本文转载自公众号：民航之翼，作者：翼哥 近日，民航业掀起惊涛骇浪。 4月18日，一则"去哪儿网无法搜索南航机票"的消息引发热议。 据南航官方证实，因其销售代理违反协议条款，已暂停去哪儿网销售资格至4月21日。 这场看似普通的处罚，实则揭开了航空公司与在线旅游平台（OTA）长达十年的渠道博弈进入深水区。 背后其实藏着航空公司想"单飞"的大计划！ 事件背后的渠道控制权之争。 1. 不想再交"中介费" 以前大家习惯在OTA比价买票，但每卖一张票，航空公司就要给平台3%-5%的佣金。 大型航司每年光销售费用就有几十亿，其中四成都是给OTA的"中介费"。 现在航空公司算明白了：这笔钱省下来，能多发几架飞机。 一、航空公司为啥要和OTA闹掰？ 此次封杀并非偶然。 早在2016年，南航就因"价格体系混乱"下架去哪儿网机票业务，国航、东航等航司也多次对OTA发 起"渠道整顿"。 2. 受不了乱加价 3.丧失了定价权 在当下的民航业，内卷现象极为突出，大家都在血拼价格，其根本原因就是： 航司机票价格的定价权已悄然被在线旅游平台（OTA）掌控。 OTA（在线旅游平台）通过算法和大数据垄断流量入口，航司被迫在平台上低价倾销以争夺客 ...

Group 1 - China Southern Airlines has suspended the ticket sales qualification of Qunar due to violations of the sales agency agreement, which poses risks to passenger rights [1] - The airline's customer service indicated that there has been no notification regarding the potential restoration of Qunar's sales qualifications [1] - As of the time of reporting, Qunar has not provided a response to the situation [1]

Investment Rating - The report recommends investing in the express delivery sector, specifically highlighting SF Holding due to its valuation, operational resilience, and shareholder returns [3]. Core Insights - The express delivery business volume increased by 20.3% year-on-year in March, while the single ticket revenue decreased by 8.2%. The total revenue for the express business is projected to reach 124.6 billion yuan by March 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.4% [3]. - The logistics sector is under pressure with domestic shipping prices for liquid chemicals down by 11.2% year-on-year. The report recommends Hai Chen Co. for its focus on smart logistics and strategic partnerships [4]. - The aviation sector benefits from low international oil prices, which could enhance airline profits. The report recommends investing in the airline sector, particularly China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [5]. - The shipping sector shows mixed signals, with the BDTI index increasing by 2.6% week-on-week, while the CCFI index for export container shipping remains under pressure [6]. Summary by Sections Transportation Sector Overview - The transportation index rose by 0.2% from April 12 to April 19, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 0.6% [2][13]. Express Delivery - In March, the express delivery business volume reached approximately 38.13 billion pieces, with a week-on-week increase of 10.8% and a year-on-year increase of 21.3%. The average single ticket revenue was 7.48 yuan, down 8.2% year-on-year [3]. Logistics - The China Chemical Products Price Index (CCPI) is at 4032 points, down 14.3% year-on-year. The report highlights the revenue growth of Milkrun and Hai Chen Co. for 2024, with Milkrun's revenue expected to rise by 24.3% [4]. Aviation - The average daily flight volume in China increased by 3.11% year-on-year, with international flights showing a significant growth of 23.9%. The Brent crude oil price is currently at $67.96 per barrel, down 24.51% year-on-year [5]. Shipping - The CCFI index for export container shipping is at 1110.94 points, down 6.4% year-on-year, while the SCFI index is at 1370.58 points, down 22.5% year-on-year. The BDTI index for oil transportation is at 1152 points, up 1.6% year-on-year [6][38]. Road and Rail - National railway passenger volume in March was 337 million, up 4.9% year-on-year, while road freight volume increased by 5.7% year-on-year [84][87].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [3][4]. Core Insights - The civil aviation market saw a passenger transport volume of approximately 59.39 million in March, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.4% compared to 2024, while domestic capacity decreased by 1.8% [4]. - The average aircraft utilization rate in March was 7.6 hours per day, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 12% and a year-on-year decrease of 0.8% [4]. - The report highlights that the recovery of international routes is alleviating pressure on domestic capacity, leading to a decrease in domestic capacity deployment [4]. - The investment analysis suggests that the market is gradually emerging from the traditional off-season, with expectations for improved ticket prices and a rebound in domestic demand [4]. Summary by Sections Passenger Transport Data - In March, the passenger transport volume for major airlines showed slight growth, with China Southern Airlines at +2%, China Eastern Airlines at +7%, and Hainan Airlines at +3% year-on-year [4][5]. - The report provides detailed statistics on the ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) and RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) for various airlines, indicating growth in international routes for China Eastern and Spring Airlines compared to 2019 [5][6]. Domestic and International Market Analysis - Domestic market capacity deployment saw a decline, with China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines showing reductions of -1% and -3% respectively compared to 2024 [4][5]. - In the international market, China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines exceeded 2019 levels in both capacity and volume, with significant increases in ASK of +14% and +168% respectively [4][5]. Company Valuation and Recommendations - The report includes a valuation table for key airlines, recommending "Buy" for Spring Airlines and "Outperform" for several others, including China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines [7]. - The estimated EPS for 2024 and 2025 shows positive growth for most airlines, indicating a favorable investment outlook [7].

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.26% to 3276 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell by 0.85% and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.21%[1] - The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.91% at 21056.98 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index declining by 3.72% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down by 2.55%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was 220 billion HKD[1] Economic Indicators - U.S. retail sales increased significantly in March, with a month-on-month growth of 1.4%[1] - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for March showed a year-on-year increase of 2.7%[19] - China's GDP growth for Q1 was reported at 5.4% year-on-year[19] Federal Reserve and Trade Relations - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed interest rate cut expectations, emphasizing the need to prevent tariffs from causing persistent inflation[1] - China expressed an open attitude towards trade negotiations with the U.S., contingent on the U.S. showing more respect and appointing a liaison for talks[1][14] Sector Performance - Precious metals and hotel sectors showed strong performance, while the technology sector faced declines in both Hong Kong and the U.S. markets[1] - Shenzhen Holdings reported a 83.5% year-on-year increase in contract sales for Q1, amounting to approximately 3.133 billion RMB[12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the aviation sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The domestic airline supply continues to contract year-on-year, with a 3.7% decrease, which may support an upcoming improvement in the domestic aviation market [2][3] - The first quarter of 2025 is expected to see continued pressure on airline profitability due to weak ticket prices, despite high passenger load factors [4] - The impact of reciprocal tariffs on the aviation sector remains to be observed, particularly regarding supply constraints and cost increases for aircraft and materials [5] Summary by Sections Supply and Demand Dynamics - In March 2025, domestic airline supply decreased by 3.7%, while international supply increased by 25.2%, indicating a shift in capacity allocation [3] - The overall passenger load factor for major airlines improved by 1.9 percentage points to 83.3% [3][4] Financial Performance - The average ticket price for domestic flights fell by 11.3% year-on-year to 753 RMB, contributing to a challenging profit environment for airlines in Q1 2025 [4] - Despite the decline in ticket prices, the report anticipates that low supply growth will eventually lead to improved pricing power for airlines [4] Recommendations - The report recommends several airlines for investment, including China National Aviation (753 HK), China Eastern Airlines (670 HK), and China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), all rated as "Buy" with target prices set above current market levels [9][24]

欢迎大家参加中国南方航空股份有限公司2024年度业绩发布会我是南航的总司会秘书总法律顾问陈维华和我在一起主持本次业绩发布会的会有我们的新朋友小南小南你好陈总你好各位嘉宾各位朋友大家好 我是南航数字人小南欢迎大家蒞临南方航空2024年度业绩发布会接下来请允许我为大家介绍出席会议的公司管理层他们是公司副董事长总经理韩文胜先生副总经理总会计师财务总监陈东先生副总经理曾永超先生董事会秘书总法律顾问陈威华先生 明消管理委员会主任王震先生战略规划投资部总经理皮文辉先生财务部总经理毛娟女士南方航空物流股份有限公司董事长李晓先生谢谢小南今天的会议分为四个环节首先由公司副董事长总经理韩文正先生致辞 接着由副总经理、总会计师、财务总监陈东先生以及小南共同来介绍公司2024年度的业绩情况再有副总经理钟永涛先生介绍公司2024年度企业社会得利的情况最后是问答环节现在我们有请公司副总市长总经理韩文顺先生致辞 参加中国南方航空股份有限公司2024年度的业绩发布会在此也代表南航对长期关心和支持我们的各位朋友表示衷心的感谢按照中国会计准则2024年本公司营业收入是人民币1742.24亿元归属于上市公司股东的净亏损使人民币 16.96亿元同比 ...

中華人民共和國，廣州 2025年4月15日 於本公告日期，董事包括執行董事馬須倫及韓文勝 ; 及獨立非執行董事何超瓊、郭為及張俊 生。 （在中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：1055） 董事會召開日期 中國南方航空股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）茲通告謹定於2025年4月 29日（星期二）舉行董事會會議，藉以考慮及通過（其中包括）本公司截至2025年3月31日 止三個月的第一季度業績。 承董事會命 中國南方航空股份有限公司 聯席公司秘書 陳威華及劉巍 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準 確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產 生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 1 ...

证券代码：600029 证券简称：南方航空 公告编号：临 2025-019 2025年3月，本集团新增主要航线情况如下：海口-南京-海 1 口（每周七班）。 2025年3月，本集团引进13架飞机（包含7架A321NEO飞机、2 架A320NEO飞机、1架B737-8飞机、1架B787-9飞机、1架C909飞机 和1架B777F飞机），退出4架飞机（包含3架B737-700飞机和1架 A330-200飞机）。截至2025年3月底，本集团合计运营932架运输 飞机，具体保有情况如下： | | 2025 | 年 3 月 | | 2025 年累计 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 载运量 | 数值 | 环比(%) | 同比(%) | 数值 | 同比(%) | | 收入客公里(RPK)(百万) | | | | | | | 国内 | 18,245.15 | -7.46 | 0.63 | 58,906.82 | 1.98 | | 地区 | 184.33 | 1.51 | 2.29 | 578.91 | 4.15 | | 国际 | 6,413.20 | -1.95 | 2 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the transportation industry [1][4][7]. Core Views - The report highlights the impact of US-China tariffs on shipping patterns, suggesting a focus on domestic demand and high-dividend sectors [1][3]. - The oil shipping market remains strong, but VLCC rates have declined due to tariff uncertainties, with potential recovery if US-China negotiations succeed [1][21]. - The air travel market is expected to stabilize in 2025, with domestic airlines showing signs of recovery in profitability [2][45]. - The express delivery sector shows resilience, with major players like SF Express and ZTO Express expected to maintain growth despite competitive pressures [3][55][59]. Summary by Sections Shipping Sector - Oil shipping rates have shown fluctuations, with VLCC rates impacted by tariff policies and global economic uncertainties [1][21]. - The report recommends companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy for their potential value amidst market volatility [1][25]. Aviation Sector - Domestic passenger flight volumes are stabilizing, with a year-on-year increase expected in 2025 [2][45]. - Major airlines like Air China and China Southern Airlines are projected to recover profitability as supply-demand gaps narrow [2][45]. Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery market is experiencing strong growth, particularly in Southeast Asia and China, with companies like SF Express and ZTO Express leading the way [3][55][59]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring pricing trends in the express delivery sector due to competitive dynamics [3][59]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable operations and potential for steady returns, including SF Express, ZTO Express, and major airlines [3][2][45].