Core Insights - The precious metals sector experienced a significant increase of 2.98% on September 29, with Zhaojin Mining leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862.53, up 0.9%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13479.43, up 2.05% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Zhaojin Mining (code: 000506) closed at 10.88, with a rise of 6.88% and a trading volume of 980,200 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 1.068 billion yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Xiaocheng Technology (code: 300139) at 27.67, up 6.18% [1] - Shanshe International (code: 000975) at 22.32, up 5.98% [1] - Hengbang Shares (code: 002237) at 14.57, up 3.55% [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (code: 600988) at 29.00, up 3.20% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector saw a net inflow of 1.237 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.124 billion yuan [1] - Specific stock capital flows included: - Zhongjin Gold (code: 600489) with a net inflow of 296 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Shandong Gold (code: 600547) with a net inflow of 279 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Xiaocheng Technology (code: 300139) with a net inflow of 158 million yuan from institutional investors [2]

证券代码：600489 证券简称：中金黄金 公告编号：2025-031 中金黄金股份有限公司 关于召开 2025 年半年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： （二） 会议召开地点：上证路演中心 https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 9 月 30 日 （星期二） 至 10 月 14 日 （星 期二）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目 或通过公司邮箱 zjhj@chinagoldgroup.com 进行提问。公司将在说明 会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 中金黄金股份有限公司（以下简称公司）已于 2025 年 8 月 29 日 发布公司 2025 年半年度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解 公司 2025 年半年度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 10 月 15 日 （星期三） 9:00-10:00 举行 2025 年半年度业绩说明会，就投 资者关心的问题 ...

Core Viewpoint - Spot gold has broken through the $3,800 per ounce mark, reaching a new historical high, with a year-to-date increase of over 45% [2][5]. Market Performance - As of the latest report, spot gold is priced at $3,807.319 per ounce, reflecting a daily increase of 1.29% [3]. - New York futures gold has also reached a historical high, currently reported at $3,833.9 per ounce, with a daily rise of 0.65% [6]. Market Drivers - The surge in gold prices is attributed to investor expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, alongside a weakening dollar, which provides additional support for gold prices [7]. - According to CME FedWatch data, traders currently estimate an 89.3% probability of a rate cut in October and approximately 66.6% for December [8]. Economic Indicators - Recent U.S. economic data shows that the PCE price index rose from 2.6% to 2.7% year-on-year, with the core index stable at 2.9%, reinforcing market expectations for further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve [11]. Technical Analysis - FXStreet analysis indicates that gold maintains a bullish outlook in the long term, with prices holding above the 100-day moving average. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests an overbought condition, indicating potential for technical consolidation or a short-term pullback before a new upward trend [12]. Related Market Movements - The A-share precious metals sector saw a significant rise, with gains exceeding 4% in the afternoon session [13][14]. - Notable stocks include Shengda Resources, which hit the daily limit with a 9.99% increase, and Zhaojin Mining, which rose nearly 9% [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry index in China has shown strong performance, with significant increases in various stocks, driven by a government plan aimed at stabilizing growth in the sector and rising gold prices reaching historical highs [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - As of September 29, 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) rose by 3.10%, with notable stock increases including Vanadium Titanium Co. (000629) up 10.00%, Xingye Silver Tin (000426) up 9.11%, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) up 7.77% [1]. - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) also increased by 3.07%, with the latest price reported at 1.61 yuan [1]. Group 2: Government Initiatives - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with eight other departments, issued the "Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" to support the sector [1]. Group 3: Commodity Insights - East Wu Securities forecasts that copper prices will remain strong due to anticipated supply contractions and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate amid weak demand [1]. - The gold market is influenced by a shift in the Federal Reserve's stance during the global central bank conference in August, with expectations of continued inflation and declining nominal interest rates, suggesting a broad potential for precious metals [1]. Group 4: ETF Composition - The non-ferrous metal industry index includes 50 prominent securities based on size and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the sector [2]. - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 50.35% of the total, including Zijin Mining (601899) and Northern Rare Earth (600111) [2].

Core Insights - The article highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly the increase in the price of copper and aluminum, driven by supply disruptions and demand recovery [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal ETF showed a stable performance with a 1.5% increase in price and a transaction volume of 1.4755 million yuan, bringing the fund's total size to 303 million yuan [1] - Key stocks such as Baiyin Nonferrous, Guiyan Platinum, and Xingye Silver Tin saw significant gains of 3.6%, 3.23%, and 2.92% respectively, while Shenghe Resources experienced a decline of 1.41% [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The Grasberg copper mine, the second largest globally, has halted production due to an accident, leading Freeport to project a significant decrease in copper sales by Q4 2025 and a potential 35% drop in production in 2026, exacerbating supply tightness [1] - The aluminum sector is witnessing a positive trend with successful technological advancements in aluminum alloy materials for automotive applications, recognized by high-end clients like BMW and Mercedes, which is expected to drive industry transformation [1] Group 3: Price Outlook - Tianfeng Securities indicates a bullish sentiment in the copper market, with prices expected to continue rising due to supply-demand dynamics and a favorable outlook for aluminum prices supported by inventory reductions and seasonal demand [1][2] - The cobalt sector is facing increased prices due to export bans and quota policies from the Democratic Republic of Congo, leading to a tightening of raw material supply [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Zhongjin Gold has seen significant trading activity, with a total of 871,000 shares traded on September 26, amounting to approximately 17.90 million yuan at a price of 20.55 yuan per share [2][3] - In the last three months, Zhongjin Gold has recorded a total of 11 block trades, with a cumulative transaction amount of 63.56 million yuan [2] - The closing price of Zhongjin Gold on September 26 was 20.55 yuan, reflecting an increase of 0.54%, with a daily turnover rate of 1.37% and a total trading volume of 1.36 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The latest margin financing balance for Zhongjin Gold is 2.68 billion yuan, which has increased by 119 million yuan over the past five days, representing a growth rate of 4.64% [3] - The company was established on September 24, 2007, with a registered capital of approximately 4.85 billion yuan [3] - The block trading details on September 26 show three transactions, all at the same price of 20.55 yuan, with the largest transaction being 387,000 shares for 7.95 million yuan [3]

Core Insights - The precious metals sector saw a slight increase of 0.23% on September 26, with Hunan Silver leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3828.11, down 0.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13209.0, down 1.76% [1] Precious Metals Sector Performance - Hunan Silver (002716) closed at 6.91, up 5.02% with a trading volume of 2.9147 million shares and a transaction value of 2.034 billion [1] - Shandong Gold (600547) closed at 38.22, up 0.84%, with a trading volume of 373,900 shares [1] - Zhongjin Gold (600489) closed at 20.55, up 0.54%, with a trading volume of 664,000 shares [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988) closed at 28.10, down 0.46%, with a trading volume of 400,300 shares [1] - Other notable performances include: - Hunan Gold (002155) down 0.65% - Western Gold (601069) down 1.01% - Sichuan Gold (001337) down 1.03% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The precious metals sector experienced a net inflow of 35.5562 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 135 million [2][3] - Hunan Silver had a net inflow of 49.4856 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 53.9428 million from retail investors [3] - Shandong Gold also saw a significant net inflow of 40.8309 million from institutional investors, with retail investors experiencing a net outflow of 104 million [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Zhongjin Gold has seen a stock price increase of 1.56%, reaching a new high of 20.83 yuan per share, with a total market value surpassing 100.969 billion yuan [1] - The trading volume for Zhongjin Gold reached 1.129 billion yuan [1]

Group 1 - Freeport announced force majeure due to an Indonesian mining accident, expecting a 4% year-on-year decline in copper sales for Q3 2025, with Q4 nearly stagnant. The global copper increment from the top 18 mines is projected to drop from 430,000 tons to 160,000 tons, exacerbating supply-demand conflicts and driving up copper-related stocks [1] - U.S. Antimony received a $245 million exclusive supply contract from the Pentagon, planning to increase production capacity from 2,000 tons to 6,000 tons, strengthening the supply-demand support logic for the antimony sector and boosting market sentiment [1] - Overproduction of coal in Shanxi and other regions may be restricted by the new Anti-Unfair Competition Law, with tight supply expectations pushing coking coal prices up to 1,700-1,800 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - As of September 25, the non-ferrous ETF fund (159880.SZ) rose by 2.22%, and its related index, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Index (399395.SZ), increased by 2.07%. Among major constituent stocks, Northern Copper Industry rose by 10.01%, Luoyang Molybdenum by 9.67%, and Tongling Nonferrous Metals by 8.35% [1] - HuLong Securities noted that in the context of increased macro uncertainty, precious metals maintain a trend of rising volume and price. Their non-ferrous metal industry report indicates that Zijin Mining (601899.SH) received an "overweight" rating, with a projected PE of 15 times for 2025 [1] - According to Everbright Securities' weekly report, cobalt prices have risen across the board, with a week-on-week increase of 1.13% for cobalt sulfate. Additionally, polysilicon prices have risen for two consecutive months, with a week-on-week increase of 4.0% for photovoltaic-grade polysilicon, reflecting changes in the supply-demand structure in certain non-ferrous metal segments [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Accumulate" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [8]. Core Insights - The steel industry is supported by pre-holiday inventory replenishment by downstream enterprises and the introduction of stable growth policies, which are expected to boost market confidence and potentially support steel prices if the fundamentals continue to improve [4][5]. - For copper, the impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is becoming more pronounced, with expectations of a strong copper price if downstream demand continues to improve [4][46]. - Aluminum prices may also be supported by improving downstream demand and the anticipated easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve [4][52]. - Gold prices are expected to stabilize if the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index shows signs of slowing down, with long-term attention on the Fed's interest rate path [4][59]. - The cobalt market is experiencing tight supply conditions due to an extended export ban from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which is likely to strengthen cobalt prices in the short term [4][20]. - The rare earth market is expected to see price fluctuations due to weak seasonal demand, with attention on international trade policies affecting exports [4][5]. Summary by Sections Steel Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a "Steel Industry Stable Growth Work Plan" targeting an average annual growth of 4% in value added for the steel industry over the next two years [22]. - The plan includes ten specific measures focusing on consumption peak, supply quality improvement, industry transformation, effective consumption expansion, and deepening open cooperation [22]. - Recent data indicates a slight increase in steel demand due to construction material consumption, while supply has decreased slightly, leading to a marginal improvement in the market [22][23]. Copper Industry - The copper market is showing signs of recovery in downstream demand, with increased operating rates in domestic copper rod enterprises [45][46]. - The supply side remains stable, and the copper price is expected to be supported if demand continues to improve [46][49]. Aluminum Industry - The aluminum sector is benefiting from improved downstream demand and stable production costs, with expectations of price support from the Fed's easing policies [52][53]. Precious Metals - The gold market is influenced by geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic indicators, with potential price support if inflation data shows signs of slowing [59][60]. Cobalt and Rare Earths - The cobalt market is facing supply constraints due to export restrictions from the DRC, while the rare earth market is experiencing price volatility amid weak demand [4][20].