][7]. Core Views - The global market for autonomous mining trucks is expected to see significant growth, with an estimated total shipment of approximately 2,100 units in 2024, and a projected increase to about 8,700 units by 2026. The average price for autonomous mining trucks is expected to be around 2.5 million yuan per unit in China and over 5.0 million yuan internationally [6][5]. - The company has achieved significant milestones in the autonomous vehicle sector, delivering over 700 autonomous vehicles and capturing more than half of the domestic market share for controlled chassis. The company is focused on R&D and production of controlled chassis technology to enhance compatibility with autonomous systems [5][6]. - The company has a strong dividend policy, with a projected dividend yield of 5.49% in 2024, and has consistently provided substantial cash dividends to investors over the years [5][7]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 6,145 million yuan in 2024 to 8,174 million yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.98% [8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 887 million yuan in 2025 to 1,114 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.94 yuan in 2025 to 2.43 yuan in 2027, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual establishment of key cold chain logistics bases, which will enhance the focus on its cold chain engineering business [5][7] - The company has a strong positioning advantage in the grain storage and cold chain sectors, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being CNY 282 million, CNY 357 million, and CNY 440 million respectively [7][8] Financial Summary - Closing price as of June 9, 2025, is CNY 11.08 [4] - Total market capitalization is CNY 5,676 million [4] - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are CNY 2,414 million, CNY 2,652 million, CNY 3,234 million, CNY 3,975 million, and CNY 4,916 million, with growth rates of -10.51%, 9.84%, 21.95%, 22.89%, and 23.69% respectively [6][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from CNY 218 million in 2023 to CNY 440 million in 2027, with growth rates of 29.03%, 7.34%, 20.67%, 26.65%, and 23.17% respectively [6][8] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to increase from 10.97% in 2023 to 15.94% in 2027 [6][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 26.07 in 2023 to 12.90 in 2027 [6][8]

证券研究报告 | 固收定期报告 | | --- | hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 10 日 经济修复分化，债市或窄幅震荡 ——利率周报（2025.6.2-2025.6.8） 投资要点： 证券分析师 本周（6/2-6/8）市场概览： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 联系人 宏观要闻：6 月 6 日，中国人民银行将以固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开 展 1 万亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为 3 个月（91 天）。截至 5 月末，我国外汇储 备规模实现"五连升"至 3.29 万亿美元，较 4 月末上升 36 亿美元，升幅为 0.11%。 截至 5 月末，央行连续 7 个月增持黄金，储备规模报 7383 万盎司（约 2296.37 吨）， 环比增加 6 万盎司。美国东部时间 6 月 3 日，美国总统特朗普签署行政令，将进口 钢铁和铝及其衍生制品的关税从 25%提高至 50%。 中观高频数据：本周消费韧性凸显，生产分化加剧，地产承压。截至 5 月 31 日，乘 用车当周厂家日均零售 ...

证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 09 日 证券分析师 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 蔡思 SAC：S1350524070005 caisi@huayuanstock.com 邓思平 SAC：S1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 豆鹏超 doupengchao@huayuanstock.com 4 月用电需求分析 全球第三座重水除氚设施启动建设 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——大能源行业 2025 年第 23 周周报（20250606） 联系人 分省看，4 月多省用电增速持续改善。云南、贵州、湖南、湖北、河北、山西与安徽六省 4 月单月用电增 速超过 7%；新疆用电负增长。从电量增速变动看，以 2025 年单 4 月用电增速与 2025 年 1-4 月用电增 速比较，多省用电增速有所改善，其中湖南（6.6pct）、湖北（5.3pct）、安徽（5.1 ...