Core Insights - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, with a focus on the production rhythm of humanoid robots and the potential investment opportunities in the industry chain [8][70][71] - The report recommends "overweight" ratings for specific companies including SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Hengli Hydraulic, and CRRC [2][71] Industry Overview - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12%, with domestic sales at 8,392 units, down 1.48% [7][24][70] - The report highlights that the domestic construction machinery market is currently in a renewal cycle, with urban renewal initiatives expected to drive steady demand for engineering machinery [70][71] - The humanoid robot industry is progressing well, with major manufacturers like Tesla clarifying their mass production routes, which is anticipated to accelerate the development of the industry chain [70][71] Market Performance - From June 1 to July 1, 2025, the CSI 300 index rose by 2.67%, while the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment industry increased by 2.85%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.18 percentage points [5][59] - As of July 1, 2025, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment industry was 26.75 times, with a valuation premium of 115.88% compared to the CSI 300 [67][68] Key Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a focus on investment opportunities in companies involved in urban renewal and humanoid robotics, emphasizing the importance of these sectors for future growth [70][71] - Specific companies recommended for investment include SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Hengli Hydraulic, and CRRC, all rated as "overweight" [2][71]

Summary of Conference Call on Engineering Machinery Industry Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing fluctuations in domestic market performance, particularly in excavator sales, which saw a decline in growth rate since April 2025. The expected growth rate for June is projected to be within ±5% [1][2] - Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for the domestic excavator market remains positive, with strong production schedules for medium and large excavators [1][2] Company Performance Expectations - Annual net profit forecasts for key companies in the engineering machinery sector are optimistic: - SANY Heavy Industry: ¥8.5 billion - XCMG: ¥7.5 billion - Zoomlion: ¥4.8-5 billion - LiuGong: ¥1.8-1.9 billion - The second quarter is expected to show significant year-on-year growth for these companies [1][3] Market Dynamics - The domestic market has a high proportion of small excavators (70-80%), which have lower profitability. However, the export market has shown a year-on-year growth of 8-9% from January to May 2025, supporting overall performance [1][5] - Non-excavator products, such as truck cranes, have shown a notable recovery, alleviating some domestic performance pressures [1][5] Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The engineering machinery sector has seen a valuation correction, with P/E ratios for major companies at relatively low levels: - SANY: 17x - XCMG: 12x - Zoomlion: 12-13x - LiuGong: 10-13x - This presents a favorable investment opportunity [1][6] Future Market Outlook - The domestic market is not expected to experience significant declines in the coming months, with strong production data from Hengli Hydraulic and positive feedback from dealers regarding downstream demand [1][7] - If local government funding issues are resolved, the market is anticipated to gradually recover and grow in the second half of the year [1][8] Funding Sources and Government Impact - Funding for the engineering machinery industry primarily comes from two sources: small investors and central government allocations for water conservancy projects, which provide stable cash flow and support excavator demand [1][9] - The issuance of ¥1 trillion in government bonds, with 70-80% directed towards water conservancy projects, is expected to stabilize cash flow and support demand for excavators [1][10] Debt Replacement Effects - Local government debt replacement has led to a temporary decline in operating rates, but new projects are expected to increase in the second half of 2025 and into 2026, boosting excavator sales [1][11][12] Long-term Market Trends - The domestic excavator market is projected to experience an upward trend over the next few years, driven by replacement demand and the export of used equipment [1][13] - Non-excavator equipment markets are also showing signs of recovery, with significant improvements in profitability for companies like SANY [1][14] Export Market Performance - The export market for engineering machinery has remained stable, with excavator exports growing by 8% from January to May 2025, despite some fluctuations due to tariff adjustments [1][15] - Chinese brands have a significant presence in emerging markets, with potential for substantial growth in regions like Southeast Asia, Africa, and South America [1][19][20] Recommendations for Investment - Key companies recommended for investment include: - SANY Heavy Industry: Strong performance and potential for profit release - XCMG: Notable scale advantages, though facing short-term caution due to stock unlock issues - Zoomlion: Focus on tower crane and aerial work platform recovery - LiuGong: Attractive valuation with significant upside potential - Hengli Hydraulic: Strong short-term growth potential and global expansion opportunities [1][25][26]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the industry or specific companies [2]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with companies like Orbbec and Rongtai expanding their market presence and revenue projections [3][4]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for components and technologies related to humanoid robots, indicating a robust supply chain development [2][3][4][5][6][7]. Company Summaries Orbbec (688322.SS) - Orbbec's humanoid robot revenue is projected to grow from Rmb4 million in 2024 to Rmb30 million in 2025, with market share in China expected to surpass that of Intel's RealSense [3][10]. - The dollar content for 3D vision technology is anticipated to increase from Rmb4,000-5,000 to Rmb8,000 as it becomes integrated into more parts of the robot [3]. Rongtai (603119.SS) - Rongtai has a ~50% market share in micro ballscrews used in humanoid robots and is expanding its operations by building a factory in Thailand to meet US customer requirements [4][10]. - The company aims to grow its core business by 20%-30% CAGR, driven by rising penetration rates in the humanoid robot supply chain [4]. Hengli (601100.SS) - Hengli plans to reduce the production cost of planetary roller screws to ~Rmb1,000 by the end of 2025 and is considering establishing a plant in Houston, TX, to secure orders from US customers [5][10]. - The company targets a +10% YoY revenue and earnings growth, primarily driven by strong demand in the excavator component business [10]. Bozhon (688097.SS) - Bozhon's subsidiary Linkhou is expected to generate Rmb400 million-500 million in revenue in 2025 by providing components and assembly services to Zhiyuan [6][10]. - The company has sold Rmb20 million-30 million worth of humanoid robot assembly equipment to a leading US humanoid robot maker since 2024 [6]. Wolong (600580.SS) - Wolong aims to become the second electric motor supplier to Zhiyuan, targeting revenue growth from Rmb15 billion in 2024 to Rmb16 billion in 2025 [7][10]. - The company plans to pursue mergers and acquisitions to fuel long-term growth, with net profit expected to rise from Rmb793 million in 2024 to Rmb1.1 billion in 2025 [7][10].

年内清盘的基金中，名称中含有"新能源"的产品已有4只，且这部分产品均为发起式基金，成立三年后因负 收益导致未过规模大考而被迫离场。 当前，名称中含有"新能源"的主动权益基金中，成立以来收益为正的不足一半，且多成立于2021年以前，这意 味着高点发行的基金买在了行情顶端。 那么，除了光伏、风电以外，当前新能源板块还有哪些细分个股能够突围？多家公募认为，当前全固态电池研 发稳步推进，未来有望成为下一代动力电池主流技术。自今年4月工信部出台动力电池新国标以来，展现出政 策面的积极态度，在市场需求的叠加下，固态电池概念已经成为大资金围猎的重点板块。 又一新能源主题基金清盘 基金业绩参差不齐 当前，基金名称中带有"新能源"字样的主动权益产品共有45只，成立以来业绩为正的共有22只，且多成立于 2020年以前，如业绩领先的信澳新能源产业成立于2015年，至今回报高达277%；涨幅156%的东方新能源汽车 主题更是成立于2011年。 相反，部分新能源主题基金业绩则较为惨淡，多只产品跌幅超过四成，且这部分基金多成立于2021年的前期高 位，在行情最热烈的时候高位入场，既买在了行情顶端，也"套牢"了大量踊跃入场的基民。截至今年 ...

Group 1: General Automation Equipment - In May 2025, the production of metal cutting machine tools in China was approximately 67,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, with a month-on-month decline of 9.3 percentage points [1] - The cumulative production from January to May 2025 reached about 332,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.3%, with a month-on-month decline of 3.5 percentage points [1] - The production of industrial robots in May 2025 was around 69,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 35.5%, but a month-on-month decline of 16.0 percentage points [1] Group 2: Engineering Machinery - In May 2025, the total sales of six types of engineering machinery, including excavators and forklifts, showed varied performance, with excavators up 2.1% and forklifts up 11.8% year-on-year [2] - Conversely, six other types, including truck cranes and aerial work platforms, experienced declines, with truck cranes down 20.3% year-on-year [2] - Domestic demand for engineering machinery appeared weak in May, attributed to insufficient project funding and adverse weather conditions affecting operational rates [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The manufacturing PMI in China rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5% in May 2025, indicating a gradual improvement in manufacturing conditions [3] - The ongoing improvement in U.S.-China relations is expected to support continued growth in exports, further enhancing manufacturing sentiment [3] - The mechanical industry is rated as "buy," with a focus on engineering machinery companies benefiting from recovering domestic demand and sustained export growth [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Standard Allocation," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [33]. Core Insights - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12% but a month-on-month decrease of 17.79%. Domestic sales were 8,392 units, down 1.48% year-on-year and down 33.12% month-on-month. Export sales were 9,810 units, up 5.42% year-on-year and up 2.24% month-on-month, accounting for 53.90% of total sales [3]. - For the first five months of 2025, cumulative excavator sales totaled 101,716 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.44%, with domestic sales at 57,501 units (up 25.70%) and export sales at 44,215 units (up 8.20%) [3]. - In May 2025, loader sales were 10,535 units, a year-on-year increase of 7.24% but a month-on-month decrease of 9.59%. Domestic sales were 6,037 units (up 16.72% year-on-year) and export sales were 4,498 units (down 3.31% year-on-year) [4]. - Cumulative loader sales for the first five months of 2025 reached 52,755 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.13%, with domestic sales at 29,607 units (up 25.36%) and export sales at 23,148 units (up 2.39%) [4]. - The report notes that the domestic demand for excavators has turned negative in May, while cumulative sales remain robust. The decline in average working hours and operating rates for major construction machinery products is attributed to seasonal factors and demand pull-forward at the beginning of the year [5]. - The acceleration of local government bond issuance in the first five months of 2025 is expected to support domestic demand, alongside ongoing infrastructure investment and replacement policies [5]. - In April 2025, the export trade value of construction machinery was $5.152 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.46% and a month-on-month increase of 4.89%. Cumulative export trade value for the first four months was $18.073 billion, up 9.10% year-on-year [5]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - May 2025 excavator sales: 18,202 units, YoY +2.12%, MoM -17.79% [3] - Domestic sales: 8,392 units, YoY -1.48%, MoM -33.12% [3] - Export sales: 9,810 units, YoY +5.42%, MoM +2.24% [3] - Cumulative sales (Jan-May 2025): 101,716 units, YoY +17.44% [3] Loader Sales - May 2025 loader sales: 10,535 units, YoY +7.24%, MoM -9.59% [4] - Domestic sales: 6,037 units, YoY +16.72% [4] - Export sales: 4,498 units, YoY -3.31% [4] - Cumulative sales (Jan-May 2025): 52,755 units, YoY +14.13% [4] Market Dynamics - Domestic excavator demand has turned negative in May, but cumulative sales remain strong [5] - Local government bond issuance is accelerating, expected to support domestic demand [5] - April 2025 export trade value: $5.152 billion, YoY +12.46% [5]

证券代码：601100 证券简称：恒立液压 公告编号：2025-013 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.70元 ? 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/26 | － | 2025/6/27 | 2025/6/27 | | 二、 分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/26 | － | 2025/6/27 | 2025/6/27 | | 四、 分配实施办法 （1 ...

证券代码：601100 证券简称：恒立液压 公告编号：2025-013 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司 2024年年度权益分派实施公告 A 股每股现金红利0.70元 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/26 | － | 2025/6/27 | 2025/6/27 | 差异化分红送转： 否 一、 通过分配方案的股东大会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 5 月 23 日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。 二、 分配方案 1. 实施办法 （1）无限售条件流通股的红利委托中国结算上海分公司通过其资金清算系统向股权登记 日上海证券交易所收市后登记在册并在上海证券交易所各会员办理了指定交易的股东派发。 已办理指定交易的投资者可于红利发放日在其指定的证券营业部领取现金红利，未办理指定 交易的股东红利暂由中 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hengli Hydraulic is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb85.0, indicating an expected share price return of 22.6% and an expected total return of 23.6% [4][13]. Core Insights - The commencement of operations at Hengli's Mexico plant is viewed positively, as it will help mitigate the impact of US reciprocal tariffs, despite the plant's revenue contribution being limited to Rmb200 million-300 million in 2025, which is only 2%-3% of the projected revenue [1][3]. - In May 2025, while the overall excavator shipment growth in China decreased to 2% YoY, Hengli's excavator cylinder production surged by 51% YoY, indicating strong demand and restocking from US customers [3]. - Management anticipates that Hengli's revenue growth in Q2 2025 could accelerate to double-digit YoY growth, up from 3% YoY in Q1 2025, driven by increased production guidance [3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Hengli hosted an opening ceremony for its Mexico plant on June 11, 2025, and plans to start production of excavator components for US clients [1]. Financial Projections - The revenue target for the Mexico plant is set at Rmb200 million-300 million for 2025, contributing minimally to the overall revenue forecast [1]. - The expected dividend yield is 1.0%, contributing to the total expected return of 23.6% [4]. Production and Market Trends - The production guidance for June 2025 is set at 55,000 units, which is 28% higher than the actual output of 34,200 units in June 2024 [3]. - The overall excavator shipment growth in China has slowed, but Hengli's production has significantly outperformed this trend, indicating a strong market position [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant stock price increases of various companies over the past decade, particularly in the electronic and food & beverage sectors, while noting the overall decline of the Shanghai Composite Index from its peak in 2015 [4]. Industry Summary - The electronic industry has shown remarkable performance, with Shenghong Technology achieving a cumulative increase of 2228% over ten years [2]. - The food and beverage sector also performed well, with Shanxi Fenjiu and Kweichow Moutai recording increases of approximately 900% and 657%, respectively [4]. - The agricultural sector, represented by Muyuan Foods, saw a 768% increase, indicating strong growth in the agricultural and animal husbandry industry [2][4]. Market Performance - Over the past decade, the Shanghai Composite Index has decreased from a high of 5178 points to around 3400 points, while certain stocks have experienced extraordinary growth [4]. - Among the 31 first-level industries in the Shenwan classification, the food and beverage industry increased by 92.07%, while household appliances and banking sectors saw increases of 19.94% and 7.67%, respectively [4]. - The overall market has not surpassed the 5178-point level due to valuation adjustments, with the current PE ratio of the CSI 300 at 12.6 times, significantly lower than the 16.6 times recorded ten years ago [4]. Profit Growth - The net profit of CSI 300 constituent stocks has increased from 2.2 trillion yuan in 2015 to an estimated 4.51 trillion yuan in 2024, indicating robust earnings growth despite the index's decline [4]. - Regulatory officials have noted that the current valuation levels of A-shares remain relatively low, suggesting potential investment opportunities [4].