Report Title - "Crude Oil Weekly Report: OPEC+ Rapidly Increases Production, International Oil Prices Decline" [1] Report Date - September 14, 2025 [1] Report Authors - Energy and Chemical Chief Securities Analyst: Chen Shuxian, CFA [1] - Energy and Chemical Analyst: Zhou Shaowen [1] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - This week, Brent/WTI crude oil futures had weekly average prices of $66.7/$62.7 per barrel, down $0.8/$1.2 from last week respectively. In the US, crude oil production, inventory, and the number of active rigs and fracturing fleets increased, while refinery processing volume decreased, and import and export volumes changed. US refined oil prices, inventory, production, and demand also showed various changes. [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - **Upstream Key Company Performance**: For example, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (600938.SH) had a weekly increase of 2.2%, and China National Petroleum Corporation (601857.SH) had a weekly decrease of 2.4%. [8][9] - **Crude Oil Price**: Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO crude oil prices had different degrees of decline compared to last week. [9] - **Crude Oil Inventory**: US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory were 8.3/4.2/4.1/0.2 billion barrels respectively, with weekly changes of +445/+394/+51/-37 million barrels. [2][9] - **Crude Oil Production**: US crude oil production was 13.5 million barrels per day, up 70,000 barrels per day from last week. The number of active crude oil rigs was 416, up 2, and the number of active fracturing fleets was 164, up 5. [2][9] - **Refinery Data**: US refinery crude oil processing volume was 16.82 million barrels per day, down 50,000 barrels per day, and the refinery operating rate was 94.9%, up 0.6 pct. [2][9] - **Import and Export Volume**: US crude oil imports, exports, and net imports were 6.27/2.75/3.53 million barrels per day, with weekly changes of -47/-114/+67 million barrels per day. [2][9] - **Refined Oil Data**: US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel had weekly average prices of $83/$97/$90 per barrel, down $1.8/$1.5/$4.1 from last week respectively. Inventory, production, demand, and import and export volumes also changed. [2][11] 2. This Week's Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Market Review - **Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector Performance**: Not detailed in the given content - **Sector Listed Company Performance**: Many listed companies in the petroleum and petrochemical sector showed different degrees of rise and fall this week. For example, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH) had a weekly increase of 3.4%, and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (600028.SH) had a weekly decrease of 1.2%. [24] 3. Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Crude Oil Price**: Analyzed the price relationships and spreads among various types of crude oil, such as Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and Russian ESPO, as well as the relationships between the US dollar index, LME copper price, and WTI crude oil price. [9][38] - **Crude Oil Inventory**: Studied the correlations between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices, and changes in US total crude oil inventory, commercial crude oil inventory, strategic crude oil inventory, and Cushing crude oil inventory. [45][49] - **Crude Oil Supply**: Focused on US crude oil production, the number of oil rigs, and the number of fracturing fleets, and their relationships with oil prices. [60][62] - **Crude Oil Demand**: Mainly looked at US refinery processing volume and operating rate. [9] - **Crude Oil Import and Export**: Analyzed US crude oil import, export, and net import volumes. [78] 4. Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking - **Refined Oil Price**: Analyzed the price adjustment rules of domestic refined oil based on international oil prices, and the price relationships and spreads between crude oil and refined oil in the US, Europe, and Singapore. [89][116] - **Refined Oil Inventory**: Studied the inventory changes of US gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and Singapore gasoline and diesel. [11][130] - **Refined Oil Supply**: Focused on US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel production. [152] - **Refined Oil Demand**: Mainly looked at US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel consumption and the number of US airport passenger security checks. [156][157] - **Refined Oil Import and Export**: Analyzed US gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel import, export, and net export volumes. [170][173] 5. Oil Service Sector Data Tracking - **Day Rate**: Presented the average daily rates of self - elevating drilling platforms and semi - submersible drilling platforms. [187][188] Recommended Companies - Recommended companies include CNOOC Limited (600938.SH/0883.HK), PetroChina Company Limited (601857.SH/0857.HK), Sinopec (600028.SH/0386.HK), CNOOC Oilfield Services Limited (601808.SH), Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. (600583.SH), and CNOOC Energy Technology & Services Limited (600968.SH). Companies to be concerned about include Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation (600871.SH/1033.HK), China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (600339.SH), and Sinopec Machinery Co., Ltd. (000852.SZ) [3]

Core Insights - The report highlights that in 2024, China's oil and gas production reached a historic high of 4.09 million tons, marking a continuous increase for eight years, and successfully completed the "Seven-Year Action Plan" two years ahead of schedule [1][8]. Group 1: Production and Exploration Achievements - In 2024, China's crude oil production reached 213 million tons, nearing historical peaks, while natural gas production exceeded 246.5 billion cubic meters, maintaining a growth of over 10 billion cubic meters for eight consecutive years [1][8]. - The marine and unconventional oil and gas sectors were the main contributors to production growth, with marine oil and gas production exceeding 85 million tons and shale oil production increasing by 35% year-on-year to over 6 million tons [1][2]. Group 2: Exploration Breakthroughs - The exploration sector focused on five key areas: deep and ultra-deep layers, marine, unconventional, new regions, and mature exploration areas, achieving significant breakthroughs [2]. - Notable achievements include the completion of China's first ultra-deep well "Deep Earth Taka 1" at a depth of 10,910 meters and the discovery of major oil fields in the Pearl River Mouth Basin and Qiongdongnan Basin [2]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - In 2024, China made significant advancements in oil and gas geological theory, exploration and development technologies, and equipment autonomy, enhancing the industry's technological capabilities [3]. - The introduction of high-density seismic exploration technology and advancements in shale gas drilling techniques led to an additional crude oil production of over 36 million tons in 2024 [3]. Group 4: Green Transition and Renewable Energy Integration - The oil and gas industry accelerated its integration with renewable energy, adding over 4 million kilowatts of solar and wind power capacity in 2024, and achieving record geothermal heating area [4]. - The application of CCUS (Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage) technology deepened, with 10 new CCUS-EOR projects added in 2024, cumulatively injecting 14.73 million tons of CO2 [4]. Group 5: Future Outlook - For 2025, the oil and gas industry aims to focus on high-quality development, with plans to maintain crude oil production at 200 million tons and continue increasing natural gas production by over 10 billion cubic meters for nine consecutive years [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrated strong resilience in its oil and gas operations despite a decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating due to its solid fundamentals and cost advantages [1][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 207.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.53 billion yuan, down 12.79% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter saw operating revenue of 100.75 billion yuan, a decline of 12.62% year-on-year and 5.71% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 32.97 billion yuan, down 17.60% year-on-year and 9.83% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The average Brent crude oil price fell by 15.1% year-on-year, while the company's sales gross margin was 53.5%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points [1]. Production and Reserves - The company's oil and gas net production reached 384.6 million barrels of oil equivalent in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, marking a historical high for the same period [2]. - Domestic production was 266.5 million barrels of oil equivalent, up 7.6% year-on-year, while overseas production was 118.1 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 2.8% [2]. - The company achieved a reserve replacement ratio of over 130%, maintaining a reserve life of around 10 years [2]. Technological Advancements - The company has made significant technological advancements, reducing the natural decline rate of offshore oil fields to 9.5%, the best level in history, and lowering the main cost per barrel of oil equivalent to 26.94 USD [2]. - Key projects such as "Deep Sea No. 1" and others have successfully commenced production, contributing to the overall increase in output [2]. Green Transition and Shareholder Returns - The company is advancing its green and low-carbon initiatives, with significant achievements in energy efficiency and emissions reduction, including the recovery of torch gas and the establishment of China's first offshore CCUS project [3]. - The board has decided to distribute an interim dividend of 0.73 HKD per share, reflecting a payout ratio of 45.5% and a total dividend amount of approximately 31.60 billion yuan, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns even during a downturn in oil prices [3]. Valuation Outlook - The company is expected to maintain strong performance despite short-term fluctuations in international oil prices, with projected net profits of 138.15 billion yuan, 138.75 billion yuan, and 142.25 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, respectively [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 2.91 CNY, 2.92 CNY, and 2.99 CNY for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 8.9x, 8.9x, and 8.7x [3].

Core Insights - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has successfully completed surface operations for six development wells in the Dongfang 1-1 gas field, setting a new domestic record for drilling speed with a maximum daily penetration of 2,618 meters on August 12 [1][3] - This project is notable as it is China's first high-temperature, high-pressure, low-permeability natural gas development project, with reservoir temperatures reaching 150 degrees Celsius and pressure coefficients exceeding 1.8 [1][3] Group 1 - The drilling operation not only represents a breakthrough in offshore drilling speed but also surpasses the drilling speed records of onshore gas wells [3] - The operation team utilized a self-developed "Drilling Optimization System" that employs big data analysis to optimize drilling parameters, allowing for efficient coordination among various technical personnel and equipment [3] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, CNOOC is aggressively advancing oil and gas reserve enhancement projects, with an average of nearly 1,000 offshore wells drilled annually, marking a 40% increase compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan [3] Group 2 - The number of wells in new fields such as deep, ultra-deep, deep water, and ultra-high temperature and pressure has doubled compared to the 13th Five-Year Plan [3] - Overall drilling and completion efficiency has improved by 15% [3]

Market Overview - On September 12, the oil and gas extraction sector rose by 0.09% compared to the previous trading day, with Intercontinental Oil leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.69, up 0.22%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.38, up 0.13% [1] Stock Performance - Intercontinental Oil (600759) closed at 2.34, with an increase of 0.86% and a trading volume of 1.3983 million shares, totaling a transaction value of 3.26 billion [1] - China National Offshore Oil (600938) closed at 26.33, up 0.42%, with a trading volume of 302,700 shares and a transaction value of 7.951 billion [1] - Blue Flame Holdings (000968) closed at 7.03, down 0.42%, with a trading volume of 59,200 shares and a transaction value of 41.5965 million [1] - *ST Xinchao (600777) closed at 3.92, down 0.76%, with a trading volume of 126,800 shares and a transaction value of 49.8497 million [1] Capital Flow - The oil and gas extraction sector experienced a net outflow of 147 million from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 111 million [1] - The detailed capital flow for individual stocks shows that *ST Xinchao had a main fund net outflow of 4.5302 million, while retail investors had a net inflow of 5.7762 million [2] - Intercontinental Oil had a main fund net outflow of 24.4488 million, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 25.3415 million [2] - China National Offshore Oil faced a main fund net outflow of 113 million, while retail investors had a net inflow of 73.5631 million [2]

Group 1 - CNOOC (Oriental) Energy Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 1 billion yuan [1] - The company's business scope includes wind power generation technology services, research and development of wind farm-related systems, and research and development of offshore wind power-related systems [1] - The company is jointly owned by CNOOC (Hainan) New Energy Co., Ltd. and Mingyang Smart Energy (601615) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the stable growth of the main business while actively exploring new opportunities in semiconductors and embodied intelligence [3][6] - The company achieved a revenue of 1.099 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 93 million yuan, an increase of 0.9% [3][4] - The sales gross margin improved to 26.07%, up 0.14 percentage points year-on-year, indicating effective product structure optimization [3][4] Group 2 - The report indicates that Sinopec's revenue for H1 2025 was 1.4091 trillion yuan, a decrease of 10.6% year-on-year, with a net profit of 21.5 billion yuan, down 39.83% [8][9] - The company achieved a historical high in domestic oil and gas equivalent production, reaching 262.81 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 2.0% [11][12] - The refining segment faced challenges due to fluctuating international oil prices and declining demand for gasoline and diesel [13][39] Group 3 - The report on Ruihua Tai indicates a revenue of 182 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 37.86%, with a net profit loss of 34 million yuan, showing a reduction in losses [17][18] - The company is gradually ramping up production capacity at its Jiaxing base, with new product development in the semiconductor and renewable energy sectors [21][19] Group 4 - Yanggu Huatai reported a revenue of 1.722 billion yuan in H1 2025, an increase of 2.09% year-on-year, but a net profit decrease of 8.43% [25][26] - The company is actively pursuing the acquisition of Bomi Technology, which specializes in semiconductor materials, indicating a strategic expansion into the electronic chemicals sector [28][29] Group 5 - Xinxiang Chemical Fiber reported a revenue of 3.738 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 1.52% year-on-year, with a significant drop in net profit by 58.58% [32][33] - The company maintains a leading position in the production of biomass cellulose filament, leveraging unique technology to enhance supply chain security [35][36] Group 6 - Hengyi Petrochemical's revenue for H1 2025 was 55.96 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.59% year-on-year, with a net profit of 227 million yuan, down 47.32% [38][39] - The company is set to launch a new nylon project in the second half of 2025, which is expected to strengthen its market position [40][41] Group 7 - Dongfang Shenghong reported a revenue of 60.916 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 16.36% year-on-year, but a net profit increase of 21.24% [43] - The company’s refining segment turned profitable, indicating resilience amid challenging market conditions [43]

Key Insights - The report highlights a selection of stocks for September, including 京沪高铁 (601816.SH), 桐昆股份 (601233.SH), 雅克科技 (002409.SZ), 宁德时代 (300750.SZ), 恒瑞医药 (600276.SH), 三友医疗 (688085.SH), 北京人力 (600861.SH), 菲利华 (300395.SZ), 兆易创新 (603986.SH), and 鹏鼎控股 (002938.SZ) [1] Fixed Income - The report maintains a view on gradual improvement in PPI and a slow recovery in long-term bond yields, indicating signs of stabilization in upstream prices and a potential seasonal improvement in food prices due to upcoming holidays [2][5] Electronics - The report discusses Apple's 2025 Fall Product Launch, noting the introduction of eight new products, including the iPhone 17 series, which features significant design innovations and improved cost-performance ratios, likely to drive sales growth [2][7][8] Oil and Petrochemicals - 中国海油 reported a revenue of 207.61 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 8.45% year-on-year, with a net profit of 69.53 billion yuan, down 12.79%. The company continues to show resilience and improved risk management capabilities despite the revenue decline [3][12] - 中国石油's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1,450.10 billion yuan, down 6.74% year-on-year, with a net profit of 83.99 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.42%. The company is focusing on increasing natural gas production and enhancing its refining and chemical transformation [3][17] Market Performance - The report provides an overview of market indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3875.31, up 1.65%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 12979.89, up 3.36%. The electronics and communication sectors showed strong performance, with increases of 5.96% and 7.39% respectively [4] Company Financials - 万润股份 reported a total revenue of 1.87 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.42% year-on-year, but with a net profit increase of 1.35%. The company is seeing improvements in its pharmaceutical business, with significant growth in its medical subsidiary [23][24]

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has achieved a significant milestone in offshore oil and gas development by setting a new record for daily drilling progress in a single well, indicating advancements in high-temperature and high-pressure oil and gas development technology in China [1] Group 1 - CNOOC's project in the Yinggehai sea area of Hainan has successfully drilled a well that reached a daily drilling depth of 2,618 meters [1] - This achievement marks a new record for single well daily drilling progress in China's oil and gas sector [1] - The development signifies that China's offshore high-temperature and high-pressure oil and gas development technology has reached an internationally advanced level [1]

Group 1 - The core achievement of the project is the record-breaking drilling speed of 2618 meters in a single day, marking a significant advancement in China's offshore high-temperature and high-pressure oil and gas development technology [1] - The well drilled is part of China's first high-temperature, high-pressure, and low-permeability natural gas development project, with a design depth exceeding 5800 meters and a bottom temperature reaching 150 degrees Celsius, indicating the complexity of the operation [1] - The project team utilized intelligent technology to enhance drilling speed, achieving a 50% increase in overall operational efficiency through dynamic optimization of operational parameters and automated tracking of downhole conditions [1] Group 2 - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, China has significantly promoted offshore oil and gas development, with an average annual number of offshore wells reaching nearly 1000, a 40% increase compared to the previous five-year period [2] - The number of wells in new fields such as deep, ultra-deep, deep water, ultra-deep water, high temperature, and ultra-high temperature and pressure has doubled compared to the previous five-year period, with overall drilling and completion efficiency improving by 15% [2]