资本开支高增、自由现金流承压但现金保障充裕，云业务利润率长期提升的确定性高 阿里巴巴25Q3的资本开支达到314.28亿人民币，同比增幅达到85.12%，处于高速增长期。阿里巴巴 25Q2、25Q3连续两个季度自由现金流下降引发市场担忧。公司25Q3自由现金流为-218.4亿，主要系"外 卖大战"和大幅增加资本开支的影响。截至25Q3，阿里巴巴集团账面仍有2923亿人民币净现金和其他流 动性投资，为新业务投入提供保障。 智通财经APP获悉，浙商证券发布研报称，维持阿里巴巴-W(09988)"买入"评级，对应目标价为189.09港 币，阿里巴巴作为国内领先的卡位AI全栈的云平台公司，云业务高景气+中期利润率提升的高确定性， 将带来估值提升。 浙商证券主要观点如下： 阿里千问公测23天MAU破3000万，成全球增长最快AI应用之一，与豆包竞争AI入口 阿里千问通过"免费+增值+B端开源"，同时与阿里生态融合，重点聚焦专业级场景与长上下文处理。豆 包则以超1亿DAU居国内AI原生应用榜首，采用闭源多模态Agent路线与"免费+增值+B端MaaS"模式， 覆盖全场景与轻量高频需求。二者在模型架构、生态布局、核心能力与 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has signed sales agency agreements with several securities firms to expand the list of brokers for the subscription and redemption of specific exchange-traded funds (ETFs) starting from January 5, 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Expansion - The company will add Zheshang Securities as a broker for the subscription and redemption of the Yinhua CSI AAA Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF (trading name: Kexin Bond ETF Yinhua, fund code: 159112) and the Yinhua GEM Comprehensive ETF (trading name: GEM Comprehensive ETF Yinhua, fund code: 159288) [1]. - The company will also add AVIC Securities as a broker for the subscription and redemption of the Yinhua CSI AAA Technology Innovation Corporate Bond ETF (trading name: Kexin Bond ETF Yinhua, fund code: 159112) [1]. - Additionally, Ping An Securities will be added as a broker for the subscription and redemption of the Yinhua MSCI China A-Share ETF (trading name: MSCI China, fund code: 512380) [1].

Core Viewpoint - The company has established a special account for fundraising to ensure proper management and protection of investor rights [2] Group 1 - The company announced the establishment of a special fundraising account at CITIC Bank Xinghua Branch [2] - The decision was approved by the company's third board of directors during its fourteenth meeting [2] - A tripartite supervision agreement was signed with the sponsor, Zheshang Securities Co., Ltd., and CITIC Bank Taizhou Branch [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market is expected to experience a favorable cross-year trend, supported by a better liquidity and exchange rate environment compared to previous years [1] - The strong performance of the RMB and a generally loose domestic liquidity environment are anticipated to contribute to a "good start" for the A-share market after the New Year [1] - Multiple positive factors, including RMB appreciation, concentrated benefits in the technology sector, improved macroeconomic expectations, and positive signals in the funding environment, are likely to drive the continuation of the cross-year trend in the A-share market [1] Group 2 - The current market risk appetite remains high, providing room for high-elasticity technology themes to continue their upward trajectory [2] - Despite the overall valuation level of the technology sector being relatively high, it has not yet entered a frenzy stage, indicating a significant gap from historical bubble periods [2] - Global liquidity expectations are anticipated to further support high-valuation technology assets, with a focus on sectors such as robotics, sports, and non-bank segments, while caution is advised against overcrowded areas like commercial aerospace [2] Group 3 - The improvement in industry prosperity is primarily reflected in price increases, with significant price rises observed in precious metals like gold and silver, as well as in base metals such as copper [3] - The basic chemical sector has seen marginal price increases in methanol, asphalt, natural rubber, and in power equipment, particularly lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide [3] - The semiconductor sales cycle is on the rise, maintaining industry prosperity, with several foundries and storage manufacturers recently signaling price increases [3]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth, with the ChiNext 50 ETF (588000) showing a notable increase of 4.16%, driven by strong performances from key companies in the industry [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext 50 ETF (588000) saw a trading volume of 5.052 billion yuan, with only 2 stocks declining among its constituents [1] - Notable gains were observed in the semiconductor sector, with companies like Zhongwei Company rising by 14.03%, Lanke Technology by 7.98%, and Baichu Electronics by 7.93% [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Zhejiang Securities predicts that the semiconductor equipment index will significantly outperform the market by 2025, with current valuations at the 28th percentile [1] - The front-end equipment is experiencing sustained high revenue growth, while profit growth is structurally slowing; conversely, back-end equipment is witnessing explosive growth with significantly improved net profit margins [1] Group 3: Sector Composition - The ChiNext 50 ETF (588000) tracks the ChiNext 50 Index, with 66.39% of its holdings in the electronics sector and 4.73% in the computer sector, totaling 71.12% [1] - The ETF aligns well with the development directions of cutting-edge industries such as artificial intelligence and robotics, while also covering various sub-sectors like semiconductors, medical devices, software development, and photovoltaic equipment [1]

Group 1 - Dazhong Laser's stock increased by 5.07% to 43.28 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 619 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.53%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 44.561 billion CNY [1] - Dazhong Laser Technology Industry Group Co., Ltd. is located in Nanshan District, Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, established on March 4, 1999, and listed on June 25, 2004. The company's main business involves the research, manufacturing, and sales of laser processing equipment [1] - The revenue composition of Dazhong Laser includes 68.71% from other intelligent manufacturing equipment and 31.29% from PCB intelligent manufacturing equipment [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten heavy stocks of funds, one fund under Zheshang Securities Asset Management heavily invested in Dazhong Laser. The Zheshang Huijin Transformation Growth Fund (000935) held 51,100 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 4.02% of the fund's net value, making it the fourth-largest heavy stock [2] - The Zheshang Huijin Transformation Growth Fund (000935) was established on December 30, 2014, with a latest scale of 51.7885 million CNY. It has achieved a return of 44.84% this year, ranking 1535 out of 8155 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Ma Binbo, has a cumulative tenure of 8 years and 12 days, with the fund's total asset scale at 51.7961 million CNY. The best return during his tenure is 79.75%, while the worst return is -43.63% [2]

上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 中信证券：人心思涨，预计开年市场震荡向上 从机构的赚钱效应来看，2025年在过去10年里能排到第三，过去20年里排到第六。在一个回头来看巨大 的结构性牛市当中，实际上市场既享受了预期差带来的"估值的钱"，也挣到了"业绩的钱"，预期差来自于 对中国自主科技能力的重估以及中美关系，而结构性的超预期业绩来自复杂贸易环境下外需的韧性以及AI 推理需求爆发，这些因素站在2025年初来看并不是那么理所应当会发生。增量流动性只是预期差和业绩 兑现过程中的结果，或者是用于后验的解释牛市形成的理由，投资者过于高估了增量资金对市场的影响。 增量资金入市不会是2026年市场上一个新台阶的主要因素。2026年最大的预期差来自于外需与内需的平 衡，对外"征税"、补贴内需应是大势所趋，今年是个重要的开端。站在开年，考虑到去年末的资金热度并 不算高，人心思涨的环境下开年后市场震荡向上的概率更高。 国泰海通：一年之计在于春 在市场持续反弹之际，中国股市有望跨越与站稳重要关口。海外流动性的宽松，叠加春节前结汇，有望推 动人民币的稳定与升值。以A500E ...

4 1 11 100 6395 r 626- (Cir (56- (0 ed 陈亮 : . , . 111- ( = ) Ma 刘健 t the O T . 4. Jh 顾伟 0 l P t . t . 范力 钱文海 黄德良 王海河 陈戈 张东 钟文岳 刘宗治 高云程 王庆 中金公司党委书记、董事长陈亮： 坚守初心 奋力谱写一流投行建设新篇章 2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，我国经济长期向好的坚实基础和积极态势将持续巩固，中央经济工作 会议为今年工作指明了方向，助力"十五五"稳健开篇。在这一关键时期，资本市场肩负着服务国家战 略、赋能实体经济的重要使命，金融作为国之重器，更需要在应对外部挑战、维护经济金融安全稳定中 展现更大担当。 2025年恰逢中金公司成立三十周年。三十年来，中金公司始终与国家发展同频共振，以专业服务助力资 本市场建设。站在新的历史起点上，中金公司将坚定不移围绕金融强国建设目标，以打造"让党放心、 让人民满意的国际一流投行"为愿景，积极贡献专业力量。 我们将着力打造"财富投行"与"资产投行"，把握居民财富多元配置趋势，努力做大社会财富"蛋糕"，服 务扩大内需、提振市场信心；深耕"产业投行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced narrow fluctuations before the New Year, with most broad indices slightly declining. Looking ahead, the rise of Hong Kong stocks and the A50 index during the New Year period suggests a high probability of a "good start" for A-shares after the holiday. However, the sustainability of the three driving factors behind the recent A-share rally (A500 ETF volume and price increase, strong performance of optical modules, and booming commercial aerospace) remains uncertain post-holiday, necessitating a dual-preparation strategy in the short term. From a mid-term perspective, the market is expected to rise further before March [1][4][10]. Market Overview - The major indices showed slight declines before the New Year, with a narrow range of fluctuations observed [7]. - Sector performance indicated strength in petrochemicals and commercial aerospace, while robotics and soft technology sectors also saw gains [7]. - Market sentiment improved with a rise in trading volume in Shanghai and Shenzhen, although stock index futures contracts were generally at a discount [7]. - Fund flows showed an increase in margin trading balances, with the securities ETF experiencing the highest net inflow [7]. Market Attribution - The Ministry of Finance announced a continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy for 2026 [9]. - The official release of the 2026 national subsidy plan was noted [9]. - A reduction in the value-added tax rate from 5% to 3% for individuals selling homes purchased for less than two years was implemented [9]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission issued new regulations on the management of sales expenses for publicly raised securities investment funds [9]. Investment Strategy - Based on the outlook for the Year of the Horse, the recommendation is to maintain current holdings and avoid chasing prices, especially for those that have seen significant gains this year. If a situation similar to the "golden pit" of early 2025 arises, it is advised to increase allocations at lower prices [5][11]. - Sector focus should be on high-tech sectors that have recently undergone sufficient adjustments, such as the Hang Seng Technology and Sci-Tech 50 indices [5][11]. - Industry attention should be directed towards the brokerage sector, which has shown significant lag and market share expansion, as well as robotics-related machinery and automotive sectors, AI application-related media and computing sectors, and sectors benefiting from the Spring Festival retail surge, including electronics and chemicals [5][11]. - Individual stock selection should prioritize low-priced, lagging stocks within the aforementioned sectors and industries [5][11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Sichuan Shuangma Technology is positioned for significant growth in the investment and pharmaceutical manufacturing sectors, indicating a potential rise for the technology leader [1] Group 2 - In the private equity investment management business, the company estimates a conservative valuation based on future fund exits, projecting a total cash return of 10.4 billion yuan from the management of funds such as Hexie Jinyu and Hexie Jinhong over the next 2-3 years, assuming a total investment return of 3 times [1] Group 3 - For the biopharmaceutical business, comparable companies include ST Nuotai, Shengnuo Biotech, and Hanyu Pharmaceutical, with average valuation multiples projected at 25x, 21x, and 17x for the years 2025-2027 [1] - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the company are projected to be 39x, 17x, and 13x for the years 2025-2027, based on the closing price on December 31, 2025 [1] - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [1]