| 年 月 市场数据：2025 8 | 27 日（HKD） | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | 1.390 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | 1.530/0.910 | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 70.24/70.24 | | 流通 A 股市值（亿）： | 97.64 | | 总市值（亿）： | 97.64 | | 基础数据：（HKD） | | | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | 0.17 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | 0.17 | | 每股净资产(元)： | 1.73 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 10.27 | 资料来源：同花顺 iFinD 李旋坤 执业登记编码：S0760523110004 邮箱：lixuankun@sxzq.com 王金源 执业登记编码：S0760525080001 邮箱：wangjinyuan@sxzq.com 中化化肥（00297.HK） 买入-A(维持) 营收与盈利双升，差异化产品结构优化 2025 年 8 月 28 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 8 月 25 日，公司发布《2025 半年度报告》，2025H1 实现 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's Q2 performance was impacted by tariffs and tax rates, but a significant improvement in costs is expected in Q3 [1] - The company's tire sales growth outpaced the industry, with a 13% year-on-year increase in H1 2025, despite a decline in profit margins due to external policy impacts [3][4] - The company is enhancing its global supply chain resilience through expanded overseas production capabilities [5] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 17.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, while net profit was 1.83 billion yuan, down 14.9% year-on-year [1] - Q2 2025 saw total revenue of 9.18 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, but net profit decreased by 29.1% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin and net margin for Q2 2025 were 24.3% and 8.9%, respectively, both showing declines compared to the previous year [3][4] Market Data - As of August 28, 2025, the closing price was 14.30 yuan, with a market capitalization of 47.02 billion yuan [3] - The company has a basic earnings per share of 0.56 yuan [4] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 4.1 billion, 4.87 billion, and 5.54 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 10, and 9 [7] - Revenue is expected to grow from 25.98 billion yuan in 2023 to 45.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1][6] Core Views - The company achieved a record high quarterly performance in Q2 2025, with revenue of 990 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 80 million yuan, a significant increase of 41.4% year-on-year [4] - The competitive landscape for hot melt adhesives is favorable, with the industry reaching a turning point, supported by the introduction of a child-rearing subsidy policy that is expected to boost the sanitary materials industry [5][6] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 990 million yuan, with a net profit of 80 million yuan, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 73 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 37.2% [4] - The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 was 490 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [4] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 2.69 yuan, with a net profit forecast of 216 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 176.6% [11] Market Position and Strategy - The company has successfully captured market share from major competitors and has expanded its production capacity significantly, with new facilities in Poland, Guangzhou, and Malaysia totaling approximately 240,000 tons [4][5] - The company has enhanced its research and development capabilities, achieving product performance and cost advantages that meet the standards of developed countries [5] Future Outlook - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 216 million yuan, 280 million yuan, and 324 million yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16, 13, and 11 times [6][11] - The introduction of the child-rearing subsidy policy is expected to gradually stabilize birth rates, benefiting the domestic hot melt adhesive industry [5]

公司近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 市场数据：2025 年 8 月 28 日 | 收盘价（元）： | 59.79 | | --- | --- | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | 72.37/37.55 | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 2.41/2.41 | | 流通 A 股市值（亿）： | 144.37 | | 总市值（亿）： | 144.37 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | | 基本每股收益(元)： | 0.57 | | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | 0.57 | | 每股净资产(元)： | 6.43 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 8.93 | | 资料来源：最闻 | | 李旋坤 执业登记编码：S0760523110004 邮箱：lixuankun@sxzq.com 王金源 执业登记编码：S0760525080001 邮箱：wangjinyuan@sxzq.com 其他化学原料 联瑞新材（688300.SH） 买入-B(维持) 事件点评 高性能高速基板需求推动产品认证速度加快。公司聚焦 AI/5G/HPC 芯 片封装、Chiplet/HBM 异构集成、M8/M9 覆铜板、新 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating an expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% [1][45]. Core Insights - Nvidia is set to launch the Spectrum-XGS Ethernet DCI product, which aims to redefine "scale across" for connecting geographically dispersed data centers, facilitating the creation of AI super factories with a power capacity exceeding one billion watts [3][15]. - The release of DeepSeek V3.1 enhances intelligent agent capabilities and is optimized for the next generation of domestic FP8 chips, indicating a significant improvement in performance and efficiency [4][16]. - The market is experiencing accelerated rotation among AI computing sectors, with expectations for continued highs, suggesting a focus on individual stock performance and strategic entry points during market corrections [5][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Nvidia's Spectrum-XGS product addresses the limitations of traditional scaling methods for AI demands, utilizing advanced algorithms and hardware-software optimizations to mitigate communication delays and congestion in GPU clusters [3][15]. - The introduction of the GSE standard by China Mobile aims to enhance bandwidth stability between data centers, highlighting potential investment opportunities in companies involved in network cards, switching chips, and optical modules [3][15]. Market Performance - The overall market performance for the week of August 18-22, 2025, showed varied results, with the STAR Market index rising by 13.31%, the Shenwan Communication Index by 10.84%, and the ChiNext Index by 5.85% [5][17]. - The top-performing sectors included the Internet of Things (+17.5%), optical modules (+16.3%), and cloud computing (+14.0%), indicating strong investor interest in these areas [5][17]. Recommended Companies - Key companies to watch include: - DCI: Dekor, Guangku Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yi Sheng, Changfei Fiber, Hengtong Optic-Electric - OCS: Guangku Technology, Lingyun Optics, Tengjing Technology, Saiwei Electronics, Tianfu Communication, Changxin Bochuang - Domestic Super Nodes: Shengke Communication, Luxshare Precision, Huiju Technology, Huafeng Technology, Wolong Nuclear Materials, Ruikeda, ZTE Corporation - Commercial Aerospace: Xinke Mobile, Shanghai Huanxun, Tongyu Communication, Zhenlei Technology, Tianyin Machinery, Shanghai Port Bay [6][18].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group Co., Ltd. (000768.SZ) [1][7] Core Views - The company's profitability continues to improve, with a focus on expanding its presence in the civil aircraft market [1][5] - The company has increased its cost control efforts, leading to a rise in gross margin and net margin [5] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the rapid development of the domestic civil aircraft industry and is actively involved in international subcontracting [6] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 194.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.49% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.89 billion yuan, an increase of 4.83% year-on-year [4] - The gross margin improved by 1.38 percentage points to 7.27%, while the net margin increased by 0.32 percentage points to 3.55% [5] Market Data - As of August 26, 2025, the closing price was 28.91 yuan, with a market capitalization of 804.03 billion yuan [3] - The stock reached a yearly high of 32.64 yuan and a low of 21.06 yuan [3] Earnings Forecast - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.42, 0.48, and 0.57 yuan, respectively [7] - The corresponding PE ratios for these years are projected to be 69.9, 60.8, and 51.6 [7] Business Strategy - The company has developed components for all major domestic civil aircraft models and has achieved stable delivery of C919 components [6] - It is involved in international cooperation, manufacturing parts for Airbus and Boeing aircraft, with an expectation of increasing international subcontracting orders [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The demand for new energy coatings is on the rise, with significant growth in sales and revenue [3][4] - The company has achieved breakthroughs in marine coatings, with stable sales and increased revenue in the shipbuilding sector [4] - The company is expanding its production capacity to meet market demand, with new projects coming online [5] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 888 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.09%, and a net profit of 110 million yuan, up 48.83% [2] - The gross margin improved to 23.50%, an increase of 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The sales volume reached 47,600 tons, a 7.80% increase compared to the same period last year [2] Business Segments - New energy coatings generated revenue of 280 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.66%, accounting for 31.55% of total revenue [3] - The marine equipment coatings segment maintained stable sales, with container coatings achieving revenue of 600 million yuan, a 3.8% increase year-on-year [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 1.797 billion yuan, 2.045 billion yuan, and 2.378 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of -16.0%, 13.8%, and 16.3% [7] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 240 million yuan, 303 million yuan, and 371 million yuan, with growth rates of 13.8%, 26.2%, and 22.6% [7] Valuation Metrics - The report provides an estimated EPS of 2.22 yuan for 2025, with a PE ratio of 23.5 [7] - The projected ROE for 2025 is 11.0% [11]

Core Insights - The report highlights the rapid development of the AI industry in China, driven by the government's "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative, which sets ambitious goals for AI integration across various sectors by 2035 [5] - The chemical raw materials sector is experiencing growth due to increased demand for AI servers, with a focus on high-frequency and high-speed copper-clad laminate materials [6] - The pharmaceutical company Lifan Pharmaceutical is set to launch a new ADHD treatment, with significant increases in R&D investment [7] - Runfeng Co. has reported substantial growth in operating performance, driven by global operations [8] - Times New Materials has seen a rise in revenue and profit, with new materials becoming a key growth area [12] - Guangqi Technology is experiencing rapid growth in its metamaterials business, with steady progress in production base construction [15] - Changrun Co. has improved profit margins significantly, driven by product diversification and strong overseas contributions [17] - Longcheng Securities has shown comprehensive improvement in performance, with investment business driving growth [24] - Baofeng Energy's projects in Inner Mongolia are contributing to revenue growth, with ongoing projects being actively advanced [28] Industry Commentary - The "Artificial Intelligence+" policy aims for deep integration of AI in six key areas by 2027, with a target of over 90% application penetration by 2030 [5] - The new materials sector is benefiting from the rising demand for AI servers, with the global AI server market projected to grow significantly [6] - The pharmaceutical industry is seeing innovation with new drug approvals and increased R&D spending, particularly in ADHD treatments [7] - The agricultural chemicals market is recovering, with a focus on high-margin products and global market expansion [10] - The wind power sector is expected to maintain high growth, driven by new installations and international collaborations [12] - The metamaterials market is expanding, with increasing demand for advanced materials in various applications [15] - The automotive parts industry is adapting to market changes, with a focus on product diversification and international production capabilities [17] Company-Specific Insights - Lifan Pharmaceutical's revenue for H1 2025 was 732 million yuan, with a net profit of 90.23 million yuan, reflecting a 16.53% increase [7] - Runfeng Co. anticipates revenues of 1.796 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits projected to reach 198 million yuan [9] - Times New Materials reported H1 revenue of 9.256 billion yuan, with a net profit of 303 million yuan, indicating a 36.66% increase [12] - Guangqi Technology's H1 revenue was 943 million yuan, with a net profit of 386 million yuan, showing a 6.75% increase [15] - Changrun Co. achieved H1 revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, with a net profit of 107 million yuan, despite a slight decline in revenue [17] - Longcheng Securities reported H1 revenue of 2.859 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.385 billion yuan, reflecting a 91.92% increase [26] - Baofeng Energy's H1 revenue reached 22.82 billion yuan, with a 35% year-on-year increase [28]

| 年 月 市场数据：2025 8 | 日 26 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | 12.08 | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | 14.07/6.45 | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 36.03/40.34 | | 流通 A 股市值（亿）： | 435.20 | | 总市值（亿）： | 487.36 | 基础数据：2025 年 6 月 30 日 | 基本每股收益(元)： | 0.34 | | --- | --- | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | 0.34 | | 每股净资产(元)： | 7.84 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | 4.40 | 分析师： 李明阳 公司近一年市场表现 执业登记编码：S0760525050002 邮箱：limingyang@sxzq.com 刘丽 执业登记编码：S0760511050001 电话：0351--8686985 邮箱：liuli2@sxzq.com 孙田田 执业登记编码：S0760518030001 电话：0351-8686900 证券Ⅲ 长城证券（002939.SZ） 增持-A(首次) 业绩全面改善，投资业务释放动能 2025 年 8 月 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-B" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [9]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant growth in its financial performance, with a 35% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 73% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [3]. - The company's production capacity in coal-based olefins has reached 5.2 million tons per year, positioning it as a leader in the industry [7]. - The report highlights the successful launch of new projects, including a 2.6 million tons/year coal-based olefins project and a 100,000 tons/year ethylene vinyl acetate project, which are expected to contribute positively to future earnings [7][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 22.82 billion yuan, with a net profit of 5.72 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35% and 73% respectively [3]. - The company's revenue from its three main segments—olefins, coking, and fine chemicals—was 17.8 billion yuan, 3.59 billion yuan, and 1.38 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 83%, a decrease of 32.1%, and a decrease of 24% respectively [5]. - The overall gross margin improved to 36.7%, up by 3.1 percentage points year-on-year, driven by the rapid release of olefin production capacity and a decrease in raw material costs [5]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 12.2 billion yuan, 13.2 billion yuan, and 14.4 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.4, 9.6, and 8.8 [8]. - The report emphasizes that the company's cost advantages and the contribution from new projects will support its long-term growth potential [9].