招商证券公告称，其全资子公司招证国际拟为下设境外特殊目的机构SPV发行不超7亿人民币的3年期票 据提供连带责任保证担保，担保生效日为2025年12月4日。截至本次担保生效前一日，招证国际为SPV 提供的担保余额为16亿人民币。SPV自成立以来仅开展债券发行相关业务，2024年末资产负债率超 70%。截至2025年12月2日，公司及控股子公司无逾期担保，此次担保在授权额度内，风险可控。 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 【宏观专题】 未来什么样？ ——基于高收入经济体的经济特征比较 ❖ 核心结论 高收入经济体的核心特征在于普遍保持全要素生产率持续增长。而实现这一 特征的关键因素在于： 1、产业结构转型的角度看，服务业先行、工业保持优势地位，能够保证转型 过程中全社会生产率不受损。 2、技术进步的角度看，高收入经济体，特别是以日本、新加坡等为代表的追 赶型经济体在科研与教育上投入力度极大；产品出口附加值也大幅高于以欧 美为代表的传统高收入经济体；科技立国促进了生产率的稳定提升。 3、要素配置效率的角度看。高收入经济体的政府调控地位不低、且更廉洁的 政府也更有利于制度的优化。人口方面，移民净流入也实现人口要素的优化。 本文基于全要素生产率，从影响全要素生产率的技术进步、人力资本积累、产 业结构转型、要素配置效率提升等角度出发，寻找高收入经济体的经济特征。 在分析中，我们将高收入经济体可进一步分为 2 类：传统高收入经济体与追赶 型经济体，分别对应 1965 年（含）就已经达到且稳定处于高收入水平的经济 体和 1965 年之后达到高收入水平的经济体。为与之形成对比，我们构建了中 等收入经济体样本，即连续 1 ...

今日截至13:39，机器人ETF(562500) 逆势走强，上涨1.81%，盘中持续运行在分时均线上方，展现 出良好的韧性与上攻意愿。持仓股方面，多头情绪高涨，固高科技飙升超18%领涨，巨轮智能强势涨 停，江苏雷利、步科股份等核心个股涨幅均超8%。流动性方面，盘中成交额逼近13亿元，交投维持高 热度。 招商证券表示，下游的整机厂商在产业链中处于统筹位置，负责软硬件系统集成与算法适配。当前 主流企业多聚焦于工业制造与仓储物流场景，通过模块复用、算法训练与结构优化加速商业化落地。随 着AI算法持续迭代与供应链成熟，量产化节点预计将在2025年后逐步显现。 机器人ETF(562500) 是全市场唯一规模超两百亿的机器人主题ETF，成分股覆盖人形机器人、工业 机器人、服务机器人等多个细分领域，帮助投资者一键布局机器人上中下游产业链。场外联接(华夏中 证机器人ETF发起式联接A：018344；华夏中证机器人ETF发起式联接C：018345)。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 消息方面，中国移动近日正式发布家庭服务型具身智能产品 ——"灵犀"四足机器人。作为中国移 动首款消费级四足机器人，"灵犀" 以 "拟人化交互 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates a weakening in wholesale numbers for some domestic car manufacturers in November, with a forecasted year-on-year decline of 8.7% in retail sales of passenger vehicles due to high base effects and reduced subsidies impacting the industry in Q4 [1] Automotive Sector Summary - The overall retail sales of passenger vehicles in November are expected to remain flat month-on-month but show a significant year-on-year decline [1] - China Merchants Securities International suggests that market sentiment is currently very pessimistic, indicating a potential opportunity for forward-looking investments [1] Stock Recommendations - The firm recommends Geely Automobile as the top pick due to high earnings certainty and undervaluation, with a target price of HKD 32 [1] - BYD and Xpeng Motors are also recommended with target prices of HKD 130 and HKD 115 respectively [1] - In the automotive parts sector, Minth Group and Fuyao Glass are recommended with target prices of HKD 42 and HKD 86 respectively [1] - All five stocks are rated as "Buy" [1] Long-term Outlook - The company maintains a positive long-term outlook on the "AI + Automotive" and "AI + Robotics" sectors, highlighting potential catalysts in Q1 of the following year, including the IPO of Yushutech and the release of Tesla's third-generation robot [1] - Recommended stocks in the AI sector include Youbixuan, Horizon Robotics, and Hesai Technology, with target prices of HKD 172, HKD 13.8, and USD 28 respectively, all rated as "Buy" [1] - The report also includes a recommendation for Extreme Wisdom [1]

Group 1 - The core idea of the news is the collaboration between China Merchants Securities and the Southern University of Science and Technology to enhance AI technology applications in the financial sector through specialized lectures [1][2][3] Group 2 - The first lecture focused on the application of AI technology in the securities industry, highlighting the development history of AI and large models, and showcasing the multi-layered technical system of China Merchants Securities' AI platform [2] - The AI platform's design includes "basic resources-platform capabilities-solutions," demonstrating practical applications in areas such as intelligent account opening, content recommendation, document processing, digital employees, and programming assistants [2] Group 3 - The second lecture delved into the ecosystem of large model technology, explaining the core technologies of large language models and multimodal models, and detailing the complete production process from pre-training to reinforcement learning [3] - Examples of large model applications in investment research analysis, intelligent investment advisory, investment decision-making, document processing, and wealth management were presented, illustrating the shift in the securities industry from "tool application" to "ecosystem reshaping" [3] Group 4 - The event provided students with insights into cutting-edge AI applications in finance, expanding their understanding of the integration of AI and finance [3] - By engaging with university students, China Merchants Securities established a vital bridge for industry-academia collaboration, laying a solid foundation for the cultivation of financial technology talent and ongoing industry innovation [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates that the decline in sales for some Chinese automakers in November was expected, and it suggests forward-looking investments in quality stocks [1] Group 1: Automotive Manufacturers - Recommended stock: Geely Automobile (00175), expected to launch around 10 new models next year, driving domestic sales while maintaining high export growth [1] - Other recommended stocks include BYD Company (01211) and Xpeng Motors-W (09868) [1] Group 2: Auto Parts Manufacturers - Recommended stock: Mindray Group (00425), due to its entry into humanoid robots and low-altitude economy sectors, opening new market opportunities [1] - Another recommended stock is Fuyao Glass (03606), noted for its strong position in the industry chain and steady growth [1] Group 3: Robotics and Autonomous Driving - The report highlights a general decline in stock prices for companies in the robotics and autonomous driving sectors, influenced by the broader AI industry [1] - Long-term outlook remains positive for AI combined with automotive and robotics sectors, with recommendations for companies such as UBTECH Robotics (09880), Horizon Robotics-W (09660), Hesai Technology-W (02525), and DeepGlint-W (02590) [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates that the decline in sales for some Chinese automakers in November was expected, and it suggests forward-looking investments in quality stocks, particularly recommending Geely Automobile as a top pick for its anticipated new models and strong export growth [1] Group 1: Automotive Manufacturers - Geely Automobile (00175) is highlighted as a primary recommendation, with expectations of around 10 new models driving domestic sales and maintaining high export growth next year [1] - Other recommended stocks include BYD (002594) and Xpeng Motors-W (09868) [1] Group 2: Auto Parts and Components - The report recommends Minth Group (00425) for its entry into humanoid robots and low-altitude economy sectors, indicating new market opportunities [1] - Fuyao Glass (600660) (03606) is also recommended due to its strong positioning within the industry chain and stable growth prospects [1] Group 3: Robotics and Autonomous Driving - The report notes a general decline in stock prices for companies in the robotics and autonomous driving sectors, attributed to the broader AI industry trends [1] - Long-term prospects remain positive for AI applications in automotive and robotics, with recommendations for companies such as UBTECH Robotics (09880), Horizon Robotics-W (09660), Hesai Technology-W (02525), and DeepRobotics-W (02590) [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International initiates coverage on Great Wall Motor (02543) with a target price of HKD 56 and a rating of "Buy," forecasting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50% in sales from 2024 to 2027, driven by new product launches and improved profit margins [1] Group 1: Sales and Profitability - The expected CAGR for sales from 2024 to 2027 is 50% [1] - Gross margin is projected to improve by approximately 100 basis points annually [1] - The introduction of new products, including three-fold and electric assist models, is anticipated to drive an increase in average selling price (ASP) [1] Group 2: Online and International Expansion - The share of online sales is expected to rise to about 35% by 2026, with a gross margin of around 50%, significantly higher than the 27-28% margin from offline sales [1] - Revenue growth is expected to accelerate in the second half of 2025, with a projected 50% increase in Q3 and over 85% year-on-year growth in October [1] - The overseas business aims for revenue of RMB 150 million by 2026 and RMB 300 million by 2027, benefiting from higher profit margins in the European and American markets, where electric assist penetration is 20-30%, compared to less than 5% in China [1] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - Four major catalysts are expected to be released in 2026: 1) The high-end product line has been officially launched, with three-fold models priced between RMB 5,000 and 7,000, set to debut in Q4 2025 [1] 2) Self-production is projected to enhance gross margins by 200-300 basis points [1] 3) The online transformation is expected to maintain over 50% growth, with a gross margin of about 50% [1] 4) Further expansion into international markets is planned [1]

该行表示，四大催化剂将在2026年集中释放：1)高端产品线已正式落实：三折车型定价5000-7000元人 民币，已于2025年第四季正式推出。2)自主生产提升200-300个基点毛利率，3)线上转型：此渠道维持 50%以上的增长，毛利率约50%，而线下仅27-28%。预计线上收入将在2026年达到35%(相比2024年的约 25%)。4)再进军国际市场。 该行预计2025年下半年营收增长加速，第三季增长约50%，10月线上年增超85%;海外业务目标2026年营 收1.5亿元人民币(下同)，2027年达3亿元，地域结构有利于利润率提升，因欧美市场电助力渗透率达20- 30%，中国仍不足5%。 招商证券国际发布研报称，首予大行科工(02543)目标价56港元，评级"增持"。该行预计2024-2027年销 售额复合年增长率达50%，毛利率每年提升约100个基点，主要驱动因素包括：三折叠及电助力新品推 出带动ASP上升、自主生产修复200-300个基点利润率，以及线上渠道占比在2026年提升至约35%，其毛 利率约50%，其显著高于线下的27-28%。 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery of the securities industry in 2025, with a significant increase in profits driven by self-operated businesses, and anticipates continued growth in 2026 due to favorable policies and market conditions [6][15][26]. Section Summaries 1. 2025 Review: Recovery Begins - The securities industry saw a substantial improvement in profitability, with 43 listed brokers achieving a net profit of CNY 1,692.54 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 63.44% [15]. - The overall revenue for the same period reached CNY 4,216.23 billion, reflecting a 12.85% increase year-on-year [15]. - The recovery is supported by strong performance in brokerage and proprietary trading, with brokerage net income rising by 68% [18]. 2. Incremental Catalysts Expected, Performance Continues to Improve - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a strategic direction for high-quality development in the financial sector, emphasizing the importance of a robust capital market [33]. - There is significant potential for increased market participation from institutional investors and retail investors, as the wealth effect from the capital market is expected to drive demand expansion [44][48]. 3. Comprehensive Performance Recovery, Growth Potential in Light Asset Businesses - The wealth management sector is recovering, with public funds showing high-quality development and increased market activity [18]. - Investment banking activities are also rebounding, particularly in the dual innovation sector, with IPOs and underwriting volumes expected to rise [18]. 4. Industry Structure Optimization: Building a First-Class Investment Bank - The report highlights the acceleration of mergers among leading brokers and the internationalization of Chinese brokers as key strategies for building a first-class investment bank [6][39]. - The integration of mergers and international expansion is seen as crucial for enhancing the competitive landscape of the industry [6][39]. 5. Profit Forecast: Continued ROE Improvement in 2026 - The report predicts that the return on equity (ROE) for the industry will continue to improve, with a projected net profit growth of 13% year-on-year under neutral assumptions for 2026 [6][39]. 6. Investment Recommendations: Focus on Structural Optimization and Alpha Catalysts - Investors are advised to pay attention to brokers benefiting from structural optimization and the recovery of wealth management, such as China International Capital Corporation, Huatai Securities, and CITIC Securities [6][39].