Shanxi Securities

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同益中:增资赋能超美斯,盈利能力改善可期-20250512
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 10:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][7] Core Views - The company reported significant revenue growth in Q1 2025, achieving total revenue of 253 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 126.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.1% [3][4] - The increase in revenue is attributed to higher sales volume and the impact of acquisitions, particularly the subsidiary Chaomeisi, which generated revenue of 68 million yuan and a net profit of 2.27 million yuan in Q1 2025 [4][5] - The company plans to invest 150 million yuan in Chaomeisi to enhance its competitive strength and profitability, aiming for a substantial improvement in its profit margin, which currently stands at 1.1% compared to the industry average of 23.5% [5][7] Financial Performance and Projections - For the fiscal years 2025 to 2027, the company is projected to achieve net profits of 200 million yuan, 240 million yuan, and 290 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28, 23, and 19 times [7][9] - The company’s revenue is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 996 million yuan in 2025, 1.196 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.407 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 53.3%, 20.1%, and 17.7% respectively [9][13] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to stabilize around 36.4% to 37.2% over the next few years, indicating a consistent profitability outlook [9][14] Market Data - As of May 12, 2025, the company's closing price was 24.99 yuan, with a year-to-date high of 26.60 yuan and a low of 9.57 yuan [10]
维峰电子:不利因素预期逐渐消散,2025Q1公司业绩迎来关键拐点-20250512
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 10:23
其他电子零组件Ⅲ 维峰电子(301328.SZ) 买入-A(维持) 不利因素预期逐渐消散,2025Q1 公司业绩迎来关键拐点 2025 年 5 月 12 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 | 市场数据:2025 年 5 月 9 日 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元): | 39.74 | | 年内最高/最低(元): | 51.10/29.19 | | 流通 A 股/总股本(亿股): | 0.34/1.10 | | 流通 股市值(亿元): A | 13.56 | | 总市值(亿元): | 43.67 | | 基础数据:2025 年 | 3 月 | 31 日 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元): | | | 0.23 | | 摊薄每股收益(元): | | | 0.23 | | 每股净资产(元): | | | 17.76 | | 净资产收益率(%): | | | 1.39 | 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 公司研究/公司快报 叶中正 执业登记编码:S0760522010001 电话: 邮箱:yezhongzheng@s ...
晶升股份(688478):产品结构变化致业绩增长承压,拓展光伏、外延设备等新应用领域
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 09:39
半导体材料 晶升股份(688478.SH) 增持-A(下调) 产品结构变化致业绩增长承压,拓展光伏、外延设备等新应用领域 2025 年 5 月 12 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司披露 2024 年年度报告及 2025 年一季度报告。2024 年实现营业收入 4.25 亿元/+4.78%,归母净利润 0.54 亿元/-24.32%,扣非归母净利润 0.30 亿 元/-28.70%。其中单 Q4 实现营业收入 1.0 亿元/-39.90%,归母净利润-0.01 亿 元/-102.29%,扣非归母净利润 0.04 亿元/-72.79%。 事件点评 市场数据:2025 年 5 月 9 日 收盘价(元): 29.31 年内最高/最低(元): 37.49/21.02 流通A股/总股本(亿): 1.03/1.38 流通 A 股市值(亿): 30.31 总市值(亿): 40.56 基础数据:2025 年 3 月 31 日 基本每股收益(元): -0.02 摊薄每股收益(元): -0.02 产品结构变化致 24H2 业绩增长承压,加速拓展产品序列。2024 年,公 司不断拓展技术应用领域,加速拓展 ...
中化化肥(00297):生物复合肥稳步增长,钾肥上涨持续受益
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 09:38
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [2][7] Core Views - The company has shown a steady growth in bio-composite fertilizers, benefiting from the continuous rise in potash prices. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 21.265 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.1%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 69.7% to 1.061 billion yuan [3][4] - The company is focusing on a "Bio+" strategy, enhancing its profitability through product differentiation and improved production efficiency. The gross profit margin and net profit margin for 2024 were 11.96% and 5.06%, respectively, reflecting an increase of 1.56 percentage points and 1.91 percentage points year-on-year [5][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenues from various fertilizer products: bio-composite fertilizers (6.75 billion yuan, +2.5%), phosphate fertilizers (6.66 billion yuan, +18.1%), potash fertilizers (3.94 billion yuan, -25.0%), and specialty fertilizers (0.68 billion yuan, +16.6%) [4] - The total sales volume of fertilizers in 2024 was 7.21 million tons, remaining stable compared to the previous year, with bio-composite fertilizer sales increasing by 10% [4] - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.35 billion yuan, 1.48 billion yuan, and 1.60 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 5.6, 5.1, and 4.8 [7][9] Market Data - As of May 12, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock was 1.170 HKD, with a market capitalization of 8.219 billion HKD [2]
扬农化工(600486):农化景气触底回升,葫芦岛项目放量在即
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 09:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [1]. Core Views - The agricultural chemical market is showing signs of recovery, with the Huludao project set to ramp up production soon [1]. - The company reported a revenue of 3.241 billion yuan for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33.96% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 435 million yuan, up 1.35% year-on-year and 146.77% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved raw material revenue of 1.806 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.1%, with a sales volume of 28,670 tons, up 14.8% year-on-year and 20.5% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The formulation revenue for Q1 2025 was 871 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 451.7%, with a sales volume of 15,392 tons, up 2.8% year-on-year and 642.7% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The average selling price for raw materials was 63,000 yuan per ton, down 8.77% year-on-year, but only 2.0% lower than the average price in 2024, indicating a price recovery trend [4]. Project Development - The Huludao project is expected to fully commence production in Q3 2025, with significant investments in fixed assets and ongoing construction [5]. - The project includes the production of various innovative pesticides, which are anticipated to enhance the company's market competitiveness [6]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.41 billion yuan, 1.59 billion yuan, and 1.76 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15, 13, and 12 times [6].
容知日新(688768):高质量发展战略进展顺利,公司业绩及盈利能力同比均显著改善
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 09:06
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy-A" [1][8] Core Views - The company's high-quality development strategy is progressing smoothly, leading to significant improvements in both performance and profitability year-on-year [4][8] - The company achieved a revenue of 584 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.21%, and a net profit of 108 million yuan, up 71.49% year-on-year [3][10] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 83.57 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.51%, although it recorded a net loss of 6.39 million yuan [3][10] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin and net margin improved in 2024 and Q1 2025, with the gross margin at 63.62% and net margin at 18.42% for 2024, and 65.61% and -7.65% respectively for Q1 2025 [5][10] - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 754 million, 987 million, and 1.309 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 29.1%, 31.0%, and 32.6% respectively [8][10] - The expected net profits for the same period are 149 million, 199 million, and 267 million yuan, with growth rates of 38.9%, 33.2%, and 34.3% respectively [8][10] Strategic Developments - The company has successfully implemented management adjustments and operational model innovations, which have led to increased business opportunities and improved order quality [4][8] - The "High-Quality Development 2.0 Strategy" focuses on partner strategy, service strategy, and global product strategy, which has shown initial success in the coal industry [4][8] - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities, developing competitive intelligent products, and laying the foundation for subscription-based services [6][7]
外需预期主导波动,关注迎峰度夏需求改善
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 09:05
Investment Rating - The coal industry maintains a rating of "Synchronize with the Market - A" [1] Core Viewpoints - External demand expectations dominate fluctuations, with a focus on improving demand during the peak summer season [1] - The coal production recovery post-holiday has led to increased supply, while electricity coal demand enters a low season, compounded by tariff disputes affecting external demand expectations [8][81] - The recent monetary policy easing is expected to support the macroeconomic environment, with anticipated continued recovery in coal prices due to the upcoming peak summer demand [8][81] Summary by Sections 1. Coal Industry Dynamic Data Tracking - **Thermal Coal**: Post-holiday inventory has risen, and port coal prices remain weak. As of May 9, the spot reference price for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim was 643 CNY/ton, a weekly change of -2.13% [3][23] - **Metallurgical Coal**: Monetary policy easing has led to increased demand entering the traditional peak season. As of May 9, the price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1320 CNY/ton, a weekly change of -4.35% [4][35] - **Coking Steel Industry Chain**: Downstream operations have improved, stabilizing coking coal prices. As of May 9, the average price for first-grade metallurgical coke at Tianjin Port was 1530 CNY/ton, unchanged from the previous week [5][55] - **Coal Transportation**: Weak coal prices have led to a decline in transportation demand, with the coastal coal transportation price index at 640.35 points, a weekly change of -8.06% [6][65] - **Coal-related Futures**: Tariff disputes dominate expectations, with futures prices for coking coal and coke showing fluctuations [8][70] 2. Coal Sector Market Review - The coal sector has rebounded alongside the broader market but has not outperformed major indices. The CITIC Coal Index closed at 3191.92 points, with a five-day change of +0.97% [7][72] 3. Industry News Summary - A comprehensive financial policy has been implemented to stabilize the market, with the People's Bank of China emphasizing a moderately loose monetary policy to support economic recovery [76][78] - Global thermal coal prices have seen an increase, with a reported rise of 8.8% over eight trading days [78] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in coal production in Shanxi Province, with a year-on-year growth of 19.1% [79] 4. Important Announcements from Listed Companies - Announcements from companies such as Anyuan Coal Industry and Meijin Energy regarding management changes and stock pledges have been noted [80] 5. Next Week's Views and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies with strong performance support, particularly those with low non-coal business ratios such as Xinjie Energy and Zhongmei Energy [81]
第一创业(002797):固收业务特色显著,财富管理稳步提升
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 08:59
证券Ⅲ 第一创业(002797.SZ) 增持-A(维持) 2025 年 5 月 12 日 公司研究/公司快报 | 年 市场数据:2025 5 | 月 | 日 12 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元): | | | 6.94 | | 年内最高/最低(元): | | | 11.38/4.75 | | 流通 A 股/总股本(亿 | | | 42.02/42.02 | | 股): | | | | | 流通 股市值(亿元): A | | | 291.65 | | 总市值(亿元): | | | 291.65 | | 年 基础数据:2025 | 月 3 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元): | | | 0.03 | | 摊薄每股收益(元): | | | 0.03 | | 每股净资产(元): | | | 4.09 | | 净资产收益率(%): | | | 0.79 | | 资料来源:最闻 | | | | 分析师: 刘丽 执业登记编码:S0760511050001 电话:0351--8686985 邮箱:liuli2@sxz ...
森麒麟(002984):2025Q1业绩短期承压,看好“黄金三角”全球产能布局
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 08:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][9] Core Views - The company experienced strong revenue growth in 2024, with operating income reaching 8.511 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.53%, and a net profit of 2.186 billion yuan, up 59.74% year-on-year [4][5] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a decline in profitability, with total revenue of 2.056 billion yuan, down 2.79% quarter-on-quarter and 5.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 361 million yuan, down 28.29% quarter-on-quarter and 21.52% year-on-year [4][5] - The company is expanding its global production capacity, with significant contributions expected from its factories in Thailand and Morocco, which are crucial for future growth [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company produced 32.2261 million tires, a 10.22% increase year-on-year, and sold 31.4087 million tires, a 7.34% increase year-on-year [5] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 32.84%, an increase of 7.63 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for Q1 2025 was 22.75%, a decrease of 8.58 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.010 billion yuan, 2.353 billion yuan, and 2.733 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10, 9, and 7 [9][10]
同益中(688722):增资赋能超美斯,盈利能力改善可期
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-12 08:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][4] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth in Q1 2025, achieving total revenue of 253 million yuan, with year-on-year growth of 126.9% and quarter-on-quarter growth of 14.1% [2][3] - The increase in revenue is attributed to higher sales volume and the acquisition of subsidiaries [3] - The company plans to invest 150 million yuan in its subsidiary, Chaomeisi, to enhance its competitive strength and profitability, aiming for high-quality development [3] - Chaomeisi reported revenue of 68 million yuan and a net profit of 2.27 million yuan in Q1 2025, indicating potential for significant improvement compared to industry peers [3] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 200 million yuan, 240 million yuan, and 290 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28, 23, and 19 [4][6] - Revenue forecasts for the years 2025 to 2027 are 996 million yuan, 1.196 billion yuan, and 1.407 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 53.3%, 20.1%, and 17.7% [6][10] - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 36.4% to 37.2% over the forecast period [6][11] Market Data - As of May 12, 2025, the company's closing price was 24.99 yuan, with a year-to-date high of 26.60 yuan and a low of 9.57 yuan [7] - The total market capitalization is approximately 5.614 billion yuan, with 224 million circulating shares [7]