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华为与优必选正式签署全面合作协议,光伏产业链价格持续下行
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 05:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the electric equipment and new energy industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The electric equipment and new energy industry has shown a downward trend in prices across the photovoltaic supply chain, with significant price drops observed in polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules [2][7][8][9][10]. - The report highlights a strategic partnership between Huawei and UBTECH, focusing on humanoid robots and intelligent technology, which may influence the industry positively [2][5]. - The green certificate market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with a 6-fold increase in new transactions year-on-year in Q1 2025, indicating a robust policy framework supporting renewable energy [6]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Preferred stocks include: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy - B - Longi Green Energy (601012.SH) - Buy - B - Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) - Buy - A - Hengdian East Magnetic (002056.SZ) - Buy - A - Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) - Buy - A - Canadian Solar (688472.SH) - Buy - A - Deye Technology (605117.SH) - Buy - A - Additional stocks to watch include Xinyi Solar, GCL-Poly Energy, Tongwei Co., Ltd., and others [4][11]. Price Tracking - Polysilicon prices have decreased to 37.0 CNY/kg, down 5.1% from the previous week, while silicon wafer prices have also seen declines of 5.0% and 4.3% for different specifications [7][8]. - Battery cell prices are under pressure, with a slight decrease of 1.9% for N-type cells, and module prices are expected to continue their downward trend due to reduced demand [9][11]. - Glass prices for photovoltaic applications have also dropped, with 3.2mm coated glass at 20.5 CNY/m², down 2.38% [10].
成本与宏观变化推动涤纶大涨,长期看好全球化布局的轮胎企业
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 05:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the basic chemical industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights that cost and macroeconomic changes have driven a significant increase in polyester prices, with a long-term positive outlook for tire companies with global layouts [1][3] - The fire at the Kumho Tire factory in Gwangju is expected to negatively impact tire supply in South Korea [2][26] - The U.S. tire import dependency is projected to reach 68.8% in 2024, indicating a substantial supply gap that is unlikely to be filled in the short to medium term [5][27] Summary by Sections Chemical Market - The chemical market is experiencing dual boosts from cost and macroeconomic factors, with viscose and polyester leading in price increases, rising by 8.72% and 8.63% respectively [12][17] - The manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is reported at 49, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points month-on-month, while the PPI has decreased by 2.4% year-on-year [12][20] Tire Sector - The Kumho Tire factory fire has halted production and is expected to affect the supply chain, as the factory is a key manufacturing center [26][27] - The tire industry is facing challenges due to U.S. tariffs, with a high import dependency that complicates supply issues [27][28] - Tire operating rates have improved, with semi-steel tire operating rates at 78.33%, up 20.0 percentage points week-on-week [28] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on tire companies with global diversification strategies, such as Senki Lin, Sailun Tire, and Linglong Tire, due to their competitive advantages under current tariff conditions [5][31][33]
社零数据点评:4月国内社零同比增长5.1%,限上金银珠宝品类增长超过25%
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 03:23
2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业快报 纺织服装行业近一年市场表现 相关报告: 【 山 证 纺 织 服 装 】 On Running 披 露 2025Q1 季度业绩,亚太区增速领先-【山 证纺服】行业周报 2025.5.19 【山证纺织服装】周大福公布 FY2025Q4 经营数据,中国大陆同店降幅继续收窄- 【山证纺服】行业周报 2025.4.28 分析师: 王冯 执业登记编码:S0760522030003 邮箱:wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 执业登记编码:S0760523050001 邮箱:sunmeng@sxzq.com 分品类来看,4 月金银珠宝品类增速快速提升,体育娱乐用品景气延续。2025 年 4 月,限上化妆品同比增长 7.2%,环比提升 6.1pct;限上金银珠宝同比增长 25.3%,环比 提升 14.7pct,其中上金所 AU9999 收盘价均价为 765.77 元/克,同比涨幅为 38.6%;限 上纺织服装同比增长 2.2%,环比下滑 1.4pct,预计 1-4 月线上渠道增速表现弱于线下渠 道;限上体育/娱乐用品同比增长 23.3%,环比下滑 2.9pct。2025 ...
4月国内社零同比增长5.1%,限上金银珠宝品类增长超过25%
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 02:48
相关报告: 【 山 证 纺 织 服 装 】 On Running 披 露 2025Q1 季度业绩,亚太区增速领先-【山 证纺服】行业周报 2025.5.19 【山证纺织服装】周大福公布 FY2025Q4 经营数据,中国大陆同店降幅继续收窄- 【山证纺服】行业周报 2025.4.28 分析师: 2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业快报 纺织服装行业近一年市场表现 资料来源:最闻,山西证券研究所 王冯 执业登记编码:S0760522030003 邮箱:wangfeng@sxzq.com 孙萌 执业登记编码:S0760523050001 邮箱:sunmeng@sxzq.com 纺织服装 社零数据点评 同步大市-A(维持) 4 月国内社零同比增长 5.1%,限上金银珠宝品类增长超过 25% 事件描述: 5 月 19 日,国家统计局公布 2025 年 4 月社零数据。 事件点评: 4 月国内社零同比增长 5.1%,表现低于市场一致预期。2025 年 4 月,国内实现社零 总额 3.72 万亿元,同比增长 5.1%,环比下滑 0.8pct,表现低于市场一致预期(根据 Wind, 2025 年 4 月社零当月同比 ...
山西证券研究早观点-20250520
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-20 01:02
Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,367.58, unchanged, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.08% to 10,171.09 [4] - The new stock market activity has decreased, with the first-day gains and opening valuations of new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market both declining in May [5] Company Insights - On Running reported a revenue of 727 million Swiss francs in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 43.0%, with a net profit of 56.7 million Swiss francs, down 38.0% year-on-year [8][11] - The company achieved a gross margin of 59.9% in Q1 2025, a slight increase from the previous year, and inventory decreased by 4.7% to 399 million Swiss francs [11] - Yingjie Electric's revenue for 2024 was 1.78 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.59%, but net profit decreased by 25.19% due to increased R&D and asset impairment losses [23][21] Industry Dynamics - The coal industry is experiencing a return to supply-demand logic, with thermal coal prices expected to stabilize as summer inventory demands increase [13][16] - The textile and apparel sector saw a 1.01% increase, with specific segments like accessories and home goods performing well [12] - The semiconductor and electronic materials sectors are showing growth, with Yingjie Electric's semiconductor-related revenue increasing by 6.41% year-on-year [23][21] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong performance in the textile sector, particularly those benefiting from government subsidies [12] - In the coal sector, companies like Xinjie Energy and Huahua Energy are highlighted as undervalued opportunities [16] - For On Running, the forecast for 2025 indicates a revenue growth of at least 28%, reaching 2.86 billion Swiss francs [11]
行业研究、行业周报:关税博弈落地,煤炭重回供需逻辑
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 11:45
Investment Rating - The coal industry maintains a rating of "Synchronize with the Market-A" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal market is returning to supply-demand logic following the resolution of tariff disputes, with expectations of improved demand as summer approaches [1][8] - The report highlights that while coal prices are under pressure due to seasonal factors and inventory adjustments, the potential for recovery in non-electric coal demand exists as the international trade environment improves [8][81] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Industry Dynamic Data Tracking - **Thermal Coal**: Inventory levels are decreasing, and summer stocking demand is anticipated. As of May 16, the spot reference price for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim is 629 CNY/ton, with a weekly change of -2.18% [3][23] - **Metallurgical Coal**: The external trade environment is improving, and metallurgical coal continues to deplete inventories. The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port is 1320 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous week [4][35] - **Coking Steel Chain**: Increased operational rates have led to a slight decline in coking coal prices. The average price for first-grade metallurgical coke is 1480 CNY/ton, down 3.27% [5][54] - **Coal Transportation**: Increased stocking demand has stabilized coastal transportation prices, with the coastal coal transportation index at 661.75 points, up 3.34% [6][64] - **Coal-related Futures**: Downstream operational rates have decreased, leading to a decline in double焦期价 [66] 2. Coal Sector Market Review - The coal sector has rebounded alongside the broader market, outperforming major indices. The CITIC coal index closed at 3244.52 points, with a weekly change of +1.65% [7][71] 3. Industry News Summary - Recent government initiatives emphasize strengthening domestic circulation and enhancing the coal industry's clean and efficient utilization [79][80] - The construction of a new cross-border railway between China and Mongolia is expected to significantly boost coal exports from Mongolia, reshaping trade dynamics [80] 4. Important Announcements from Listed Companies - Major companies in the coal sector are actively managing operational challenges and pursuing strategic initiatives, including asset restructuring and safety measures following incidents [81][83] 5. Next Week's Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that while coal prices may face downward pressure, the upcoming summer stocking demand and improved tariff conditions could support price stability. Investors are advised to focus on undervalued companies with solid performance support [8][81]
山证纺服行业周报:OnRunning披露2025Q1季度业绩,亚太区增速领先-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 09:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Synchronize with the market - A" for the textile and apparel industry [1]. Core Insights - On Running reported a revenue of 727 million Swiss Francs in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.0%, and a currency-neutral growth of 40% [2][17]. - The adjusted EBITDA for On Running in Q1 2025 was 129 million Swiss Francs, up 54.8% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 38.0% to 56.7 million Swiss Francs [2][17]. - The DTC channel revenue grew by 45.3% to 277 million Swiss Francs, and wholesale channel revenue increased by 41.5% to 450 million Swiss Francs in Q1 2025 [3][17]. - The Asia-Pacific region showed significant growth, with a revenue increase of 130.1% to 121 million Swiss Francs in Q1 2025 [3][17]. - The footwear segment saw a revenue increase of 40.5% to 681 million Swiss Francs, while apparel and accessories grew by 93.1% and 99.2%, respectively [3][17]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The SW textile and apparel sector rose by 1.01% this week, lagging behind the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 1.12% [19]. - The SW textile manufacturing sector's PE-TTM was 20.47, while the apparel and home textile sector's PE-TTM was 26.37, indicating high valuation levels [26]. Company Performance - On Running's gross margin in Q1 2025 was 59.9%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [18]. - The company expects a revenue growth of at least 28% in 2025, targeting 2.86 billion Swiss Francs, with a gross margin of 60%-60.5% [4][18]. Industry Data Tracking - In the first four months of 2025, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to 458.48 billion and 446.20 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8% and a decline of 1.5%, respectively [46]. - The domestic retail sales in March 2025 reached 4.09 trillion yuan, growing by 5.9% year-on-year, with textile and apparel sales increasing by 3.6% [55][56].
英杰电气:光伏周期导致业绩承压,半导体业务稳步提升-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 08:25
电力电子及自动化 英杰电气(300820.SZ) 增持-A(首次) 光伏周期导致业绩承压,半导体业务稳步提升 2025 年 5 月 19 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年第一季度报告。2024 年,公司实现营业 收入 17.8 亿元,同比+0.59%;实现归母净利润 3.23 亿元,同比-25.19%;扣 非归母净利润 3.07 亿元,同比-27.87%。25Q1 公司实现营业收入 3.25 亿元, 同比-13.30%;归母净利润 0.50 亿元,同比-36.84%。 事件点评 市场数据:2025 年 5 月 16 日 收盘价(元): 44.67 年内最高/最低(元): 73.50/34.14 流通A股/总股本(亿): 1.11/2.22 流通 A 股市值(亿): 49.59 总市值(亿): 99.00 利润承压,主要系研发和资产减值增加等所致。2024 年,收入端小幅增 长 0.59%,毛利率 38.50%/yoy+1.27pct,销售净利率 18.84%/yoy-5.53pct。其 中,研发费用 1.37 亿元/yoy+40.18%,研发费用 ...
美埃科技:下游拓展与海外布局并举,业绩有望维持增势-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 08:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add-A" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [1]. Core Views - The company is expected to maintain growth momentum through both downstream expansion and overseas layout, with a projected increase in revenue and profit [1][9]. - The company is a leading domestic player in semiconductor cleanroom equipment and consumables, with strong prospects for technology expansion in various downstream applications and overseas markets [9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.723 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 192 million yuan, up 10.83% year-on-year [3][5]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 317 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.02%, and a net profit of 42 million yuan, up 18.45% year-on-year [3]. Revenue Breakdown - Cleanroom air purification revenue reached 1.215 billion yuan in 2024, contributing 70.5% to total revenue, with a gross margin of 27.43% [4]. - Other industry revenues amounted to 508 million yuan, contributing 29.5% to total revenue, with a gross margin of 34.86% [4]. Cost and Efficiency - The company has improved its gross margin to 29.62% in 2024, an increase of 2.37 percentage points year-on-year, despite a slight decrease in net profit margin to 11.16% [5]. - Management expenses rose by 43.6% year-on-year, primarily due to increased land amortization and employee compensation [5]. Overseas Expansion - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion through acquisitions, including the purchase of Jiexinlong, which enhances its cleanroom solutions in Southeast Asia [6]. - The acquisition of Circul-Aire Inc. in Canada strengthens its upstream filter material capabilities and expands sales channels in North America and the EU [6]. - In 2024, overseas revenue reached 228 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.38%, contributing 13.21% to total revenue [6]. Future Earnings Projections - The company is projected to achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 2.08, 2.73, and 3.49 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for these years are estimated at 16.6, 12.7, and 9.9 [9].
新股周报(2025.05.19-2025.05.23):5月份科创板、创业板新股首日涨幅和开板估值均下降-20250519
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-19 08:05
Group 1 - The new stock market activity has decreased, with the first-day gains and opening valuations of new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market both declining in May [2][3][14] - In the past week, 33 new stocks listed in the last six months recorded positive gains, accounting for 68.75%, down from 83.33% previously [2][14] - The first-day gain of Hanbang Technology on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board was 115.20%, with an opening valuation of 50.90 times [2][18] - The first-day gain of Zairun New Energy on the Growth Enterprise Market was 98.12%, with an opening valuation of 30.86 times [2][29] Group 2 - The first-day opening price-earnings ratio (PE) for new stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board decreased to 50.90 times in May, down from 154.01 times in March [20] - The first-day opening PE for new stocks on the Growth Enterprise Market was 30.86 times in May, down from 58.65 times in April [30] - The first-day gains for new stocks on the Main Board were 197.82% in April, down from 289.09% in March [40] Group 3 - The report highlights key new stocks that have recently been listed, including Victory Nano (semiconductor third-party testing laboratory) and Silicon Electric (semiconductor probe station equipment) [5][58] - The report also identifies upcoming new stocks awaiting approval, such as Yitang Co., Ltd. (dry degluing/rapid heat treatment equipment) and Yingstone Innovation (consumer-grade panoramic cameras) [50][51] - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape in the blood purification market, where domestic manufacturers are gradually replacing foreign brands in the hemodialysis market [54][55]