捷顺科技（002609.SZ）2025 年一季报预告点评 业绩大幅改善，"AI+停车"推动创新业务加速成长 2025 年 04 月 11 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：吕伟 分析师：郭新宇 执业证号：S0100521110003 执业证号：S0100518120001 邮箱：lvwei_yj@mszq.com 邮箱：guoxinyu@mszq.com ➢ 事件概述：2025 年 4 月 10 日公司发布 2025 年一季度业绩预告，预计 2025 年 1-3 月扭亏，归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 0.00 至 300.00 万元，上年同 期亏损 1442.15 万元；扣非归母净利润-42 万元至 257 万元，上年同期亏损 1832.23 万元。 ➢ 新业务持续向好，带动一季度业绩同比扭亏。1）订单增长显著：整体新签 订单同比增长 64%，为业绩提升提供动力。2）创新业务增长强劲：创新业务新 签订单保持快速增长，体现公司在新兴业务领域的战略布局和创新能力得到市场 认可。3）传统业务回暖：传统智能硬件业务扭转去年下滑的势头并在一季度实 现增长，说明公司在巩固传统业务优势方面采取的措施有效。 新业务发 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 9.13 yuan [8]. Core Viewpoints - The company is experiencing significant performance improvement, with a forecasted net profit for Q1 2025 expected to be between 0.00 to 3 million yuan, compared to a loss of 14.42 million yuan in the same period last year [3]. - New business segments are showing strong growth, with overall new orders increasing by 64% year-on-year, indicating effective strategic positioning and innovation capabilities [3][4]. - The traditional hardware business has rebounded, reversing last year's decline and achieving growth in Q1, demonstrating the effectiveness of the company's measures to consolidate its traditional business advantages [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Business Performance - The company anticipates a turnaround in Q1 2025, with net profit projections significantly improving from a loss of 14.42 million yuan in the previous year [3]. - New signed orders for 2024 reached 2.385 billion yuan, a 13.5% increase year-on-year, with innovative business orders growing by 44.1% [4]. Innovation and AI Integration - The company is leveraging AI to enhance its parking operations, structured into three levels: transaction settlement, revenue generation through parking space operations, and self-operated services [4][6]. - AI services are being utilized to provide both C-end (consumer) and B-end (business) solutions, enhancing operational efficiency and customer engagement [6][7]. Financial Projections - Expected net profits for 2024-2026 are projected at 31 million, 206 million, and 303 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 188X, 29X, and 19X [8][9]. - Revenue forecasts indicate a slight decline in 2024, followed by a recovery and growth in subsequent years, with total revenue expected to reach 2.183 billion yuan by 2026 [9][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 12.20 CNY per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14 for 2025 [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported total revenue of 159.73 billion CNY for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.32 billion CNY, up 104.5% year-on-year [1]. - The company is accelerating its transition to new energy vehicles, with significant sales growth in its self-branded models, particularly in the new energy segment [4]. - The report forecasts revenues of 189.55 billion CNY, 209.46 billion CNY, and 233.54 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 8.87 billion CNY, 10.76 billion CNY, and 12.72 billion CNY for the same years [4][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total revenue reached 48.77 billion CNY, reflecting a 13.2% year-on-year increase and a 42.5% quarter-on-quarter increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 3.74 billion CNY, up 159.0% year-on-year and 400.3% quarter-on-quarter [1][3]. - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles in Q4 2024 was 96,000 CNY, with a gross margin of 16.2%, showing a slight improvement from the previous quarter [2]. Sales and Market Dynamics - The company sold 507,000 self-branded passenger vehicles in Q4 2024, a 21.3% increase year-on-year and a 49.7% increase quarter-on-quarter. The sales of self-branded new energy vehicles reached 279,000 units, up 66.6% year-on-year and 87.7% quarter-on-quarter [2][3]. - The report highlights the launch of new models under the Deep Blue and Avita brands, with ambitious sales targets for 2025, including a goal of 500,000 units globally [4]. Cost and Expense Management - The report notes an increase in sales expenses due to the launch of new models, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios reported at 5.8%, 1.8%, 4.2%, and -0.4% respectively for Q4 2024 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 12.20 CNY per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14 for 2025 [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported total revenue of 159.73 billion CNY for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.32 billion CNY, up 104.5% year-on-year [1]. - The company is accelerating its transition to new energy vehicles, with significant sales growth in its self-branded models, particularly in the new energy segment [4]. - The report forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, estimating revenues of 189.55 billion CNY, 209.46 billion CNY, and 233.54 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits of 8.87 billion CNY, 10.76 billion CNY, and 12.72 billion CNY [4][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, total revenue reached 48.77 billion CNY, reflecting a 13.2% year-on-year increase and a 42.5% quarter-on-quarter increase, driven by a rise in sales volume [2][3]. - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles in Q4 2024 was 96,000 CNY, with a gross margin of 16.2%, showing a slight recovery from previous quarters [2][3]. Sales and Expenses - Self-branded vehicle sales in Q4 2024 were 507,000 units, a 21.3% increase year-on-year and a 49.7% increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. - Sales expenses increased due to the launch of new models, with the sales expense ratio at 5.8% for Q4 2024 [3]. New Energy Transition - The company’s new energy brands, Deep Blue and Avita, achieved cumulative sales of 68,000 and 24,000 units, respectively, in the first three months of 2025 [4]. - The company plans to launch new models, including the Deep Blue S09, which features advanced driving assistance technology [4]. Future Outlook - The report projects a strong outlook for the company, supported by its electric and intelligent transformation, with expected EPS of 0.89 CNY, 1.09 CNY, and 1.28 CNY for 2025-2027 [4][12].

吉利汽车（0175.HK）系列点评二十四 25Q1 业绩超预期 规模效应驱动盈利改善 2025 年 04 月 11 日 ➢ 事件概述：4 月 10 日，公司发布了"会计政策变更"和"正面盈利预告" 两个公告： 1）"会计政策变更"公告： 0175 就共同控制下实体企业合并的会计政策变更为 合并实体的资产负债按控股方的现有账面值列账。就 2025 年 2 月 14 日极氪与 领克完成的战略整合公告所述的未审计收益人民币 64.7 亿元，在本次会计政策 变更后将不再形成。其余详细的追溯财务调整将会在季报披露。 2）"正面盈利预告"公告：在上述变更后,0175 预计其 2025 年 1 季度的归母利 润为人民币 52-58 亿元，同比增长 220-270%，其中汇兑税后净收益占人民币 20-23 亿元。1 季度的销量增长及新能源业务持续改善带动盈利增长。 ➢ Q1 业绩超预期 规模化提振盈利。2025Q1，公司乘用车累计销量 70.4 万 辆，同比+47.9%；新能源累计 33.9 万辆，同比+135.4%。出口方面，2025Q1 海外销量 8.9 万辆，同比+2.0%，环比-1.3%。按中值计算，2025Q1 归 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 330 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year growth of 50.2%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 18 million yuan, up 15.3% year-over-year [1]. - The company plans to acquire a business to extend its main operational chain and expand into the data center optical device sector [1]. - The demand from special customers has recovered, leading to rapid growth in equipment and optical module businesses [3]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 150 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 71.1%, and a net profit of 22 million yuan, up 70% year-over-year [2]. - The gross margin for 2024 decreased by 7.8 percentage points to 44.6%, primarily due to a decline in the gross margin of new materials [2]. - The company’s operating expenses decreased significantly, with the expense ratio dropping by 14.6 percentage points to 36.5% [4]. Product Performance - Revenue from optical fiber ring devices reached 120 million yuan, up 69.1% year-over-year, driven by increased orders from special customers [3]. - Revenue from special optical fibers was 70 million yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.8% year-over-year, while the gross margin decreased by 2.84 percentage points to 80.2% [3]. - The equipment and other optical devices segment saw revenue growth of 102.5% year-over-year, reaching 50 million yuan [3]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 76 million yuan, 126 million yuan, and 184 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][6]. - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 49x, 30x, and 20x, respectively [5][6].

福斯特（603806.SH）2024 年年报点评 胶膜龙头优势显著，电子材料快速起量 2025 年 04 月 11 日 事件：2025 年 4 月 9 日，公司发布 2024 年年报。2024 年公司实现营业收入 191.47 亿元，同比-15.23%；实现归母净利润 13.08 亿元，同比-29.33%；实 现扣非净利润 12.85 亿元，同比-25.13%。 24Q4 公司实现营业收入 39.73 亿元，同比-33.10%，环比-9.92%；实现归母 净利润 0.50 亿元，同比-88.18%，环比-84.97%；实现扣非净利润 0.64 亿元， 同比-82.84%，环比-79.85%。 ➢ 光伏胶膜业务量增价减，多重优势有望助力平稳穿越周期。2024 年公司光 伏胶膜销售量为 28.11 亿平米，同比增长 24.98%，实现收入 175.04 亿元，同 比下降 14.54%；胶膜业务毛利率为 14.72%，同比增长 0.12pct。2024 年，光 伏主产业链供给过剩矛盾凸显，导致全产业链价格持续下跌；光伏胶膜环节市 场格局较好，且公司技术研发实力、成本控制能力、海内外主流组件客户资源 等优势显著，20 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.168 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.11%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 300 million yuan, up 52.66% year-on-year [1][4]. - The nylon fiber-grade slice is the main revenue contributor, with domestic sales accounting for 94.35% of total revenue, indicating a low proportion of direct exports [2][3]. - The demand for high-end nylon products is expected to grow steadily, driven by applications in various industries such as new energy vehicles and smart home products [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1.835 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.85%, and a net profit of 67 million yuan, up 43.23% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 8.07%, an increase of 1.37 percentage points compared to the previous year [2]. Business Segmentation - The nylon fiber-grade slice accounted for 66.34% of total revenue, while engineering plastics contributed 32.32% [2]. - The company has a strong domestic market presence, with plans to expand into overseas markets as industry dynamics change [2][3]. Capacity Expansion and Future Outlook - The company is expanding its high-end production capacity, with several projects expected to come online between 2025 and 2026, which will enhance its competitive advantage in the nylon 6 segment [3][4]. - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 403 million yuan, 495 million yuan, and 600 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 8, 7, and 6 [4][5].

聚合顺（605166.SH）2024 年年报点评 业绩稳健兑现预期，特种尼龙开辟增长新蓝海 2025 年 04 月 11 日 分析师 刘海荣 执业证书： S0100522050001 邮箱： liuhairong@mszq.com 分析师 李金凤 执业证书： S0100524070003 邮箱： lijinfeng@mszq.com ➢ 纤维级切片贡献主要收入，海外直接出口占比低。据公司公告，24 年公司 尼龙切片合计产销量分别为 57.65 万吨、56.50 万吨，营业收入实现 71.67 亿 元，同比增长 19.17%；毛利率实现 8.07%，同比增加 1.37 个百分点。从业务拆 分来看，2024 年尼龙纤维级切片系公司的重要收入组成部分，工程塑料紧随其 后，占比分别为 66.34%、32.32%；从销售区域划分来看，2024 年公司实现内 销 67.62 亿元，占比 94.35%，外销金额 4.05 亿元，占比 5.65%，其中公司外 销客户主要集中于东南亚、欧洲、南美及大洋洲，未来随着行业海外装置逐步退 出市场，公司凭借积累的规模及成本优势将逐步打开海外市场的成长空间。 ➢ 高端产能稳步扩容，行业需 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huaqin Technology [5] Core Views - Huaqin Technology is a leading ODM manufacturer with a strong growth trajectory, leveraging its extensive client base and diversified product offerings, particularly in high-performance computing and AI-driven solutions [1][4] - The company has established itself as a dominant player in the global smartphone ODM market, holding a 28% market share in 2023, and is expanding its presence in the PC and automotive electronics sectors [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. Huaqin Technology: ODM Leader with Diverse Product Lines - Huaqin Technology has over 10 years of experience in the ODM industry, serving major clients like Samsung, OPPO, and Xiaomi, and has developed a robust supply chain and customer base [1][10] - The company has seen rapid revenue growth, with a CAGR of 24.69% from 2019 to 2023, despite a slight revenue decline in 2023 [1][17] 2. Consumer Electronics: Mobile ODM as Core Business - Huaqin has a long history in mobile ODM, with a strong technical foundation, and is expected to benefit from increasing smartphone penetration rates [2][30] - The company is also making strides in the PC market, with revenue growth from 12.81 billion yuan in 2018 to 234.42 billion yuan in 2022, breaking the dominance of Taiwanese manufacturers [2][71] 3. Server Business: AI Demand Surge - Since entering the server market in 2017, Huaqin's server revenue grew significantly, reaching 53 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, driven by AI computing needs [3][4] 4. Automotive Sector: New Energy Driving Demand - Huaqin is expanding its automotive electronics business, achieving 6.4 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2024, a 102% increase year-on-year, capitalizing on trends in smart and connected vehicles [3][4] 5. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts revenues of 109.21 billion yuan, 132.64 billion yuan, and 151.84 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.88 billion yuan, 3.63 billion yuan, and 4.57 billion yuan [4][18] - The company is expected to maintain a favorable PE ratio, indicating strong growth potential in its diversified business segments [4][18]