证券日报网讯 10月20日晚间，信达证券发布公告称，2025年半年度权益分派方案为A股每股现金红利 0.047元（含税），股权登记日为2025年10月24日，除权（息）日为2025年10月27日。 （编辑 姚尧） ...

证券代码：601059 证券简称：信达证券 公告编号：2025-037 信达证券股份有限公司 2025年半年度权益分派实施公告 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/10/24 | － | 2025/10/27 | 2025/10/27 | 差异化分红送转： 否 一、通过分配方案的股东大会、董事会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经信达证券股份有限公司（以下简称公司）2025 年 6 月 20 日的2024年年度股东大会授权、2025 年 8 月 27 日的第六届董事会第十五次会议审 议通过。 二、分配方案 1. 发放年度：2025年半年度 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.047元（含税） 2. 分派对象： 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公 司上海分公司（以下简称中国结算上海分公司）登 ...

Group 1 - The industry is entering a reshuffling phase, with Shengbeila (02508) establishing a special regulatory account with banks to enhance service standards and operational thresholds, which is expected to accelerate supply clearance [1][2] - Shengbeila is likely to benefit from a light asset model relying on hotels and a strategy of initially managing before acquiring, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.21 billion, 1.98 billion, and 3.02 billion yuan respectively [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE valuation of 32x, 19x, and 13x for the respective years, maintaining a "buy" rating with a target price of 10.36 HKD based on a 30x target PE for 2026 [1] Group 2 - As an industry leader, the company is the first to implement independent bank custody and closed fund supervision for customer prepayments, setting a benchmark for safety in the industry and promoting standardized development [2] - The industry is experiencing a wave of closures and bankruptcies, with notable cases such as Aijia Maternity Center, which filed for bankruptcy in early 2025, indicating a backlash from previous low-quality expansion and price wars [2] - The company's efforts to raise service standards and operational thresholds may accelerate supply clearance, positioning it to fully benefit as a standardized provider of high-quality products and services [2]

Group 1 - The industry is entering a reshuffling phase, with Shengbeila (02508) establishing a special regulatory account with banks to enhance service standards and operational thresholds, which is expected to accelerate supply clearance [1][2] - Shengbeila is anticipated to benefit from a light asset model reliant on hotels and a strategy of initially managing contracts before acquiring [1] - The adjusted net profit forecast for Shengbeila for 2025-2027 is projected at 1.21 billion, 1.98 billion, and 3.02 billion respectively, with a current PE valuation of 32x, 19x, and 13x, maintaining a "buy" rating and a target price of 10.36 HKD based on a 30x target PE for 2026 [1] Group 2 - As an industry leader, Shengbeila is the first to implement independent bank custody and closed-loop fund supervision for customer prepayments, setting a benchmark for industry safety and promoting standardized development [2] - The industry is experiencing a wave of closures and bankruptcies, with notable cases such as Aijia Maternity Center, which had 67 stores and went bankrupt in early 2025, indicating a backlash from previous low-quality expansion and price wars [2] - Shengbeila's efforts to raise service standards and operational thresholds are expected to accelerate supply clearance, positioning the company to fully benefit as a standardized provider of high-quality products and services [2]

Core Conclusions - In a bull market, the style is relatively stable in the early and late stages, but it tends to fluctuate in the mid-stage. Non-mainstream sectors may lead in the later stages of the bull market, influenced significantly by capital flow rather than performance realization, typically lasting 1-2 quarters [2][10][28] Historical Cases - During the 2005-2007 financial cycle bull market, from January to May 2007, small-cap growth stocks surged, with non-mainstream sectors like textiles, environmental protection, and pharmaceuticals leading the gains. This was attributed to accelerated capital inflow and a shift in market focus towards previously underperforming sectors [3][11][14] - In the 2013-2015 TMT bull market, the fourth quarter of 2014 saw large-cap value stocks outperform, with non-bank financials, construction, banking, and steel sectors leading. This shift was driven by significant inflows of retail capital and a change in focus from performance to valuation [19][21][27] Market Dynamics - Non-mainstream sectors tend to lead in the later stages of a bull market due to increased capital inflow, as mainstream sectors often reach high valuation levels, leading investors to seek undervalued sectors with high safety margins [3][28] - The performance of non-mainstream sectors may be supported by earnings growth, as seen in the textiles sector in early 2007, but there can also be instances where performance realization remains weak despite leading gains, such as in the construction and steel sectors in late 2014 [30][28] Current Market Outlook - The report suggests that the current market may be entering a main upward trend, with potential for style switching towards low-value sectors, particularly in banking and non-bank financials, as well as in low-valued electric equipment and cyclical stocks [37][38] - The financial sector is highlighted as having low overall valuations, with potential for rebound due to style switching and regulatory support for long-term capital inflows [39]

- The report introduces the **Cinda-VIX volatility index**, which reflects investors' expectations of future volatility in the options market. The index is based on methodologies from international practices and adjusted for the characteristics of China's options market. It includes a term structure to capture volatility expectations across different time horizons. As of October 17, 2025, the 30-day Cinda-VIX values for major indices are: 22.97 for SSE 50, 24.07 for CSI 300, 35.47 for CSI 500, and 30.70 for CSI 1000[61][62][63] - The report also discusses the **Cinda-SKEW index**, which measures the skewness of implied volatility across different strike prices of options. This index helps investors understand market expectations regarding the distribution of future returns and potential tail risks. Higher SKEW values indicate increased concerns about significant market downturns. As of October 17, 2025, the SKEW values for major indices are: 103.13 for SSE 50, 102.83 for CSI 300, 99.44 for CSI 500, and 99.76 for CSI 1000[68][72][74] - The report evaluates **four futures hedging strategies** based on CSI 500, CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI 1000 indices. These strategies include "continuous monthly hedging," "continuous quarterly hedging," and "minimum discount hedging." The strategies are tested over the period from July 22, 2022, to October 17, 2025. Key metrics such as annualized return, volatility, maximum drawdown, net value, annual turnover, and year-to-date returns are analyzed for each strategy. For example, the minimum discount strategy for CSI 500 futures achieved an annualized return of -1.54%, a volatility of 4.60%, and a maximum drawdown of -7.97%[44][47][46] - The **annualized basis adjustment model** is introduced to account for the impact of dividend expectations on futures basis. The formula used is: $ Annualized\ Basis = (Actual\ Basis + (Expected\ Dividend\ Points))/Index\ Price \times 360/Days\ to\ Maturity $ This adjustment ensures that the basis reflects the dividend impact during the contract's lifetime[19][20][21] - The report provides **dividend point forecasts** for the next year for major indices: CSI 500 (81.96), CSI 300 (83.80), SSE 50 (68.34), and CSI 1000 (62.81). Additionally, the dividend points for specific contracts are estimated, such as 2.16 for IC2511, 3.95 for IF2511, 4.91 for IH2511, and 1.19 for IM2511[9][11][15][17] - The **performance of the hedging strategies** for each index is detailed. For example, the minimum discount strategy for CSI 300 futures achieved an annualized return of 1.23%, a volatility of 3.07%, and a maximum drawdown of -4.06%. For SSE 50 futures, the minimum discount strategy achieved an annualized return of 1.73%, a volatility of 3.05%, and a maximum drawdown of -3.91%. For CSI 1000 futures, the minimum discount strategy achieved an annualized return of -4.17%, a volatility of 5.55%, and a maximum drawdown of -11.11%[52][56][58]

Core Viewpoint - The airline industry is experiencing a low growth rate in domestic capacity while focusing on increasing international routes, leading to a tight supply situation and high passenger load factors [1][2][5]. Supply and Demand - Domestic airline capacity growth is below 3%, with a significant focus on international routes, resulting in a tight supply [1][2]. - Passenger load factors remain high, with improvements compared to both the previous year and 2019, particularly in domestic routes [1][3]. - Domestic turnover volume has shown steady growth, while international turnover volume has significantly increased, nearly returning to 2019 levels [1][5]. Pricing - During the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, the industry saw a positive year-on-year change in ticket prices, with October prices continuing to show strength [2][3]. - The average domestic ticket price from the beginning of 2025 until mid-October was 861 yuan, down 7.9% year-on-year, while the average ticket price during the holiday period was 942 yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year [3]. - Recent weeks have shown a trend of increasing ticket prices, with a 4.9% year-on-year increase in the latest week [3]. Fuel and Exchange Rates - The average price of aviation fuel in October was 5572 yuan per ton, a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year [4]. - The Chinese yuan has appreciated against the US dollar since the beginning of 2025, which may impact operational costs for airlines [4]. Fleet Expansion - In September, Air China had the highest net increase in aircraft, adding 5 planes, while other airlines also showed varying levels of fleet growth [6][7]. - From January to September 2025, several airlines, including Spring Airlines, showed positive growth in domestic capacity, with Spring Airlines leading at a 6.4% increase [5][7]. Investment Focus - Investors are advised to pay attention to key airlines such as China Southern Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, Air China, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines for potential investment opportunities [8].

Core Viewpoint - Iolo Home achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 138 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 70.9%, with Q3 alone contributing 45 million yuan, up 29.2% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of 45 million yuan in Q3, with a non-recurring net profit also at 45 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.0% [1] - Overall, the company's net profit for the first three quarters reached 138 million yuan, indicating strong financial growth [1] Strategic Initiatives - Iolo Home is focusing on three main strategies: product leadership, brand upgrading, and channel expansion, which have led to an increase in the proportion of whole-home revenue to 79%, up from 56% in 2021 [1] - The company is successfully integrating customized and soft furnishings, effectively increasing the average transaction value in a time of limited traffic [1] Operational Improvements - The company is advancing its large store plan and enhancing resource allocation for recruitment, while accelerating the layout of building material business circles in potential cities [1] - Iolo Home is implementing a market expansion plan in the customized sector, focusing on enhancing performance, increasing average order value, and improving operational capabilities for dealers and store managers [1] - Through strict management and technological upgrades, the company is enhancing operational efficiency and strengthening cost control [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Xinda Securities indicates that Zhongchong Co., Ltd. achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 333 million yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.2% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 130 million yuan, which is a year-on-year decrease of 6.6%. This decline is primarily due to a one-time investment income of over 30 million yuan in Q3 2024, which is unrelated to the core business [1] - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring items for Q3 2025 was 124 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 18.9% [1] Business Outlook - The company is expected to see strong performance from its proprietary brands in Q3 2025, with notable contributions from the brands "Leading" and "Playful" [1] - The overseas business is anticipated to maintain steady performance, with significant progress in the international expansion of proprietary brands. The North American market remains the largest sales market for the company [1] - The company has established a collaborative operational framework among its factories in the United States, Canada, and Mexico, which enhances its local production capabilities. The second factory in the U.S. is expected to be completed by 2026, which will further solidify the company's overseas production advantages [1] - The company's profitability is improving, and its operational efficiency is continuously optimizing [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent short-term market fluctuations do not alter the long-term bullish trend of the stock market, with dividend and technology assets expected to yield excess returns over time [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The long-term investment strategy emphasizes a barbell approach, combining dividend and technology assets, which are anticipated to benefit from increased equity market allocation by residents [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Index (000010) is structured with a 90% allocation to dividend assets and 10% to technology assets, making it a suitable choice for equity market investment [1] Group 2: Performance Data - As of October 16, 2025, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Index rose by 0.45%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as China Life (601628) up 4.37% and Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) up 4.17% [1] - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund (530280) increased by 0.33%, with a current price of 1.23 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 1.57% for the month as of October 15, 2025, ranking 1st among comparable funds [1] Group 3: Index Composition - The Shanghai 180 Index includes 180 large-cap, liquid stocks from the Shanghai market, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 26.75% of the index [2] - The top ten stocks by weight include Kweichow Moutai (600519), Zijin Mining (601899), and China Ping An (601318), among others [2][4]