Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing significant growth, with September data showing a 25.4% year-on-year increase in excavator sales, driven by both domestic and international markets [4][7]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first eight months of the year, excavator sales reached 154,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.2% [7]. - Domestic sales accounted for 80,600 units, up 21.5%, while August alone saw sales of 7,685 units, reflecting a 14.8% increase [9]. - Export sales of excavators reached 73,600 units, marking a 12.8% year-on-year growth, with August exports at 8,838 units, up 11.1% [11]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The growth in domestic sales is attributed to strong demand for equipment updates and the initiation of large projects such as the Yajiang Hydropower Station and rural road reconstruction [9]. - The export market is buoyed by recovery in North America and Europe, alongside strong infrastructure demands in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa [11]. Group 3: Company Insights - Sany Heavy Industry reported a total market value of 198.8 billion, with overseas revenue of 26.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, making up 60.3% of total revenue [17]. - Sany's overseas revenue from the Asia-Pacific region grew by 16.3%, while Africa saw a 40.5% increase [17]. - Heli Hydraulic's total market value is 132 billion, with excavator cylinder sales increasing by over 15% in the first half of 2025 [21]. - Zoomlion's total market value is 72.1 billion, with overseas revenue of 13.81 billion, a 14.7% increase, and a significant growth in Africa of over 179% [23].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Chinese Corporates' Global Investment Strategy - **Focus**: 'China+1' investment plan tracker, particularly in ASEAN and Latin America (LatAm) regions Core Insights 1. **ASEAN Investment Plans**: - The number of investment plans in ASEAN increased by **32% YoY** in Q325, driven by sectors such as consumer, materials, and machinery [3] - Despite the increase in the number of plans, the investment value decreased by **8% YoY** due to fewer large investments compared to the previous year [3] - Thailand and Vietnam emerged as the primary destinations, with Thailand capturing **52%** of the total investment value [3] 2. **LatAm Investment Plans**: - Investment plans in LatAm diversified, with the number of plans rising from **three in Q324 to four in Q325** [4] - Notably, there was a **525% YoY increase** in total investment value in LatAm during Q325, marking a significant growth in investment activity [4] - The sectors involved included consumer goods, machinery, materials, and auto parts, with investments in consumer goods being a first for the region [4] 3. **China's Export Performance**: - In August 2025, exports of aluminium ore, hydrogen, and beef saw the highest YoY growth rates of **21,975%**, **304%**, and **174%**, respectively [5] - Key sectors contributing to incremental exports included semiconductors (+28% YoY), low-value simplified exports/imports (+20% YoY), and passenger vehicles (+19% YoY) [5] - Africa and ASEAN regions exhibited the highest growth in exports during this period [5] 4. **Investment Focus and Trends**: - The report indicates a continued expectation for the 'going global' strategy to be a major investment theme for China over the next **five to ten years** [2] - The focus on materials, electronic components, and consumer sectors reflects a strategic shift in investment priorities [3][4] Additional Important Insights - **Investment Value Trends**: - The overall investment amounts in ASEAN decreased by **8% YoY** in Q325, despite the increase in the number of plans [39] - Thailand's investment amounts saw a significant increase, particularly in electronic components and materials [41][43] - **Geographical Investment Distribution**: - Thailand and Vietnam attracted the most investment interest, with Thailand's investment amounts significantly up in Q325 [41][43] - **Future Outlook**: - The report emphasizes the potential for continued growth in overseas investments by Chinese corporates, particularly in emerging markets [2][4] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the trends and insights related to China's global investment strategy and export performance.

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **Asia and China Capital Goods** sector, focusing on various companies within the **Industrial Automation (IA)** and **Construction Machinery** industries [2][16]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Near-term Opportunities**: The trade war and China's stimulus measures are expected to drive opportunities in the near term [6][18]. - **Medium-term Growth**: The "China+1" strategy, post-war rebuilding efforts, and advancements in robotics are identified as key growth drivers [6][7]. - **Long-term Stability**: Structural growth drivers are anticipated to ensure long-term stability in the sector [7]. - **Company-Specific Insights**: - **Hengli Hydraulic**: Initiatives in factory automation and robotics are projected to boost future revenue [8]. - **Shenzhen Inovance**: Positioned to benefit from the inflection point in the IA cycle [9]. - **Weichai Power**: Expected to grow as China's heavy-duty truck (HDT) market enters an upcycle [9]. - **SANY and XCMG**: Anticipated to gain from increasing demand for construction machinery [9]. - **CRRC**: Set to benefit from high-speed train demand and the phase-out of diesel [9]. - **ST Engineering**: Expanding internationally amid geopolitical tensions [9]. Valuation Insights - A detailed valuation table for various companies in the **Industrial Automation** sector is provided, highlighting key metrics such as market capitalization, P/E ratios, and expected growth rates [10][12]. - **Inovance**: Market cap of $30.141 billion with a target price of $95, indicating a 19% upside [10]. - **Weichai Power**: Target price of $24, with a significant upside potential of 68% [12]. - **SANY Heavy**: Target price of $28, with a 22% upside [12]. Market Trends - The **China IA market** is projected to experience fluctuations, with a notable decline in 2023, followed by a slight recovery in 2024 and 2025 [20][21]. - **Factory Automation**: The OEM market is expected to see a decline in sales, with a projected market size of RMB 99 billion in 2025 [21]. - **Process Automation**: Expected to stabilize with a slight growth trajectory, reaching RMB 178.5 billion by 2025 [21]. Additional Important Insights - The call emphasizes the importance of innovation in the IA cycle and humanoid robotics, with companies like **Sanhua Intelligent**, **Inovance**, and **Leader Drive** highlighted as top picks [19]. - The impact of geopolitical tensions on international expansion strategies for companies like **ST Engineering** is noted, indicating a need for adaptive strategies in the current market environment [9]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the industry dynamics, company-specific insights, and market trends.

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - Despite the intensification of short-term trade frictions, domestic component manufacturers are investing in overseas production capacity, and humanoid robots are expected to enter mass production, indicating that the impact of trade frictions is limited. The humanoid robot sector is poised for a strategic opportunity [3][8] - The leading companies in the humanoid robot sector are expected to accelerate mass production, with Tesla's CEO announcing plans for the third-generation humanoid robot, Optimus, to begin production in early 2026, aiming for a monthly output of 100,000 units within five years. This reflects the maturity of robot products and signals a new phase of mass production in the industry [8] Summary by Sections Trade Friction Impact - The report indicates that the impact of trade frictions on humanoid robots is minimal, with the sector presenting a good opportunity for investment [8] - Domestic companies are actively establishing overseas production bases, reducing uncertainties in the supply chain due to trade tensions [8] Industry Trends - The report highlights that the leading companies, such as Tesla, are driving the industry towards mass production, with significant support from the domestic supply chain [8] - The report emphasizes the strong manufacturing capabilities of domestic component companies, which are expected to benefit from the upcoming mass production phase [3][8] Investment Targets - Recommended investment targets include Top Group (601689, Buy), Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050, Buy), Wuzhou New Spring (603667, Buy), Hengli Hydraulic (601100, Not Rated), and Zhenyu Technology (300953, Buy) [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the machinery equipment industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [39]. Core Insights - The demand for excavators remains high both domestically and internationally, with September 2025 excavator sales reaching 19,858 units, a year-on-year increase of 25.44% and a month-on-month increase of 20.18% [3][5]. - Domestic excavator sales were 9,249 units, up 21.54% year-on-year, while export sales were 10,609 units, up 29.05% year-on-year, accounting for 53.42% of total sales [3][5]. - Loader sales in September 2025 reached 10,530 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.45% and a month-on-month increase of 11.55% [4][5]. - The report highlights that while domestic demand in the real estate sector is weak, infrastructure projects are expected to support machinery demand as major projects commence [5]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales Data - In September 2025, excavator sales totaled 19,858 units, with domestic sales at 9,249 units and export sales at 10,609 units [3]. - Cumulative excavator sales for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 174,039 units, a year-on-year increase of 18.09% [3]. Loader Sales Data - Loader sales in September 2025 were 10,530 units, with domestic sales at 5,051 units and export sales at 5,479 units [4]. - Cumulative loader sales for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 93,739 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.60% [4]. Market Demand and Trends - The report notes that while domestic construction demand is weak, the mining and infrastructure sectors are expected to drive machinery demand [5]. - The export trade value of construction machinery products in August was $5.115 billion, a year-on-year increase of 15.43% [5].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Hengli Hydraulic experienced a decline of 5.02% in its stock price, reaching 89.28 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 703 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.58%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 119.708 billion yuan [1] - Hengli Hydraulic, established on June 2, 2005, and listed on October 28, 2011, is primarily engaged in the research, production, and sales of high-pressure hydraulic cylinders. The revenue composition includes hydraulic cylinders (50.70%), hydraulic pumps and valves (38.16%), parts and castings (7.28%), hydraulic systems (3.16%), and others (0.69%) [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major fund holdings, only one fund under Industrial Fund holds shares in Hengli Hydraulic. The fund, Xingye Energy Innovation Stock A (013049), held 252,300 shares in the second quarter, unchanged from the previous period, accounting for 3.64% of the fund's net value, ranking as the seventh-largest holding. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 1.1909 million yuan [2] - Xingye Energy Innovation Stock A (013049) was established on August 31, 2021, with a current scale of 277 million yuan. Year-to-date returns are 36%, ranking 1244 out of 4218 in its category; the one-year return is 46.21%, ranking 1059 out of 3865; and since inception, the return is 0.33% [2]

Investment Rating - The mechanical equipment industry is rated as "Standard Configuration" indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [46]. Core Insights - The mechanical equipment industry experienced a 2.50% decline in the last two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.02 percentage points, ranking 25th among 31 industries [12][18]. - Year-to-date, the mechanical equipment sector has increased by 33.88%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 16.50 percentage points, ranking 6th among 31 industries [12][18]. - The demand for industrial robots has rebounded in the first half of 2025, with exports increasing by approximately 54.90% year-on-year [42]. - The domestic sales of excavators have shown a month-on-month increase, supported by the commencement of major national projects and ongoing demand in downstream sectors [42]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of October 16, 2025, the mechanical equipment industry has seen a 2.50% decline in the last two weeks, ranking 25th among 31 industries [12]. - The industry has increased by 33.88% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index [12][18]. - The sub-sector performance shows that the rail transit equipment II sector had the highest increase of 3.45% [18]. 2. Valuation Situation - The current PE TTM for the mechanical equipment sector is 31.64 times, with sub-sectors showing varied valuations: - General Equipment: 40.72 times - Specialized Equipment: 31.43 times - Rail Transit Equipment II: 18.39 times - Engineering Machinery: 23.84 times - Automation Equipment: 52.74 times [3][22]. 3. Data Updates - The report indicates a significant increase in the demand for industrial robots, with exports rising by 54.90% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025 [42]. - The domestic sales of excavators have also shown positive trends, with both domestic and international sales increasing month-on-month [42]. 4. Industry News - The Shanghai Municipal Economic and Information Commission has issued a development action plan for the intelligent terminal industry, emphasizing support for humanoid robot product development [40]. - The introduction of new industrial robots and the acceleration of product launches are expected to stimulate market performance [42]. 5. Company Announcements - Companies such as SANY Heavy Industry and Hengli Hydraulic are highlighted for their strong market positions and expected growth due to increased domestic demand [43][45]. 6. Weekly Insights - The report suggests focusing on companies like Huichuan Technology and Greentech Harmonic, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in the robotics sector [42][43].

Core Insights - The domestic construction machinery industry has shown a positive trend since 2025, characterized by stable domestic demand and increasing external demand [1] - In the first three quarters of 2023, excavator sales in China reached 174,000 units, marking an 18.1% year-on-year increase [1] - The average working hours for excavators in September were 62.7 hours, slightly down from 63.3 hours in August, with a utilization rate of 54.5% [1] Domestic Market Performance - In September 2023, excavator sales totaled 19,900 units, a year-on-year increase of 25.4%, with domestic sales at 9,249 units (up 21.5%) and exports at 10,600 units (up 29%) [2] - The growth in excavator sales is attributed to a low base effect from the previous year, as both domestic and international demand improved significantly in the third quarter of 2023 [2] - Key drivers for domestic demand include the ongoing release of replacement cycles and large infrastructure projects, with an expected demand for 143,000 units, 195,000 units, and 249,000 units from 2025 to 2027 [2] Overseas Market Performance - Leading companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion reported significant growth in overseas revenues in the first half of 2023, with SANY's overseas revenue reaching 26.302 billion yuan, up 11.72% year-on-year [3] - The demand recovery in developed countries has been stronger than in China, with some overseas clients experiencing revenue growth exceeding 50% [3][4] - Factors contributing to the growth of overseas performance include the recovery of demand in Europe and the U.S., sustained economic growth in emerging markets, and the deepening of global business strategies by leading manufacturers [5]

Core Insights - The report indicates a significant recovery in the construction machinery sector, with excavator sales reaching 19,858 units in September, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.4% [2][3] - Loader sales also showed strong growth, with 10,530 units sold in September, marking a 30.5% year-on-year increase [2][3] - The average working hours for major construction machinery products in September was 78.1 hours, reflecting increased utilization [2] Industry News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with five other departments, issued a "Work Plan for Stabilizing Growth in the Machinery Industry (2025-2026)", emphasizing the need to expand effective demand and enhance equipment updates [3] - The report highlights that downstream demand for construction machinery is expected to grow due to ongoing projects in hydropower and urban renewal, as well as reduced tariff disturbances in major global regions, enhancing the cost-performance advantage of domestic machinery [3] Company Announcements - Zongshen Power announced a profit forecast for the first three quarters of 2025, expecting a year-on-year increase in net profit of 70%-100% [2] - Inovance Technology reported a 40.19% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 [2] Market Review - From October 8 to October 14, 2025, the CSI 300 Index fell by 2.19%, while the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry Index declined by 2.97%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 0.78 percentage points [2] - As of October 14, 2025, the price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry was 31.41 times, with a valuation premium of 135.85% relative to the CSI 300 [2] Future Outlook - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the industry, with a recommendation to continue monitoring investment opportunities in the supply chain, particularly in humanoid robotics, as the industry transitions from a technology race to a commercialization phase [3] - The report suggests that the ongoing large-scale equipment update policies will likely sustain the industry's recovery momentum [3]

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic experienced a 6.91% increase in stock price on October 15, with a trading volume of 1.227 billion yuan, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company [1] Financing Summary - On October 15, Hengli Hydraulic had a financing buy-in amount of 53.14 million yuan and a financing repayment of 57.18 million yuan, resulting in a net financing outflow of 4.04 million yuan [1] - The total financing and securities balance for Hengli Hydraulic as of October 15 is 469 million yuan, with the current financing balance at 460 million yuan, representing 0.35% of the circulating market value, which is below the 50th percentile level over the past year, indicating a low financing level [1] - In terms of securities lending, on October 15, 17,300 shares were repaid, and 1,600 shares were sold, amounting to 157,500 yuan at the closing price, with a securities lending balance of 9.55 million shares, which is above the 90th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high level of securities lending [1] Business Performance - As of June 30, Hengli Hydraulic reported a total of 43,800 shareholders, an increase of 4.26% from the previous period, with an average of 30,647 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 4.09% [2] - For the first half of 2025, Hengli Hydraulic achieved an operating income of 5.171 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.00%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.429 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.97% [2] Dividend Information - Since its A-share listing, Hengli Hydraulic has distributed a total of 5.775 billion yuan in dividends, with 2.708 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 103 million shares, a decrease of 185,000 shares from the previous period [3] - The top five circulating shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (510300) with 9.5305 million shares, an increase of 769,300 shares, and E Fund CSI 300 ETF (510310) with 6.8093 million shares, an increase of 680,600 shares [3] - Huaxia CSI 300 ETF (510330) is a new entrant among the top ten circulating shareholders, holding 4.9937 million shares [3]