Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the brokerage sector, indicating that it is an opportune time to invest in underperforming brokerages [5][45]. Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index reached the 3500-point mark for the fifth time on July 10, 2025, with a notable increase in trading volume compared to previous attempts [5][8]. - Historical analysis shows that the index has previously struggled to maintain levels above 3500 points, with varying degrees of success in breaking through 4000 points in 2007 and 2015 [5][9]. - The current market is characterized by a "slow bull" trend, with over 90% of industry indices rising since the recent breakthrough, although many brokerages have already experienced significant gains [5][42]. Summary by Sections Historical Context - The report outlines the historical performance of the Shanghai Composite Index at the 3500-point threshold, noting that in 2007, the index quickly surpassed 4000 points after reaching 3500 [9]. - In 2015, the index again reached 3500 but did not yield significant excess returns for the brokerage sector due to prior gains [18][23]. - The 2021 attempt to maintain levels above 3500 resulted in a prolonged period of volatility without substantial upward momentum [31][35]. Current Market Analysis - As of July 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index reached 3615 points, with the brokerage sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio at 1.46, indicating a lower valuation compared to historical averages [38]. - The average daily trading volume from July 1 to July 30, 2025, was 670.1 billion yuan, which is below the required levels to sustain upward momentum [42]. - The report highlights that the brokerage sector's performance has been mixed, with some firms like Zhongyin Securities seeing significant gains, while others lag behind [42][48]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading brokerages such as Guotai Junan, CITIC Securities, and Dongfang Wealth, which are expected to benefit from increased market activity [5][45]. - It emphasizes the importance of trading volume as a key variable for sustaining market momentum and suggests that the current market conditions may favor a shift towards a more stable investment strategy [50][52].

V. 確認 不適用 FF301 呈交者： 聶小剛 職銜： 董事及聯席公司秘書 (董事、秘書或其他獲正式授權的人員) 第 10 頁 共 11 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 在購回股份（股份被持作庫存股份）的情況下，「事件發生日期」應理解爲「發行人購回並以庫存方式持有股份的日期」。 份數目。 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 國泰海通證券股份有限公司(「本公司」) 呈交日期: 2025年8月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 證券代號 (如上市) 02611 說明 法定/註冊股份數目 面值 法定/註冊股本 上月底結存 3,505,759,848 RMB 1 RMB 3,505,759,848 增加 / 減少 (-) 0 RMB 0 本月底結存 3,505,759,848 RMB 1 RMB 3,505,759,848 證券代號 (如上市) 601211 說明 法定/註冊股份數目 面值 法定/註冊股本 上月底結存 14,123,948,848 RMB 1 RMB 14,123,94 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company intends to temporarily use part of its idle raised funds, not exceeding RMB 150 million, to supplement its working capital while ensuring the normal progress of its fundraising projects [4][6]. Fundraising Basic Situation - The company successfully issued 21,780,000 shares at a price of RMB 35.76 per share, raising a total of RMB 778.85 million, with a net amount of RMB 693.52 million after deducting underwriting fees [1]. Fundraising Management - The company has established a special account for managing the raised funds and signed a tripartite supervision agreement with the sponsor and the bank where the funds are deposited [2]. Investment Project Situation - The company has adjusted its fundraising investment plan, with a total planned investment of RMB 862.37 million, of which RMB 693.52 million is allocated to various projects, including the construction of an endoscope production base and a research and experimental center [3]. Plan for Using Idle Funds - The company plans to use idle funds to meet working capital needs, improve fund utilization efficiency, and enhance profitability, ensuring that the funds will only be used for business expansion and daily operations related to its main business [4][5]. Approval Process - The company held board and supervisory meetings to approve the use of idle funds, confirming that the process complies with relevant laws and regulations, and does not affect the normal progress of fundraising projects [6]. Special Opinions - The supervisory board agrees that the use of idle funds will not change the intended use of the raised funds and will not harm the interests of the company and its shareholders [6]. Sponsor's Verification Opinion - The sponsor has verified that the approval process for using idle funds has been properly followed and that the funds will be used in accordance with regulations, ensuring no impact on the fundraising investment plan [6].

Core Viewpoint - North Special Technology (北特科技) is actively engaging in various business segments, including chassis components, air conditioning compressors, and screw rod products, with a focus on innovation and market expansion in the automotive industry [1][5]. Business Segments - **Chassis Components**: The chassis components business is the foundation of the company, with a diverse product structure primarily consisting of automotive safety parts. The company has developed a highly specialized and systematic production process over 20 years, maintaining stable supply chain relationships with leading Tier 1 manufacturers [2]. - **Air Conditioning Compressors**: The company is expanding its traditional commercial vehicle compressor business by exploring opportunities in the new energy vehicle market. It is actively developing new energy air conditioning compressors and integrated thermal management systems, benefiting from growth in electric compressors and related projects [3]. - **Screw Rod Products**: The company has leveraged its 20 years of expertise in metal precision processing to develop various screw rod products, including planetary roller screw rods and ball screw rods. These products are primarily used in automotive steering systems and emerging markets like humanoid robots [4]. Recent Developments - **Screw Rod Production Line**: The company has invested in a production line in Shanghai for screw rod products, equipped with comprehensive machinery to independently complete all production processes. Additionally, it has signed an investment agreement to establish a research and production base for planetary roller screw rods in Kunshan, indicating confidence in the market potential for these products [4]. - **Recent Financial Performance**: In the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a main revenue of 542 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.73%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 23.06 million yuan, up 40.31% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 18.17% [6]. Financing Activities - **Quick Refinance Progress**: The company is progressing with a quick refinancing plan initiated on June 27, 2025, having obtained necessary approvals for overseas investment, indicating a strategic move to support its business expansion [5]. Market Outlook - **Profit Forecasts**: Various institutions have provided profit forecasts for the company, with projected net profits for 2025 ranging from 100 million to 1.22 billion yuan, reflecting positive expectations for the company's growth trajectory [7]. Investment Trends - **Recent Investment Flows**: In the past three months, the stock has seen a net inflow of 111 million yuan in financing, indicating increased investor interest and confidence in the company's future performance [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of optimizing position strategies in quantitative frameworks for predicting bond futures, rather than solely focusing on the prediction accuracy of price movements [1][3]. Group 1: Position Strategy Optimization - The study tests various position strategies, including a full position strategy as a benchmark, a threshold-based full position strategy, and a gradual accumulation strategy that incorporates a fuzzy interval filtering mechanism [1][3]. - Continuous trading strategies convert binary probability signals into position adjustment signals, allowing for categorization based on risk preferences, such as risk-seeking, risk-averse, and risk-neutral types [1][3]. Group 2: Model and Market Conditions - The report references a multi-factor model for bond market timing, utilizing recent data to train models for predicting the next trading day, with specific market conditions defined for 2024 and 2025 [2]. - The combination of various position strategies is crucial, particularly in volatile markets, where appropriate strategy selection can significantly enhance overall model performance [3]. Group 3: Performance Insights - Binary full position strategies effectively capture returns during clear trends but come with higher volatility and transaction costs [3]. - Gradual accumulation strategies show lower trading frequency advantages, reducing transaction costs, but may have limited return capture in sideways markets [3]. - Single continuous strategies demonstrate strong performance in volatile markets, with specific strategies like Sigmoid and Atanh showing significant advantages in volatility control, especially for risk-averse investors [3].

金十图示：2025年08月01日（周五）富时中国A50指数成分股今日收盘行情一览：银行股走势分化，石油、证券、医药股走软 富时中国A50指数连续 光大银行 2392.96亿市值 6.38亿成交额 4.05 0.00(0.00%) 保险 中国太保 中国平安 中国人保 机械 3608.68亿市值 3569.15亿市值 10598.36亿市值 9.02亿成交额 28.60亿成交额 6.15亿成交额 58.20 37.10 8.16 -0.36(-0.96%) -0.49(-0.83%) -0.02(-0.24%) 酿酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 17800.32亿市值 2182.64亿市值 4696.75亿市值 42.01亿成交额 9.39亿成交额 14.91亿成交额 1417.00 178.91 121.00 -4.67(-0.33%) -0.09(-0.05%) -0.15(-0.12%) 半导体 海光信息 北方华创 寒武纪-U HYGON 2379.85亿市值 2882.85亿市值 3201.78亿市值 49.98亿成交额 18.35亿成交额 31.52亿成交额 329.80 689.10 137.75 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the launch of the Guotai Haitong 818 Wealth Management Festival, featuring discussions on the Chinese economic landscape and capital market prospects, emphasizing a "transformation bull" market trend [1][10]. Group 1: Event Overview - The Guotai Haitong 818 Wealth Management Festival officially commenced on August 1, with former Vice Chairman of the National Social Security Fund Council, Wang Zhongmin, as a special guest [1][10]. - The event includes a special program titled "Chief is Here," where experts analyze economic hotspots and market trends [1][10]. Group 2: Key Participants - Notable guests include Wang Zhongmin, who has extensive experience in economic policy and investment, and various chief analysts from Guotai Haitong [8][10]. - The program is hosted by Chen Xinyi, a prominent figure in the Guotai Haitong investment community [8]. Group 3: Discussion Topics - The first half of the program focuses on macroeconomic issues, including the evolution of China-U.S. relations and the impact of "anti-involution" compared to previous supply-side structural reforms [8]. - The second half addresses capital market investments, discussing the trend of increasing risk asset allocation and the implications of stablecoins and tokens on the global financial system [8]. Group 4: Future Programs - The festival will feature additional special programs, including one on August 18 led by Research Institute Director Lu Ying, focusing on new productivity and investment opportunities [10].

国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于无锡市德科立光电子技术股份有限公司 首次公开发行部分限售股上市流通的核查意见 国泰海通证券股份有限公司（以下简称"国泰海通"或"保荐人"）作为无 锡市德科立光电子技术股份有限公司（以下简称"德科立"、 "公司"或"发行人"） 首次公开发行股票并在科创板上市及 2023 年度向特定对象发行股票的保荐人， 根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《上海证券交易所科创板上市公司自律 监管指引第 1 号——规范运作》《上海证券交易所科创板股票上市规则》等有关 法律法规和规范性文件的要求，就德科立首次公开发行部分限售股上市流通的事 项进行了审慎核查，并发表如下核查意见： 一、本次上市流通的限售股类型 根据中国证券监督管理委员会 2022 年 6 月 13 日出具的《关于同意无锡市德 科立光电子技术股份有限公司首次公开发行股票注册的批复》 会第十一次会议审议通过了《关于公司 2024 年度利润分配预案的议案》，以方案 实施前的公司总股本 120,892,825 股为基数，向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 公司召开 2024 年年度股东会，审议通过上述议案并于 2025 年 5 月 29 日完成 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company plans to utilize part of its idle raised funds for cash management to enhance fund efficiency and generate returns without affecting its main business operations or the intended use of the raised funds [1][5][8]. Group 1: Fundraising Overview - The company raised a total of RMB 67,399.25 million by issuing 34,563,717 shares at RMB 19.50 per share, with a net amount of RMB 60,128.41 million after deducting issuance costs of RMB 7,270.84 million [1]. - The total amount of oversubscribed funds is RMB 16,628.41 million, which has been confirmed by PwC [1]. Group 2: Investment Project Status - The funds raised will be allocated to various projects, with the automotive electronic precision component production line expansion project having a total investment of RMB 44,401.18 million and a cumulative investment of RMB 43,500.00 million as of the end of 2024 [2][3]. Group 3: Cash Management Plan - The company intends to use up to RMB 20,000 million of idle raised funds for cash management within a 12-month period, allowing for rolling use within this limit [3][4]. - The cash management investments will focus on high-security, liquid products with a maximum investment period of 12 months, and will not be used for pledging or non-raised fund purposes [4][5]. Group 4: Approval and Oversight - The board of directors and the supervisory board have approved the cash management plan, confirming that it will not impact the company's normal operations or the progress of investment projects [6][7]. - The company will adhere to relevant regulations for information disclosure and ensure that the cash management does not harm the interests of shareholders, particularly minority shareholders [7][8].

国泰海通证券股份有限公司 为提高公司资金使用效率，在不影响公司经营业务正常开展的情况下，合理 利用闲置自有资金进行现金管理，增加资金收益，为公司及股东获取更多的投资 回报。 （二）现金管理额度及期限 公司及子公司使用合计不超过20,000万元的闲置自有资金进行现金管理。上 述额度自公司董事会审议通过之日起12个月内有效，在前述额度和期限范围内可 循环滚动使用。 关于上海维科精密模塑股份有限公司 使用部分闲置自有资金进行现金管理的核查意见 根据《证券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《深圳证券交易所创业板股票上市 规则》 《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 13 号——保荐业务》等有关规 定，国泰海通证券股份有限公司（以下简称"保荐机构"）作为上海维科精密模 塑股份有限公司（以下简称"维科精密"或"公司"）首次公开发行股票并在创 业板上市的保荐机构，就公司使用部分闲置自有资金进行现金管理的事项进行了 核查，具体情况如下： 一、本次使用部分闲置自有资金进行现金管理的情况 （一）投资目的 公司与提供委托理财的金融机构不存在关联关系。 二、现金管理风险分析及风险控制措施 （一）投资风险 （三）投资方式 公司将按照相关规定 ...