非银行金融 行业周报（20250512-20250518） 领先大市-A(维持) 并购重组办法修订，提升科技企业服务力度 2025 年 5 月 21 日 行业研究/行业周报 非银行金融行业近一年市场表现 投资要点 资料来源：最闻 【山证非银行金融】公募改革持续推进， 专 项 货 币 政 策 再 扩 容 - 行 业 周 报 （20250506-20250511）： 2025.5.14 【山证非银行金融】政策精准发力，全 面完善资本市场机制-国新办发布会点 评： 2025.5.7 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 | 执业登记编码：S0760525050002 | | --- | | 邮箱：limingyang@sxzq.com | | 孙田田 | | 执业登记编码：S0760518030001 | | 电话：0351-8686900 | | 邮箱：suntiantian@sxzq.com | | 刘丽 | | 执业登记编码：S0760511050001 | | 电话：0351--8686985 | | 邮箱：liuli2@sxzq.com | 相关报告： 证监会修改《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》。办法 ...

研究早观点 2025 年 5 月 21 日 星期三 市场走势 资料来源：最闻 国内市场主要指数 | 指数 | | 收盘 | 涨跌幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | | 3,380.48 | 0.38 | | 深证成指 | | 10,249.17 | 0.77 | | 沪深 | 300 | 3,898.17 | 0.54 | | 中小板指 | | 6,407.58 | 1.20 | | 创业板指 | | 2,048.46 | 0.77 | | 科创 50 | | 997.68 | 0.24 | 分析师： 李召麒 执业登记编码：S0760521050001 电话：010-83496307 邮箱：lizhaoqi@sxzq.com 【今日要点】 【行业评论】家电：4 月家电社零数据点评-政策刺激+住销回暖，家电 零售加速领跑 【行业评论】电力设备及新能源：行业周报（20250512-20250518）-华为与 优必选正式签署全面合作协议，光伏产业链价格持续下行 【行业评论】基础化工：行业周报（20250512-0518）-成本与宏观变化推动 涤纶大涨，长期看好全球化布局的 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add-A" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [1][9]. Core Views - The company has established a dual pillar structure with its industrial automation and new energy vehicle (NEV) businesses, which are expected to drive growth. The NEV segment is particularly highlighted for its rapid expansion, while the industrial automation sector maintains a strong market position [4][9]. - The company aims for a sales revenue growth of 10%-30% and a net profit growth of 5%-25% for 2025, reflecting its optimistic growth strategy [4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 37.041 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.77%, while the net profit was 4.285 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.62% [4]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a significant revenue increase of 38.28% year-on-year, reaching 8.978 billion yuan, with a net profit growth of 63.08% [4]. - The company's revenue from the NEV and rail transit business reached 16.642 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 67.76% increase year-on-year, contributing 44.93% to total revenue [4]. Business Segments - The general automation business remains a leader in the market, with a domestic market share of approximately 28.3% for general servo systems and 18.6% for low-voltage frequency converters [5]. - The NEV business is a key growth driver, with sales revenue of around 16 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of about 70% year-on-year [6]. - The company is actively pursuing the development of humanoid robots, focusing on core component R&D and manufacturing, which is expected to become a third growth engine in the medium to long term [8][9]. Market Position - The company holds a strong competitive position in the NEV sector, ranking second in the domestic market for electric motor controllers with a market share of 10.7% [6]. - The report emphasizes the company's ongoing efforts to enhance its capabilities in the process industry, which is expected to grow faster than the overall automation sector [5]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 45.195 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 22% [11]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.98 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 34.5 for 2025, 28.4 for 2026, and 24.5 for 2027 [13][15].

陈玉卢 家电 4 月家电社零数据点评 领先大市-A(维持) 家电行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 相关报告： 【山证家电】空调 5 月内销排产乐观， 出口端中美关税会谈落地-家电行业月度 报告 2025.5.15 执业登记编码：S0760525050001 邮箱：chenyulu@sxzq.com 赵晨希 执业登记编码：S0760521090001 邮箱：zhaochenxi@sxzq.com 政策刺激+住销回暖，家电零售加速领跑 2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业快报 事件描述： 国家统计局公布 2025 年 4 月份社会消费品零售数据：4 月份，社会消费 品零售总额 37174 亿元，同比增长 5.1%，其中家电及音像器材类零售额单月 达 914 亿元，同比+38.8%，1-4 月累计零售额达 3,469 亿元，同比+23.9%。 事件点评： 首选股票 评级 行业景气度延续，4 月逆势领跑社零增速。25 年 4 月家用电器和音像器 材类零售额同比增长 38.8%，增速位列全品类第一，显示出超强的增长动能。 纵向对比来看，家电零售额增速延续 24 年四季度以来高速增长态势，25 年 4 月同比 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [8]. Core Views - The company's profitability remains high, supported by the continuous increase in domestic demand for high-power thick plate cutting and the expansion of international application scenarios [4][5]. - The intelligent welding business is expected to see significant growth, with the company leveraging its digital twin system to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [5][6]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.735 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.33%, and a net profit of 883 million yuan, up 21.10% year-on-year [3]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 496 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.12%, and a net profit of 255 million yuan, up 31.99% year-on-year [3]. Product Segmentation - The revenue from flat solutions was 1.125 billion yuan, contributing 64.81% to total revenue, with a gross margin of 82.69% [4]. - The revenue from pipe solutions reached 380 million yuan, contributing 21.91%, with a gross margin of 87.54% [4]. - The three-dimensional solutions saw a remarkable growth of 409.90% year-on-year, generating 37 million yuan in revenue [4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company holds a leading position in the domestic market for mid-to-low power laser cutting control systems, with a market share of approximately 60% [5]. - The company is expanding its high-power cutting capabilities through a combination of control systems and cutting heads, aiming to break the monopoly of international giants [5]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see its earnings per share (EPS) grow to 5.17 yuan in 2025, 6.36 yuan in 2026, and 8.04 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 37.4, 30.3, and 24.0 respectively [8][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add-A" rating to the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Insights - The company has established a dual pillar structure with industrial automation and new energy vehicle (NEV) businesses. It is expected to enhance its market share in high-end scenarios and process industries while also expanding its NEV business, particularly through the progress of its joint venture, United Power, towards domestic listing [10]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 37.041 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.77%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.285 billion yuan, down 9.62% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant revenue increase of 38.28% year-on-year, reaching 8.978 billion yuan, with net profit rising by 63.08% to 1.323 billion yuan [4][5]. - The company aims for a sales revenue growth of 10%-30% and a net profit growth of 5%-25% in 2025 [4]. Business Segments - The NEV and rail transit business generated revenue of 16.642 billion yuan in 2024, up 67.76% year-on-year, contributing 44.93% to total revenue. The gross margin for this segment was 17.12%, an increase of 0.57 percentage points [5]. - The general automation business reported revenue of 15.243 billion yuan, a modest increase of 1.36% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 42.03%, down 1.93 percentage points [5]. - The smart elevator business faced a decline, with revenue of 4.939 billion yuan, down 6.65% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 25.86%, down 2.88 percentage points [5]. Market Position - The company holds a leading position in the general automation sector, with a market share of approximately 28.3% in general servo systems and 18.6% in low-voltage frequency converters, both ranking first in the domestic market [6]. - In the NEV sector, the company ranks second in the domestic market for electric motor controllers with a market share of 10.7% and fourth for electric drive assemblies with a market share of 6.3% [7]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on enhancing its capabilities in digitalization and large PLC fields, anticipating that the growth in process industries will outpace the overall automation sector [6]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 1.98, 2.41, and 2.79 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 34.5, 28.4, and 24.5 based on the closing price of 68.30 yuan on May 19 [10].

专用计算机设备 柏楚电子（688188.SH） 增持-A(首次) 盈利能力维持高位，看好智能焊接业务放量 2025 年 5 月 20 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 | 市场数据：2025 年 月 5 20 | | | | | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元）： | | | | 193.00 | | | 年内最高/最低（元）： | | | 251.98/135.79 | | | | 流通A股/总股本（亿）： | 2.06/2.06 | | | | | | A 股市值（亿）： | | 流通 | | 397.57 | | | 总市值（亿）： | | | | 397.57 | | | 年 基础数据：2025 | 月 3 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元)： | | | 1.24 | | 摊薄每股收益(元)： | | | 1.24 | | 每股净资产(元)： | | | 28.21 | | 净资产收益率(%)： | | | 4.47 | 分析师： 姚健 执业登记编码： ...

基础化工 行业周报（20250512-0518） 同步大市-A(维持) 成本与宏观变化推动涤纶大涨，长期看好全球化布局的轮胎企业 2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业周报 基础化工行业近一年市场表现 投资要点 资料来源：最闻 锦湖轮胎光州工厂火灾，预计对韩国轮胎供应造成一定程度的负面影 响。锦湖轮胎在 2024 年度全球 75 强轮胎企业中排名第 13 名，是韩国第二大 轮胎企业。据韩联社报道，5 月 17 日上午 7 点 11 分左右，韩国轮胎制造商 锦湖轮胎位于光州的工厂发生火灾，迫使该工厂停止生产，该工厂有大约 20 吨生橡胶，消防人员表示，可能需要几天时间才能完全扑灭大火。锦湖轮胎 光州工厂作为其在韩国的三大生产基地之一（另两家为谷城工厂、平泽工厂）， 是公司本土核心制造中心，预计对韩国轮胎供应造成一定程度的负面影响。 首选股票 评级 002984.SZ 森麒麟 买入-A 601058.SH 赛轮轮胎 买入-B 601966.SH 玲珑轮胎 增持-B 相关报告： 【山证化学原料】风电光伏累计装机首超火电，西格里碳素关闭 Lavradio 碳钎维基地-新材料周报（250505-0509） 20 ...

电力设备及新能源 行业周报（20250512-20250518） 同步大市-A(维持) 电力设备及新能源行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 | 首选股票 | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | | 600732.SH | 爱旭股份 | 买入-B | | 601012.SH | 隆基绿能 | 买入-B | | 601865.SH | 福莱特 | 买入-A | | 002056.SZ | 横店东磁 | 买入-A | | 300274.SZ | 阳光电源 | 买入-A | | 688472.SH | 阿特斯 | 买入-A | | 605117.SH | 德业股份 | 买入-A | 【山证太阳能】智元发布 AI 智能助行外 骨 骼机 器人 ， 光伏 产 业链 价格 下 行 2025.5.7 华为与优必选正式签署全面合作协议： 5 月 12 日，华为与优必选正式 签署全面合作协议。双方将围绕具身智能和人形机器人领域，在产品技术研 发、场景应用及产业体系等开展创新合作。据介绍，通过发挥华为昇腾、鲲 鹏、华为云及大模型等技术创新能力和华为在研发、生产供应等经验，结合 优必选全栈式人形机器人技术优势，双方将 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The electric equipment and new energy industry has shown a downward trend in prices across the photovoltaic supply chain, with significant price drops observed in polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules [2][7][8][9][10]. - The report highlights a strategic partnership between Huawei and UBTECH, focusing on humanoid robots and intelligent technology, which may influence the industry positively [2][5]. - The green certificate market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a 6-fold increase in new transactions year-on-year in Q1 2025, indicating a robust policy framework supporting renewable energy [6]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Preferred stocks include: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Longi Green Energy (601012.SH) - Buy - B - Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Hengdian East Magnetic (002056.SZ) - Buy - A - Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Canadian Solar (688472.SH) - Buy - A - Deye Technology (605117.SH) - Buy - A - Additional stocks to watch include Xinyi Solar, GCL-Poly Energy, Tongwei Co., Ltd., and others [4][11]. Price Tracking - Polysilicon prices have decreased to 37.0 CNY/kg, down 5.1% from the previous week, while silicon wafer prices have also seen declines of 5.0% and 4.3% for different specifications [7][8]. - Battery cell prices are under pressure, with a slight decrease of 1.9% for N-type cells, and module prices are expected to continue their downward trend due to reduced demand [9][11]. - Glass prices for photovoltaic applications have also dropped, with 3.2mm coated glass at 20.5 CNY/m², down 2.38% [10].