Report Overview - Report Title: Synthetic Rubber Market Weekly Report [2] - Report Date: October 24, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Lin Jingyi [2] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The br2512 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 10,800 - 11,500 in the short - term [7]. - The price of cis - butadiene rubber in the Shandong market showed a strong and volatile trend this week, with the spot price ranging from 10,750 to 11,350 yuan/ton. The price of high - cis cis - butadiene rubber of Sinopec Chemical Sales remained stable, while the price of high - cis cis - butadiene rubber of major sales companies of PetroChina increased by 200 yuan/ton in total [8]. - Most previously shut - down cis - butadiene rubber plants have restarted, and domestic production has recovered. Driven by the recent strength of natural rubber, the low - price transactions have improved while the mainstream supply price has adjusted back. However, the number of domestic cis - butadiene rubber plant overhauls has increased, and some production enterprises have reserved inventory. The overall inventory level of production enterprises has continued to rise, and the inventory of trading enterprises has decreased. In the short term, the number of domestic cis - butadiene rubber plant overhauls is expected to further increase, and production and capacity utilization may decline. Considering the possible weakness of the raw material end, it is expected that the inventory of production enterprises will decrease and the inventory of trading enterprises will increase [8]. - This week, the production schedules of domestic tire enterprises have mostly returned to normal levels, driving the overall capacity utilization rate to rise slightly. The production schedules of semi - steel tire enterprises have mostly remained stable. With concentrated orders for snow tires and a large number of specifications and models, the production enthusiasm of enterprises is expected to remain high. The shipment of all - steel tire enterprises has been stable, and the production schedules of most enterprises are expected to remain stable. The overall capacity utilization rate is expected to fluctuate slightly [8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - to - Week Summary - Strategy Suggestion: The br2512 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 10,800 - 11,500 in the short - term [7]. - Market Review: The price of cis - butadiene rubber in the Shandong market showed a strong and volatile trend this week, with the spot price ranging from 10,750 to 11,350 yuan/ton. The price of high - cis cis - butadiene rubber of Sinopec Chemical Sales remained stable, while the price of high - cis cis - butadiene rubber of major sales companies of PetroChina increased by 200 yuan/ton in total [8]. - Market Outlook: Production and inventory are expected to change due to plant overhauls and raw material price trends. Tire enterprise production and capacity utilization are expected to remain relatively stable [8]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Markets 3.2.1 Futures Market - Price Movement: The price of the synthetic rubber futures main contract closed up with a weekly increase of 2.73% [12]. - Position Analysis: No specific content provided other than the title. - Inter - delivery Spread: As of October 24, the 11 - 12 spread of butadiene rubber was 70 [18]. - Warehouse Receipt: As of October 24, the cis - butadiene rubber warehouse receipts were 3,050 tons, a decrease of 20 tons from last week [21]. 3.2.2 Spot Market - Spot Price: As of October 23, the price of Qilu Petrochemical BR9000 in the Shandong market was reported at 11,120 yuan/ton, an increase of 295 yuan/ton from last week [25]. - Basis: As of October 23, the basis of butadiene rubber was - 20 yuan/ton, a decrease of 245 yuan/ton from last week [25]. 3.3 Industry Situation 3.3.1 Upstream - Naphtha and Ethylene Prices: As of October 23, the CFR mid - price of naphtha in Japan was reported at 573.13 US dollars/ton, an increase of 36.13 US dollars/ton from last week; the CIF mid - price of Northeast Asian ethylene was reported at 780 US dollars/ton, unchanged from last week [28]. - Butadiene Capacity Utilization and Port Inventory: As of October 24, the weekly capacity utilization rate of butadiene was 65.62%, a decrease of 0.17% from last week; the port inventory of butadiene was 24,600 tons, a decrease of 6,200 tons from last week [31]. 3.3.2 Industry - Cis - Butadiene Rubber Production and Capacity Utilization: In September 2025, the domestic cis - butadiene rubber production was 130,400 tons, a decrease of 5,300 tons from the previous month. As of October 23, the weekly capacity utilization rate of domestic cis - butadiene rubber was 73.45%, a decrease of 1.37% from last week [34]. - Cis - Butadiene Rubber Production Profit: As of October 23, the domestic cis - butadiene rubber production profit was - 204 yuan/ton, an increase of 156 yuan/ton from last week [37]. - Cis - Butadiene Rubber Inventory: As of October 24, the domestic cis - butadiene rubber social inventory was 33,170 tons, an increase of 410 tons from last week; the manufacturer inventory was 28,650 tons, an increase of 750 tons from last week; the trader inventory was 4,520 tons, a decrease of 340 tons from last week [41]. 3.3.3 Downstream - Tire Capacity Utilization: As of October 23, the capacity utilization rate of Chinese semi - steel tire sample enterprises was 72.84%, a month - on - month increase of 1.77 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 6.84 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of Chinese all - steel tire sample enterprises was 65.87%, a month - on - month increase of 1.91 percentage points and a year - on - year increase of 6.95 percentage points [44]. - Tire Export Volume: In September 2025, China's tire export volume was 687,800 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 105,700 tons and a year - on - year increase of 4.05%. From January to September, China's cumulative tire export volume was 6.3908 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 4.88%. Among them, the export volume of passenger car tires was 260,300 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 13.28% and a year - on - year decrease of 2.87%. From January to September, the cumulative export volume of passenger car tires was 2.5008 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 1.26%. The export volume of truck and bus tires was 400,000 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 8.86% and a year - on - year increase of 8.74%. From January to September, the cumulative export volume of truck and bus tires was 3.6279 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 6.67% [48]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints - **Stock Market**: A - shares and four stock index futures rose collectively this week, with small - and medium - cap stocks outperforming large - cap blue - chip stocks. After the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, market sentiment was boosted, but trading activity declined. It is recommended to buy on dips [6]. - **Bond Market**: Treasury futures weakened this week. Although the fundamentals and capital situation may push the bond market to strengthen, uncertainties will continue to disrupt market sentiment. It is expected that Treasury futures will fluctuate widely in the short term, and interval operations are recommended [6]. - **Commodity Market**: Geopolitical conflicts drive up oil prices, and gold fluctuations decrease. The short - term commodity index is expected to fluctuate strongly, and it is recommended to mainly observe [6]. - **Foreign Exchange Market**: The US dollar may be under pressure in the medium term. The yen is under pressure, and short - term dollar strength may suppress the euro and yen. It is recommended to observe cautiously [6][10]. 3. Summary by Directory This Week's Summary and Next Week's Allocation Recommendations - **Stock**: The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 rose 3.24%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stock index futures rose 3.35%. A - shares and four stock index futures rose, with market sentiment boosted after the Fourth Plenary Session. It is recommended to buy on dips [6]. - **Bond**: The 10 - year Treasury bond yield rose 0.21%, and the main 10 - year Treasury futures fell 0.27%. Due to policy and market uncertainties, it is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term, and interval operations are recommended [6]. - **Commodity**: The Wind Commodity Index fell 4.93%, and the CSI Commodity Futures Price Index fell 0.29%. Geopolitical conflicts drive up oil prices, and gold fluctuations decrease. It is recommended to mainly observe [6]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The euro against the US dollar fell 0.42%. The US dollar may be under pressure in the medium term, and the yen is under pressure. It is recommended to observe cautiously [6]. Important News and Events - **China - US Relations**: The two sides are about to return to the negotiation table, and Trump plans to visit China next year. China advocates resolving issues through negotiation [14][16]. - **Domestic Policy**: The Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee emphasized "sustained efforts in pro - growth policies" [6]. - **International Affairs**: The EU invited China to discuss rare earths, and European leaders supported the Russia - Ukraine cease - fire through negotiation. The Trump administration froze $11 billion in infrastructure funds [14][16]. This Week's Domestic and Foreign Economic Data - **China**: The Q3 GDP annual rate was 4.8%, the September social consumer goods retail sales increased 3% year - on - year, and the September industrial added value increased 6.5% year - on - year [11][17]. - **US**: The September existing home sales totaled 4.06 million annualized [17]. - **EU**: The preliminary October consumer confidence index was - 14.2 [17]. - **UK**: The September CPI monthly rate was 0, and the September retail price index monthly rate was - 0.4% [17]. - **Germany**: The September PPI monthly rate was - 0.1% [17]. Next Week's Important Economic Indicators and Economic Events - **October 27**: China's January - September industrial enterprise profit annual rate, US September durable goods orders monthly rate [81]. - **October 28**: Germany's November Gfk consumer confidence index, US August S&P/CS20 city house price index annual rate [81]. - **October 30**: US Fed interest rate decision, eurozone Q3 GDP annual rate, US Q3 real GDP annualized quarterly rate, etc. [81]. - **October 31**: Japan's September unemployment rate, China's October official manufacturing PMI, etc. [81].

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: Cotton (Yarn) Market Weekly Report [2] - Report Date: October 24, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Wang Cuibing [3] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report Group 3: Core Views - This week, the price of the main Zhengzhou cotton 2601 contract rose slightly, with a weekly increase of about 1.54%. The price of the US cotton December contract fell, with a weekly decline of about 0.56%. The price of the cotton yarn 2601 futures contract rose by about 1.75% [6][10][20] - In the domestic market, the supply side shows that Xinjiang cotton has entered the large - scale harvesting stage, with the progress over 50% and faster than the same period last year. The purchase price of seed cotton first fell and then rose, and the processing cost of ginning mills increased slightly. The acquisition of inland cotton was slow due to continuous rainfall. On the demand side, the demand of downstream textile enterprises was relatively weak, and the "Silver October" replenishment did not improve significantly. The impact of trade situation on the market needs to be concerned. Currently, new cotton is on the market, and the upside of cotton prices is limited in the short term due to hedging pressure [6] - It is recommended to wait and see for the Zhengzhou cotton 2601 contract in the short term. Future trading should pay attention to changes in foreign cotton prices, demand, and inventory [7] Group 4: Summary by Directory 1. Week - to - Week Summary - **Market Review**: The price of the main Zhengzhou cotton 2601 contract rose slightly, with a weekly increase of about 1.54% [6] - **Market Outlook**: In the domestic market, the supply side has different situations in Xinjiang and inland. The demand side is weak. New cotton is on the market, and the short - term upside of cotton prices is limited [6] - **Strategy Recommendation**: Wait and see for the Zhengzhou cotton 2601 contract in the short term [7] - **Future Trading Tips**: Pay attention to foreign cotton prices, demand, and inventory [7] 2. Futures and Spot Market **Futures Market** - **Price Movement**: The price of the US cotton December contract fell by about 0.56% this week. The price of the Zhengzhou cotton 2601 contract rose by about 1.54%, and the cotton yarn 2601 futures contract rose by about 1.75% [10][20] - **Net Positions**: As of this week, the net position of the top 20 in cotton futures was - 107,552 lots, and that in cotton yarn futures was - 16 lots [26] - **Warehouse Receipts**: As of this week, the number of Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange cotton futures warehouse receipts was 2,503, and that of cotton yarn futures was 6 [32] **Spot Market** - **Cotton Spot Price**: As of October 24, 2025, the spot price index of cotton 3128B was 14,803 yuan/ton [39] - **Cotton Yarn Spot Price**: As of October 24, 2025, the spot price index of Chinese cotton yarn C32S was 20,500 yuan/ton, CY index: OEC10s (rotor - spun yarn) was 14,690 yuan/ton, and CY index: OEC10s (combed yarn) was 23,600 yuan/ton [48] - **Imported Cotton (Yarn) Price**: As of October 23, the imported cotton price with sliding - scale duty was 13,980 yuan/ton, up 102 yuan/ton from last week; the imported cotton price with quota was 13,004 yuan/ton, up 153 yuan/ton from last week. The imported cotton yarn price index (FCY Index) for different varieties also had corresponding prices [54] - **Imported Cotton Profit**: As of October 23, the estimated profit of imported cotton with sliding - scale duty was 804 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan/ton from last week; the estimated profit of imported cotton with quota was 1,780 yuan/ton, down 33 yuan/ton from last week [57] - **Price Spreads**: This week, the price spread between Zhengzhou cotton 1 - 5 contracts was 0 yuan/ton, and the price spread between cotton 3128B and cotton yarn C32S was 5,697 yuan/ton. The basis between the cotton 3128B price index and the Zhengzhou cotton 2601 contract was + 1,263 yuan/ton; the basis between the cotton yarn C32S spot price and the cotton yarn 2601 futures contract was 690 yuan/ton [35][44] 3. Industry Situation **Supply Side** - **Commercial Cotton Inventory**: As of September 30, 2025, the national commercial cotton inventory was 1.0217 million tons. At the end of August, the cotton industrial inventory of cotton textile enterprises decreased slightly, with an inventory of 892,000 tons, a decrease of 6,000 tons from the previous month [62] - **Imported Cotton Volume**: In September 2025, China's total cotton import volume was about 100,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 30,000 tons and a year - on - year decrease of 20,000 tons or 16.6%. From January to September 2025, the cumulative imported cotton volume was 690,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.57 million tons or 69.50%. In September 2025, China imported 130,000 tons of cotton yarn, the same as the previous month and a year - on - year increase of 20,000 tons [68] **Demand Side** - **Yarn and Grey Cloth Inventory**: As of the end of August, the yarn inventory of textile enterprises was 26.6 days, a decrease of 1.1 days from the previous month; the grey cloth inventory was 33.9 days, a decrease of 2.3 days from the previous month [71] - **Textile and Garment Exports**: In September 2025, China's textile and garment export volume was 24.4197 billion US dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 1.50% and a month - on - month decrease of 7.99%. Among them, textile exports were 11.966 billion US dollars, a year - on - year increase of 6.41% and a month - on - month decrease of 3.44%; clothing exports were 12.453 billion US dollars, a year - on - year decrease of 7.97% and a month - on - month decrease of 11.96% [76] - **Domestic Garment Retail Sales**: As of August 31, 2025, the cumulative retail sales of clothing were 670.83 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 11.95%, and the cumulative year - on - year increase was 2.2% [80] 4. Options and Stock Market - Related Market - **Options Market**: The implied volatility of at - the - money cotton options this week was presented, but no specific data was given [81] - **Stock Market**: The price - earnings ratio trend of Xinong Development was shown, but no specific analysis was provided [84]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The UR2601 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 1600 - 1660 in the short - term [7] - The domestic urea market fluctuated narrowly at a low level this week. The average price of mainstream small and medium - sized particles in Shandong dropped by 20 yuan/ton week - on - week [8] - Recently, new urea plants in China have stopped production, and the output has decreased slightly. Next week, the probability of output increase is high. Agricultural demand has increased moderately, and industrial demand is tepid. The inventory may still show an increasing trend [8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - on - Week Summary - Strategy suggestion: The UR2601 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 1600 - 1660 in the short - term [7] - Market review: The domestic urea market fluctuated narrowly at a low level this week. The average price of mainstream small and medium - sized particles in Shandong dropped to 1500 - 1560 yuan/ton, with an average price down 20 yuan/ton week - on - week [8] - Market outlook: New urea plants have stopped production, and the output has decreased slightly. Next week, the probability of output increase is high. Agricultural demand has increased moderately, and industrial demand is tepid. Inventory may still increase [8] 3.2 Futures Market - Futures price: The price of the main urea contract in Zhengzhou closed up with a weekly increase of 2.5% [11] - Inter - period spread: As of October 24, the UR 1 - 5 spread was - 77 [14] - Position analysis: Not detailed in the provided content - Futures warehouse receipts: As of October 24, there were 5407 urea warehouse receipts in Zhengzhou, a decrease of 887 from last week [23] 3.3 Spot Market - Domestic spot price: As of October 23, the mainstream price in Shandong was 1550 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; the mainstream price in Jiangsu was 1550 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan [27] - Foreign spot price: As of October 23, the FOB price of urea in China was 360 US dollars/ton, with no change from last week [31] - Basis: As of October 23, the urea basis was - 88 yuan/ton, a decrease of 46 yuan/ton from last week [35] 3.4 Industry Chain - Upstream: As of October 22, the market price of Qinhuangdao thermal coal with 5500 kcal was 685 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton from last week. As of October 23, the closing price of NYMEX natural gas was 3.29 US dollars/million British thermal units, up 0.29 US dollars/million British thermal units from last week [39] - Industry: As of October 23, the output of Chinese urea production enterprises was 127.79 tons, a decrease of 4.26 tons from the previous period, a week - on - week decrease of 3.23%; the capacity utilization rate was 78.03%, a decrease of 2.61% from the previous period. As of October 23, the sample inventory of Chinese urea ports was 21 tons, a week - on - week decrease of 23.6 tons, a decrease of 52.91%. As of October 22, the total inventory of Chinese urea enterprises was 163.02 tons, an increase of 1.48 tons from last week, a week - on - week increase of 0.92%. In September 2025, urea exports were 137.12 tons, a month - on - month increase of 72.12%; the average export price was 424.93 US dollars/ton, a month - on - month increase of 93.01% [42][45][48] - Downstream: As of October 23, the capacity utilization rate of compound fertilizers was 27.71%, a week - on - week increase of 3.53 percentage points. The weekly average capacity utilization rate of melamine in China was 48.30%, a decrease of 6.88 percentage points from last week [51]

Report Summary Core Viewpoint - This week, the port methanol market was weak, and the inland market declined. The overall domestic methanol production decreased due to more capacity losses from maintenance and production cuts than output from restored capacity. The inventory of domestic methanol enterprises decreased, while the port inventory increased slightly. In October, the expected sufficient imports may further raise the port inventory. The overall olefin industry's operation rate decreased this week, and it may continue to decline in the short term due to cost pressure and falling downstream prices. The MA2601 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 2240 - 2320 [7]. Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report. Summary by Directory 1. Week - on - Week Summary - **Market Review**: This week, the port methanol market was weak. The price in Jiangsu ranged from 2230 - 2300 yuan/ton, and in Guangdong from 2240 - 2270 yuan/ton. The inland methanol market declined. The price in the main production area of Ordos North Line ranged from 2010 - 2053 yuan/ton, and the receiving price in Dongying ranged from 2267 - 2277 yuan/ton [7]. - **Market Outlook**: Domestic methanol production decreased. The overall supply pressure was not significant, and the inventory of domestic methanol enterprises decreased. The port inventory increased slightly, and there is still a possibility of further increase in October. The olefin industry's operation rate decreased this week and may continue to decline in the short term [7]. - **Strategy Suggestion**: The MA2601 contract is expected to fluctuate in the range of 2240 - 2320 [7]. 2. Futures and Spot Markets - **Futures Market** - The price of the main contract of Zhengzhou methanol futures was flat this week, with a 0% change [10]. - As of October 24, the MA 1 - 5 spread was - 45 [14]. - As of October 24, the number of Zhengzhou methanol warehouse receipts was 14092, an increase of 2810 compared to last week [22]. - **Spot Market** - As of October 23, the mainstream price in East China's Taicang area was 2250 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30 yuan/ton compared to last week; the mainstream price in Northwest Inner Mongolia was 2012.5 yuan/ton, a decrease of 40 yuan/ton compared to last week. The price difference between East China and Northwest was 237.5 yuan/ton, an increase of 10 yuan/ton compared to last week [27]. - As of October 23, the CFR price of methanol at the Chinese main port was 261 dollars/ton, unchanged from last week. The price difference between Southeast Asia and the Chinese main port was 65 dollars/ton, a decrease of 1 dollar/ton compared to last week [32]. - As of October 23, the basis of Zhengzhou methanol was - 42 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton compared to last week [36]. 3. Industry Chain Analysis - **Upstream** - As of October 22, the market price of Qinhuangdao thermal coal with 5500 kcal was 685 yuan/ton, an increase of 10 yuan/ton compared to last week. - As of October 23, the closing price of NYMEX natural gas was 3.29 dollars/million British thermal units, an increase of 0.29 dollars/million British thermal units compared to last week [39]. - **Industry** - As of October 23, China's methanol production was 1943465 tons, a decrease of 39690 tons compared to last week. The device capacity utilization rate was 85.65%, a decrease of 2.00% compared to last week [42]. - As of October 22, the inventory of Chinese methanol sample production enterprises was 36.04 tons, an increase of 0.05 tons compared to the previous period, a 0.13% increase. The sample enterprises' orders to be delivered were 21.57 tons, a decrease of 1.33 tons compared to the previous period, a 5.79% decrease. The total inventory of Chinese methanol ports was 151.22 tons, an increase of 2.08 tons compared to the previous data [48]. - In September 2025, China's methanol imports were 142.69 tons, a decrease of 18.92% compared to the previous month. From January to September 2025, the cumulative methanol imports were 966.67 tons, a decrease of 3.94% compared to the same period last year. As of October 23, the methanol import profit was - 6.62 yuan/ton, a decrease of 29.1 yuan/ton compared to last week [51]. - **Downstream** - As of October 23, the capacity utilization rate of domestic methanol - to - olefin devices was 91.44%, a decrease of 1.97% compared to last week [54]. - As of October 24, the domestic methanol - to - olefin on - paper profit was - 954 yuan/ton, an increase of 111 yuan/ton compared to last week [57]. 4. Option Market Analysis - Not mentioned in the report.

沪铅市场周报 供给增加需求不变，沪铅价格持续平稳 业 务 咨 询 研究员 添 加 客 服 :黄闻杰 期货从业资格号F03142112 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021738 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 瑞达期货研究院 目录 「2025.10.24」 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 「 周度要点小结」 3 u 行情回顾：本周沪铅期货呈现震荡态势。沪期铅主力合约2511表现活跃，本周沪铅2511上涨3.43%。 本周在金九银十旺季带领下，沪铅需求增加，同时沪铅库存大幅下行背景下，沪铅价格大幅上行 u 行情展望：供应端,原生铅方面，尽管部分原生铅冶炼厂存有冲刺全年产销量的计划，但是10-11月 原生铅冶炼厂检修较多，预计原生铅产量仅小幅上升。再生铅方面，前期受770号文影响的冶炼厂 逐渐复产，不过目前原料库存水平不高，且北方地区进入供暖季，河北等地因环保要求对车辆运输 进行管控，再生铅企业的废料运输受到影响，预计再生铅产量回升幅度有限，短期内铅锭现货仍将 偏紧。铅价建议逢高布局空单。需求端，国庆及中秋假期影响结束后，铅酸蓄电池企业周度开工率 明显回升，进入传统消费旺季，汽车和电动自行车市场 ...

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.10.24」 红枣市场周报 研究员：王翠冰 期货从业资格号F03139616 期货投资咨询从业证Z0021556 取 更 多 资 讯 添加客服 「 周度要点小结」 未来交易提示： 关 注 我 们 获 业务咨询 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 4、期权市场及期股关联 1、现货价格2、消费端 3 行情回顾：本周郑枣主力合约价格下跌，周度跌幅约5.87%。 行情展望：受节气影响灰枣下树时间较去年提前，市场主要焦点在可供制作仓 单的货源为主。据 Mysteel 农产品调研数据统计，截止2025年10月23日红枣本 周36家样本点物理库存在9103吨，较上周增加94吨，环比减少1.04%，同比增加 109.22%，样本点库存小幅增加。新季红枣尚未集中下树，内地枣商已陆续前往 产区采购货源。部分商家积极订购新季原料，也有部分枣商采购部分陈货。目 前，和田、且末地区收购进度较快，新枣原料正在陆续下树并运输中，市场对 新货的接受度值得关注。后市供应端压力将逐渐显现，枣价继续回落概率加大。 关注新枣主流收购价格及质量情况。 策略建议：操作上，建议郑枣2601合约短期逢高抛空思路对 ...

「 2025.10.24」 纯碱玻璃市场周报 研究员:黄闻杰 期货从业资格号F03142112 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021738 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 业 务 咨 询 添 加 客 服 瑞达期货研究院 目录 「 周度要点小结」 u 行情回顾：本周纯碱期货上涨1.65%，玻璃期货下跌0.27%，本周纯碱期货行情呈现出上行走势，本周 纯碱在减产预期下，整体呈现了小幅上行态势，玻璃由于库存增加，地产情绪低迷导致，整体维持底部 震荡。 u 行情展望：纯碱方面，供应端来看国内纯碱开工率下行，纯碱产量下行，现阶段国内纯碱开工率处于较 高水平且呈现上行趋势。从企业层面来看，部分企业因利润压缩以及设备维护需求，计划在下周进行短 停检修，这将对整体供应产生一定影响。需求端玻璃产线冷修数量不变，整体产量不变，依旧底部徘徊， 刚需生产迹象明显，利润回升，主要来自于现货价格上行，预计下周产量继续底部。当前光伏玻璃市场 走势平稳，对纯碱的整体需求暂无明显变化。不过，随着 "反内卷" 进程推进，后续光伏玻璃行业将 继续减产，对纯碱的需求将减弱 。本周国内纯碱企业库存增加，下游需求不畅，光伏玻璃产量下滑导致， 玻璃企 ...

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.10.24」 国债期货周报 风险偏好回升，债市偏弱震荡 研究员 廖宏斌 期货从业资格号 F30825507 期货投资咨询从业证号 Z0020723 关 注 我 们 获取更多资讯 资金面：本周央行公开市场逆回购8672亿元，逆回购到期7891亿元，累计实现净投放1981亿元。 本周央行净投放，DR007加权利率维持1.41%附近震荡。 总结：本周国债现券收益率集体走弱，到期收益率1-7Y上行0.1-1.5bp左右，10Y、30Y到期收益率分别上行2.3、1.2bp左右至1.84%、2.21%。 本周国债期货集体走弱，TS、TF、T、TL主力合约分别下跌0.04%、0.16%、0.27%、0.74%。 目录 1、行情回顾 2、消息回顾与分析 3、图表分析 4、行情展望与策略 周度要点总结 政策及监管：1、二十届四中全会公报发布。全会提出了"十五五"时期经济社会发展的主要目标：高质量发展取得显著成效，科技自 立自强水平大幅提高，进一步全面深化改革取得新突破，社会文明程度明显提升，人民生活品质不断提高，美丽中国建设取得新的重大 进展，国家安全屏障更加巩固；2、为贯彻落实党中央国务院决策部署 ...

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.10.24」 天然橡胶市场周报 研究员：林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询证书号Z0021558 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 业务咨询 添加客服 目录 3 行情回顾：本周天然橡胶市场利多因素集聚，胶价强势上涨。进口胶市场报盘上涨，贸易商轮换， 工厂备货情绪偏淡。期货盘面维持偏强震荡格局，国产天然橡胶现货报价随盘面跟涨。下游采购 意愿相对平淡，多以适量刚需补货为主，市场整体交投气氛一般，实际成交表现清淡。 行情展望：全球天然橡胶产区处于割胶期，云南产区割胶正常，原料供应尚可，受期现市场强劲 带动，原料收购价格保持坚挺；海南产区降水天气扰动持续，岛内割胶作业尚未恢复，新鲜胶水 产出稀少，当地橡胶加工厂实际原料可收购量较为有限，收胶意愿普遍不高。青岛港口总库存呈 现去库态势，保税库及一般贸易库均去库，一般贸易库去库幅度超预期。节后轮胎企业产能利用 率恢复，带动轮胎企业产能利用率明显提升，下游一般贸易库提货明显增加，叠加胶价下跌使得 下游补货情绪好转，仓库整体出库量大于入库量，总库存呈现为去库。需求方面，本周国内轮胎 企业排产多恢复至常规水平，带动整体产能利 ...