Group 1 - Morgan Stanley raised the target price for Innovent Biologics (01801.HK) from HKD 74 to HKD 84, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] - The increase in target price is attributed to upcoming catalysts and updates following the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) meeting [1] - The positive data on overall survival for IBI363 presented at the ASCO conference is expected to drive further stock performance [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley anticipates that the drug MaShidu will receive approval in China within 1 to 2 months, potentially providing additional stock options [1] - The sales forecast for IBI363 has been raised by approximately 95% post-ASCO meeting, along with an increase in pipeline valuation [1] - The firm holds a moderate sales expectation for MaShidu in 2025 [1]

截至2025年6月9日 09:52，中证港股通医药卫生综合指数(930965)强势上涨3.02%，成分股金斯瑞生物科技(01548)上涨9.44%，云顶新耀(01952)上涨9.02%， 诺诚健华(09969)上涨8.66%，东阳光长江药业(01558)，微创医疗(00853)等个股跟涨。港股医药ETF(159718)上涨2.75%，最新价报0.82元。拉长时间看，截至 2025年6月6日，港股医药ETF近1周累计上涨4.58%，涨幅排名可比基金1/4。 流动性方面，港股医药ETF盘中换手13.65%，成交3449.90万元，市场交投活跃。拉长时间看，截至6月6日，港股医药ETF近1周日均成交8878.41万元。 规模方面，港股医药ETF近2周规模增长784.63万元，实现显著增长，新增规模位居可比基金1/4。 6月9日，创新药概念股再度冲高，南新制药、艾迪药业、盟科药业-U、舒泰神、首药控股-U等涨逾6%。 消息面上，2025ASCO会议共有来自中国的73项口头报告，数量创下历史新高。184项ADC管线相关研究入选，其中89项来自中国，约占总体的48.4%。中国 企业发布双抗研究约34项，占整体双抗研究的比 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Innovent Biologics with a revised 12-month price target of HK$74.95, reflecting an upside potential of 15.2% from the current price of HK$65.05 [15][9]. Core Insights - Innovent Biologics has shown encouraging survival benefits for its drug IBI363 in various cancer indications, particularly in IO-treated squamous and adeno NSCLC, with improved overall response rate (ORR) and progression-free survival (PFS) data compared to previous reports [1][2][12]. - The risk-adjusted sales forecast for IBI363 has been raised to US$3.2 billion by 2035, up from US$1.4 billion, due to the addition of 2L adeno NSCLC and an increase in the probability of success (POS) for other indications [1][9]. - The report highlights the importance of randomized controlled trials (RCT) to further validate the long-term benefits of IBI363, especially in the context of its mechanism of action that enhances the immune environment [7][12]. Summary by Sections Clinical Data - The updated phase 1 data for IBI363 indicates a median PFS of 9.3 months for the high-dose cohort, an increase from 7.3 months previously reported, and a median overall survival (mOS) of 15.3 months, suggesting a strong conversion from PFS to OS [2][7]. - In adeno NSCLC, the median PFS was shorter at 5.6 months, but the overall survival data remains competitive, indicating potential lasting benefits post-disease progression [3][7]. Market Position and Valuation - Innovent Biologics is positioned as a leading biopharma company in China with a robust pipeline of over 30 assets, including the leading PD-1 inhibitor sintilimab [12]. - The report emphasizes that Innovent is undervalued at current levels, with a high market-implied weighted average cost of capital (WACC) that does not fully reflect its strong revenue potential and pipeline [12]. Future Outlook - The ongoing phase 1b/2 trial for IBI363 in combination with chemotherapy in the first-line setting is expected to generate further discussions regarding its competitive safety profile and efficacy [8][12]. - The report anticipates that the company will maintain its leading position in the biotech sector in China, supported by strong commercialization capabilities and collaborations with global partners [12].

信达生物 20250608 摘要 363 项目的数据表现优异。在混合组（剂量为 1~1.5 毫克）中，中位总生存期 （OS）达到 15.3 个月，而 12 个月 OS 率也显示出积极预期。鳞癌组数据显示， 该品种疗效在研品种中表现突出，中位无进展生存期（mPFS）达到 9.3 个月。 此外，高剂量组（3 毫克）的未来 OS 水平预期较高，这些数据表明 363 在非 Q&A 信达生物在创新药领域的最新进展是什么？ 信达生物近期在创新药领域取得了显著进展，特别是在 PD-1/CTLA-4 双抗 363 项目上。该项目目前在黑色素瘤、非小细胞肺癌和结直肠癌等适应症上积 累了大量数据，成功率较高。2025 年 1 月，信达生物与 Kakao 合作启动了黑 色素瘤的临床试验。363 项目作为 first in class 品种，其机制有效性和特异性 激活免疫系统的潜力得到了临床前研究和 ASCO 会议上的数据验证。 为什么 PD-1 类药物值得关注？ PD-1 类药物因其广泛的适应症拓展能力而备受关注，特别是在非小细胞肺癌 （NSCLC）中的应用。全球范围内，NSCLC 占据 PD-1 销售比例最高，大约 为 43%。 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference highlighted the significant advancements in China's innovative drug development, particularly in the oncology sector, showcased at the ASCO conference with a record number of presentations and reports [2][1]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Increased Global Competitiveness**: Chinese innovative drugs have shown remarkable improvement in global competitiveness, evidenced by a rise in high-value licensing agreements and a record number of presentations at ASCO, including 73 oral presentations and 11 LBA reports [2][1]. - **Significant Data from IBI363**: - IBI363, a second-generation IO product from Innovent Biologics, demonstrated a total survival rate (OS) exceeding 15 months in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, significantly outperforming existing therapies [6][10]. - In colorectal cancer, the 1 mg dose group achieved an OS of 17.5 months, nearing first-line treatment levels, with a disease control rate (DCR) exceeding 60% when combined with Bevacizumab [7][8]. - **Advancements in Dual Antibodies**: Companies like Innovent, Zai Lab, and 3SBio reported promising data in the dual antibody sector, particularly with IBI363 enhancing IL-2 functionality while reducing toxicity [3][1]. - **ADC and Small Molecule Innovations**: Companies such as Hengrui, Kelun, and Innovent showcased strong data in the ADC and small molecule therapy fields, indicating ongoing innovation in these advanced treatment modalities [5][1]. Noteworthy Developments - **Kangfang Biotech's Progress**: The PD-1 antibody, Cadonilimab, showed promising progression-free survival (PFS) rates of 12 months in patients with low PD-L1 expression, highlighting its potential in cervical cancer treatment [14][1]. - **Botai's ADC Drug Performance**: Botai's ADC drug 264 exhibited an overall response rate (ORR) of 45.1% in HER2 mutation-resistant patients, significantly higher than the control group [26][1]. - **Clinical Data from Other Companies**: - Companies like BeiGene and Maiwei Biotech presented data on ADCs and small molecules, demonstrating significant advancements in the treatment of various malignancies [16][1][17][1]. - The combination of Savolitinib and Osimertinib in NSCLC patients showed a PFS of 8.2 months, indicating a substantial improvement over chemotherapy [23][24]. Additional Important Insights - **Safety and Efficacy of IBI363**: Despite a treatment-related adverse event (TRAE) rate exceeding 40%, the main side effects were manageable, and the overall safety profile was deemed controllable [10][1]. - **Future Expectations for IBI363**: There is optimism regarding IBI363's future clinical data in first-line treatments and its safety profile in various indications, enhancing market confidence [9][1]. - **Emerging ADC Data**: Companies like LianTuo Biotech reported promising ADC data, with B7H3 ADC showing an ORR of 42.3% in CRPC patients [28][1]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, focusing on the advancements in the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, particularly in oncology, and the promising data from various innovative therapies.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the biopharmaceutical sector [7]. Core Insights - The PD-(L)1 monoclonal antibody market is vast, with multiple companies developing PD-1 class upgrade products, including PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibodies and PD-1/IL-2 bispecific antibodies. The IBI363 from Innovent Biologics is expected to be the next significant PD-1 upgrade product following the PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody [2][21]. - IBI363 has shown excellent data in the treatment of wild-type NSCLC and colorectal cancer, indicating its potential to expand into first-line treatment markets based on its performance in the IO resistant market [2][22]. - The competitive landscape for PD-1/IL-2 bispecific antibodies is favorable for IBI363, as it is the only PD-1/IL-2α bispecific antibody currently in Phase II clinical trials, while most competitors are in earlier stages [3][25]. Summary by Sections Weekly New Drug Market Review - From June 2 to June 6, 2025, the top five companies in the new drug sector by stock performance were Junsheng Tai Pharmaceutical-B (24.29%), Zai Lab (23.28%), Innovent Biologics (18.08%), Maiwei Biopharma (17.72%), and Shenzhou Cell (17.24%). The bottom five were Deqi Pharmaceutical-B (-12.68%), JACOB-B (-11.90%), Heptares Therapeutics-B (-10.86%), CanSino Biologics-B (-10.75%), and WuXi AppTec-B (-8.54%) [1][17]. Weekly New Drug Industry Analysis - The report highlights the potential of IBI363 as a next-generation PD-1 upgrade product, with promising data presented at ASCO 2025. The drug is expected to target multiple tumor types and expand into first-line treatment markets [2][21]. Weekly New Drug Approval & Acceptance Status - This week, 20 new drug or new indication applications were approved in China, including drugs from Zai Lab and Shenzhen Xinlitai. Additionally, 11 new drug applications were accepted, including those from MSD and Eli Lilly [4][28]. Weekly New Drug Clinical Application Approval & Acceptance Status - There were 21 new drug clinical application approvals and 43 new drug clinical applications accepted in the domestic market this week [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 95.42 HKD, compared to the last closing price of 74.25 HKD [1][10]. Core Views - The report highlights that the clinical data for IBI363, a dual-specific antibody fusion protein, has exceeded expectations in treating advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), colorectal cancer (CRC), and melanoma [3][4][5][6]. - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 94.22 billion HKD in 2024, increasing to 207.91 billion HKD by 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 51.82% in 2024 and 31.60% in 2027 [11][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The total share capital is 1.65 billion shares, with a total market capitalization of 1,225 billion HKD [2]. - The company has a strong pipeline with multiple important developments expected in 2025, including approvals for various treatments [9]. Clinical Data - IBI363 showed a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 9.3 months and a 12-month overall survival (OS) rate of 70.9% in patients with immune-resistant lung squamous cell carcinoma [4]. - In CRC patients, IBI363 demonstrated a median overall survival (mOS) of 16.1 months, indicating a significant improvement over existing treatment options [5]. - For melanoma, IBI363 achieved an mPFS of 5.7 months, with ongoing trials comparing it to pembrolizumab in treatment-naive patients [6]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 6.23 billion HKD in 2025, with a significant increase to 30.77 billion HKD by 2027, reflecting a net profit growth rate of 132.26% in 2027 [11][15]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from -0.06 HKD in 2024 to 1.87 HKD in 2027 [11][15]. Valuation - The valuation methods used include DCF and NPV, resulting in a target market value of 1,574 billion HKD, which corresponds to the target stock price of 95.42 HKD [10].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical sector, indicating that the industry is expected to experience a sustained recovery and structural opportunities remain available [5][41]. Core Insights - The 2025 ASCO conference highlighted a record number of domestic new drug entries, with 74 abstracts accepted, including 34 oral presentations and 32 rapid oral presentations, marking a significant increase from 55 entries in 2024 [7][11]. - Several domestic innovative drugs demonstrated promising clinical data, particularly in oncology, with notable advancements in treatments for advanced non-small cell lung cancer, colorectal cancer, and pancreatic cancer [11][12][15]. - The pharmaceutical industry has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a rolling P/E ratio of 34.47 compared to 12.56 for the CSI 300, indicating a premium of 174.35% over the index [20][41]. Monthly Policy and Industry Updates - The ASCO 2025 conference showcased a record number of domestic new drugs, with significant clinical data released that attracted market attention [7][11]. - Multiple domestic new drugs reported impressive data, particularly in the field of cancer treatment, indicating breakthroughs in various therapies [11][12][15]. Industry Data Dynamics - The pharmaceutical sector has shown weaker performance compared to the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 14.00% in the SW pharmaceutical and biological index from early 2023 to June 5, 2025, while the CSI 300 index increased by 0.15% [20]. - The revenue growth of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry has slowed due to the pandemic's impact, but it continues to grow faster than GDP [23]. - Outpatient expenses have risen due to the pandemic, while inpatient costs have been effectively controlled, reflecting the impact of healthcare reforms [26]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in innovative drugs and their supply chains, as well as in medical devices and third-party medical testing [41][42]. - Specific companies to watch include innovative drug manufacturers and those involved in medical device exports, as well as companies benefiting from ongoing healthcare reforms [41][42][43].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical sector, indicating that the industry is expected to experience a sustained recovery and structural opportunities remain available [5][41]. Core Insights - The 2025 ASCO conference highlighted a record number of domestic new drug entries, with 74 abstracts accepted, including 34 oral presentations and 32 rapid oral presentations, marking a significant increase from 55 entries in 2024 [7][11]. - Several domestic innovative drugs demonstrated promising clinical data, particularly in oncology, with notable advancements in treatments for advanced non-small cell lung cancer, colorectal cancer, and pancreatic cancer [11][12][15]. - The pharmaceutical industry has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a rolling P/E ratio of 34.47 compared to 12.56 for the CSI 300, indicating a premium of 174.35% over the index [20][41]. Monthly Policy and Industry Updates - The ASCO 2025 conference showcased a record number of domestic new drugs, with significant clinical data released that attracted market attention [7][11]. - Multiple domestic drugs reported impressive results, particularly in cancer treatment, with specific drugs showing superior efficacy compared to existing therapies [11][12][15]. Industry Data Dynamics - The pharmaceutical sector has shown weaker performance compared to the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 14.00% in the SW pharmaceutical and biological index from early 2023 to June 5, 2025, while the CSI 300 index increased by 0.15% [20]. - The revenue growth of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry has slowed due to the pandemic's impact, but it continues to grow faster than GDP [23]. - Outpatient expenses have risen due to the pandemic, while inpatient costs have been effectively controlled [26]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in innovative drugs and their supply chains, as well as in medical devices and third-party medical testing [41][42]. - Specific companies are highlighted for their strong positions in the market, including those involved in innovative drug development and medical device manufacturing [41][42][43].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 84.00, indicating a potential upside of 16.2% from the current price of HKD 72.30 [4][14]. Core Insights - The early data for IBI363 in lung cancer is encouraging, revealing a significant market opportunity. The target price has been raised due to the inclusion of IBI363 in the valuation model, with an estimated peak sales potential of approximately USD 1.5 billion by 2028 [2][7]. - The company plans to initiate a Phase III registration study for IBI363 in squamous NSCLC patients who have failed prior PD-(L)1 therapy, having received breakthrough therapy designation from CDE [7][10]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections show a strong growth trajectory, with expected revenues of RMB 6,206 million in 2023, increasing to RMB 17,071 million by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36.2% from 2023 to 2024 and 20.0% from 2026 to 2027 [3][15]. - The net profit is projected to turn positive in 2025, with an estimated net profit of RMB 751 million, growing to RMB 3,242 million by 2027 [3][15]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to improve significantly, moving from a loss of RMB 0.66 in 2023 to a profit of RMB 1.97 by 2027 [3][15]. Clinical Data Highlights - IBI363 demonstrated an overall response rate (ORR) of 26-37% in squamous NSCLC patients, with a median progression-free survival (PFS) of 5.5-9.3 months and a median overall survival (OS) exceeding 15.3 months [7][8]. - In the non-squamous NSCLC cohort, the ORR was 24% with a median PFS of 5.6 months, indicating the drug's potential effectiveness in a challenging treatment landscape [7][9]. Market Potential - The report highlights a significant unmet need in the second-line treatment for I/O resistant NSCLC patients, with current therapies showing an ORR of less than 20% and median PFS/OS of less than 4 months/12 months [7][10]. - The global sales for PD-(L)1 drugs are projected to exceed USD 40 billion in 2024, underscoring the substantial market opportunity for effective therapies like IBI363 [7].