2025 年 5 月 28 日 行业研究/行业周报 化学原料行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 相关报告： 【山证新材料】华为折叠 PC 及苹果折叠 手机推出在即，折叠设备材料有望高速 发 展 - 新 材 料 周 报 （ 250512-0516 ） 2025.5.21 【山证新材料】风电光伏累计装机首超 火电，西格里碳素关闭 Lavradio 碳钎维 基 地 - 新 材 料 周 报 （ 250505-0509 ） 2025.5.13 冀泳洁 博士 执业登记编码：S0760523120002 邮箱：jiyongjie@sxzq.com 王锐 执业登记编码：S0760524090001 人形机器人格斗大赛正式开赛，轻量化 PEEK 材料有望高速发展 摘要 二级市场表现 市场与板块表现：本周新材料板块下跌。新材料指数跌幅为 1.58%，跑输创 业板指 0.70%。近五个交易日，合成生物指数下跌 0.05%，半导体材料下跌 1.45%， 电子化学品下跌 0.98%，可降解塑料下跌 0.95%，工业气体下跌 2.12%，电池化 学品下跌 2.25%。 产业链周度价格跟踪（括号为周环比变化） 氨基酸：缬氨酸(13450 ...

2025 年 5 月 28 日 行业研究/行业周报 化学原料行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 相关报告： 【山证新材料】华为折叠 PC 及苹果折叠 手机推出在即，折叠设备材料有望高速 发 展 - 新 材 料 周 报 （ 250512-0516 ） 2025.5.21 【山证新材料】风电光伏累计装机首超 火电，西格里碳素关闭 Lavradio 碳钎维 基 地 - 新 材 料 周 报 （ 250505-0509 ） 2025.5.13 冀泳洁 博士 执业登记编码：S0760523120002 邮箱：jiyongjie@sxzq.com 王锐 执业登记编码：S0760524090001 邮箱：wangrui1@sxzq.com 申向阳 邮箱：shenxiangyang@sxzq.com 新材料 新材料周报（250519-0523） 领先大市-B(维持) 摘要 二级市场表现 市场与板块表现：本周新材料板块下跌。新材料指数跌幅为 1.58%，跑输创 业板指 0.70%。近五个交易日，合成生物指数下跌 0.05%，半导体材料下跌 1.45%， 电子化学品下跌 0.98%，可降解塑料下跌 0.95%，工业气体下跌 2.1 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-B" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [6]. Core Views - The company is a leader in functional protective tubing, leveraging a "self-supplied monofilament + R&D innovation" strategy to create a competitive moat [5]. - The company has shown strong growth in revenue and profitability, with a significant focus on the automotive sector, particularly in the context of the booming new energy vehicle market [4][20]. - The company is expanding its production capacity and enhancing its technological capabilities, which are expected to drive future growth [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2004, specializes in high polymer modified protective materials and has become a leading domestic player in functional protective tubing, with applications in automotive, rail transportation, communications electronics, and engineering machinery [3][15]. - The company has achieved a revenue of 865 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34.30%, with the automotive sector accounting for 65.60% of its revenue [3][20]. Market Demand and Growth - The domestic automotive industry is experiencing a strong recovery, with new energy vehicle sales expected to exceed 15 million units in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50.17% from 2015 to 2024 [4][47]. - The market for functional protective tubing in new energy vehicles is projected to reach 49.32 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 34.78% [4][56]. Production and Technological Advantages - The company has developed a vertical integration production system, achieving over 90% self-supply of monofilament, which stabilizes performance and reduces production costs [5][73]. - Continuous R&D efforts have led to product performance that matches international standards, enhancing customer relationships and creating a strong product moat [5][73]. Financial Projections and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 1.055 billion yuan, 1.285 billion yuan, and 1.539 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 214 million yuan, 273 million yuan, and 336 million yuan [6][8]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with an estimated EPS of 2.73 yuan in 2025, reflecting a P/E ratio of 19.0 [6][8]. Competitive Landscape - The functional protective tubing market is characterized by low concentration, with foreign companies currently holding a dominant position. However, domestic companies are rapidly closing the technology gap, accelerating the process of domestic substitution [4][67]. - The company is strategically expanding its international presence with factories in Mexico and Morocco to better serve North American and European clients [75].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-B" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in this regard [6]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in functional protective sleeves, leveraging a "self-supply of monofilament + R&D innovation" to create a competitive moat [5]. - The company has shown strong growth, with a revenue increase of 34.30% year-on-year in 2024, reaching 865 million yuan, and a net profit increase of 26.01%, totaling 176 million yuan [3][20]. - The domestic automotive industry is experiencing a robust recovery, particularly in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, which is expected to drive demand for functional protective sleeves [4][47]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2004, the company specializes in high polymer modified protective materials and has become a leading domestic player in functional protective sleeves, with applications in automotive, rail transit, communications electronics, and engineering machinery [3][15]. - The company has a vertical integration strategy, producing over 90% of its monofilament in-house, which stabilizes performance and reduces production costs [5][73]. Market Demand and Growth - The NEV market has seen explosive growth, with sales increasing from 330,000 units in 2015 to 12.86 million units in 2024, representing a CAGR of 50.17% [4][47]. - The market for functional protective sleeves in NEVs is projected to reach 4.932 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 34.78% [56]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 1.055 billion yuan in 2025, 1.285 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.539 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 22.0%, 21.8%, and 19.7% [6][8]. - The net profit is expected to reach 214 million yuan in 2025, 273 million yuan in 2026, and 336 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 21.4%, 27.8%, and 23.0% respectively [6][8]. Competitive Landscape - The market for functional protective sleeves is characterized by low concentration, with foreign companies currently holding a dominant position due to technological advantages [4][67]. - The company is positioned in the second tier of domestic competitors, gradually closing the gap with foreign firms as its R&D capabilities improve [67][71]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is expanding its international footprint with factories in Mexico and Morocco to better serve North American and European clients, enhancing its competitive edge [75].

Group 1: Agricultural Sector Insights - The agricultural sector's performance saw a decline, with the HuShen 300 index down by 0.18% and the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector down by 0.36% during the week of May 19-25, 2025 [4] - Pig prices showed a mixed trend, with the average price of external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan at 14.05, 15.39, and 14.25 yuan per kilogram respectively, reflecting a week-on-week change of -2.09%, +0.65%, and -3.72% [4] - The report highlights the potential recovery in the feed industry due to declining upstream raw material prices and improving downstream farming conditions, particularly for Hai Da Group, which is expected to see an upward trend in its business fundamentals [4] Group 2: AI Computing Industry Insights - The AI computing industry is experiencing sustained high demand, particularly from the internet and intelligent computing centers, with a rapid push for domestic procurement of AI computing power [6] - Major domestic AI chip manufacturers like Huawei, Haiguang Information, and Cambricon are accelerating their performance and capacity breakthroughs, with Huawei's Ascend 910B chip being comparable to NVIDIA's A100 [6] - The AI server market is projected to grow significantly, with IDC forecasting that the market size will reach 25.3 billion USD by 2028, driven by strong demand from domestic internet companies and intelligent computing centers [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for Haida Group and "Buy-B" for Shengnong Development and Wens Foodstuffs [3] Core Views - The agricultural sector is expected to see a recovery in feed demand, particularly for Haida Group, which is anticipated to enter an upward phase in its operational fundamentals due to declining upstream raw material prices and improving downstream farming conditions [5][6] - The report highlights that the pig farming industry is entering a profit cycle starting from Q2 2024, with expectations of a prolonged profitability period that may exceed market pessimism [6] - The poultry industry is also projected to benefit from a potential demand rebound in 2025, with Shengnong Development positioned well for value appreciation [7] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - As of May 23, 2025, the average prices for external three yuan pigs in Sichuan, Guangdong, and Henan were 14.05, 15.39, and 14.25 yuan/kg respectively, with a mixed weekly change [5] - The average pork price was 20.95 yuan/kg, showing a slight increase of 0.05% week-on-week [5] - The self-breeding profit was 48.21 yuan/head, while the profit from purchasing piglets was -16.06 yuan/head [5] Poultry Farming - The weekly price for white feather broilers was 7.36 yuan/kg, down 0.54% from the previous week [50] - The price for chicken eggs was 7.20 yuan/kg, reflecting a decrease of 6.01% [50] Feed Processing - In April 2025, the total industrial feed production in China reached 27.53 million tons, with a month-on-month increase of 4.2% and a year-on-year increase of 9.0% [58] - The report notes a significant decline in feed product factory prices, with a slight month-on-month increase in compound and concentrated feed prices [58] Aquaculture - As of May 23, 2025, the price for sea cucumbers was 90.00 yuan/kg, while shrimp was priced at 280.00 yuan/kg, both remaining stable [65] - Freshwater fish prices showed slight increases, with grass carp at 15.95 yuan/kg, up 0.63% [65] Crop and Grain Processing - As of May 23, 2025, soybean prices were 3927.89 yuan/ton, remaining stable, while corn and wheat prices were 2376.08 and 2464.56 yuan/ton respectively, with minor fluctuations [77]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the AI computing industry, with a specific focus on the domestic computing power sector [1]. Core Insights - The AI industry continues to experience high growth, with a strong trend towards domestic computing power localization. The demand for AI computing power is driven by both internet companies and intelligent computing centers, with rapid advancements in domestic chip procurement [1][3]. - The report highlights that the domestic AI chip market is expanding, with leading domestic manufacturers accelerating their performance and capacity breakthroughs to compete with Nvidia [4][36]. - The AI server market is undergoing significant changes, with the Ascend series of chips gaining market share among traditional server manufacturers [5][6]. Summary by Sections 1. AI Industry Growth and Localization - The demand for computing power is being driven by the need for training and inference in AI applications, with significant investments expected to rise from $1 billion in 2023 to $6.5 billion in 2024, marking a 5.5-fold increase [13][16]. - Internet companies are expected to maintain strong capital expenditures for AI, with a projected 163% year-on-year increase in capital spending from major players like Baidu, Tencent, and Alibaba in 2024 [22][24]. - The intelligent computing center projects are increasing, with a focus on domestic chip procurement due to government policies and the need for secure and controllable technology [31][34]. 2. AI Chips: Domestic Replacement Opportunities - Nvidia currently dominates the domestic AI chip market, holding an 85% share in 2022, but domestic chip manufacturers are expected to increase their market share to approximately 30% by 2024 [36][37]. - The tightening of U.S. export controls on high-performance AI chips is creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers to fill the gap left by Nvidia [39][40]. - Domestic chip manufacturers are rapidly advancing, with companies like Huawei, Haiguang Information, and Cambricon making significant strides in performance and ecosystem development [4][43]. 3. AI Servers: Market Dynamics - The AI server market is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach $25.3 billion by 2028, growing at a compound annual growth rate of over 20% from 2024 to 2028 [5][6]. - The Ascend series of chips is gaining traction among major internet companies and intelligent computing centers, leading to increased market share for manufacturers like Inspur [5][6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic manufacturers in the AI server market, with companies like Haiguang Information and Inspur expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI-driven servers [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Buy-A" for the computer AI computing industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [1][2]. Core Insights - The AI industry continues to experience high prosperity, with a strong trend towards domestic computing power localization. The demand for AI computing power is driven by both the internet sector and intelligent computing centers, with rapid advancements in domestic procurement of AI chips [1][3][20]. Summary by Sections 1. AI Industry Prosperity and Localization - The demand for computing power and localization are the two main factors driving the rapid development of domestic AI computing. The investment in foundational model training is expected to increase significantly, with spending projected to rise from $1 billion in 2023 to $6.5 billion in 2024, a 5.5-fold increase [13][20]. - Internet companies are continuously investing in large model training, with capital expenditures expected to grow by 163% year-on-year in 2024. The demand for inference models is anticipated to become a major driver of AI computing power spending [22][24]. - The construction of intelligent computing centers is accelerating, with a significant increase in project bidding since 2023. The domestic AI chip procurement rate in these centers is expected to rise as government policies support localization [20][34]. 2. AI Chips: Domestic Replacement Opportunities - Nvidia currently dominates the domestic AI chip market, holding an 85% share in 2022, while domestic brands accounted for only 10%. However, by 2024, domestic AI chip shipments are expected to reach 270,000 units, with local brands capturing approximately 30% of the market [36][37]. - The tightening of U.S. export controls on high-performance AI chips is creating opportunities for domestic manufacturers to increase their market share. Major internet companies are beginning to scale up their procurement of domestic AI chips, with ByteDance reportedly ordering over 100,000 units of the domestic Ascend 910B chip [28][39]. 3. AI Servers: Market Dynamics - The AI server market is expected to grow rapidly, with the market size projected to reach $25.3 billion by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of over 20% from 2024 to 2028. The demand for AI servers is driven by both traditional server manufacturers and domestic ODM companies entering the market [5][6]. - The Ascend series of chips is gaining market share, with significant growth in procurement from internet companies and intelligent computing centers. The report highlights the performance improvements of domestic chips, which are increasingly seen as viable alternatives to Nvidia's offerings [5][6][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Insights - The non-bank financial industry has seen a comprehensive layout in fintech, attracting new investments into the technology sector [1] - Recent policy measures from the Ministry of Science and Technology, in collaboration with the central bank and other regulatory bodies, aim to enhance financial support for major technological tasks and small to medium-sized tech enterprises [4][12] - The launch of the "Technology Board" in the bond market is expected to expand financing channels for financial institutions and tech companies, with 33 technology bonds issued totaling 177.4 billion yuan, representing 25.74% of the total issuance [5][13] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions - The report emphasizes the importance of a supportive fintech system aligned with technological innovation, highlighting 15 specific policy measures to enhance financial backing for tech enterprises [12][27] - The policies cover various financing methods and aim to facilitate the transformation of technological achievements into productive forces [12] Market Review - The major indices experienced declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.57%, the CSI 300 down by 0.18%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.88% during the week [6][14] - The total trading volume in A-shares was 5.87 trillion yuan, with an average daily turnover of 1.17 trillion yuan, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 7.34% [14][19] Industry Key Data Tracking - As of May 23, the market had 3,127.88 billion shares pledged, accounting for 3.86% of total equity; the margin trading balance was 1.80 trillion yuan, a decrease of 0.28% [19][26] - In April 2025, new fund issuance totaled 924.88 billion units, with a notable increase in equity fund issuance by 21.27% [19][21] - The bond market's total price index has decreased by 0.83% since the beginning of the year, with the 10-year government bond yield rising by 11.31 basis points to 1.72% [19][23] Regulatory Policies and Industry Dynamics - The report outlines the ongoing reforms in public offerings and monetary policies aimed at expanding financial support for technology-driven enterprises [3][27] - The central bank has emphasized the need for a moderately loose monetary policy to meet the financing needs of the real economy, particularly in technology innovation and small to medium enterprises [27]

Market Overview - The domestic market indices showed slight declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,346.84, down 0.05% [4] - The coal sector experienced a rebound, outperforming major indices, with the CITIC Coal Index rising by 0.98% [8] Coal Industry Insights - The coal production remains stable, with a slight increase in demand due to rising temperatures in northern regions, while southern regions experience increased hydropower output [6] - As of May 23, the spot price of thermal coal in the Bohai Rim was 620 RMB/ton, reflecting a weekly decrease of 1.43% [6] - The metallurgical coal sector is seeing a potential uplift in demand, with production levels stable and expectations for improved demand due to recent monetary policy easing [6][9] Solar Energy Sector - In April 2025, the domestic solar photovoltaic (PV) installations reached 45.2 GW, marking a year-on-year increase of 214.7% and a month-on-month increase of 123.4% [11] - The inverter export value in April was 5.82 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 17.9% [13] - The solar power generation in April increased by 16.7% year-on-year, contributing to 6.29% of the total industrial power generation [13] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies with strong performance support, particularly those with low non-coal business ratios such as Xinjie Energy and Huahua Energy [9][19] - Companies with significant non-coal business ratios like Shaanxi Energy and Electric Power Investment Energy are also highlighted as undervalued [9][19] - The report emphasizes the attractiveness of high dividend yield stocks, recommending China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry for stable high dividend yields, while Huabei Mining and Pingmei Shenma are suggested for high elasticity in dividends [9][19]