证券研究报告：传媒|点评报告 发布时间：2025-06-30 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 706.9 | | 52 周最高 | 752.49 | | 52 周最低 | 456.84 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） -9% -3% 3% 9% 15% 21% 27% 33% 39% 45% 51% 2024-06 2024-09 2024-11 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 传媒 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 2025 年 6 月 6 日，国家电影局召开 2025 暑期档电影片单发布 会，超 60 部影片定档 2025 年暑期档。截至 2025 年 6 月 28 日，暑期 档总票房已突破 17 亿。 ⚫ 投资要点 低基数效应为 2025 年暑期档票房修复奠定良好基础。截至 6 月 28 日，2025 年暑期档电影总票房（含预售）已突破 17 亿元，相比 2024 年同期票房微降，预计随着 7 月学生陆续进入假期，重磅影片于 7-8 月上映后数据将有所修复。由于 2024 年暑期档票房较上年表现欠佳， ...

证券研究报告：传媒|点评报告 传媒行业点评 豆包模型再度升级，增值服务强化大厂竞争 发布时间：2025-06-29 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | --- | | 收盘点位 | 706.9 | | --- | --- | | 52 周最高 | 752.49 | | 52 周最低 | 456.84 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） -9% -3% 3% 9% 15% 21% 27% 33% 39% 45% 51% 2024-06 2024-09 2024-11 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 传媒 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:王晓萱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522080005 Email:wangxiaoxuan@cnpsec.com ⚫ 事件回顾 2025 年 6 月 11 日，火山引擎发布了豆包大模型 1.6、豆包视频生 成模型 Seedance 1.0 pro、豆包语音播客模型，并对 Agent 开发平台等 AI 云原生服务进行了升级。 ⚫ 投资要点 伴随豆包 1.6 系列发布，大模型的推理能力、多模态理解与操作 能力在全球范围内进 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the rapidly growing building block character toy market, with a strong focus on IP development and commercialization [4][6] - The company has established a comprehensive ecosystem that enhances efficiency and competitiveness, leveraging a rich IP portfolio and a multi-channel sales strategy [4][6] - Future growth is driven by a "Three All" strategy targeting all demographics, price points, and global markets, with significant revenue growth expected in the coming years [4][6] Company Overview - The company was founded in 2014 and began developing building block toys in 2016, launching its own IP "Transforming Bluko" shortly thereafter. By 2024, the company reported revenues of 2.24 billion yuan and a net profit of 585 million yuan [4][7] - The management team is experienced, with the founder holding a significant share of 54.95% prior to the IPO, indicating a concentrated ownership structure [10][14] Industry Analysis - The global toy market reached 773.1 billion yuan in 2023, with a projected CAGR of 5.1% from 2023 to 2028. The building block character toy segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 20.5% during the same period [4][32] - The competitive landscape is dominated by two major players, Bandai and LEGO, which hold market shares of 39.5% and 35.9%, respectively. The company holds the largest market share in China at 30.3% [4][51] Competitive Advantages - The company has a robust ecosystem focused on efficiency, with advantages in design and R&D, multi-channel sales, and a strong fan engagement strategy [4][6] - The company has a significant number of patents and a diverse IP portfolio, including over 50 well-known IPs, which enhances its market position [4][6] Growth Outlook - The company anticipates substantial revenue growth driven by its "Three All" strategy, with projected revenue growth rates of 88.38%, 51.02%, and 32.40% for 2025 to 2027 [4][6] - The company expects to achieve net profits of 1.076 billion yuan, 1.751 billion yuan, and 2.480 billion yuan for the same period, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28x, 17x, and 12x [4][6] Financial Analysis - The company has maintained a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 89% from 2021 to 2024, with revenues increasing from 330 million yuan in 2021 to 2.24 billion yuan in 2024 [4][15] - The adjusted net profit saw a significant increase of 702.1% in 2024, driven by the popularity of the Ultraman IP and improved operational efficiency [4][17] - The gross margin and net margin improved to 52.6% and 26.1% in 2024, respectively, reflecting the company's focus on high-margin products [4][17]

证券研究报告：医药生物 | 公司深度报告 发布时间：2025-06-27 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 38.50 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）1.20 | / 1.20 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）46 | / 46 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 43.47 / 25.73 | | 资产负债率(%) | 10.6% | | 市盈率 | 34.38 | | 第一大股东 | 青岛普奥达企业管理服 | | 务有限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:盛丽华 SAC 登记编号:S1340525060001 Email:shenglihua@cnpsec.com 研究助理:陈峻 SAC 登记编号:S1340123110013 Email:chenjun@cnpsec.com 海泰新光(688677) 海外库存消化拐点已至，未雨绸缪化解关税风险 l 公司致力于探索光学技术与医学、工业及激光、生物识 别等多领域的融合创新 海泰新光主要从事医用内窥镜器械和光学产品的研发、生产和销 售。公司致力于探索光学技术与医学、工业及激光、生物识别 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a rating of "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of power semiconductor module heat dissipation substrates, primarily used in the new energy vehicle sector, and has expanded into renewable energy generation, energy storage, and rail transit applications [5] - The company has a leading global market share in the automotive power semiconductor segment, with shares of 19.7%, 29.0%, and 32.7% from 2021 to 2023, respectively [6] - The company has demonstrated rapid revenue growth, achieving 191 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 36.2%, although net profit decreased by 14.7% due to cost pressures [7] - The domestic new energy vehicle market continues to grow, with production and sales increasing by 45% and 44% year-on-year from January to May 2025, respectively [7] - The company is expected to benefit from the booming new energy vehicle market, with projected revenues of 924 million, 1.116 billion, and 1.292 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [8] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 52.68 yuan - Total shares: 0.80 billion, circulating shares: 0.20 billion - Total market value: 4.2 billion yuan, circulating market value: 1.1 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 70.01/44.36 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 16.9% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 28.17 [4] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue: 191 million yuan, up 36.2% year-on-year - Q1 2025 net profit: 22 million yuan, down 14.7% year-on-year - Q1 2025 gross margin: 17.3%, down 9.3 percentage points year-on-year [7] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Expected revenues for 2025-2027: 924 million, 1.116 billion, and 1.292 billion yuan - Expected net profits for 2025-2027: 125 million, 145 million, and 175 million yuan - Expected EPS for 2025-2027: 1.57, 1.82, and 2.19 yuan per share [8][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [7][15]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.662 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 15.20%, but faced a net loss of 1.595 billion yuan, a decline of 226.74% compared to the previous year [4][11]. - The company is experiencing pressure on profits due to increased R&D and sales expenses, particularly in AI ecosystem development, which saw a 59.46% increase in R&D costs to 1.543 billion yuan [5][6]. - The international revenue share is growing, with overseas income reaching 51.5 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 90.98% of total revenue, indicating a positive trend in internationalization [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 7.142 billion yuan, with a net loss of 440 million yuan, and an expected EPS of -0.35 yuan [7][11]. - The EBITDA is expected to improve from -302.30 million yuan in 2024 to -209.08 million yuan in 2025, indicating a potential recovery in operational performance [11][14]. - The company’s asset-liability ratio is currently at 17.9%, with expectations of gradual increases in the coming years [3][14]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 7.142 billion yuan, 8.009 billion yuan, and 8.886 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits projected to be -440 million yuan, 10.38 million yuan, and 271.70 million yuan [7][11]. - The growth rates for revenue are expected to be 26.14% in 2025, 12.14% in 2026, and 10.94% in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory despite current losses [11][14]. AI Commercialization Progress - The company has accelerated its AI commercialization efforts, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) from AI music reaching approximately 12 million USD and from the short drama platform DramaWave reaching about 120 million USD [6]. - The launch of the Skywork Super Agents app marks a significant step in AI application, integrating multiple intelligent agents into a single platform [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a comprehensive internet technology firm, currently at a pivotal point for AI technology breakthroughs and application implementations, aiming to meet strong market demand through continuous innovation [6].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [6][8]. Core Views - The company, Yuxin Electronics, has experienced significant growth driven by industry upturns and the expansion of new customers and products, leading to a high increase in performance [4][5]. - The company is focusing on innovation and R&D, with strategic plans in the robotics sector, indicating a strong commitment to technological advancement [6]. Company Overview - Yuxin Electronics, established in 2003 and headquartered in Chongqing, specializes in the R&D, manufacturing, and sales of electronic and electrical components for various industries, including general machinery and non-road vehicles [4]. - The company's product categories include general gasoline engine power products, generator power system accessories, and new energy products [4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 185 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 25 million yuan, up 280% year-on-year [5]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 26.31%, an increase of 1.82 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 13.30%, up 7 percentage points year-on-year [5]. Growth Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 735 million yuan, 899 million yuan, and 1.025 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 34.01%, 22.28%, and 14.00% respectively [6][9]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 88.31 million yuan, 124.07 million yuan, and 145.12 million yuan, with growth rates of 66.87%, 40.49%, and 16.97% respectively [6][9]. Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 33.64, 23.95, and 20.47 respectively [6][9].

证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 买入 |维持 个股表现 2024-06 2024-09 2024-11 2025-01 2025-04 2025-06 -36% -27% -18% -9% 0% 9% 18% 27% 36% 45% 鹏鼎控股 电子 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 30.73 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）23.18 | / 23.05 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）712 | / 708 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 43.64 / 26.00 | | 资产负债率(%) | 27.4% | | 市盈率 | 19.70 | | 第一大股东 | 美港实业有限公司 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 鹏鼎控股(002938) 卡位 AI 浪潮，业绩稳健增长 l 投资要点 l 风险提示： 全球贸易格局变化的风险；市场竞争加剧风险；原材料价格上涨 风险。 | | n 盈利预测和财务指标 | | | | | --- | ...

证券研究报告：基础化工 | 公司深度报告 股票投资评级 增持|首次覆盖 个股表现 -12% -3% 6% 15% 24% 33% 42% 51% 60% 69% 2024-06 2024-09 2024-11 2025-01 2025-04 2025-06 广东宏大 基础化工 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 32.56 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）7.60 / 6.51 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）247 / 212 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 33.82 / 17.82 | | 资产负债率(%) | 60.3% | | 市盈率 | 27.56 | | 第一大股东 | 广东省环保集团有限公 | | 司 | | 研究所 分析师:鲍学博 SAC 登记编号:S1340523020002 Email:baoxuebo@cnpsec.com 分析师:马强 SAC 登记编号:S1340523080002 Email:maqiang@cnpsec.com 广东宏大(002683) 矿服民爆一体化龙头，深耕军工谱新篇 ⚫ 投资要点 广 ...

证券研究报告：国防军工|行业周报 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 1493.76 | | 52 周最高 | 1712.48 | | 52 周最低 | 1113.62 | 行业相对指数表现 -9% -4% 1% 6% 11% 16% 21% 26% 31% 36% 41% 2024-06 2024-09 2024-11 2025-01 2025-04 2025-06 国防军工 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:鲍学博 SAC 登记编号:S1340523020002 Email:baoxuebo@cnpsec.com 分析师:王煜童 SAC 登记编号:S1340523070004 Email:wangyutong@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《中邮军工周报 6 月第 2 周：以伊战争 持续，军贸行情有望扩散》 - 2025.06.17 国防军工行业报告 美国介入以伊冲突空袭伊朗核设施，歼 35A 首次海 外亮相巴黎航展 投资要点 当地时间 21 日，美国投掷了六枚钻地弹用于袭击伊朗福尔多 核设施，美国还向伊朗其 ...