Core Viewpoint - Shipping stocks experienced a significant increase in early trading, driven by the announcement of new regulations regarding port service fees for U.S. vessels by China's Ministry of Transport [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Yang Ming Marine Transport Corp (德翔海运) rose by 3.9%, trading at HKD 8.53 [1] - COSCO Shipping Holdings (中远海发) increased by 3.6%, trading at HKD 1.15 [1] - Orient Overseas International (东方海外国际) saw a rise of 2.68%, trading at HKD 126.3 [1] - Seaspan Corporation (海丰国际) gained 2.54%, trading at HKD 29.82 [1] - COSCO Shipping Ports (中远海运港口) increased by 1.06%, trading at HKD 5.72 [1] Group 2: Regulatory Changes - On October 14, the Ministry of Transport released the "Implementation Measures for Special Port Service Fees for U.S. Vessels," which includes ten articles detailing the fee structure and exemptions [1] - The measures specify that vessels built in China, empty vessels only entering Chinese shipyards for repairs, and other exempted vessels will not be required to pay the fees [1] Group 3: Market Implications - Huatai Securities noted that the fee standards align closely with U.S. policies, with mutual port fees set to take effect on October 14, 2025 [1] - In the short term, shipping companies may adjust global vessel deployments and port calls to mitigate costs, potentially disrupting supply chains and increasing freight rates [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the short-selling ratios and amounts for various companies, indicating significant market sentiment and potential investment opportunities or risks associated with these stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Short-Selling Ratios - Anta Sports-R (82020) and Great Wall Motors-R (82333) have the highest short-selling ratios at 100.00% [1][2]. - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) follows closely with a short-selling ratio of 95.69% [1][2]. - Other notable companies with high short-selling ratios include JD Group-SWR (89618) at 94.72% and Bank of China Hong Kong-R (82388) at 77.81% [2]. Group 2: Short-Selling Amounts - Alibaba-SW (09988) leads in short-selling amount with 3.213 billion [2]. - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) and Tencent Holdings (00700) follow with short-selling amounts of 1.740 billion and 1.605 billion, respectively [2]. - Other companies in the top short-selling amounts include Pop Mart (09992) at 1.290 billion and Baidu Group-SW (09888) at 1.044 billion [2]. Group 3: Deviation Values - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) has the highest deviation value at 47.78%, indicating a significant difference from its average short-selling ratio over the past 30 days [1][2]. - JD Group-SWR (89618) and China Lilang (01234) also show high deviation values of 45.61% and 44.19%, respectively [1][2]. - Other companies with notable deviation values include Great Wall Motors-R (82333) at 34.51% and SenseTime-WR (80020) at 34.02% [2].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01308 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 500,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | HKD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 500,000,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： HKD 500,000,000 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所 ...

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's research report indicates that Sea Group (1308.HK) has issued a positive profit warning, expecting a net profit of $1.17 billion for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 140% [1] Financial Performance - The increase in profit is attributed to rising freight rates in the Asia region, expansion of business in the Asian market, and improved operational efficiency [1] - Daiwa has raised its earnings per share forecast for Sea Group for the fiscal years 2022 to 2024 by 2% to 17%, reflecting the better-than-expected profit warning [1] Market Expectations - It is estimated that the market will adjust its earnings forecasts upward, and the company is expected to have a dividend yield exceeding 20% [1] - The target price for Sea Group remains at HKD 60, with a reiterated "Buy" rating [1]

Group 1: Oil Shipping - The fourth quarter is a traditional peak season for oil shipping, with freight rates expected to rise starting in October [2][3] - Current freight rates reflect tight supply levels, and the demand for oil products in the Northern Hemisphere winter typically lasts for three months [1][2] - OPEC+ is expected to continue small production increases in October, contributing to sustained demand for shipping [1][2] Group 2: Near Coastal and Domestic Shipping - After the National Day holiday, freight rates for near coastal and domestic shipping are anticipated to gradually increase [3] - The near coastal shipping market has improved supply-demand dynamics this year, with no new supply of small vessels and aging fleets causing efficiency losses [3] - Increased cargo volumes between Southeast Asia and China, Japan, and South Korea are expected to support demand growth [3] Group 3: Dry Bulk Shipping - Historical data suggests that the BDI index typically rises in September and early October due to increased demand for grain shipments [4] - The post-holiday rush effect is likely to drive freight rates up after the National Day holiday, although rates may decline after the peak grain shipping period [4] - Winter energy demand is expected to boost transportation needs for coal and iron ore, leading to a potential rise in freight rates in late November [4] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The company sees potential investment opportunities in the shipping sector due to ongoing supply tightness and marginal demand improvements [5] - Specific companies highlighted for potential growth include COSCO Shipping Energy (600026), China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872), China Merchants Jinling Shipyard (601975), Seaspan Corporation (01308), and Zhonggu Logistics (603565) [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry is experiencing resilient demand, with a shift towards "quality over quantity" leading to price increases, which will enhance corporate profitability. Companies like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost reduction [4][13] - The shipping sector is anticipated to benefit from the OPEC+ production cycle and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable improvement in the oil transportation market expected in Q4 2025 [13] - The aviation industry is projected to see long-term demand growth due to macroeconomic recovery, with short-term ticket booking data indicating a rebound [13] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is witnessing a significant price increase, with over 90% of regions in China experiencing price hikes, which is expected to improve profitability for companies [4] - Key companies to watch include YTO Express, Shentong Express, Zhongtong Express, and SF Express, all of which are positioned to benefit from the industry's positive trends [13] Shipping and Shipbuilding - The shipping sector is expected to see a cyclical recovery, particularly in oil transportation due to OPEC+ production increases and geopolitical uncertainties enhancing VLCC rate elasticity [13] - The shipbuilding market is in a green transition phase, with new orders expected to improve as market conditions stabilize [13] Aviation - The aviation sector is experiencing low supply growth with increasing demand, leading to a favorable long-term outlook. Companies like China Southern Airlines and Air China are highlighted for their potential [13][14] Logistics and Ports - The logistics sector is seeing a positive trend with companies like Shenzhen International and Debon Logistics expected to benefit from improved competition and operational efficiencies [13] - Port operations are stable, with a focus on cash flow and growth potential in hub ports like China Merchants Port and Qingdao Port [13]

Core Insights - The establishment of "Haifeng Logistics Asia (Thailand) Co., Ltd." marks a significant milestone in the strategic cooperation between Haifeng International and Hisense Group in Southeast Asia [2] - Haifeng International aims to leverage its efficient service network and advanced logistics operations to support Hisense Group's supply chain planning and cost reduction goals [2] - The new company will focus on serving ASEAN markets and enhancing the competitiveness of manufacturing clients in Thailand through integrated smart manufacturing and efficient supply chain systems [2]

Market Updates - UBTECH (09880) rose over 4% after signing a global strategic cooperation agreement with Cloud Intelligence Technology on September 21, with initial orders expected to be fulfilled [1] - Changfei Fiber Optics (06869) fell over 2% as shareholders reduced their holdings by a total of 10% in H-shares, with no significant impact on financial data from the hollow-core fiber [1] - Gold stocks mostly increased, with Lingbao Gold (03330) up over 4%, Zhaojin Mining (01818) up over 3%, China Silver Group (00815) up over 4%, and Shandong Gold (01787) up over 3%. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is expected to support a fluctuating upward trend in gold prices [1] - Yihuatong (02402) surged over 18% after partnering with Toyota to establish a fuel cell company and announcing the termination of the acquisition of Xuyang Hydrogen Energy [1] - WuXi AppTec (02268) increased over 6% after finalizing a subscription agreement that will raise WuXi Biologics' stake to over 50% [1] - Hong Kong Broadband (01310) dropped over 3% after announcing a share placement by its controlling shareholder, China Mobile Hong Kong, to restore public shareholding [1] - Huiju Technology (01729) rose over 10% following a strategic cooperation agreement with OpenAI to develop a revolutionary AI device for consumers [1] Shipping Sector - Shipping stocks experienced significant declines, with China Merchants Energy (01138) down over 6%, Seaspan (01308) down over 5%, Orient Overseas International (00316) down over 4%, and China Merchants Industry Holdings (01919) down over 4%. The Shanghai Shipping Exchange reported weak demand for Chinese export container transport, leading to continued adjustments in ocean freight rates [2] US Market Highlights - Pony.ai (PONY.US) increased by 18.55% as the CFO announced expectations to achieve key profit targets by early 2026 [3] - FedEx (FDX.US) rose 2.32% with projected revenue growth of up to 6% this year, exceeding analyst forecasts [3] - JD.com (JD.US) saw a 0.86% increase, with the iPhone 17 series achieving record sales within the first minute of pre-sale [3] - XPeng Motors (XPEV.US) rose 1.74%, reporting a 137% year-on-year increase in overseas deliveries from January to August [3] - ZTO Express (ZTO.US) fell 0.96%, with analysts noting a significant rebound in express delivery prices in August [3] - WeRide (WRD.US) surged 10.23% after its autonomous bus Robobus received Belgium's first federal-level L4 autonomous driving test license [3] - Tesla (TSLA.US) rose 2.21% as Baird upgraded its rating to "outperform," with expectations for significant stock price increases [4] - Apple (AAPL.US) increased by 3.20% following the successful launch of the iPhone 17 series on September 19 [4] - Quantum Song (QSG.US) rose 13.22%, with the chairman announcing a focus on the trendy toy sector [4]

Group 1 - The shipping stocks in Hong Kong experienced significant declines on September 22, with China Merchants Energy (01138.HK) falling by 7.07% to HKD 9.07 [1] - Seaspan Corporation (01308.HK) saw a decrease of 5.61%, trading at HKD 28.92 [1] - Orient Overseas International (00316.HK) dropped by 4.12%, with shares priced at HKD 128.1 [1] - China Cosco Holdings (01919.HK) declined by 3.98%, reaching HKD 13.27 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The shipping stocks have experienced significant declines due to weak demand for container shipping exports from China, leading to a continued adjustment in freight rates across various routes [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation (600026) saw a drop of 7.07%, trading at HKD 9.07 [1] - Seaspan Corporation (01308) declined by 5.61%, with shares at HKD 28.92 [1] - Orient Overseas International (00316) fell by 4.12%, priced at HKD 128.1 [1] - China COSCO Shipping Holdings (601919) decreased by 3.98%, trading at HKD 13.27 [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The Shanghai Shipping Exchange reported a 14.3% decrease in the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index, which is now at 1198.21 points [1] - European routes are facing weak demand growth, resulting in declining spot market booking prices [1] - North American routes have seen a decrease in demand since early September, leading to a significant drop in spot market booking prices [1] - The Persian Gulf route is also experiencing weak demand, with freight rates continuing to adjust downward [1] - The Australia-New Zealand route shows stable demand, but market rates are still on a downward trend [1] - South American routes are under pressure due to weak demand growth, causing a continued decline in spot market booking prices [1]