人民财讯9月29日电，企查查APP显示，近日，阿里巴巴(中国)有限公司多枚"通义灵眸"商标注册成功， 国际分类涉及社会法律、科学仪器等。公开信息显示，通义灵眸是阿里巴巴旗下通义大模型推出的数字 人生成与应用平台，提供从定制开发到多场景部署的一站式解决方案。 ...

Summary of Alibaba Group Holding Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Alibaba Group Holding (BABA.N) - **Industry**: China Internet and Other Services - **Current Market Cap**: US$408.31 billion - **Price Target**: Raised from US$165.00 to US$200.00, implying a 16% upside from the current price of US$171.91 [1][22][31] Key Points Cloud Growth and Capital Expenditure - **Cloud Growth Estimates**: Increased to 32% for F26 and 40% for F27, up from 30% for both years previously, driven by increased capital expenditure (capex), model upgrades, strategic partnerships, and international expansion [1][3] - **Capex Estimates**: Raised to Rmb130-135 billion annually for F26-28, from Rmb100-108 billion, anticipating an additional 10-15GW of data center capacity by 2032 [2][22] Demand and Product Developments - **Solid Demand**: Management reported that the number of tokens has doubled every 2-3 months, indicating strong demand for cloud services [3] - **New Developments**: Announced flagship model Qwen3-Max, partnership with NVIDIA for physical AI, and the launch of data centers in Brazil, France, and the Netherlands [3] Core Business Performance - **Customer Management Revenue (CMR)**: Expected to sustain 10% growth in F2Q and F26, supported by improved take rates and contributions from quick commerce [4] - **Operational Efficiency**: Management aims to reduce unallocated expenses (UE) losses by half in October, with estimated QC losses of Rmb35 billion in 2QF26 and Rmb80 billion for F26 [4] Financial Projections - **Revenue Estimates**: Revenue estimates for F26 and F27 increased by 1-2% due to cloud growth acceleration and sustained core business growth [5][21] - **Valuation Metrics**: DCF-based price target of US$200 implies a 17x F28 non-GAAP P/E ratio, with a SOTP valuation rising to US$250 from US$200 [5][22] Risk and Reward Analysis - **Investment Thesis**: Alibaba is positioned to benefit from the current AI cycle in China, with expectations of business reacceleration and improved monetization [27][31] - **Regulatory Environment**: The easing of the Internet regulatory environment is seen as a positive for Alibaba, enhancing its position as a proxy for China [31] Financial Summary - **Projected Revenue**: Expected to reach Rmb1,018.88 billion in F26, with net income projected at Rmb119.01 billion [21][24] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Projected GAAP EPS for F26 is Rmb50.08, with non-GAAP diluted EPS at Rmb51.20 [21][24] Additional Insights - **Market Position**: Alibaba holds the largest cloud infrastructure in China, which is expected to capture market share amid increasing AI adoption [31] - **Cash Flow and Dividends**: Strong cash flow generation capabilities and ongoing share buybacks are anticipated to provide downside support [32] Conclusion The conference call highlighted Alibaba's robust growth prospects in cloud services, driven by strategic investments and product innovations. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the evolving AI landscape in China, with a favorable regulatory environment supporting its growth trajectory.

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market opened positively on September 29, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.74% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.67%, driven by significant inflows into key tech stocks like Alibaba and Meituan [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) followed the upward trend of the index, with leading stocks including Tongcheng Travel, Trip.com, Alibaba, Kuaishou, and Meituan [1] - As of September 26, southbound funds recorded a net inflow of HKD 43.96 billion for the week, bringing the total net inflow for the year to HKD 1153.69 billion, significantly surpassing last year's total [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Highlights - On September 26, Alibaba saw a net inflow of HKD 2.41 billion from southbound funds, marking 26 consecutive trading days of net buying [1] - Morgan Stanley's latest report continues to view Alibaba as China's best AI enabler, reflecting strong institutional interest [1] Group 3: Institutional Investments - Morgan Chase increased its stake in Alibaba from 6.81% to 12.29% as of September 22 [1] - Cathie Wood's ARK Invest purchased approximately USD 16.3 million worth of Alibaba ADRs through two ETFs on September 22, marking a significant re-entry into the stock [1] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Alibaba is the largest weighted stock in the Hang Seng Tech Index, with a weight of 9.14%, providing an opportunity for investors without a Hong Kong stock connect account to access Chinese AI core assets through the Hang Seng Tech Index ETF (513180) [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the media and internet industry [4] Core Views - The report emphasizes the trend towards specialization and quality in group broadcasting, indicating a shift from reliance on individual charisma to systematic innovation for stable growth [6] - The gaming sector shows strong resilience and potential for new game contributions, with expectations for financial validation in Q3. The current gaming market is characterized by product performance-driven valuation recovery without significant bubbles [5] - The film and television sectors are expected to see steady growth driven by quality films and new policies aimed at enhancing content supply [7][39] - The internet sector is advised to rationally assess platform strategies in the context of reduced competition, with a focus on innovation rather than price wars [8] Summary by Sections Gaming Sector - Major companies like Tencent and NetEase are expected to continue performing well, with a focus on high-quality products and new game releases [5] - Recommendations include monitoring top gaming companies exploring AI integration and the potential for value reassessment based on product performance [5] Film and Television - The film "731" has achieved over 1 billion yuan in box office revenue, indicating a positive trend for the film market [6][41] - Upcoming films and series are expected to contribute to market growth, with a focus on quality production companies and cinema chains [6][7] - The report highlights new government initiatives aimed at enhancing television content supply and improving production efficiency [7] Internet Sector - The report suggests a shift in the internet sector towards stable growth through innovation, moving away from aggressive price competition [8] - Key players like Tencent and Alibaba are noted for their resilience and strategic adjustments in organizational structure [8] AI Applications - The report highlights the importance of AI applications in various sectors, including e-commerce and gaming, with a focus on revenue-generating applications [10] - Companies are encouraged to explore AI integration in their business models to enhance operational efficiency and market competitiveness [10] Card and Trendy Toys - The report notes a high level of interest in the card and trendy toy sectors, with companies expanding their product lines and market presence [9] National Publishing and Media - The report emphasizes the ongoing exploration of new business models by state-owned publishing companies, with a focus on mergers and acquisitions [11]

在过去的一个星期里，港股的交易出现了一个新变化，就是资金开始对科技巨头大比例买入了，比较典型的是阿里巴巴港股通成交总额达到了822亿港元， 位列十大活跃个股第一，这个成交中南向资金的合计净买入金额达到了166亿港元，这个金额相当于过去一周沪深港股通合计成交的37%，创出了港股通开 通以来的新高。 一边是获得了大比例资金的买入，一边则是股价的水涨船高，过去一周阿里巴巴上涨幅度接近5%，而年内的涨幅则已经翻倍了，至于说阿里巴巴为什么会 获得那么多资金买入，主要还是2025年阿里云栖大会上，一方面是宣布了算力方面的大比例投入，金额会超过3800亿元，另一方面会与英伟达开展相关AI 合作，这个当中包括合成处理、模型训练等，总体上给大家的感受是，如今的阿里巴巴已经脱胎换骨了，成为了一家人工智能为代表的公司，已经不是过去 的那种电商标签为主了。 从这些数据中，应该能够看出恒生科技指数的性价比了，只是目前的形态上稍微的有些滞涨，其实能够经历一次短期的调整，性价比就大大的提升了，我觉 得投资的价值也会明显上升。 对普通人而言，投资个股的难度大时，关注并投资指数往往是一种相对较为平衡的投资方式。 免责声明：文中内容仅供参考，不 ...

2、港股通最近5个交易日增持榜（前10名） | 公司名称 | 持股额变动 | 持股数变动 | | --- | --- | --- | | 阿里巴巴－W(09988) | +96.59亿元 | +5801.17万股 | | 腾讯控股(00700) | +25.52亿元 | +396.28万股 | | 中芯国际(00981) | +14.72亿元 | +2017.62万股 | | 山高控股(00412) | +12.51亿元 | +27365.70万股 | | 中国移动(00941) | +10.00亿元 | +1175.98万股 | | 极兔速递-W(01519) | +8.17亿元 | +8265.64万股 | | 金山云(03896) | +7.66亿元 | +9146.40万股 | | 快手-W(01024) | +7.31亿元 | +967.56万股 | | 紫金矿业(02899) | +7.04亿元 | +2317.49万股 | | 康方生物(09926) | +6.74亿元 | +508.25万股 | 智通财经APP获悉，根据2025年9月26日披露数据，中远海能（01138）、中国电信（00728 ...

Short Selling Ratios - The top three companies with the highest short selling ratios are Sun Hung Kai Properties (80016) and China Resources Beer (80291) at 100.00%, and Li Ning (82331) at 96.79% [1][2] - Other notable companies include Lenovo Group (80992) at 92.85% and Anta Sports (82020) at 87.03% [2] Short Selling Amounts - Alibaba (09988) leads in short selling amount with HKD 4.096 billion, followed by Xiaomi (01810) at HKD 3.491 billion and Tencent (00700) at HKD 2.244 billion [1][2] - Other significant amounts include SMIC (00981) at HKD 1.248 billion and Pop Mart (09992) at HKD 1.064 billion [2] Deviation Values - The highest deviation values are seen in China COSCO Shipping International (00517) at 50.31%, followed by Bank of China Hong Kong (82388) at 42.42% and Grand Hotel (00045) at 39.95% [1][2] - Other companies with notable deviation values include Lenovo Group (80992) at 36.64% and China Resources Beer (80291) at 35.99% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the issue of video platforms extending advertisement durations beyond what is indicated, leading to consumer dissatisfaction and potential violations of consumer rights [11][27][39]. Group 1: Advertisement Duration Issues - The National Market Regulation Administration has responded to complaints about discrepancies between advertisement durations and their actual lengths on video platforms [7][11]. - Testing across major video apps like iQIYI, Mango TV, and Youku revealed significant instances of advertisement overrun, with some platforms exhibiting particularly severe issues [12][13]. - Various forms of advertisement overrun were identified, including initial ads not counting towards the countdown, forced continuation of ads after the countdown, and additional ads appearing post-countdown [16][20][24]. Group 2: Economic Implications - iQIYI reported an advertisement revenue of 1.27 billion yuan in Q2, while Mango TV's revenue for the first half of the year was 1.587 billion yuan, indicating the financial significance of advertisement durations for these platforms [24]. - The article suggests that the additional seconds gained from advertisement overruns can accumulate into substantial revenue when multiplied by millions of users and views [25]. Group 3: Consumer Rights and Trust - The misleading countdown practices by video platforms are seen as a violation of consumer rights, as they create a false expectation of advertisement duration [27][39]. - The platforms often use ambiguous language in their advertisements, implying that ads will end after the countdown, which can be interpreted as a deceptive practice [29][31]. - The article calls for video platforms to focus on improving content and service quality to regain consumer trust, rather than employing tactics that undermine it [40][41].

Group 1 - Alibaba is actively advancing a three-year plan for AI infrastructure construction with an investment of 380 billion yuan, indicating a commitment to continuous and larger investments [1] - By 2032, the energy consumption scale of Alibaba Cloud's global data centers is expected to increase tenfold compared to 2022 [1] - NVIDIA and OpenAI have announced a strategic partnership, with OpenAI deploying at least 10 GW of NVIDIA systems and NVIDIA potentially investing up to 100 billion dollars in OpenAI [1] Group 2 - The computing power sector has shown volatile trends recently, but both domestic and overseas markets are increasing investments in computing power-related projects [1] - Capital expenditures in computing power are expected to be sustainable, and current adjustments in the market present opportunities [1] - There is a recommendation to actively monitor the commercialization progress of various new technologies and products, including OCS, CPO, CPC, and hollow core fibers [1]

来源：环球市场播报 受资本支出增加、模型升级、战略合作伙伴关系拓展及国际扩张加速推动，摩根士丹利基于对阿里巴巴 云计算业务增长预期的上调，提高了其美国存托凭证（ADR）的目标价。摩根士丹利将阿里巴巴 ADR 目标价从 165 美元上调至 200 美元，维持 "增持" 评级。包括Gary Yu在内的分析师在报告中表示："在 云栖大会之后，我们对阿里云的前景愈发看好"。鉴于云计算业务增长加速及核心业务持续增长，将阿 里巴巴 2026 年和 2027 年的营收预期上调 1%-2%。 ...