Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the domestic nano-coating industry, focusing on customized nano-film products and equipment, achieving breakthroughs across multiple fields [1][3]. - The demand for nano-films is expected to grow significantly, driven by innovations in various industries, including consumer electronics, automotive, and healthcare [2][28]. - The company has established a strong market presence by becoming a core supplier for major global clients, including Apple and Xiaomi, and has successfully penetrated both domestic and international markets [11][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Founded in August 2016, the company has developed into a global leader in the nano-coating field, focusing on high-performance, multifunctional nano-films and related services [10][14]. - The company has achieved significant recognition from major clients, having provided nano-coating protection for over 1 billion mobile devices and 700 million earphones [11][19]. 2. Industry Trends - The global nano-film market was valued at approximately $14.18 billion in 2023 and is projected to exceed $66.35 billion by the end of 2032, with a CAGR of 18.7% from 2023 to 2032 [2][45]. - The rise of the Internet of Things (IoT) is expanding the application scenarios for nano-films across various electronic products [42][45]. 3. Technological Capabilities - The company has developed a comprehensive set of core technologies in nano-coating, including equipment manufacturing, material formulation, and customized services, successfully breaking foreign technology monopolies [3][57]. - The company’s proprietary nano-coating equipment has achieved mass production and is designed to meet diverse customer needs, enhancing production efficiency and product quality [57][58]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 4.79 billion yuan in 2024 to 11.96 billion yuan by 2027, with net profit projected to increase from 0.45 billion yuan to 2.23 billion yuan during the same period [4][19]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.23 yuan in 2025 to 0.66 yuan in 2027, reflecting a positive outlook for the company's financial performance [4][19].

Group 1: Tariff Impact and Revenue - In Q2 2023, the U.S. collected approximately $64.4 billion in tariffs, annualizing to nearly $260 billion[2] - The current tariff rate is 10%, with some products facing a higher increase of 25%[4] - The U.S. import price index remained stable, with an average monthly growth rate of about 0% from February to May 2023[3] Group 2: Cost Burden Distribution - Historically, consumers and importers bear the brunt of tariffs due to their weaker bargaining power[3] - Japanese automobile exports to the U.S. saw a significant price drop of 18% from April to June 2023[6] - U.S. manufacturers and wholesalers are currently absorbing tariff costs, with retail prices remaining relatively stable[7] Group 3: Future Price Adjustments - Over 50% of surveyed companies plan to pass at least 50%-75% of tariff costs onto consumers[9] - Retailers, facing thin profit margins, are increasingly pressured to raise prices, with Walmart leading the charge[8] - The anticipated price increases may further strain U.S. household budgets and consumer spending, potentially leading to stagflation[9]

摩托车行业系列点评十八 中大排销量创新高 自主高端化提速 2025 年 07 月 17 日 邮箱：cuiyan@mszq.com 邮箱：jiangxuzhou@mszq.com ➢ 事件概述：据中国摩托车商会数据，2025 年 6 月 250cc（不含）以上摩托 车销量 10.2 万辆，同比+14.3%，环比+1.7%。1-6 月累计销量 50.1 万辆，同 比+41.3%。 ➢ 行业：旺季来临 中大排月度销量创历史新高 1）125cc（不含）以上：6 月销量 70.6 万辆，同比-1.9%，环比+0.4%，主要 增量来自于 125-150cc 及 500-800cc，春风动力、隆鑫通用等头部企业均贡献 明显增量； 2）250cc（不含）以上：6 月销量 10.2 万辆，同比+14.3%，环比+1.7%，创 历史新高。1-6 月累计销量+50.1 万辆，同比+41.3%。其中： 出口：250cc+摩托车 6 月出口 5.7 万辆，同比+59.9%，环比+13.7%，同比增 长原因为头部企业在 500-800cc 排量段出口持续增长，1-6 月累计出口 26.5 万 辆，同比+70.1%。 内销：250cc+摩 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is positioned to benefit from the upward cycle of the beef market, with expectations of profit recovery and growth driven by its strong brand and integrated meat industry chain [4][71]. - The company has a long history and has developed a comprehensive meat industry chain, enhancing its competitive edge [10][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 1930, has evolved from a small workshop to a comprehensive meat industry player, focusing on high-quality products and brand development [10]. - It operates a full industry chain including feed production, breeding, slaughtering, and meat processing, which forms its core competitive advantage [11]. 2. Beef Market Cycle - The beef market is expected to experience a cyclical upturn, influenced by both domestic and international supply factors [30]. - The report highlights the low concentration in China's beef market, suggesting potential for significant price elasticity and recovery following capacity adjustments [49][51]. - Major beef-producing countries are anticipated to see price improvements that will positively impact the domestic market [56]. 3. Business Segments - The company controls New Zealand's largest beef slaughtering enterprise, Silver Fern Farms, which enhances its global trade capabilities [73]. - The brand "Guanshengyuan" is a key asset, with a strong market presence in various food categories, contributing to the company's long-term performance stability [2]. - The company is a major player in the pig farming sector, ensuring stable supply and collaboration across the entire meat production chain [2][3]. 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 431 million, 680 million, and 769 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.46, 0.73, and 0.82 yuan [5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the beef cycle's upward trend, leveraging its core competencies in the meat industry [4][71].

6 用美国 CPI 分析师: 陶川 执业证号: S0100524060005 邮箱:taochuan@mszq.com 分析师:林彦 执业证号: S0100525030001 邮箱: linyan@mszq.com 分析师: 邵翔 执业证号: S0100524080007 邮箱:shaoxiang@mszq.com 研究助理: 武则 执业证号: S0100125070003 邮箱:wushuo@mszq.con 事件:当地时间 7 月 15 日,美国劳工局公布 6 月消费者价格数据:6 月美 A 国 CPI 同比 2.7%(预期 2.6%, 前值 2.4%), 环比 0.3% (预期 0.3%, 前值 0.1%), 核心 CPI 同比升至 2.9%(预期 2.9%,前值 2.8%),环比 0.2%(预期 0.3%,前 值 0.1%)。 相关研究 1.2025 年上半年经济数据点评:5.3%的预期 与现实-2025/07/15 2.2025年6月外贸数据点评:6月出口:"预 期差"在哪? -2025/07/14 3.美国经济研究:关税"悖论":真的越加越通 > 6 月通胀数据再次让美联储喘了一口气。虽然边际上关 ...

海外市场点评 研究助理：武朔 执业证号：S0100125070003 邮箱：wushuo@mszq.com ➢ 事件：当地时间 7 月 15 日，美国劳工局公布 6 月消费者价格数据：6 月美 国 CPI 同比 2.7%（预期 2.6%，前值 2.4%），环比 0.3%（预期 0.3%，前值 0.1%）， 核心 CPI 同比升至 2.9%（预期 2.9%，前值 2.8%），环比 0.2%（预期 0.3%，前 值 0.1%）。 ➢ 6 月通胀数据再次让美联储喘了一口气。虽然边际上关税的影响进一步显现 （体现在服装、家具等价格大涨），但是在住房价格的回落以及汽车供需疲弱的 双重助攻下，核心 CPI 已经连续 5 个月不及预期。面对这张 6 月 CPI 的"分裂" 成绩单，美联储的降息按钮是更近一步，还是被再次"束之高阁"？ 6 月美国 CPI 的降息"份量" 2025 年 07 月 16 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：陶川 分析师：林彦 分析师：邵翔 执业证号：S0100524060005 执业证号：S0100525030001 执业证号：S0100524080007 邮箱：taochuan@mszq ...

Economic Growth - China's GDP for the first half of the year reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3%[3] - The GDP growth rate for the second quarter was 5.2%, slightly lower than the first quarter's 5.4%[3] - A projected growth rate of 4.7% in the second half would still allow for achieving the annual target of around 5%[4] Trade and International Relations - China's GDP share relative to the US is expected to recover, which is crucial amid current international trade tensions[4] - The resilience shown in China's economy may provide leverage in trade negotiations, especially with the US increasing tariffs on other economies[4] Consumption Trends - Retail sales showed a decline in June, influenced by the end of the "618" shopping festival and high base effects from last year[5] - Restaurant income saw a significant drop in June, with a year-on-year decrease attributed to high base effects and competitive pressures from platforms like JD and Meituan[5] Industrial Performance - Industrial production exceeded expectations, with June's industrial value-added growth recorded at 6.8%, driven by a surge in exports[5] - However, the industrial capacity utilization rate fell to 74.0% in the second quarter, indicating potential pressures on future production[7] Investment Insights - Manufacturing investment growth slowed to 5.1% in June, reflecting weakened private sector confidence and investment activity[7] - Infrastructure investment growth decreased to 5.3% in June, primarily due to declines in public utilities and environmental sectors[8] Real Estate Market - The real estate market is under pressure compared to the previous year, with investment growth declining and sales in 30 cities dropping significantly[8] - Despite improvements in certain real estate indicators, the overall investment trend remains negative, indicating ongoing challenges in the sector[8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [7]. Core Insights - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, projecting a range of 150 to 180 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 182.3% to 238.7% [1]. - The integration effects from Grammer in Europe are becoming evident, with the company forecasting a net profit of 46 to 76 million yuan for Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 77.7% [2]. - The company has secured over 20 seat assembly projects since October 2021, with a total lifecycle value of 927 to 974 billion yuan, indicating substantial revenue potential [3]. - The strategic integration with Grammer aims to enhance profitability and market share, targeting leadership in the global smart cockpit market [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 26.75 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 605 million yuan, and expects continued growth in subsequent years [6][10]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.48 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 26 times based on the closing price of 12.33 yuan per share on July 14, 2025 [4][6].

Economic Overview - The GDP for the first half of 2025 is reported at 66,053.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, with Q1 growth at 5.4% and Q2 at 5.2% [1][2] - The resilience of China's GDP against the backdrop of international trade tensions is expected to provide a strategic advantage, particularly in the context of tariff escalations by the US [1][2] Policy Implications - The current economic growth rate reduces the urgency for aggressive policy adjustments, as a projected growth of 4.7% in the second half would still meet the annual target of around 5% [2] - The report highlights a potential risk of economic divergence, with a repeat of last year's trend of strong production but weak consumption, particularly influenced by real estate price declines and reduced policy support [2][3] Consumption Trends - Retail sales showed signs of recovery, driven by the "trade-in" policy, particularly in categories like home appliances and automobiles, although there are concerns about base effects impacting growth in the latter half of the year [3][4] - A significant decline in restaurant revenues in June is attributed to high base effects from the previous year, changes in statistical methodologies, and increased competition among platforms like JD and Meituan [3][4] Industrial Performance - Industrial production exceeded expectations due to a surge in exports, with June's industrial value-added growth recorded at 6.8% [3][4] - However, the report notes a decline in capacity utilization rates across several industries, indicating potential pressures on future industrial output [6][22] Investment Insights - Manufacturing investment growth has slowed, with June's year-on-year growth at 5.1%, reflecting weakened private sector confidence and investment activity [6][25] - Infrastructure investment remains crucial, with a resilient performance in the first half of the year, although growth rates have recently declined [6][29] Real Estate Market - The real estate sector is under pressure compared to the previous year, with a clear trend of focusing on existing stock rather than new developments [6][34] - Despite improvements in sales and construction metrics compared to last year, recent data indicates a decline in transactions in major cities since July [6][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a closing price of 130.03 CNY as of July 14, 2025 [6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.7 billion to 3.2 billion CNY in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.2% to 97.0% [1][2]. - The net profit for Q2 2025 is projected to be 2.19 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year growth of 56.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 188.9% [1]. - The company is experiencing a strong performance in the high-end market, particularly with the launch of the AITO M8, which has received over 60,000 pre-orders within 13 days of its release [3]. - The company is pursuing a global strategy through its Hong Kong IPO, aiming to enhance its R&D capabilities and expand its international market presence [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 178.89 billion CNY for 2025, with a growth rate of 23.2% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 10.51 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 76.8% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 6.44 CNY for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20 [5][10]. - The company anticipates a steady increase in revenues and profits through 2027, with revenues reaching 259.35 billion CNY and net profits of 15.14 billion CNY by that year [5][10].