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天风证券晨会集萃-20250429
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-28 23:45
Group 1 - The report highlights three main investment directions: 1) Technology AI+ led by Deepseek breakthroughs and open-source initiatives, 2) Valuation recovery and gradual revival of consumer stocks, 3) The rise of undervalued dividends [2] - Overall industry sentiment shows an upward trend in sectors such as machinery, food and beverage, non-bank financials, real estate, environmental protection, and retail, while sectors like oil and petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, home appliances, banking, and public utilities are trending downward [2][20] - The report predicts strong performance in specific sub-industries over the next four weeks, emphasizing automotive services, general equipment, logistics, components, specialized equipment, paper, semiconductors, wind power equipment, consumer electronics, motors, textiles, optical electronics, photovoltaic equipment, jewelry, and infrastructure [2][20] Group 2 - In the agriculture sector, there is a strong short-term pig price due to a supply gap and inventory demand driven by state storage and increased channel inventory [3] - The report indicates a growing pressure on pig supply due to increasing inventory levels, with a notable rise in the number of small pigs stored [3] - The report recommends leading breeding companies such as Wens Foodstuffs, Muyuan Foods, and New Hope, while suggesting attention to flexible stocks like Shennong Group and Dekang Animal Husbandry [3] Group 3 - The aerospace industry is experiencing growth, with the domestic C919 aircraft entering commercial operation, leading to increased orders and production capacity [4][7] - The report anticipates significant benefits for the company as a key supplier in the aerospace engine industry, particularly with the development of advanced fighter jets and drones [4][7] - Revenue projections for the company are set at 44.84 billion, 54.48 billion, and 68.54 billion for 2025-2027, with a target price of 33.96 per share [7] Group 4 - The home appliance sector is seeing a return to growth, with new business and scenarios contributing to revenue despite short-term profitability pressure [8][29] - The company reported a revenue of 19.1 billion in 2024, with a slight increase in sales from industrial pumps and significant growth in the commercial pump segment [8][29] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company, projecting net profits of 2.7 billion, 3.3 billion, and 3.8 billion for 2025-2027 [29] Group 5 - The report on the food and beverage sector indicates a stable performance for Laobai Ganjiu, with revenue and net profit showing slight increases [10][14] - The company is benefiting from market dynamics in Hebei and Hunan, with a positive outlook for future sales growth [10][14] - The report adjusts profit forecasts for 2025-2026, expecting net profits of 8.87 billion and 10.27 billion, reflecting a cautious but optimistic view of the market [14] Group 6 - The cosmetics and personal care sector is experiencing a temporary performance pressure, but the color cosmetics business is showing remarkable growth [14][15] - The company reported a revenue of 57.36 billion in 2024, with a significant increase in color cosmetics sales [14][15] - The report anticipates a revenue growth trajectory for 2025-2027, with adjusted profit expectations reflecting competitive pressures in the market [15]
旗滨集团(601636):光伏持续进步,浮法底部盈利
Changjiang Securities· 2025-04-28 11:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 15.649 billion in 2024, a slight decline of 0.2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 383 million, down 78.1% year-on-year [3][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.484 billion, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 470 million, an increase of 6.4% year-on-year [3][4]. - The report highlights that the photovoltaic glass segment showed significant growth in production and sales, with production of 45.741 million square meters and sales of 43.472 million square meters in 2024, both showing substantial year-on-year increases [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company produced 10.881 million heavy boxes of float glass, a decrease of 1.54 million heavy boxes year-on-year, with sales down by 7.26 million heavy boxes [9]. - The average revenue per heavy box for 2024 was 64.3, down 15.2 from the previous year, while the average cost per heavy box was 50.9, down 7.0 [9]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 15.5%, a decline of 9.5 percentage points year-on-year [9]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the current valuation and industry conditions are at a low point, indicating potential recovery opportunities due to policy changes [9]. - The company is expected to achieve a performance of around 1 billion in 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of 15 times [9].
建筑材料行业跟踪周报:以稳为主,科技加内需仍是主线
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-28 08:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The industry is expected to focus on stability, with technology and domestic demand as the main themes [1] - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.22% this week, underperforming compared to the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices [4] - The report anticipates a significant acceleration in home decoration demand in Q3 2025, driven by policies promoting consumption [4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The construction materials sector has experienced a price fluctuation, with the national average price of high-standard cement at 390.8 RMB/ton, down 1.8 RMB/ton from last week but up 35.7 RMB/ton year-on-year [4][22] - Cement market demand has slightly weakened due to seasonal rainfall, with a national average cement shipment rate of 47.4%, down 1.3 percentage points from last week [30] 2. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The national cement market price has decreased by 0.5% this week, with price adjustments mainly in East, Central, and Southwest regions [21] - The report highlights that the cement industry is expected to maintain profitability, with leading companies showing a strong willingness to protect margins [5][12] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The profitability of the glass fiber industry remains at a low point, but demand in wind power and thermoplastics is expected to grow, leading to a gradual recovery in supply-demand balance [13] - The report recommends companies like China Jushi and suggests monitoring others like Zhongcai Technology and Shandong Glass Fiber [13] 2.3 Glass - The glass industry is currently facing a weak balance in supply and demand, with slow inventory depletion and limited price rebound potential [15] - The report recommends Qibin Group and suggests monitoring Nanbo A for potential growth [15] 3. Home Decoration Materials - The report indicates that government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand are expected to enhance home decoration consumption, with a year-on-year sales growth of 8.7% in early 2025 [16] - Recommended companies include Beixin Building Materials and Arrow Home, focusing on those with strong growth intentions and competitive advantages [16]
建筑材料行业跟踪周报:以稳为主,科技加内需仍是主线-20250428
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-28 07:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The industry is expected to focus on stability, with technology and domestic demand as the main themes [1] - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.22% this week, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the Wind All A Index [4] - The report anticipates a significant acceleration in home decoration demand in Q3 2025, driven by policies promoting consumption [4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Trends - The construction materials sector has experienced a price fluctuation, with the national average price of high-standard cement at 390.8 RMB/ton, down 1.8 RMB/ton from last week but up 35.7 RMB/ton year-on-year [4][22] - Cement market demand has slightly weakened due to seasonal rainfall, with a national average shipment rate of 47.4%, down 1.3 percentage points from last week [30] 2. Bulk Construction Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The national cement market price has decreased by 0.5% this week, with price adjustments mainly in East, Central, and Southwest regions [21] - The report highlights that the cement industry is expected to maintain profitability, with leading companies showing a strong willingness to protect margins [5][12] - The average cement inventory ratio is 61.8%, unchanged from last week but down 6.6 percentage points year-on-year [30] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The glass fiber industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with demand in wind power and thermoplastics sectors continuing to grow [13] - The report suggests that leading companies in the glass fiber sector are likely to benefit from structural advantages and cost efficiencies [13] 2.3 Glass - The glass industry is facing a weak balance between supply and demand, with slow inventory depletion and limited price rebound potential [15] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies that can leverage resource advantages and benefit from industry capacity reductions [15] 3. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report notes that external uncertainties, such as trade tensions, are increasing, but domestic policies are expected to support consumption and stabilize the real estate market [16] - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies in boosting home decoration demand, with a notable increase in sales in early 2024 [16] 4. Weekly Market Review - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase in performance compared to broader market indices, indicating potential investment opportunities [4][20]
旗滨集团(601636):24FY盈利能力下滑明显,25Q1毛利率环比提升
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-28 06:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [5][16]. Core Views - The company has experienced a significant decline in profitability for FY 2024, with revenue and net profit decreasing by 0.21% and 78% year-on-year, respectively. However, Q1 2025 shows a sequential improvement in gross margin [1][2]. - The company is a leader in the float glass industry and is expanding its production capacity in electronic glass and photovoltaic glass, which is expected to enhance future profitability [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY 2024, the company reported revenue of 15.65 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.21% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 382.59 million yuan, down 78.15% year-on-year [4][11]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 348 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.7%, but net profit increased by 6.4% year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margin for FY 2024 was 15.5%, down 9.5 percentage points year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a gross margin of 12%, a year-on-year decline of 14 percentage points but a sequential increase of 6.5 percentage points [2][4]. Business Segment Analysis - The float and energy-saving glass segments generated revenues of 6.86 billion yuan and 2.43 billion yuan for FY 2024, reflecting year-on-year declines of 24% and 13%, respectively. The unit prices for float glass and energy-saving glass were 64 yuan per heavy box and 77.6 yuan per square meter, showing a year-on-year decrease of 19% and an increase of 9%, respectively [2]. - The photovoltaic glass segment achieved revenue of 5.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 69%, driven by a 129% increase in production and a 124% increase in sales volume [2][3]. Capacity Expansion and Competitive Advantage - As of the end of FY 2024, the company operated 24 float glass production lines with a daily capacity of 16,600 tons, 9 photovoltaic glass production lines with a capacity of 10,600 tons per day, and several other specialized production lines, indicating strong scale and raw material advantages [3][4].
旗滨集团:2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:Q1毛利率改善,静待供需平衡进一步修复-20250428
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-28 05:23
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·玻璃玻纤 旗滨集团(601636) 2024 年年报、2025 年一季报点评:Q1 毛利 率改善,静待供需平衡进一步修复 增持(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 15,683 | 15,649 | 16,278 | 18,563 | 21,507 | | 同比(%) | 17.80 | (0.21) | 4.02 | 14.04 | 15.86 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 1,750.88 | 382.59 | 603.91 | 757.84 | 1,129.91 | | 同比(%) | 32.98 | (78.15) | 57.85 | 25.49 | 49.10 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.65 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.42 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 8.52 | 39.00 | 24.71 | 19.69 | 1 ...
东吴证券:给予旗滨集团增持评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-28 04:44
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Q1 gross margin has improved for Qibin Group, with expectations for further supply-demand balance restoration in the future [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, Qibin Group achieved operating revenue of 15.649 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 383 million yuan, down 78.1% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 3.484 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 9.7%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 470 million yuan, an increase of 6.4% [1] Product Segments - Float glass sales are expected to decline by 6% in 2024, with a single box gross profit of 13.4 yuan, down 8.3 yuan, due to decreased demand from real estate completions [2] - The company sold 435 million square meters of photovoltaic glass in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 124%, generating revenue of 5.753 billion yuan, up 68.6% [2] - Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 gross margins were 5.5% and 12.0%, respectively, reflecting significant year-on-year declines due to lower unit gross profits in both float and photovoltaic glass [2] Cost and Expenses - The company's expense ratio for 2024 was 12.2%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points, primarily due to a rise in financial expenses by 166 million yuan [3] - In Q1 2025, the single-quarter expense ratio increased by 0.6 percentage points to 12.6%, driven by higher financial expenses [3] - Asset impairment losses in 2024 amounted to 257 million yuan, mainly due to inventory write-downs [3] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditure - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 912 million yuan, a decrease of 631 million yuan year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a net cash flow of 17 million yuan, an increase of 334 million yuan [4] - Capital expenditures for fixed and intangible assets in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 were 390 million yuan and 576 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a significant slowdown in capital expenditure pace [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 600 million yuan, 760 million yuan, and 1.13 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a maintained "buy" rating [5]
旗滨集团(601636):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:Q1毛利率改善,静待供需平衡进一步修复
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-28 04:36
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue for 2024, with total revenue of 15,649 million yuan, down 0.21% year-on-year, and a significant drop in net profit attributable to shareholders, which was 382.59 million yuan, down 78.15% year-on-year [7] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 34.84 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 6.4% to 4.70 million yuan [7] - The company is facing pressure on profitability in both float glass and photovoltaic glass segments, but there was an improvement in gross margin in Q1 2025 [7] - The financial expenses increased, leading to a slight rise in the expense ratio, while asset impairment provisions impacted profits [7] - Cash flow improved in Q1 2025, with a significant slowdown in capital expenditure [7] - The company is expected to benefit from a multi-industry layout and enhanced competitive advantages, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 603.91 million, 757.84 million, and 1,129.91 million yuan respectively [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 15,649 million yuan, with a year-on-year change of -0.21% [1] - Net profit for 2024 is expected to be 382.59 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 78.15% [1] - Q1 2025 revenue is 34.84 billion yuan, down 9.7% year-on-year, with net profit at 4.70 million yuan, up 6.4% [7] Margin Analysis - The gross margin for float glass and photovoltaic glass remains under pressure, but there was a recovery in gross margin in Q1 2025 to 12.0% [7] - The gross margin for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 was 5.5% and 12.0%, respectively, indicating a year-on-year decline [7] Cash Flow and Expenditure - Operating cash flow for 2024 was 9.12 billion yuan, down 6.31 billion yuan year-on-year, while Q1 2025 showed a positive cash flow of 0.17 billion yuan, an increase of 3.34 billion yuan year-on-year [7] - Capital expenditures significantly decreased in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, reflecting a slowdown in investment [7] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 603.91 million yuan for 2025, 757.84 million yuan for 2026, and 1,129.91 million yuan for 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24.71, 19.69, and 13.20 [1][7]
旗滨集团:浮法底部,光伏成本持续下降-20250427
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 00:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price based on expected performance over the next three years [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a slight decline in revenue for 2024, with a total of 15.65 billion yuan, down 0.2% year-on-year, and a significant drop in net profit by 78.1% to 380 million yuan [1][4]. - The glass industry is facing challenges due to insufficient demand in the real estate sector, leading to a continuous decline in float glass prices [2][4]. - The photovoltaic glass segment saw a significant increase in revenue by 68.6% to 5.75 billion yuan in 2024, but the profit margin decreased due to falling prices [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 15.65 billion yuan, with a net profit of 380 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 78.1% [1][5]. - The float glass segment sold 107 million heavy boxes, down 6.4% year-on-year, with an average price of 64.3 yuan per heavy box, a decrease of 19.2% [2][4]. - The photovoltaic glass segment achieved a sales volume of 430 million square meters, up 124.0% year-on-year, but the average price fell to 13.2 yuan per square meter, down 24.7% [3][4]. Market Outlook - The float glass prices are expected to remain low until supply and demand are balanced, which may take time due to ongoing production capacity increases [2][4]. - The photovoltaic glass market is showing signs of recovery, but there may be pressure on prices as demand stabilizes and production ramps up [3][4]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 15.5%, down 9.5 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to price declines in both float and photovoltaic glass [4][5]. - The net profit margin decreased to 1.7%, reflecting the impact of reduced gross margins and asset impairment losses totaling 257 million yuan [4][5]. Future Projections - The company is projected to recover with net profits of 829 million yuan, 1.1 billion yuan, and 1.65 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 41.4% [4][5].
旗滨集团(601636) - 旗滨集团2024年年度股东会会议资料
2025-04-25 14:05
株洲旗滨集团股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东会会议资料 株洲旗滨集团股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东会会议资料 (二〇二五年五月十五日召开) 二〇二五年五月 * 为便于材料使用,议程议案等落款日期均使用会议召开当日日期 1 株洲旗滨集团股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东会会议资料 株洲旗滨集团股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东会会议议程 现场会议时间:2025 年 5 月 15 日 14 点 00 分 网络投票起止时间:自 2025 年 5 月 15 日至 2025 年 5 月 15 日 采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统,通过交易系统投票平台的投票时间为股 东会召开当日的交易时间段,即 9:15-9:25,9:30-11:30,13:00-15:00;通过互 联网投票平台的投票时间为股东会召开当日的 9:15-15:00。 现场会议地点:公司会议室(具体地址:深圳市南山区桃源街道龙珠四路 2 号方大城 T1 栋 31 楼) 会议方式:现场投票和网络投票相结合的方式 主持人:董事长张柏忠先生 一、宣读参加股东会现场会议的股东(包括股东代理人)人数、持有和代表 的股份数; 二、宣布会议开幕; 三、宣读《会议须知 ...