Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry, but it suggests a positive outlook for specific companies within the machinery sector, particularly in tractor exports and gas turbine orders [5][11]. Core Insights - The SW Machinery Equipment Index decreased by 1.56% in the last week, ranking 29th among 31 primary industry categories, while it has increased by 33.82% year-to-date, ranking 6th [13][16]. - The report highlights strong growth in tractor exports, particularly for medium and large tractors, with a year-on-year increase of 22.6% in November 2025, and anticipates continued growth in 2026 [5]. - Siemens Energy is establishing a gas turbine assembly base in Hainan, which is expected to enhance collaboration with domestic companies like Yingliu, particularly in turbine blade orders [5][24]. - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing an upward trend, with significant increases in sales and operating rates, indicating a positive outlook driven by infrastructure projects [5][33]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index fell by 1.56% over the last week but has risen by 33.82% since the beginning of 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [13][16]. Key Data Tracking - General machinery remains under pressure, with a PMI of 49.2% in November, while engineering machinery shows accelerated growth with excavator sales up by 7.8% year-on-year [25][33]. - The railway equipment sector is stable, with fixed asset investments maintaining a growth rate of around 6% [38]. - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing a slowdown, with new ship price indices showing a decline [40]. Industry Dynamics - The gas turbine market is robust, with GEV reporting a 39% year-on-year increase in new orders for the first three quarters of 2025 [48]. - The oil service equipment sector is stabilizing, supported by high demand in the Middle East [43]. - Industrial gas demand is expected to rise as raw material prices decrease and downstream operating rates improve [46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry [5]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see rapid production scaling opportunities in the first half of 2026, driven by advancements in brain models and control technologies [3][8]. - Tesla and other leading companies have demonstrated significant progress in motion control technology for humanoid robots, indicating a shift towards mass production focus [3][8]. - The report identifies three main challenges for mass production: the development of dexterous hands, an AI brain capable of understanding the real world, and the ability to scale production efficiently, with the AI brain being the most critical challenge [8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The humanoid robot industry is entering a rapid development phase, with a focus on production capabilities [3][8]. - Recent demonstrations by Tesla and Yuzhu Robotics highlight advancements in motion control technology [8]. Production Challenges - The report outlines three key challenges for humanoid robot production: hardware improvements, breakthrough functionalities, and efficiency/cost management [8]. - The AI brain's maturity is highlighted as the most significant barrier to achieving mass production [8]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that companies with strong manufacturing and management capabilities in component production will benefit the most from the upcoming production ramp-up [3]. - Specific investment targets include Top Group (601689, Buy), Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050, Buy), Wuzhou New Spring (603667, Buy), Hengli Hydraulic (601100, Not Rated), and Zhenyu Technology (300953, Buy) [3].

Core Insights - The global hydraulic industry has a projected market size of approximately $53.5 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.3% from 2021 to 2030, expected to exceed $69.4 billion by 2030 [7][10]. Industry Overview - The hydraulic industry has evolved through various stages, including theoretical foundations, industrial applications, technological breakthroughs, integration with electronics, and a shift towards intelligence [2]. - The industry plays a crucial role in global industrial development, characterized by advanced technology and widespread applications [2]. Application Distribution - The industrial sector accounts for a significant portion of hydraulic applications, with an estimated share of about 56% in 2024. This sector includes fixed industrial equipment and production lines [3]. - The mobile sector includes hydraulic systems used in movable machinery such as excavators, cranes, and agricultural equipment [3]. Product Distribution - Pump products dominate the hydraulic components market, holding a market share of approximately 28.1%, driven by high demand across various industries and continuous technological advancements [4]. - Valve products account for about 22.5% of the market share [4]. Market Trends - Emerging applications such as hydraulic systems for offshore wind installation vessels and hydraulic energy storage plants are experiencing significant demand growth [7]. - Key technological trends include energy efficiency, lightweight design, and intelligent connectivity, with companies increasing R&D investments in smart hydraulic systems and predictive algorithms [9]. Regional Insights - The Asia-Pacific region is identified as the largest consumer market for hydraulic products, while Europe and North America focus on high-value customized products, maintaining technological barriers in precision hydraulics and electro-hydraulic integration [9].

Ac t i o n | 18 Dec 2025 11:38:03 ET │ 15 pages Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SS) Raise TP to Rmb135 on Stronger Core Business Guidance and Humanoid Robot Rerating CITI'S TAKE We increase our 2025/26/27E earnings forecasts by 2%/7%/11% as mgmt. turned more bullish than before on 2026 outlook due to recent strong order wins on components for both excavator and non-excavator such as agricultural machinery. For excavator components, the orders are mainly from Chinese OEM's overseas sales and the leading US excavato ...

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic's stock has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 106.88%, despite a recent decline in the last five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 19, Hengli Hydraulic's stock price reached 107.10 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 143.60 billion CNY [1] - The stock experienced a 2.95% decline over the last five trading days, but has increased by 16.22% over the last 20 days and 13.82% over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hengli Hydraulic reported a revenue of 7.79 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.31% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 2.09 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.49% [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Hengli Hydraulic was 36,900, a decrease of 15.76% from the previous period [2] - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 18.70% to 36,379 shares [2] Group 4: Dividend Distribution - Hengli Hydraulic has distributed a total of 6.18 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.11 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Group 5: Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fourth largest circulating shareholder, holding 118 million shares, an increase of 15.19 million shares from the previous period [3] - Other notable institutional shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic's stock price has shown significant volatility, with a year-to-date increase of 103.65%, but a recent decline of 4.67% over the past five trading days, indicating potential market fluctuations and investor sentiment shifts [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hengli Hydraulic reported a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.31%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.09 billion yuan, marking a 16.49% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 6.18 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.11 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Hengli Hydraulic was 36,900, a decrease of 15.76% from the previous period. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 18.70% to 36,379 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 118 million shares, an increase of 15.19 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF, which saw slight reductions in their holdings [3]. Market Activity - On December 18, Hengli Hydraulic's stock price fell by 2.04% to 105.43 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 687 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.48%. The total market capitalization stood at 141.36 billion yuan [1]. - The net outflow of main funds was 22.68 million yuan, with significant selling pressure observed, as large orders accounted for 13.47% of total sales [1]. Business Overview - Hengli Hydraulic, established on June 2, 2005, and listed on October 28, 2011, specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-pressure hydraulic cylinders. The revenue composition includes hydraulic cylinders (50.70%), hydraulic pumps and valves (38.16%), components and castings (7.28%), hydraulic systems (3.16%), and others (0.69%) [1]. - The company operates within the machinery equipment sector, specifically in engineering machinery and components, and is associated with concepts such as shield machines and engineering machinery [1].

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup reports that the China Construction Machinery Industry Association announced an increase in construction machinery shipments for November, with significant demand for crawler cranes, which saw a year-on-year increase of 102% [1] Group 1: Market Demand and Performance - Crawler cranes are experiencing the strongest demand in the Chinese market, with shipments in November increasing by 102% year-on-year [1] - The demand surge is attributed to equipment replacement needs and strong demand in renewable energy sectors, such as wind energy [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - In contrast, the shipment volume of tower cranes in China saw a year-on-year decline, with the drop expanding from 17% in October to 49% in November [1] - The market share of the top four large excavator manufacturers decreased from 59.7% in 2024 to 58.7% in the first nine months of this year, indicating intensified competition among Chinese machinery manufacturers [1] Group 3: Company Preferences - Citigroup maintains its preference ranking for the domestic construction machinery industry, listing Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Sany Heavy Industry (600031) H-shares, Sany Heavy Industry (600031) A-shares, Zoomlion (000157) and lastly, Construction Machinery (600984) [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strong demand for crawler cranes in the Chinese market, with a year-on-year increase in shipments of 102% in November [1] - The demand for crawler cranes is driven by equipment replacement needs and strong demand in renewable energy sectors such as wind energy [1] - In contrast, the shipment volume of tower cranes in China saw a significant year-on-year decline, with a drop from 17% in October to 49% in November [1] Group 2 - The market share of the top four large excavator manufacturers in China decreased from 59.7% in 2024 to 58.7% in the first nine months of this year, indicating intensified competition among Chinese machinery manufacturers [1] - The preference ranking for the domestic engineering machinery industry remains unchanged, with the order being Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH), Sany Heavy Industry (06031) H-shares, Sany Heavy Industry (600031.SH) A-shares, Zoomlion (01157), and finally Construction Machinery (600984.SH) [1]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Positive" for the next 12 months, indicating an expected increase of over 10% relative to the CSI 300 index [35] Core Views - The demand for engineering machinery is expected to continue growing due to favorable domestic construction activity and the implementation of significant investment projects as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][27] - In November, the production of industrial robots reached approximately 70,200 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 20.60%, with expectations for total production to exceed 700,000 units in 2025 [2][27] - The report maintains "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Zoomlion (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595) [2][27] Industry News - In November, sales of various types of forklifts reached 119,749 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.1% [10] - The domestic sales of forklifts for the first 11 months of 2025 totaled 843,005 units, reflecting a growth of 14.3% [10] - Beijing Zhuoyue Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. successfully completed a strategic financing round of 200 million yuan [11] - Hitachi Construction Machinery will change its name to LANDCROS, pending shareholder approval [11] Industry Data - As of December 12, 2025, the comprehensive steel price index (CSPI) was recorded at 91.76 [12] - WTI and Brent crude oil prices were reported at $56.82 and $60.56 per barrel, respectively, as of December 16, 2025 [13] Company Announcements - Suzhou Sileck Precision Equipment Co., Ltd. announced a partnership with investment institutions to enhance project reserves and overall competitiveness [17] - Wuxi Chemical Equipment Co., Ltd. plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in South Korea with an investment of up to $100,000 [18] Market Review - From December 10 to December 16, 2025, the CSI 300 index fell by 2.19%, while the machinery equipment sector declined by 2.95%, underperforming the CSI 300 by 0.76 percentage points [19] - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE, TTM) for the machinery equipment sector was 43.94 times, with a valuation premium of 218.89% relative to the CSI 300 [20]

Group 1 - The demand for crawler cranes in the Chinese market is the strongest among major types of construction machinery, with a year-on-year shipment increase of 102% in November [1] - The strong demand is driven not only by equipment replacement needs but also by robust demand in the renewable energy sector, such as wind energy [1] - The shipment volume of tower cranes in China saw a year-on-year decline that expanded from 17% in October to 49% in November, indicating continued weakness in the real estate sector [1] Group 2 - The market share of the top four large excavator manufacturers decreased from 59.7% in 2024 to 58.7% in the first nine months of this year, reflecting intensified competition among machinery manufacturers [1] - The preference ranking for the domestic construction machinery industry remains unchanged, with the order being Hengli Hydraulic, Sany Heavy Industry H-shares, Sany Heavy Industry A-shares, Zoomlion, and finally, XCMG [1]