Zheshang Securities(601878)
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债市专题研究:风偏回落,哑铃优先
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-11-16 11:25
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Views of the Report - In the medium - term, the expectation of a slow - bull market in the equity market remains solid. With a temporary decline in market risk appetite, the dumbbell strategy is expected to achieve excess returns. The valuation factor and volatility factor are expected to strengthen marginally. In the short - term, attention should be paid to the risk of excess drawdown due to style mismatch in the convertible bond market. It is recommended to maintain a neutral position to enjoy the excess returns brought by the spill - over of the equity bull market, taking into account both growth and defense [1][22] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog 1. Convertible Bond Weekly Thinking - From November 10 to November 14, 2025, the style of the convertible bond market changed significantly, with the tech - growth style retreating and the energy and consumption indices strengthening. The main line of the convertible bond market is not clear, and sector rotation has accelerated. The technology sectors represented by AI computing power and semiconductors have declined, while the power equipment and photovoltaic industries have performed well. The dividend style has strengthened due to risk - aversion and overseas tech valuation bubbles. As the year - end approaches, some investors may lock in profits, and the market is likely to be dominated by rotation, increasing the difficulty of convertible bond trading [11] - In the volatile market, the valuation of bond - like convertible bonds is firm, and the market tends to be defensive in the short - term. As of November 14, 2025, the median price of convertible bonds is close to 134 yuan, a recent high. The market style has shifted from offensive to defensive, with bond - biased convertible bonds performing better than equity - biased ones. The pure - bond premium rate of bond - like convertible bonds has been rising. In terms of valuation, the convertible bond valuation is oscillating at a high level, with the premium rate of bond - like convertible bonds at 84.51%, the balanced convertible bonds at about 22.66%, and the equity - like convertible bonds at 10.18%, down about 1.13 percentage points from the recent high [3][12] - In the volatile market, attention should be paid to the tail risk of the momentum factor to avoid the risk of excess return drawdown caused by trend reversal. The convertible bond momentum factor has performed well this year, mainly because it has captured the "trend effect" in the convertible bond market since Q2 2025. However, with the continuous small - scale outflow of passive funds represented by ETFs, there is a possibility of style switching in the convertible bond market. The momentum effect brought by liquidity premium may be the source of excess returns in the convertible bond market this year. In the short - term, attention should be paid to the risk of excess drawdown due to style mismatch. As the equity market enters the performance verification stage, the valuation factor and volatility factor are expected to strengthen, enabling investors to enjoy the excess returns from the value regression of undervalued convertible bonds and through high - selling and low - buying in the volatile market [4][14][19] - In November, investors are recommended to focus on convertible bonds such as Shangyin, Shouhua, Aola, Jingke, Baolong, Keshun, Yingbo, Wei, Jin 25, and Anji [23] 2. Convertible Bond Market Tracking 2.1 Convertible Bond Market Conditions - The report provides the performance data of various convertible bond indices in different time periods (recent week, recent two weeks, since September, recent month, recent two months, recent half - year, and recent one - year), including the Wande Convertible Bond Energy Index, Wande Convertible Bond Materials Index, etc. [24] 2.2 Convertible Bond Individual Securities - The report shows the top ten and bottom ten individual convertible bonds in terms of price increase and decrease in the recent week [26][27] 2.3 Convertible Bond Valuation - The report presents the valuation trends of bond - like, balanced, and equity - like convertible bonds, as well as the valuation trends of convertible bonds with different parities [28][36] 2.4 Convertible Bond Price - The report shows the proportion trend of high - price bonds and the median price trend of convertible bonds [38]
主动量化周报:主线切换:涨价逻辑首选化工-20251116
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-11-16 10:40
- The report discusses the microstructure rebalancing in the A-share market, highlighting the increased concentration of stock price movements driven by speculative capital inflows since June 2025, which has impacted quantitative products' portfolio construction and risk exposure adjustments[13][23][24] - Quantitative products have adjusted their exposure to micro-cap stocks, initially reducing their holdings to mitigate nonlinear market cap risks, and later increasing allocations to amplify excess returns as speculative capital inflows weakened post-October 2025[13][23][24] - The report emphasizes the Barra style factor performance, noting that fundamental factors such as BP value and investment quality have shown positive returns, while transaction-related factors like short-term momentum have also delivered strong excess returns during the market's recent fluctuations[23][24][25]
浙商证券股份有限公司 2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付 完成公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-11-15 23:15
1,520,755,479.45元。 浙商证券股份有限公司 2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付 完成公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 浙商证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")于2025年2月13日成功发行了浙商证券股份有限公司2025 年度第一期短期融资券(以下简称"本期短期融资券"),本期短期融资券发行规模为人民币15亿元,票 面利率为1.85%,短期融资券期限为273天,兑付日期为2025年11月13日(详见本公司于2025年2月14日 登载于上海证券交易所网站www.sse.com.cn的《浙商证券股份有限公司2025年度第一期短期融资券发行 结果公告》)。 2025年11月13日,本公司按期兑付了本期短期融资券本息共计人民币 证券代码:601878 证券简称:浙商证券 公告编号:2025-069 特此公告。 浙商证券股份有限公司董事会 2025年11月15日 ...
浙商证券(601878) - 浙商证券股份有限公司2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付完成公告
2025-11-14 16:02
浙商证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第一期短期融资券兑付完成公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 证券代码:601878 证券简称:浙商证券 公告编号:2025-069 2025 年 11 月 13 日,本公司按期兑付了本期短期融资券本息共计人民币 1,520,755,479.45 元。 特此公告。 浙商证券股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 11 月 15 日 浙商证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")于 2025 年 2 月 13 日成功发 行了浙商证券股份有限公司 2025 年度第一期短期融资券(以下简称"本期短期 融资券"),本期短期融资券发行规模为人民币 15 亿元,票面利率为 1.85%, 短期融资券期限为 273 天,兑付日期为 2025 年 11 月 13 日(详见本公司于 2025 年 2 月 14 日登载于上海证券交易所网站 www.sse.com.cn 的《浙商证券股份有限 公司 2025 年度第一期短期融资券发行结果公告》)。 ...
浙商证券(601878)披露2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付完成公告,11月14日股价下跌0.87%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 14:40
截至2025年11月14日收盘,浙商证券(601878)报收于11.39元,较前一交易日下跌0.87%,最新总市值 为520.96亿元。该股当日开盘11.43元,最高11.49元,最低11.39元,成交额达2.83亿元,换手率为 0.54%。 最新公告列表 公司近日发布公告称,浙商证券股份有限公司于2025年2月13日发行了2025年度第一期短期融资券,发 行规模为人民币15亿元,票面利率1.85%,期限273天。2025年11月13日,公司已按期兑付本期短期融 资券本息合计人民币1,520,755,479.45元。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 《浙商证券股份有限公司2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付完成公告》 ...
浙商证券:2025年度第一期短期融资券兑付完成公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-14 12:44
证券日报网讯 11月14日晚间,浙商证券发布公告称,浙商证券股份有限公司(以下简称"本公司")于 2025年2月13日成功发行了浙商证券股份有限公司2025年度第一期短期融资券(以下简称"本期短期融资 券"),本期短期融资券发行规模为人民币15亿元,票面利率为1.85%,短期融资券期限为273天,兑付 日期为2025年11月13日。2025年11月13日,本公司按期兑付了本期短期融资券本息共计人民币1,520, 755,479.45元。 (文章来源:证券日报) ...
存款还在“搬家”,降息窗口是否会在四季度打开?
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-14 11:08
11月13日,央行公布2025年10月金融数据。 截至2025年10月末,广义货币(M2)余额335.13万亿元,同比增长8.2%,比上年同期高0.8个百分点, 在上年同期基数提高的背景下,仍保持较高增速;社会融资规模存量437.72万亿元,同比增长8.5%,比 上年同期高0.7个百分点;1—10月,社会融资规模增量为30.9万亿元,同比多增3.83万亿元。 但如果从单月数据来看,10月金融数据仍有波动。2025年10月人民币贷款增加2200亿元,同比少增2800 亿元;10月社会融资增量8150亿元,同比少增5970亿元,社融余额同比从9月的8.7%降至8.5%;10月 M1同比从9月的7.2%降至6.2%,10月M2同比从9月的8.4%降至8.2%。 如何看待10月金融数据的波动? 中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬认为,从金融数据可以看出,在季节性效应、政策影响以及中长期趋势 变化下,10月信贷增速延续回落,但社融、M2增速仍维持在相对高位,反映金融对实体经济的支撑仍 有力。 温彬进一步指出,伴随经济金融结构变迁,当前企业融资渠道已从过去更多依赖于银行贷款,转变为综 合运用债券、股票等更丰富的市场化融资方式。 ...
浙商证券:完成15亿元短期融资券本息兑付
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 09:16
浙商证券公告称,公司于2025年2月13日发行2025年度第一期短期融资券,规模15亿元,票面利率 1.85%,期限273天。2025年11月13日,公司按期兑付该期短期融资券本息,共计15.21亿元。 ...
亿纬锂能股价跌5.1%,浙商证券资管旗下1只基金重仓,持有2.27万股浮亏损失10.12万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 06:04
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that EVE Energy Co., Ltd. experienced a 5.1% drop in stock price, trading at 82.91 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 169.61 billion yuan as of the report date [1] - EVE Energy's main business includes the research, production, and sales of consumer batteries (including lithium primary batteries, small lithium-ion batteries, and ternary cylindrical batteries) and power batteries (including electric vehicle batteries and energy storage batteries) [1] - The revenue composition of EVE Energy is as follows: power batteries account for 45.26%, energy storage batteries 36.56%, consumer batteries 18.03%, and others 0.16% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, a fund under Zheshang Securities Asset Management has EVE Energy as its fifth-largest holding, with 22,700 shares, representing 3.99% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund, Zheshang Huijin Transformation Growth (000935), has a total scale of 51.79 million yuan and has achieved a return of 44.4% this year, ranking 1557 out of 8140 in its category [2] - The fund manager, Ma Binbo, has been in position for 7 years and 325 days, with the best fund return during his tenure being 78.16% and the worst being -43.63% [3]
泰和科技:接受浙商证券等投资者调研
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-14 04:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Taihe Technology (SZ 300801) will hold an investor meeting on November 4, 2025, where the chairman and chief engineer will address investor inquiries [1] - For the year 2024, the revenue composition of Taihe Technology is as follows: water treatment industry accounts for 86.17%, chlor-alkali industry accounts for 13.42%, and others account for 0.41% [1]