Group 1 - Company Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693.HK) will hold a board meeting on August 22, 2025, to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ending June 30, 2025, and to consider the declaration of an interim dividend, if any [1] - The stock of Chifeng Jilong Gold has experienced a decline of over 5% amid a broader downturn in gold stocks, with spot gold prices falling below $3,370 [2]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The copper market may continue to oscillate within a range and may show a short - term upward trend. Supply - side factors such as mine disturbances and improved smelting efficiency offset each other, but the decline in anode copper开工率 limits supply flexibility. On the demand side, the weakness in construction and exports offsets the growth in the new energy sector, and the terminal de - stocking power is insufficient. The increase in LME inventory strengthens the market's expectation of looser supply - demand, and the macro - sentiment is suppressed by the Fed's policy and geopolitical tariff issues [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Daily Market Summary a. Copper Futures Market Data Change Analysis - **Main Contract and Basis**: On August 8, the price of the SHFE copper main contract closed at 78,440 yuan/ton. The spot premium - discount structure strengthened overall. The discount of premium copper narrowed to 160 yuan/ton, and that of flat - water copper narrowed to 95 yuan/ton, indicating short - term tight supply in the spot market. The LME (0 - 3) discount slightly widened to - 65.63 dollars/ton, highlighting the divergence in spot premiums and discounts between the domestic and international markets [1] - **Position and Trading Volume**: On August 7, the LME copper position decreased by 2,005 lots to 263,245 lots, reflecting cautious market sentiment. The SHFE contract position remained stable, and the trading volume slightly shrank, indicating a decline in short - term capital participation [1] b. Industry Chain Supply - Demand and Inventory Change Analysis - **Supply Side**: There are many short - term disturbances at the mine end. Although Chifeng Gold discovered new copper resources in Laos, actual capacity release will take a long time. Chile's copper export value in July decreased by 0.4% year - on - year, and the supply - side growth rate may slow down. Baiyin Nonferrous completed the intelligent transformation of the copper concentrate warehouse, improving the ore unloading efficiency by 40%. However, the anode copper enterprise开工率 in August decreased by 3.96% month - on - month, and there is still pressure on refined copper supply in the short term [2] - **Demand Side**: Terminal demand is significantly differentiated. The new energy sector performs strongly, with the cumulative power generation of wind power increasing by 10.6% year - on - year and the output of new energy vehicles increasing by 26.4% year - on - year. However, the copper consumption in the construction/real estate sector decreased year - on - year, and the demand for copper in the photovoltaic sector declined after the rush - installation, dragging down copper consumption. The high tariff imposed by the US on Mexican copper tubes led to blocked exports, and the domestic copper terminal PMI further contracted (expected to drop to 47.49% in August), resulting in insufficient overall demand - side support [2] - **Inventory Side**: On August 8, the LME inventory increased by 1,127 tons to 21,272 tons compared with the previous day, showing a continuous three - day inventory accumulation trend and indicating obvious pressure on visible inventory. The SHFE inventory slightly decreased by 0.1% to 155,850 tons but remained at a high level this year, indicating weak domestic consumption momentum. The COMEX inventory also increased moderately, and the marginal increase in global inventory put pressure on copper prices [2] c. Market Summary - The copper market may continue the oscillating trend within a range and may show a short - term upward trend. The supply - side factors of mine disturbances and improved smelting efficiency offset each other, but the decline in anode copper开工率 limits supply flexibility. The weakness in construction and exports on the demand side offsets the growth in the new energy sector, and the terminal de - stocking power is insufficient. The increase in LME inventory strengthens the market's expectation of looser supply - demand, and the macro - sentiment is suppressed by the Fed's policy and geopolitical tariff issues [3] 2. Industry Chain Price Monitoring - On August 8, 2025, the SMM 1 copper price was 78,640 yuan/ton, a 0.05% increase from the previous day; the SHFE price was 78,440 yuan/ton, also a 0.05% increase. The LME price was 9,768 dollars/ton, a 1.01% increase. The LME inventory increased by 5.59% to 21,272 tons, the SHFE inventory decreased by 0.1% to 155,850 tons, and the COMEX inventory increased by 0.32% to 264,140 short tons [5] 3. Industry Dynamics and Interpretation - On August 7, Chifeng Gold announced a new discovery in its SND gold - copper mine project in Laos, with about 131.5 million tons of ore and a gold - equivalent metal volume of about 106.9 tons [6] - In July, Chile's copper export value was 3.99 billion dollars, a 0.4% decrease from the previous year [6] - Baiyin Nonferrous started the intelligent transformation project of the 19 line concentrate warehouse, which will increase the ore storage capacity from 30,000 tons to 47,000 tons and improve the unloading efficiency by 40% [7] - SMM expects that the overall anode copper enterprise开工率 in China in August will decrease by 3.96 percentage points to 57.15% [7] - The high tariff imposed by the US on Mexican copper tubes has led to blocked exports, and the US copper tube processing fee has significantly increased. The follow - up situation of whether the US will relax the tariff on Mexican copper materials needs to be concerned [7] 4. Industry Chain Data Charts - The report provides multiple data charts, including China PMI, US employment situation, dollar index and LME copper price correlation, TC processing fee, CFTC copper position, LME copper net long position analysis, Shanghai copper warehouse receipt volume, LME copper inventory change, COMEX copper inventory change, and SMM social inventory [8][12][13][15][18][20][24][26][29]

黄金概念板块领跌，下跌1.0%，其中莱绅通灵下跌6.23%，武商集团下跌6.16%，赤峰黄金下跌4.98%， 萃华珠宝、西部黄金、曼卡龙跌超4%。（第一财经AI快讯） ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that gold stocks in Hong Kong have collectively declined, with notable drops in companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Shandong Gold Mining, reflecting a broader trend in the market [1][2]. - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining's stock price fell by 5.22% to 25.440, while Shandong Gold Mining decreased by 4.16% to 28.560. Other companies like Zhaoguan Gold and China Silver Group also experienced declines exceeding 3% [2]. - The spot gold price in Asia initially dropped, falling below $3,370 per ounce, with a daily decrease of 0.8%, currently reported at $3,369.38 per ounce [2]. Group 2 - Analysts suggest that gold stocks are highly correlated with spot gold prices, and potential increases in Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, a stronger US dollar, or easing inflation could pressure gold prices, negatively impacting gold stocks [3]. - The investment logic for gold stocks is shifting from focusing on short-term production growth to emphasizing companies with larger reserves, highlighting the value of gold companies with more substantial reserves [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The current period is seen as an investment opportunity for the gold sector, driven by expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [8][12][13] - Economic indicators suggest that maintaining high growth is challenging, leading to increased expectations for interest rate cuts [14] - The impact of tariffs is becoming evident, with expectations of rising inflation due to the depletion of low-cost inventories [15] Summary by Sections Gold Sector - The gold sector is viewed as a timely investment opportunity, with recent employment data indicating a shift towards lower growth expectations, enhancing the likelihood of interest rate cuts [13][14] - The average tariff rate in the U.S. has reached 20.1%, which is expected to further influence inflation in the coming quarters [15] Steel Sector - The steel industry is experiencing short-term profit fluctuations but is expected to stabilize and recover in the medium term due to the "anti-involution" policy [16] - Steel consumption has increased by 3.63% week-on-week, while production has shown a mixed trend with a notable rise in rebar production [21][18] - Overall steel inventory has risen, but structural improvements in demand are anticipated [23] - The cost of steel production is expected to stabilize, with short-term cost reduction potential diminishing [27] - Steel prices are projected to continue rising, supported by the "anti-involution" policy [36] New Energy Metals - The production of lithium carbonate in June 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 20.95%, indicating strong supply dynamics [41] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with production and sales showing substantial growth [45] - Prices for lithium, cobalt, and nickel have generally increased, reflecting strong market conditions [50]

A股开盘，三大指数集体高开，上证指数涨0.05%。深证成指涨0.27%，创业板指涨0.13%。盘面上，锂 矿股全线上涨，永杉锂业涨停，天齐锂业涨超9%，宁德时代枧下窝采矿端确定停产，且短期内没有复 产计划；基础建设板块盘初拉升，北新路桥、新疆交建涨停；房地产板块活跃，万通发展涨停，首开股 份涨超5%，北京近日放开五环外住房限购，周末看房量大涨；现货黄金早盘跌破3370美元，黄金股集 体走低，赤峰黄金、西部黄金跌超3%。(格隆汇) ...

Group 1: Target Price Increases - The companies with the highest target price increases from August 4 to August 8 are Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical and BYD, with target price increases of 60.26% and 55.20% respectively, belonging to the medical services and passenger vehicle industries [1][2] - Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical's latest target price is 29.12 yuan, while BYD's latest target prices are 161.30 yuan and 158.00 yuan from different institutions [2] Group 2: Broker Recommendations - A total of 201 listed companies received broker recommendations during the same period, with Zhongchong Co. receiving the highest number of recommendations at 26, followed by Ninebot with 14 and Changshu Bank with 12 [3][4] - The top recommended companies include Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical and BYD, which received 9 recommendations each [4] Group 3: Rating Adjustments - During the period, 11 companies had their ratings upgraded, including Xugong Machinery, which was upgraded from "Recommended" to "Strongly Recommended" by Huachuang Securities [5][6] - Conversely, 6 companies had their ratings downgraded, including Rongbai Technology, which was downgraded from "Buy" to "Hold" by Everbright Securities [6] Group 4: First Coverage - A total of 74 instances of first coverage were reported, with Beiding Co. receiving an "Increase" rating from Shanxi Securities, and several other companies receiving "Buy" ratings from Huaxin Securities [7]

Core Viewpoint - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining has successfully completed Phase I resource extraction for its Sepon new discovery gold-copper project, significantly increasing its gold and copper reserves, which is expected to enhance the company's overall resource base and future production capacity [1][2]. Group 1: Resource Discovery and Estimation - The SND gold-copper project has reported an increase of 70.7 tons in gold reserves and 0.33 million tons in copper reserves, with a total of 106.9 tons of gold equivalent metal discovered [1][2]. - The project includes approximately 93.7 million tons of "indicated" resources at an average grade of 0.57g/t gold and 0.27% copper, and 37.8 million tons of "inferred" resources at an average grade of 0.46g/t gold and 0.22% copper [2]. Group 2: Future Exploration and Production Plans - Chifeng Gold plans to increase mineral resources through deeper drilling at the SND deposit, with drilling expected to resume after the rainy season [2]. - The company aims to enhance gold mine output and reduce costs, with Wulong Mining's ore-treatment capacity expected to reach 3,000 tons per day by 2025 [4]. Group 3: International Operations and Growth - Exploration work at Chifeng Gold's Sepon mine in Laos is progressing to sustain gold production, with the SND deposit anticipated to support future output growth [5]. - The restart of the dead man hill pit at the Wassa mine in Ghana is expected to boost gold output, alongside intensified drilling efforts [5]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Market Position - The company maintains its earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at RMB 2.99 billion and RMB 3.19 billion, respectively, with the stock trading at 16x and 15x P/E for those years [7]. - Following its successful listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Chifeng Gold is positioned for rapid growth, with plans to use 40% of the proceeds for acquiring new mines [6].

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Buy" rating [4] Core Views - The gold market is experiencing disruptions due to tariffs and shadow Fed policies, potentially opening a breakthrough window for gold prices [1] - The long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact amid concerns over global monetary credit, public debt, and geopolitical tensions [1] - The copper processing fee is recovering amid expectations of reduced smelting, while aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate due to domestic and international favorable policies [2] - Lithium prices are rebounding strongly due to ongoing supply disruptions, while silicon prices are expected to remain volatile without significant improvements in the fundamentals [2] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold has been included in the category of imported goods subject to tariffs, leading to a temporary price surge above $3,500 per ounce on COMEX [1] - The U.S. government is expected to clarify that imported gold bars should not be subject to tariffs, which may stabilize the market [1] - The price difference between COMEX gold and London gold has narrowed to $4.9 per ounce as of August 8 [1] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Global copper inventories increased by 35,400 tons, with significant production increases in China [2] - **Aluminum**: The theoretical operating capacity of China's electrolytic aluminum industry reached 44.05 million tons, with mixed production trends in the aluminum rod industry [2] Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate rose by 8.9% to 75,000 yuan per ton, driven by supply disruptions and increased production [2] - **Silicon**: The average cost of metal silicon is 10,028.9 yuan per ton, with a slight increase in production but overall supply exceeding demand [2] Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Xinyi Silver Tin - Shengda Resources - Zijin Mining - Shandong Gold - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining - Yintai Gold - Zhaojin Mining [1][2]

赤峰黄金关于老挝塞班金铜矿SND项目首次资源估算的公告 截至2025年8月8日收盘，赤峰黄金（600988）报收于25.9元，较上周的22.85元上涨13.35%。本周，赤峰黄金8月8日盘中最高价报26.35元。8月4日 盘中最低价报23.4元。赤峰黄金当前最新总市值492.21亿元，在贵金属板块市值排名4/11，在两市A股市值排名300/5151。 本周关注点 公司公告汇总 赤峰黄金关于子公司取得新采矿权及变更采矿权、探矿权的公告 赤峰黄金子公司辽宁五龙黄金矿业有限责任公司通过探转采方式取得一宗采矿许可证，新采矿权证号为C2100002025074110158709，有效期自 2025年7月28日至2034年8月28日，矿山名称为辽宁五龙黄金矿业有限责任公司耗金沟金矿，矿区面积3.4957平方公里，开采深度由493.4米至-310 米标高，生产规模为6万吨/年。同时，五龙矿业原"辽宁省丹东市里滚子金矿详查"探矿权面积由0.6112平方公里扩大为1.0705平方公里。 此外，子公司赤峰吉隆矿业有限责任公司变更原有一宗采矿权，"敖汉旗撰山子金矿"采矿权完成深部扩界，开采深度由737米至373米标高变更为 737 ...