Market Performance - The A-share major indices experienced a pullback after reaching highs, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4007.54, up by 4.78 points or 0.12% [2] - The ChiNext Index ended at 3102.41, down by 31.91 points or 1.02% [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell to 13217.78, down by 71.22 points or 0.54% [2] - The STAR 50 Index decreased to 1374.65, down by 12.88 points or 0.93% [2] - The North Exchange 50 Index dropped to 1489.28, down by 7.86 points or 0.52% [2] - The CSI 300 Index slightly decreased to 4651.71, down by 0.46 points or 0.01% [2] - The SSE 50 Index rose to 3054.80, up by 20.17 points or 0.66% [2] Industry Performance - The photovoltaic equipment sector continued to decline, with notable stocks such as Aiko Solar falling nearly 16% [1] - Other companies in the photovoltaic sector, including Aier Energy, Tianhe Energy, Tongwei Co., Daqo New Energy, and LONGi Green Energy, saw declines exceeding 6% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a downturn in the morning session, with the ChiNext Index falling over 1%, while the banking sector saw significant gains, with Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China reaching historical highs [1] Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.26 trillion yuan, an increase of 9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 4,000 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad-based sell-off [1] Sector Analysis - The banking sector performed well, with both Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China hitting new historical highs [1] - The robotics sector showed localized activity, with Shoukai Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit [1] - The oil and gas sector strengthened, with PetroChina and China Oilfield Services both reaching the daily limit [1] - The food and beverage sector also performed strongly, with Sanyuan Foods and Zhongrui Co., Ltd. achieving three consecutive trading limit increases, and COFCO Sugar achieving two consecutive trading limit increases [1] - Conversely, the superhard materials sector saw a collective decline, with World Group falling over 12% [1] - The photovoltaic sector experienced significant losses, with Tongwei Co., Ltd. and LONGi Green Energy both suffering substantial declines [1] Index Performance - By the end of the session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.24%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.07%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.58% [1]

Group 1 - The photovoltaic concept stocks experienced a decline in early trading, with Longi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., Ltd. dropping over 4%, and Jinglong Technology falling over 3% [1] - Related photovoltaic ETFs also saw a decrease, with an overall drop exceeding 2% [1] Group 2 - Specific ETF performance includes: - Photovoltaic ETF Index Fund at 0.835, down 2.79% - Photovoltaic ETF Fund at 0.866, down 2.48% - E Fund Photovoltaic ETF at 1.196, down 2.45% - Other ETFs also showed declines ranging from 2.09% to 2.41% [2] Group 3 - Analysts indicate that the photovoltaic industry is still at a historically low valuation. Future measures regarding product sales price, mergers and acquisitions among companies, increased industry entry barriers, and improved product quality standards are expected to be implemented [2] - The competitive landscape and industrial chain ecology of the photovoltaic industry are anticipated to optimize, presenting opportunities for valuation recovery [2]

Core Insights - On November 11, brokerages issued target prices for listed companies a total of 21 times, with notable increases in target prices for Century Huatong, ZTE Corporation, and Zhuhai Smelter Group, showing increases of 50.48%, 47.02%, and 34.74% respectively, across the gaming, communication equipment, and industrial metals sectors [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Century Huatong received a target price of 26.50 yuan, reflecting a target price increase of 50.48% [2]. - ZTE Corporation's target price was set at 60.13 yuan, indicating a 47.02% increase [2]. - Zhuhai Smelter Group's target price reached 20.40 yuan, with a 34.74% increase [2]. - Other companies with significant target price increases include Jinlei Co. (30.79%), Changan Automobile (30.29%), and Sanhua Intelligent Control (29.84%) [2]. Brokerage Recommendations - The top companies recommended by brokerages on November 11 include Zhonglian Heavy Industry, Xinbao Co., and Sany Heavy Industry, each receiving two brokerage ratings [3]. - Zhonglian Heavy Industry had a closing price of 8.44 yuan, while Xinbao Co. closed at 15.30 yuan, and Sany Heavy Industry at 20.91 yuan [3]. Rating Adjustments - Nanjing Steel Group's rating was upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by Zhongtai Securities on November 11 [4]. - A total of 14 companies received first-time coverage from brokerages, with Zhejiang Energy Power rated "Hold" and Zhonggu Logistics rated "Hold" as well [5]. Newly Covered Companies - Newly covered companies include Zhejiang Energy Power (rated "Hold"), Zhonggu Logistics (rated "Hold"), and Longxin General (rated "Outperform") [5]. - Other companies receiving first-time ratings include Yifeng Pharmacy (rated "Outperform") and Haier Smart Home (rated "Buy") [5].

Core Insights - The research team at the Chinese Academy of Sciences has developed a perovskite solar cell prototype with a power conversion efficiency of 27.2%, significantly enhancing operational stability, which lays a crucial foundation for the industrialization of perovskite solar cells [1][2] Industry Developments - The perovskite solar cell prototype maintained 86.3% of its initial efficiency after 1529 hours of continuous operation under standard sunlight conditions, and 82.8% after 1000 hours under accelerated aging conditions at 85°C [2] - The potential for perovskite technology is highlighted by East Wu Securities, which anticipates that perovskite production capacity could exceed 100 GW by 2030, with a market size of nearly 40 billion yuan for components [2] - The penetration rate for distributed scenarios is expected to reach 5.6% by 2030, indicating a gradual expansion of the ground market [2] Company Strategies - Longi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has been actively researching advanced perovskite solar cell technology, setting world records for the efficiency of silicon-perovskite tandem cells, with a breakthrough efficiency of 34.85% expected by April 2025 [4] - Longi is focusing on overcoming challenges related to stability, large-scale production consistency, and cycle life, with ongoing collaborations to develop new transport materials and passivation processes [4][5] - BOE Technology Group has developed over 20 perovskite photovoltaic products in the first half of the year, achieving a power generation efficiency exceeding 18% in its pilot production line [4][5] - GCL-Poly Energy Holdings has announced plans to develop next-generation high-efficiency perovskite/silicon tandem cell technology, which is expected to enhance the competitive edge and expand market opportunities [6] - Beijing Jinshan Light Industry Machinery Co., Ltd. has established a comprehensive equipment solution covering R&D to GW-level mass production in the perovskite photovoltaic equipment sector [6] - Tongwei Co., Ltd. reported that its perovskite-silicon tandem cell products have achieved a conversion efficiency of 34.78%, with full-size cell efficiency reaching 28.39%, positioning the company at the forefront of the industry [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the company is beginning to show signs of recovery in Q3 2025, benefiting from price increases in the industry due to a response against excessive competition [1][5] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 623 billion, 691 billion, and 750 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -32.3%, +10.8%, and +8.7% [5][8] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of -55 billion, 14 billion, and 28 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 21.3%, 126.1%, and 93.3% [5][8] Financial Performance Summary - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -52.7 billion yuan, with a revenue of 646 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 5.38% [7] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 240.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.57%, but a net profit of -3.15 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 62.69% [7] - The report highlights a significant narrowing of losses in the silicon material segment due to price increases starting in July 2025, with a price increase of approximately 53% observed in Q3 [7] Price Trends and Market Position - The report notes that the price increase for silicon materials has been significant, with the average price for N-type recycled material rising from 34,700 yuan per ton in early July to 53,200 yuan per ton by late September 2025 [7] - The company’s battery and module prices increased by 39% and 1% respectively in Q3 2025, although the transmission of upstream price increases was relatively weak [7] Financial Projections - The company’s projected financial metrics include a gross margin of 1.2% in 2025, improving to 10.0% and 10.1% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [8] - The report anticipates a return on equity (ROE) of -12.9% in 2025, turning positive with 3.3% and 5.9% in 2026 and 2027 [8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be -1.23 yuan in 2025, with a recovery to 0.32 yuan and 0.62 yuan in the following years [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tongwei Co., Ltd. is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - In the first three quarters of 2025, Tongwei Co., Ltd. achieved revenue of 64.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.38%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -5.27 billion yuan, down 32.64% year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 24.09 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.57% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.97%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -315 million yuan, an increase of 62.69% year-on-year and an increase of 86.68% quarter-on-quarter [2][5] Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 2.74%, a decrease of 4.80 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin was 7.23%, down 1.67 percentage points year-on-year but up 5.25 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [12] - Operating cash flow turned significantly positive, reaching 4.78 billion yuan in Q3 2025, bringing the total for the first three quarters to 2.83 billion yuan [12] - The company reversed asset impairment losses of 247 million yuan in Q3 2025, mainly due to price increases in the industry chain [12] Business Segments - In the silicon material segment, prices have shown significant recovery, with the average transaction price for multi-crystalline silicon n-type raw materials at 53,200 yuan per ton as of October 22, 2025. The company expects an increase in silicon material shipment volume due to improved operating rates [12] - In the battery and module segment, despite a decrease in shipment volume in Q3 2025, the overall demand remains subdued. The company anticipates that battery and module prices will continue to be a drag on profits [12] - Other business segments, such as agriculture and power stations, are expected to contribute positively during the traditional peak seasons in Q2 and Q3 [12] Market Position - The ongoing progress in the photovoltaic industry is expected to stabilize silicon material prices, and as domestic demand resumes, module prices may gradually increase, leading to a recovery in battery and module profitability. Tongwei has established a competitive advantage across multiple segments of the photovoltaic industry chain, which is expected to be fully realized after the cyclical turning point [12]

Core Insights - The research team led by researcher You Jingbi from the Institute of Semiconductor Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, has made significant progress in perovskite solar cells, achieving a power conversion efficiency of 27.2% for prototype devices and enhancing operational stability, laying a crucial foundation for the industrialization of perovskite solar cells [1] Group 1: Investment Opportunities - Seven perovskite battery stocks have recorded net financing purchases exceeding 100 million yuan since the fourth quarter of 2025, with Longi Green Energy, Canadian Solar, BOE Technology Group, and Tongwei Co., Ltd. leading the list with amounts of 909 million yuan, 887 million yuan, 786 million yuan, and 766 million yuan respectively [1] - Thirteen perovskite battery stocks reported net profits exceeding 10 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with stable year-on-year growth, including Jiepu Technology, Xian Dao Intelligent, and Weidao Nano, which saw profit increases of 97.3%, 94.97%, and 64.84% respectively [1]

Group 1: Market Performance - The photovoltaic sector has been experiencing a continuous rise, with stocks such as Guosheng Technology and Zhaoxin shares hitting the daily limit, while Yijing Optoelectronics and Tongwei Co. also saw significant increases [1] - Tongwei Co. has seen its stock price rise over 11% in recent trading days, closing at 27.16 yuan per share on November 10, compared to 24.4 yuan on November 5 [1] Group 2: Price Trends and Industry Dynamics - The establishment of a joint storage plan for polysilicon is gaining traction, with 17 leading companies reportedly signing agreements to form a consortium, aiming to complete the setup by the end of the year [3] - The "anti-involution" initiative in the photovoltaic industry has led to a noticeable recovery in product prices, with polysilicon prices increasing significantly since July 2025, with quotes rising to 45,000-50,000 yuan, marking a 25%-35% increase [3] - The average prices for N-type and granular silicon have risen by 55% and 51% respectively from June to September 2025 [3] Group 3: Company Performance - Tongwei Co. reported a net profit of approximately -315 million yuan for Q3 2025, marking an 86.68% reduction in losses compared to the previous quarter, and a 62.69% reduction year-on-year, attributing the improvement to rising polysilicon prices and lower electricity costs [4] - Daqo New Energy also reported a turnaround in Q3, with unit sales prices for polysilicon increasing by over 36% compared to the previous quarter [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The future price trends for polysilicon will depend on multiple factors, including capacity clearance efficiency and supply-demand balance [5] - Recent data indicates that the transaction prices for N-type polysilicon are stable, ranging from 49,000 to 55,000 yuan per ton as of November 5, 2025 [6] - Analysts suggest that the photovoltaic industry is likely to achieve supply-demand rebalancing through a combination of policy support, market-driven elimination, and technological advancements [7]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant rebound in prices and performance, driven by policy support, market adjustments, and technological innovations, marking a critical turning point for the sector in 2025 [3][10][31]. Price Rebound - The photovoltaic sector has collectively strengthened, primarily due to rising prices [4]. - The price of polysilicon hit a low in mid-2025 and began a strong rebound in the third quarter, with N-type silicon prices increasing from approximately 34,400 yuan/ton to around 47,100 yuan/ton in just one month, reflecting a 37% increase [5][6][7]. - By September 2025, polysilicon prices surpassed 50,000 yuan/ton, leading to price increases in downstream products like silicon wafers and battery cells [8]. - The average price of domestic TOPCon double-glass modules in September 2025 was about 0.715 yuan/watt, a 3.6% increase from July [9]. - The price rebound is attributed to strong policy interventions and market clearing, moving the industry away from a cycle of losses [10][11]. Performance Recovery - Recent performance data from leading photovoltaic companies indicate a recovery phase, with many entering a "significant loss reduction" phase [15][17]. - For instance, Sunshine Power reported a Q3 2025 revenue of 22.869 billion yuan, a 20.83% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 4.147 billion yuan, up 57.04% [16]. - Longi Green Energy recorded a revenue of 50.915 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with losses narrowing by 48% compared to the previous year [16]. - Overall, the industry is showing signs of recovery, with institutional funds reallocating towards the photovoltaic sector, marking a shift from previous net outflows [18]. Future Drivers - The long-term demand for photovoltaic energy remains strong, with the International Energy Agency predicting that renewable energy will account for 43% of global electricity generation by 2030 [21][22]. - The "anti-involution" policy is fundamentally changing the industry by shifting focus from price competition to high-quality value competition [24][25]. - This policy is leading to a gradual recovery of product prices, with polysilicon prices in Q3 2025 rising above the comprehensive cost line, setting the stage for profitability across the industry [25]. - The industry is also witnessing a shift in focus towards technological innovation, with resources being directed towards advanced technologies like BC back-contact cells and perovskite materials [27][28]. Conclusion - The photovoltaic industry is at a critical turning point in 2025, characterized by rational valuation, visible performance inflection points, favorable policy environments, accelerated technological iterations, and renewed capital inflows [31][32]. - The overall attractiveness of the photovoltaic sector is drawing investment, particularly towards leading companies with strong operational and financial health [32][33].