Group 1 - Lithium stocks continue to rise, with Ganfeng Lithium up 6.7% at HKD 42.36, Tianqi Lithium up 5.49% at HKD 44.94, CATL up 3.38% at HKD 565.5, and Zhongxin Innovation up 3.4% at HKD 34.7 [1] - The National Natural Resources Department approved the mineral resource change report submitted by Guoxuan High-Tech, which includes the verification of reserves, beneficiation tests, industrial validation, mining design, and ecological restoration plans [1] - Other companies, including CATL, also submitted reports that were approved, although CATL did not provide a direct response to the news [1] Group 2 - There is strong demand for domestic energy storage cells, with leading battery companies operating at full capacity and some orders extending into early next year [2] - According to the "Special Action Plan," by 2027, China's new energy storage installation capacity is expected to exceed 180 million kilowatts, driving an additional investment of approximately CNY 250 billion [2] - CITIC Securities continues to be optimistic about the energy storage and lithium battery sectors, anticipating an increase in industry prosperity [2]

Group 1: Macro Strategy (Gold) - The amount of gold held in ETFs has increased by 0.60%, or 6.01 tons, reaching a total of 1011.73 tons as of September 29 [11] - Gold prices continue to rise, driven by market risk aversion due to the potential government shutdown in the U.S. and ongoing political disagreements [12][14] - The fundamental reason for long-term bullish sentiment on gold is the deteriorating fiscal situation and high government debt burden [12][14] Group 2: Macro Strategy (Government Bonds) - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a new policy financial tool with a total scale of 500 billion yuan aimed at stabilizing economic growth and promoting effective investment [15] - The bond market is expected to experience short-term fluctuations, but the probability of sustained adjustments is low, with recommendations to build long positions on dips [15] Group 3: Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - Brazil's new crop planting rate has reached 3.2%, higher than the same period last year [20] - The U.S. soybean harvest rate is at 19%, in line with market expectations, with a good quality rating of 62% [21] - Domestic demand for soybean meal remains strong, with a decrease in inventory at oil mills [22] Group 4: Black Metals (Rebar/Hot Rolled Coil) - The Ministry of Water Resources expects investment in water conservancy construction during the 14th Five-Year Plan to exceed 5.4 trillion yuan, which is 1.6 times that of the previous plan [25] - Steel prices are expected to remain under pressure due to high iron water production and inventory accumulation, with recommendations for light positions ahead of the holiday [26][27] Group 5: Nonferrous Metals (Zinc) - The nonferrous metals industry has released a stable growth work plan, emphasizing orderly project construction and resource development [40][44] - Domestic zinc ingot inventory has decreased to 141,400 tons, indicating a tightening supply situation [45] - The market sentiment for zinc is cautiously optimistic, with potential for short-term price stabilization [46] Group 6: Energy Chemicals (Soda Ash) - The liquid alkali market in Shandong has seen a slight decline, with general market demand being weak ahead of the holiday [47] - The price of liquid alkali has decreased due to insufficient downstream purchasing activity [48] Group 7: Energy Chemicals (PVC) - The domestic PVC powder market has shown a slight decline, with prices fluctuating between 0-10 yuan/ton [51] - The overall market remains weak, but low valuations may limit further price declines [52] Group 8: Energy Chemicals (Urea) - The utilization rate of compound fertilizer production capacity has decreased to 35.27%, indicating a reduction in production activity [53] - Urea prices are expected to remain under pressure due to high inventory levels and weak demand [54]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司） （股份代號：1772） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B 條 刊 發。 根據中華人民共和國的有關法例規定，江西贛鋒鋰業集團股份有限公司（「本 公 司」）在 深 圳 證 券 交 易 所 網 站（http://www.szse.cn/）刊 發 了 以 下 公 告。茲 載 列 如 下，僅 供 參 閱。 承董事會命 江西贛鋒鋰業集團股份有限公司 董事長 李良彬 中 國‧江 西 二 零 二 五 年 九 月 二 十 九 日 於本公告日 期，董事會成員包括本公司執行董事李良彬先 生、王曉申先 生、沈海博先 生、黃婷女士及李承霖先 生；本公司非執行董事羅榮女 士； 以及本公司獨立非執行董事王金本先 生、黃浩鈞先 生、徐一新女士及徐 光華先 生。 证券代码：002460 ...

本公司及其董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，无 虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 证券代码：002460 证券简称：赣锋锂业 编号：临2025-114 江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司 关于为控股子公司提供担保的进展公告 1、江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司") 于 2025 年 3 月 28 日召开的第五届董事会第九十一次会议、于 2025 年 6 月 25 日召开 2024 年年度股东大会审议通过了《关于 2025 年度公司及 子公司对外担保额度预计的议案》，为满足公司及子公司的发展和生 产经营需要，同意公司向子公司提供连带责任保证担保额度合计人民 币 2,521,000 万元，同意子公司向子公司提供连带责任保证担保额度 人民币 1,114,000 万元，两项合计担保总额人民币 3,635,000 万元（包 括新增担保和原有担保的展期或续保）。其中公司及子公司向资产负 债率 70%以上的子公司提供总额不超过人民币 1,501,000 万元，向资 产负债率 70%以下的子公司（含新设立暂无财务数据的子公司）提供 总额不超过人民币 2,134,000 万元。本次担保额度在 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the release of the "Mechanical Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by six government departments, aiming to promote high-quality development in the manufacturing sector, particularly in key areas such as industrial mother machines, agricultural machinery, and robotics [1][3][6]. Group 1: Policy Initiatives - The plan aims for the mechanical industry to maintain a stable and positive trend, targeting an average annual revenue growth rate of approximately 3.5%, with total revenue exceeding 10 trillion yuan by 2025-2026 [3]. - Specific measures include enhancing major technological renovations and large-scale equipment updates, focusing on replacing outdated equipment with more efficient and environmentally friendly alternatives [3][4]. - The plan emphasizes the promotion of intelligent manufacturing and the integration of new technologies such as artificial intelligence and quantum technology into equipment development [6][7]. Group 2: Market Response - Following the announcement, the robotics sector saw significant activity in the stock market, with nearly 20 related stocks hitting the daily limit or rising over 10% [2][8]. - The non-ferrous metals sector also experienced a collective surge, with an overall increase of more than 3.7% on the same day, driven by supportive policies in various industries [2]. Group 3: Industry Development Focus - The plan outlines the need to cultivate competitive small and medium-sized enterprises and industry clusters with international competitiveness, particularly in high-tech fields [3][7]. - It encourages the development of new economic models such as the "first economy," "ice and snow economy," and "smart tourism," expanding the application of specialized robots and smart equipment [5][6]. - The initiative aims to enhance the integration of artificial intelligence in healthcare, promoting the use of smart medical equipment and robotics in various healthcare scenarios [5][6].

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant rise, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 1.89% at 26,622.88 points and a total trading volume of HKD 309.1 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 2.08%, closing at 6,324.25 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 1.62% to 9,454.12 points [1] Blue-Chip Stocks - Alibaba (09988) saw a notable increase of 4.14%, closing at HKD 173.4, contributing 104.49 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Morgan Stanley raised its forecast for Alibaba's capital expenditure for FY2026-2028 from RMB 100-108 billion to RMB 130-135 billion, citing growth in Alibaba Cloud [2] - Other blue-chip stocks like New Oriental (09901) and Zijin Mining (02899) also performed well, with increases of 7.86% and 5.86% respectively [2] Sector Performance - Large technology stocks generally rose, with Kuaishou and Alibaba both up over 4%, while Xiaomi saw a decline of 2.01% [3] - The financial sector showed strong performance, with Huatai Securities (06886) up 12.55% and other major brokerages also experiencing significant gains [3] - The metals sector performed well, with stocks like Zhaojin Mining (01818) and Ganfeng Lithium (01772) rising by 6.68% and 6.55% respectively [4][5] Policy and Economic Outlook - The central bank emphasized the need for a moderately loose monetary policy to boost credit and investment in the financial sector [4] - The A-share margin trading balance reached a historical high, indicating increased trading activity and potential for growth in brokerage earnings [4] Emerging Trends - The demand for energy storage is strong, with leading battery companies operating at full capacity and orders extending into next year [7] - The new energy storage installation target for 2027 is set at 180 million kilowatts, which is expected to drive an investment of approximately RMB 250 billion [7] - The gaming and tourism sectors are anticipated to benefit from the upcoming National Day holiday, with hotel occupancy rates nearing 90% [8] Notable Stock Movements - Ubiquitous Robotics (09880) reported a significant contract worth RMB 30 million for its humanoid robots, indicating strong demand in the robotics sector [6] - Lai Kai Pharmaceutical (02105) saw an increase of 11.16% after positive results from its obesity treatment trials [10] - Xiaomi (01810) faced a decline of 2.01% due to a downward revision in expected shipments for its 17 series smartphones [11]

Report Overview - Report Title: How Will the Balance Evolve under High Supply and Demand Elasticity after the Supply Shock? - Research Institute: Orient Futures Derivatives Research Institute - Date: September 2025 - Analyst: Chen Yixuan 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - In the short term, the lithium market presents a combination of strong reality and weak expectations, with limited de - stocking and a surplus pattern. It is recommended to look for short - selling opportunities on price rallies and reverse spread opportunities for LC2511 - 2512. In the long term, although the static balance remains in surplus, the high - growth demand will ease the apparent inventory build - up pressure in 2026, and the trading strategy can gradually shift from shorting on rallies to buying on dips [61]. 3. Summary by Relevant Directory Q3 Market Review - Since the end of June, lithium prices have rebounded rapidly from the bottom to 90,000 yuan, then fluctuated after a spike. From late June to mid - July, demand expectation correction drove the price to stabilize and rebound; from mid - July to mid - August, supply - side risks led to a rapid price increase; since mid - August, after the market priced in the shutdown of Jianxiaowo, the price corrected to account for the increased supply stimulated by high prices [2][5]. Supply - Side Uncertainty - Since mid - July, mining license risks in Jiangxi and Qinghai have intensified. The shutdown of some projects raised concerns about domestic supply risks, and the expiration of Jianxiaowo's mining license in August triggered market sentiment. However, since late August, the resumption of previously shut - down projects has cooled market enthusiasm [6][8]. Supply Pressure and Inventory - High prices have accelerated the manifestation of supply pressure. After the price rebound, the output of spodumene processing increased rapidly, offsetting the reduction in mica supply. Since late August, the generation of warehouse receipts has accelerated. Currently, domestic ore inventory is still at a moderately high level, and imported ore flows in stably, with new projects expanding production capacity, so there is no significant constraint on lithium salt supply [9][11][12]. Lithium Salt Trade and Resource Output - In terms of lithium salt shipments, South American shipments are in line with capacity ramp - up expectations, and Indonesia has brought marginal increments. The regional premium has changed the trade flow of lithium salts. The revised global lithium resource supply in 2025 is expected to increase by 270,000 tons LCE year - on - year, and the impact of mining license disruptions is limited. In 2026, the project reserve is still sufficient, with an expected year - on - year increase of 300,000 tons LCE, but some mica capacity may face supply uncertainty [16][19][22]. Terminal Demand - In the power market, new - energy passenger vehicle sales in China, Europe, and the US from January to August increased by 36%, 28%, and 4% year - on - year respectively. The new - energy commercial vehicle market is a highlight, with sales in China from January to August increasing by 66% year - on - year. The domestic and overseas energy - storage markets have continuously exceeded expectations, with high growth in domestic large - scale energy - storage project bids and a significant increase in overseas exports [30][36][41]. Market Balance - In the short term, the market is in a de - stocking phase, but the de - stocking amplitude is limited. The fundamental situation supports prices in the short term but cannot drive prices up independently. In the long term, from 2025 to 2026, the global lithium resource market remains in surplus, but the apparent inventory build - up in 2026 may narrow, and the inventory - to - consumption ratio will decrease [48][51][55]. Strategy Recommendation - Short - term: Given the strong reality and weak expectations, limited de - stocking, and the expectation of project resumption, it is recommended to look for short - selling opportunities on price rallies and reverse spread opportunities for LC2511 - 2512. Long - term: As the demand growth will ease the inventory build - up pressure in 2026, the trading strategy can gradually shift from shorting on rallies to buying on dips [61].

每经AI快讯，9月29日，A股能源金属板块震荡走高，赣锋锂业涨超8%，中矿资源、华友钴业、腾远钴 业、天华新能、天齐锂业等个股跟涨。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the non-ferrous metal sector is driven by a significant policy announcement aimed at stabilizing growth in the industry, leading to a notable increase in stock prices for related companies in both Hong Kong and A-shares markets [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - In the Hong Kong stock market, several non-ferrous metal companies saw substantial gains, including Zijin Mining (+5.60%), Ganfeng Lithium (+5.37%), and China Aluminum International (+5.29%) [1]. - A-shares also experienced a positive trend, with companies like Yicheng New Energy and Boqian New Materials hitting the daily limit up, and Hengdian East Magnetic rising by 6.16% [2]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with eight other departments, released the "Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", projecting an average annual growth of around 5% in the industry's added value and a 1.5% increase in the production of ten major non-ferrous metals [3]. - The plan addresses current challenges in the industry, proposing ten initiatives focused on resource security, supply optimization, transformation promotion, consumption expansion, and strengthening cooperation [3]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The non-ferrous metal industry is showing strong performance, with a reported 7.8% year-on-year increase in the added value of large-scale non-ferrous metal industries from January to August 2025, outpacing the overall industrial growth [3]. - Analysts from various institutions express optimism about the sector's future, citing factors such as potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and seasonal demand increases in the aluminum and lithium markets [5].

Group 1: Solid-State Battery Developments - A research team led by Professor Zhang Qiang from Tsinghua University has made significant progress in polymer electrolytes for lithium batteries, developing a new fluorinated polyether electrolyte that enhances physical contact and ionic conductivity at solid-state interfaces, potentially aiding the development of mature solid-state battery products [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and eight other departments have issued an action plan emphasizing solid-state batteries as a key focus area, aiming to support the transition of lithium and sodium batteries to solid-state technology and to establish 3 to 5 global leading enterprises by 2027 [4] - As of September 25, 21 solid-state battery concept stocks have seen net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan since September, with companies like CATL, Xian Dao Intelligent, Guoxuan High-Tech, and Ganfeng Lithium leading in net purchase amounts [4] Group 2: Market Reactions and Trends - The solid-state battery sector has experienced a surge in stock prices, with several companies reaching their daily limit up due to positive market sentiment [3] - Brokerages have seen a rise in stock prices, with Guosheng Financial hitting the daily limit, and other firms like Xinda Securities, GF Securities, Huatai Securities, and CITIC Securities also experiencing gains [4] - The central bank has emphasized the need for a moderately loose monetary policy to encourage financial institutions to increase credit supply, which may positively impact the financial sector [7] Group 3: AI Infrastructure Investments - Alibaba has announced a three-year investment plan of 380 billion yuan for AI infrastructure, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing computational capabilities [11] - The demand for computational power is rapidly increasing due to the AI technology revolution, with estimates suggesting that the training requirements for large models double every 3 to 4 months [12] - Investment in computational infrastructure is expected to drive economic growth, with projections indicating that every yuan invested in the computational industry could generate 3 to 4 yuan in GDP growth [12]