三一重能（688349.SH）2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 业绩短期承压，积极推进全球化战略 2025 年 05 月 03 日 ➢ 事件：2025 年 4 月 28 日，公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 实现收入 177.92 亿元，同比增加 19.1%；归母净利润 18.12 亿元，同比下降 9.7%；扣非归母净利润 15.95 亿元，同比下降 1.76%。 单季度来看，24Q4 公司收入 87.24 亿元，同比增加 17.12%；归母净利润 11.27 亿元，同比增加 15.49%；扣非归母净利润 9.83 亿元，同比增加 12.78%。2025Q1 实现收入 21.87 亿元，同比增加 26.58%；归母净利润-1.91 亿元，同比下降 171.96%；扣非归母净利润-2.19 亿元，同比下降 192.51%，主要系风场出售进 度缓慢的影响。 盈利水平方面，2024 年公司毛利率 16.90%，同比增长 3.28pcts；其中，风机 业务毛利率为 10.99%，盈利能力保持领先；海外风机业务毛利率 21.71%，领 先国内风机业务毛利率 10pcts 以上。25Q ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.947 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.20%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -199 million yuan, a decline compared to the previous year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 592 million yuan, down 6.20% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was 21.11 million yuan, an increase of 85.36% [1]. - The SaaS business showed significant growth, with the Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reaching 523.29 million yuan in 2024, a growth of approximately 25.1% from 418.29 million yuan in 2023 [3]. - The company has signed contracts with major hotel groups, enhancing its market position and expanding its international presence [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 34.87%, a slight decrease from the previous year. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 49.17%, remaining stable compared to the same period last year [2]. - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow of 67.13 million yuan in 2024, up from 63.45 million yuan in the previous year. In Q1 2025, the operating cash flow was -110 million yuan, an improvement from -150 million yuan in Q1 2024 [2]. - The company expects revenues of 3.665 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 24.4%, and a projected net profit of 146 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround from the previous year's loss [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.947 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.20%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was -199 million yuan, showing a decline compared to the previous year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 592 million yuan, down 6.20% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 85.36% to 21.11 million yuan [1]. - The SaaS business showed significant growth, with the Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reaching 523.29 million yuan in 2024, a 25.1% increase from 418.29 million yuan in 2023 [3]. - The company has signed contracts with major hotel groups, enhancing its market position and expanding its international presence [4]. Financial Performance Summary - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 34.87%, a slight decrease from the previous year. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin improved to 49.17% [2]. - Operating cash flow improved, with a net cash flow of 67.13 million yuan in 2024, compared to 63.45 million yuan in the previous year. However, Q1 2025 showed a negative cash flow of -110 million yuan [2]. - The company expects revenues of 3.665 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 24.4%, and a projected net profit of 146 million yuan [8][9]. Business Development - The company continues to expand its SaaS offerings, with over 80,000 hotel clients and a renewal rate exceeding 90% [3]. - The Daylight PMS system has been successfully implemented in 629 hotels globally, with significant contracts signed with major hotel groups [4]. - The company is also enhancing its retail business through the acquisition of minority stakes in software firms, which is expected to strengthen its market position in retail management solutions [6]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 3.665 billion yuan, 4.576 billion yuan, and 5.720 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PS ratios of 6X, 5X, and 4X [7][8]. - The net profit is expected to recover significantly, reaching 579 million yuan by 2027, with a net profit margin improving over the years [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the computer industry, particularly highlighting the potential in AI-related sectors [7]. Core Insights - The computer industry is experiencing revenue pressure, but a profit turning point has been observed. The overall revenue growth for the computer sector is expected to decline in 2024, with a notable recovery in profits in the first quarter of 2025 [5][11]. - In 2024, the computer sector is projected to achieve total operating revenue of CNY 12,614.80 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.65%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be CNY 294.24 billion, down 9.39% year-on-year [11][14]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows signs of recovery, with operating revenue reaching CNY 2,862.17 billion, an increase of 2.56% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 6.05% to CNY 58.79 billion [11][12]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - During the week of April 28 to May 2, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.43%, while the computer sector (CITIC) rose by 2.66%. The top five gainers included Creative Information and Lingzhi Software, while the biggest losers were Dongfangtong and Allwinner Technology [3][59]. Company News - Keda Guokong announced the termination of a share reduction plan by its directors, which did not significantly impact the company's operations [4]. - Zhongcheng Technology adjusted its stock repurchase price and plans to cancel shares due to unmet performance targets [4]. Financial Performance - The computer sector's financial performance in 2024 shows a significant decline in revenue and profits, with a median revenue growth rate of -1.65% and a net profit decline of -9.39% [17][36]. - Despite the overall decline, some companies in the AI sector reported revenue growth exceeding 40%, indicating a divergence in performance within the industry [14][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests continued focus on AI-related companies, as they are expected to perform well despite the overall economic pressures on the computer industry [5][51].

钢铁周报 20250504 粗钢限产预期再起，钢厂利润有望回升 2025 年 05 月 04 日 ➢ 价格：本周钢材价格涨跌互现。截至 4 月 30 日，上海 20mm HRB400 材 质螺纹价格为 3200 元/吨，较上周持平。高线 8.0mm 价格为 3420 元/吨，较上 周升 10 元/吨。热轧 3.0mm 价格为 3260 元/吨，较上周持平。冷轧 1.0mm 价 格为 3670 元/吨，较上周降 40 元/吨。普中板 20mm 价格为 3510 元/吨，较上 周升 20 元/吨。本周原材料中，国产矿市场价格震荡，进口矿市场价格稳中有跌， 废钢价格上涨。 ➢ 利润：本周钢材利润上升。长流程方面，我们测算本周行业螺纹钢、热轧和 冷轧毛利分别环比前一周变化+53 元/吨，+20 元/吨和-54 元/吨。短流程方面， 本周电炉钢毛利环比前一周变化+35 元/吨。 ➢ 产量与库存：截至 5 月 2 日，五大钢材产量上升，总库存环比下降。产量方 面，本周五大钢材品种产量 884 万吨，环比升 7.85 万吨，其中建筑钢材产量周 环比增 3.37 万吨，板材产量周环比升 4.48 万吨，螺纹钢本周增产 4.2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Viewpoints - The company achieved stable growth in revenue and profit in Q1 2025, with operating income of 2.001 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million yuan, up 6.41% year-on-year [1] - The company is focused on building a digital application matrix to assist clients in their digital transformation, developing various smart application software products across multiple industries [2] - The company is enhancing its capabilities in key industries, particularly in financial technology and artificial intelligence, to provide comprehensive solutions and maintain a leading position in the industry [3] Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve operating revenues of 12.052 billion yuan, 13.302 billion yuan, and 14.895 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 626 million yuan, 690 million yuan, and 794 million yuan [4][5] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.91 yuan, 1.00 yuan, and 1.16 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26, 24, and 21 respectively [5][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the computer industry, particularly highlighting the potential in AI-related companies [7]. Core Insights - The computer industry is experiencing revenue pressure, but a profit turning point has been observed. The overall revenue growth rate for the computer sector is expected to decline in 2024, with a notable recovery in profits in the first quarter of 2025 [5][11]. - In 2024, the computer sector is projected to achieve total operating revenue of CNY 12,614.80 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.65%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be CNY 294.24 billion, down 9.39% year-on-year [11][14]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows signs of recovery, with operating revenue reaching CNY 2,862.17 billion, an increase of 2.56% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 6.05% to CNY 58.79 billion [11][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of April 28 to May 2, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.43%, while the computer sector (CITIC) rose by 2.66%. The top five gainers included companies like Chuangyi Information and Lingzhi Software, while the biggest losers included Dongfangtong and Quanzhi Technology [3][59]. Industry News - The report highlights significant developments in the AI sector, with companies like Yaxin Security and Cloud Sky Flying-U showing impressive revenue growth rates exceeding 40% in 2024, driven by AI-related business [14][16]. - The software industry reported a total profit of CNY 3,726 billion in the first quarter, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [55]. Company Dynamics - Notable company announcements include Keda Guokong's termination of share reduction plans and adjustments in stock repurchase prices by Zhongcheng Technology, indicating stable governance and compliance with regulations [4][56][57]. Financial Performance Overview - The computer sector's financial performance shows a median revenue growth rate of -1.65% for 2024, compared to a median growth rate of 1.51% for all A-shares. The median net profit growth rate for the computer sector is -9.39%, while the overall A-share market shows a median of -2.44% [17][18]. - The report indicates that the computer sector's gross profit margin is projected to be 37.12% in 2024, a decrease of 1.72 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin is expected to be -16.58% [36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests continued focus on AI-related sectors, as they are expected to outperform in the challenging macroeconomic environment of 2024, with signs of recovery in profits in early 2025 [5][51].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved stable growth in revenue and profit in Q1 2025, with operating income of 2.001 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million yuan, up 6.41% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focused on building a digital application matrix to assist clients in their digital transformation, developing various smart application software products across multiple industries [2]. - The company is enhancing its capabilities in key industries, particularly in financial technology and artificial intelligence, to provide comprehensive solutions and maintain a leading position in the industry [3]. - The company is expected to achieve operating revenues of 12.052 billion yuan, 13.302 billion yuan, and 14.895 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 626 million yuan, 690 million yuan, and 794 million yuan respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.001 billion yuan and a net profit of 50 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.36% and 6.41% respectively [1]. - The R&D expenses for Q1 2025 were 105 million yuan, an increase of 1.70% year-on-year, indicating a commitment to innovation [1]. Business Strategy - The company is constructing a digital application matrix to meet digitalization needs across various sectors, including water conservancy, transportation, energy, healthcare, and manufacturing [2]. - It is focusing on vertical industry scenarios to empower smart manufacturing, providing tailored solutions in automotive manufacturing and biopharmaceuticals [2]. Future Projections - The company forecasts operating revenues of 12.052 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 12.6%, and net profits of 626 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 13.8% [5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.91 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 26 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.396 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a decrease of 15.96% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 16.2612 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.42% year-on-year [3]. - The gross margin improved to 28.20% in Q1 2025 from 25.10% in Q1 2024, indicating a positive trend in profitability [3]. - The increase in contract liabilities to 1.593 billion yuan at the end of Q1 2025 compared to the end of 2024 suggests an improvement in business activity [3]. Summary by Sections Business Trends - The company is focusing on major trends such as AI, data elements, and trusted innovation. It has developed an integrated model for AI that combines computing power, models, and applications [4]. - In the area of trusted innovation, the company established a dedicated working group in 2025 to enhance its product offerings and better meet customer needs [4]. - The company is also responding to national initiatives regarding data resource utilization, aiming to create platforms for data supply, product development, and management [4]. Cross-Border Settlement Initiatives - The company has successfully facilitated China's first cross-border digital RMB trade settlement with Singapore in the renewable energy sector, showcasing its capabilities in this area [5]. - The technical team has optimized the system architecture to ensure stability in high-concurrency transaction scenarios, enhancing transaction security through blockchain technology [5]. - The streamlined transaction process has reduced costs and improved payment speed for cross-border trade enterprises, positioning the company as a leader in this emerging market [5]. Financial Projections - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to grow from 313 million yuan in 2025 to 531 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios decreasing from 48X to 28X [5][8]. - Revenue is projected to increase from 9.039 billion yuan in 2025 to 11.288 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 15.4% in 2025 and gradually declining growth rates thereafter [8][10]. - The gross margin is expected to remain stable, with slight improvements anticipated over the forecast period [10].

钢铁周报 20250504 粗钢限产预期再起，钢厂利润有望回升 2025 年 05 月 04 日 ➢ 价格：本周钢材价格涨跌互现。截至 4 月 30 日，上海 20mm HRB400 材 质螺纹价格为 3200 元/吨，较上周持平。高线 8.0mm 价格为 3420 元/吨，较上 周升 10 元/吨。热轧 3.0mm 价格为 3260 元/吨，较上周持平。冷轧 1.0mm 价 格为 3670 元/吨，较上周降 40 元/吨。普中板 20mm 价格为 3510 元/吨，较上 周升 20 元/吨。本周原材料中，国产矿市场价格震荡，进口矿市场价格稳中有跌， 废钢价格上涨。 ➢ 利润：本周钢材利润上升。长流程方面，我们测算本周行业螺纹钢、热轧和 冷轧毛利分别环比前一周变化+53 元/吨，+20 元/吨和-54 元/吨。短流程方面， 本周电炉钢毛利环比前一周变化+35 元/吨。 ➢ 风险提示：下游需求不及预期；钢价大幅下跌；原材料价格大幅波动。 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价 | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...