Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Viewpoints - Focus on upstream materials for commercial aerospace, with a strong recommendation for UTG glass due to its significant market potential [6][2] - The cement market is experiencing seasonal declines in shipments, while glass inventory has decreased month-on-month [8] - For 2026, three main lines of opportunity are identified: stock chain, Africa chain, and AI chain [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Cement Market - After the New Year, domestic cement market demand continues to weaken due to factors like funding shortages and temperature drops, with key enterprises' shipment rates around 39%, down 1.5 percentage points month-on-month [8] - National cement prices have slightly declined, with price drops observed in regions like Zhejiang, Sichuan, Yunnan, and Xinjiang, ranging from 10 to 30 yuan per ton [23] - The national average cement price is 357.26 yuan per ton, a decrease of 0.32 yuan month-on-month [24] Glass Market - The domestic float glass market has seen a slight rebound in prices, driven by speculative demand, with a total inventory reduction of 183 million weight boxes, a decrease of 3.40% [8][36] - The average price of glass is 61.99 yuan per weight box, up 0.05 yuan month-on-month, but down 12.44 yuan year-on-year [36] - The production capacity of float glass has decreased, with 209 out of 262 production lines operational, resulting in a daily melting capacity of 149,535 tons [8] Investment Opportunities - UTG glass is projected to have a demand of approximately 1.2 million square meters based on the forecast of 6,000 satellites launched annually, translating to a market space of 6 billion yuan [6] - Carbon fiber demand is estimated at around 1,000 tons for satellite applications, with high profit elasticity due to the use of high-modulus series [7] - The report highlights three main investment themes for 2026: optimizing demand and supply in the stock chain, leveraging growth in the African market, and capitalizing on the upgrade trend in AI electronic fabrics [9]

Market Performance - The glass and fiberglass sector increased by 0.71% on January 12, with Jinjing Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4165.29, up 1.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14366.91, up 1.75% [1] Stock Performance - Jinjing Technology (600586) closed at 6.71, up 10.00% with a trading volume of 601,700 shares and a transaction value of 397 million [1] - Zaiseng Technology (603601) closed at 14.64, up 8.36% with a trading volume of 2,735,500 shares and a transaction value of 3.848 billion [1] - Other notable stocks include Jiuding New Materials (002201) at 12.13, up 4.30%, and Yaopi Glass (618009) at 8.88, up 3.62% [1] Capital Flow - The glass and fiberglass sector experienced a net outflow of 468 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 353 million [2] - The overall capital flow indicates that retail investors are more active in this sector compared to institutional investors [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Jinjing Technology had a net inflow of 156 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 79.41 million from speculative funds [3] - China Glass (600176) saw a net outflow of 16.75 million from institutional investors, while speculative funds had a net inflow of 27.23 million [3] - North Glass (002613) experienced a net outflow of 3.218 million from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 4.5235 million from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and engineering sector and the building materials sector [9] Core Insights - The construction activity indicators have shown significant improvement at the beginning of 2026, with increased operating rates for cement mills and concrete mixing stations, alongside a rise in building steel sales [12][20] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to see a surge in demand for high-temperature materials and perovskite materials due to the acceleration of satellite launches [12][13] - The report suggests a balanced investment strategy between emerging industries and traditional sectors in Q1 2026, with a focus on companies like Jinggong Steel Structure, Sichuan Road and Bridge, and China Nuclear Engineering [12][10] Summary by Sections Construction and Engineering - The construction sector is benefiting from improved PMI indicators and government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand, with a focus on steel structures and fiberglass [12][13] - Key metrics include a national cement mill operating rate of 36.6%, up 6.6 percentage points month-on-month and 14.1 percentage points year-on-year [12] Building Materials - The report highlights a slight decrease in national cement prices by 0.1% to 358 CNY per ton, with a 38.7% shipment rate [20] - The average price of float glass is reported at 60 CNY per weight box, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.2% [21] Recommended Companies - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - China National Materials (600970 CH) with a target price of 14.23 CNY and a "Buy" rating [10] - Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039 CH) with a target price of 13.48 CNY and a "Buy" rating [10] - Jinggong Steel Structure (600496 CH) with a target price of 5.75 CNY and a "Buy" rating [10] - Other recommended companies include China Glass (600176 CH), Oriental Yuhong (002271 CH), and Huaneng Renewables (600552 CH) [10][31]

Group 1: Electronic Yarn - The price of electronic yarn has increased, with G75 average price in China maintaining at 9377 yuan/ton, a nearly 1% increase month-on-month and an 11.31% increase year-on-year, driven by tight supply-demand dynamics in mid-to-high-end products [1] - The demand for high-end PCB is expected to support further price increases in the future [1] - Companies to watch include China Jushi (600176.SH) and China National Materials (002080.SZ) [1] Group 2: Cement Industry - The national cement market is entering a seasonal downturn, with overall demand showing a downward trend, particularly in the housing market, while infrastructure demand is regionally differentiated [2] - Mid-term capacity in the cement industry is expected to decline under production restriction policies, leading to increased capacity utilization and profit elasticity [2] - Companies to focus on include Conch Cement (600585.SH) and Huaxin Cement (600801.SH) [2] Group 3: Glass Industry - The glass industry is experiencing a continuous decline in demand due to the impact of real estate, with traditional peak season orders under pressure and high inventory levels among intermediaries [2] - Despite some production lines undergoing maintenance, the overall supply-demand pressure remains, and prices are expected to stay low in the short term [2] - Flagship companies to monitor include Qibin Group (601636.SH) [2] Group 4: Glass Fiber Industry - Demand in the glass fiber sector is stable in wind power and thermoplastic fields, while traditional demand is slowing down [2] - The electronic yarn segment is performing well, driven by demand from the AI industry, with expectations for significant growth in low-dielectric products [2] - Companies to watch include China Jushi and China National Materials [2] Group 5: Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector has reached a profitability bottom, with no further downward price space due to years of competition [3] - The industry is strongly advocating for price increases and profit improvements, with multiple categories like waterproofing, coatings, and gypsum boards expected to issue price increase notices [3] - Companies to focus on include Oriental Yuhong (002271.SZ), Sankeshu (603737.SH), Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ), and Tubao (002043.SZ) [3]

Group 1 - The company announced a restricted stock incentive plan for 2025, proposing to grant a total of up to 34.5282 million shares, accounting for 0.86% of the total share capital, with an initial grant of 31.0754 million shares, representing 0.78% of the total share capital [1] - The performance assessment targets for the incentive plan include a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of non-recurring net profit of no less than 38.5%, 27%, and 22% for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028, respectively, based on the 2024 non-recurring net profit [1] - The company aims to enhance its long-term growth confidence through this equity incentive plan [1] Group 2 - The supply of raw yarn is expected to grow at a rate of 5.8% in 2026, which is a slowdown compared to 2025, while demand for wind power yarn is anticipated to maintain strong resilience with a growth rate of 4.1% [2] - The price of fiberglass products has been adjusted upwards by 5%-10% following an initiative to oppose "involution" competition, indicating a potential price recovery in the market [2] - The overall supply-demand balance in the fiberglass industry is expected to support price recovery [2] Group 3 - The supply of electronic fabric is tight, with prices ranging from 4.2 to 4.65 yuan per meter, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 6.6% [3] - The production growth rate of electronic yarn is projected to be 6.1% in 2026, while demand is expected to grow at 6.6% due to increased utilization rates in CCL [3] - The industry is experiencing a tight supply-demand situation, which supports the potential for price increases [3] Group 4 - The demand for special electronic fabrics is significantly increasing due to enhanced terminal computing power, with the market space for special electronic fabrics estimated to reach approximately 17.8 billion yuan in 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 205% [4] - The company is increasing its investment in high-end electronic-grade fiberglass research and production capacity, enhancing its ability to produce thin and ultra-thin fabrics [4] - The company is strengthening its technological barriers through the development and validation of low dielectric and low expansion products [4] Group 5 - The company is steadily advancing capacity expansion and technological transformation projects across its production bases, with significant upgrades planned for its production lines [5] - The company is focusing on three main product lines: wind power, thermoplastic short-cut, and electronic yarn, while also collaborating with downstream customers to develop composite materials for photovoltaic frames [5] - The company's profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 3.51 billion, 4.80 billion, and 5.47 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a positive outlook on profitability [5]

Core Viewpoint - China Jushi's stock price has shown a positive trend with a 4.80% increase year-to-date and significant gains over various trading periods, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 9, China Jushi's stock price increased by 2.11%, reaching 17.92 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 5.10 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.72%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 717.36 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has risen 4.80% since the beginning of the year, with a 4.80% increase over the last five trading days, a 14.80% increase over the last 20 days, and a 12.49% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, China Jushi reported a revenue of 13.904 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.53%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.568 billion CNY, which is a 67.51% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 11.255 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.828 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for China Jushi reached 106,900, an increase of 3.74% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 3.61% to 37,436 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 371 million shares, a decrease of 33.246 million shares from the previous period [2].

Group 1 - The glass and fiberglass sector experienced a 0.44% increase on January 8, with Jiuding New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4082.98, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13959.48, down 0.51% [1] - Jiuding New Materials saw a closing price of 11.78, with a significant increase of 9.99%, and a trading volume of 1.1887 million shares, resulting in a transaction value of 1.368 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The glass and fiberglass sector had a net inflow of 465 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 290 million yuan [2] - The trading data indicates that Jiuding New Materials had a net inflow of 298 million yuan from main funds, representing 21.77% of its total trading volume [3] - Zhongcai Technology also showed a net inflow of 221 million yuan from main funds, accounting for 11.24% of its trading volume [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that China Jushi's first equity incentive plan is expected to enhance the company's medium to long-term development by motivating the management team and improving operational efficiency [1] Group 1: Equity Incentive Plan - The company has launched its first-ever equity incentive plan since its listing, covering a wide range of participants [1] - The incentive plan includes a net profit growth target, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for net profit from 2026 to 2028 set at no less than 38.5%, 27%, and 22% respectively [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - Based on the 2024 net profit as a baseline, the projected net profits for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are estimated to be no less than 4.851 billion, 5.180 billion, and 5.603 billion respectively [1] - The corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2026 to 2028 are projected to be 14, 13, and 12 times based on the market capitalization as of December 31, 2025 [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The industry is showing signs of recovery after hitting a bottom, and the company has a clear product structure advantage [1] - The company's entry into the high-end electronic fabric sector is expected to provide a significant growth opportunity, referred to as a "Davis double hit" [1] Group 4: Current Valuation - The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 21, 18, and 17 times for the years 2025 to 2027 [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company [1]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The fiberglass industry is expected to experience a significant reduction in net new capacity in 2026, projected to be between 220,000 to 400,000 tons, a sharp decline from 900,000 to 1,000,000 tons in 2024, indicating a supply-side contraction that will enhance price elasticity in the fiberglass sector [1][2] - Demand for fiberglass is diversified across various sectors including real estate, infrastructure, electronics, automotive, wind power, and home appliances, with global and domestic market growth rates expected to remain between 5% to 8%, outpacing GDP growth [1][2][4] Core Insights and Arguments - The ordinary electronic cloth market is experiencing a supply shortage and rising copper prices, leading to a strong certainty of price increases, with leading company China Jushi's net profit per unit for electronic cloth nearing 1 yuan, compared to a previous cycle high of 1.4 yuan [1][5] - Coarse sand products are benefiting from increased penetration of new energy vehicles and rising overseas infrastructure projects, with automotive sand expected to maintain double-digit growth and export volumes likely to increase [1][5] - China Jushi aims to achieve over 3 billion yuan in profit for the 2024-2025 period, with significant profit elasticity; a price increase of 0.5 yuan per meter could add 500 million yuan in profit [1][6] Company Performance - China Jushi has demonstrated strong performance, with net profit per unit rising from 0.6 yuan to nearly 1 yuan due to multiple price increases, and has a historical peak of 1.4 yuan per unit [6] - The company is expected to continue leveraging price increases and incentive mechanisms to enhance performance, making it a key investment target [6][8] Market Trends - The global composite materials industry has a production volume of approximately 11 to 12 million tons, with over 50% used for exports; the wiring industry has achieved domestic substitution, establishing a China-led global landscape [7] - The overseas composite materials market is in a rapid penetration phase, similar to China's experience from 2000 to 2010, with high-end markets like U.S. real estate repair and reconstruction in Ukraine driving demand growth [7][8] AI Electronic Cloth Market - The AI electronic cloth market is rapidly evolving, with leading companies like Feilihua facing inventory shortages and a current tax-inclusive price of around 280 yuan, indicating significant upward potential as demand opens up [3][9] - Pre-orders for 2026 have begun, suggesting that market expectations and opportunities will expand further into 2027 [9] Recommendations - Key investment recommendations include China Jushi for the fiberglass sector, and for the AI electronic cloth direction, companies like Zhongcai Technology, Feilihua, and International Complexity are highlighted as first and second-tier players with promising prospects [10]

Group 1 - The company, China Jushi (600176.SH), has indicated that it has relevant products that can be applied in the aerospace field [1] - There are still many processing and manufacturing links between fiberglass products and downstream terminal products [1] - Currently, the company does not have direct business dealings with aerospace enterprises [1]