CHINA COAL ENERGY(601898)
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需求偏弱震荡或延续,供给约束深跌亦难为
Xinda Securities· 2025-12-07 07:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy, with a resonance between fundamentals and policies, making it an opportune time to accumulate coal sector investments [11][12] - The supply side constraints are expected to support prices despite high inventory levels and mild weather conditions, with coal prices anticipated to exhibit a bottoming and oscillating trend [11][12] - The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortages remains unchanged, with a balanced short-term supply-demand scenario and a long-term gap still present [11][12] Summary by Sections Coal Price Tracking - As of December 6, the market price for Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) is 791 RMB/ton, down 27 RMB/ton week-on-week [30] - The international thermal coal FOB price for Newcastle (NEWC5500) is 85.5 USD/ton, down 1.8 USD/ton week-on-week [30] - The price for coking coal at Jing Tang port is 1650 RMB/ton, down 60 RMB/ton week-on-week [32] Supply and Demand Tracking - The capacity utilization rate for sample thermal coal mines is 91.5%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points week-on-week [48] - The daily coal consumption in inland 17 provinces has increased by 32.10 thousand tons/day, a rise of 9.07% week-on-week [47] - The daily coal consumption in coastal 8 provinces has increased by 10.70 thousand tons/day, a rise of 5.72% week-on-week [47] Inventory Situation - The coal inventory in inland 17 provinces has decreased by 100.60 thousand tons, a decline of 0.99% week-on-week [47] - The coal inventory in coastal 8 provinces has increased by 51.10 thousand tons, an increase of 1.48% week-on-week [47] Company Performance - The coal sector has shown a positive performance with a 0.77% increase, although it underperformed compared to the broader market [14][17] - Key companies to focus on include China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, which are noted for their stable operations and strong performance [12][13]
日耗爬坡缓慢拖累煤价,供应偏紧不改后市可期
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2025-12-06 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [5]. Core Views - The coal price is expected to maintain a strong upward trend due to seasonal demand increases and supply constraints, despite short-term pressures from low consumption rates in certain regions [7][8]. - The report highlights the potential for coal prices to rise as winter approaches, with increased demand from power plants for stock replenishment [7]. - The introduction of stricter safety regulations is likely to impact coal production rates, further tightening supply [7][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The coal industry consists of 37 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 19,360.92 billion [2]. - The circulating market value of the industry is around 18,986.29 billion [2]. 2. Price Tracking - As of December 5, 2025, the average daily production of thermal coal from 462 sample mines is 5.512 million tons, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.22% but a year-on-year decrease of 7.53% [8]. - The price of thermal coal at the Qinhuangdao port is reported at 790 yuan per ton, down 31 yuan from the previous week, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 3.78% [8]. 3. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that the daily coal consumption across 25 provinces reached 5.839 million tons, an increase of 428,000 tons from the previous week, indicating a week-on-week growth of 7.91% [8]. - The report anticipates that as winter progresses, coal demand will increase, particularly in southern regions affected by cold weather [7]. 4. Company Performance and Recommendations - Key companies recommended for investment include Yanzhou Coal Mining Company, Shanxi Coal and Chemical Industry Group, and Jinneng Holding Group, which are expected to benefit from the anticipated rise in coal prices [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on companies with high elasticity in their stock performance, particularly those involved in thermal coal production [7].
中煤(广南)新能源有限公司成立
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-05 12:16
本报讯 (记者袁传玺)天眼查App显示,近日,中煤(广南)新能源有限公司成立,注册资本3亿元, 经营范围为发电业务、输电业务、供(配)电业务,建设工程监理。股权全景穿透图显示,该公司由中 煤绿能科技(北京)有限公司全资持股,后者为中国中煤能源(601898)集团有限公司全资子公司。 ...
能源ETF广发(159945)开盘跌0.34%,重仓股中国神华跌0.36%,中国石油跌0.30%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 01:35
来源:新浪基金∞工作室 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 能源ETF广发(159945)业绩比较基准为中证全指能源指数,管理人为广发基金管理有限公司,基金经 理为姚曦,成立(2015-06-25)以来回报为19.05%,近一个月回报为-0.68%。 12月5日,能源ETF广发(159945)开盘跌0.34%,报1.187元。能源ETF广发(159945)重仓股方面,中 国神华开盘跌0.36%,中国石油跌0.30%,陕西煤业涨0.44%,中国石化涨0.00%,中国海油涨0.21%,杰 瑞股份涨0.46%,兖矿能源跌0.14%,广汇能源涨0.00%,中煤能源跌0.36%,山西焦煤涨0.30%。 ...
煤炭市场旺季预期减弱,逐步进入淡季状态
China Securities· 2025-12-04 14:25
Investment Rating - The report indicates a "downgrade" for the coal mining sector, suggesting it is "weaker than the market" [5]. Core Insights - The coking coal and coke markets are weakening, transitioning into an off-peak season, with coking coal prices declining, providing room for downstream coke price reductions. Steel mills are cautious in their procurement, focusing on inventory consumption. Following the completion of the fourth round of price increases, major steel mills have initiated the first round of price reductions for coke, expected to take effect on December 1 [1][2]. - The thermal coal market is also weakening, characterized by a "weak demand and increased supply" scenario, leading to downward pressure on prices. Supply remains stable, but price support is loosening, with high inventory levels at ports and cautious procurement behavior from consumers [1][2]. Summary by Sections Coking Coal - Prices for coking coal have decreased, with the low-sulfur coking coal price at 1400 RMB/ton, down 3% week-on-week. The total coking coal inventory at sampled coking plants is 10.1 million tons, also down 3% and at a historically low level [3][4]. Coke - The closing price for coke at ports is 1670 RMB/ton, unchanged from the previous week. The total inventory of coke across coking plants, steel mills, and ports is 9.01 million tons, down 1% [4]. Thermal Coal - The average price index for thermal coal in the Bohai Rim is 698 RMB/ton, stable compared to last week. Newcastle thermal coal price is 112.9 USD/ton, down 1%. The supply from 17 inland provinces is 3.51 million tons, up 2%, while the supply from eight coastal provinces is 2.11 million tons, up 10%. Inland coal inventory stands at 102 million tons, up 1%, and coastal inventory is 3.454 million tons, up 3% [4][2].
12月4日投资时钟(399391)指数跌0.13%,成份股西安饮食(000721)领跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 09:46
Market Overview - The Investment Clock Index (399391) closed at 3348.4 points, down 0.13%, with a trading volume of 67.987 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.74% [1] - Among the index constituents, 28 stocks rose while 71 stocks fell, with China High-Tech leading the gainers at an 8.25% increase and Xi'an Catering leading the decliners with a 5.74% drop [1] Top Constituents - The top ten constituents of the Investment Clock Index include: - Kweichow Moutai (16.68% weight) at 1423.98 yuan, down 0.36% [1] - China Merchants Bank (15.74% weight) at 43.22 yuan, up 0.49% [1] - Zijin Mining (7.34% weight) at 30.69 yuan, up 2.40% [1] - Wuliangye (5.26% weight) at 114.45 yuan, down 0.99% [1] - Hengrui Medicine (4.84% weight) at 61.25 yuan, up 0.46% [1] - Gree Electric Appliances (4.03% weight) at 40.94 yuan, up 0.32% [1] - Yili Industrial (3.04% weight) at 28.99 yuan, down 0.96% [1] - Northern Rare Earth (2.49% weight) at 46.66 yuan, down 1.19% [1] - Fuyao Glass (2.35% weight) at 63.82 yuan, down 1.25% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao (2.31% weight) at 127.71 yuan, down 3.76% [1] Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds from the Investment Clock Index constituents totaled 3.827 billion yuan, while speculative funds saw a net inflow of 1.326 billion yuan and retail investors had a net inflow of 2.502 billion yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for specific stocks includes: - China High-Tech with a net inflow of 1.30 billion yuan from main funds [2] - Yunnan Copper with a net inflow of 85.73 million yuan from main funds [2] - Weichai Power with a net inflow of 82.78 million yuan from main funds [2]
中煤能源涨2.14%,成交额8506.50万元,主力资金净流入123.57万元
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-12-03 02:24
12月3日,中煤能源盘中上涨2.14%,截至10:20,报13.85元/股,成交8506.50万元,换手率0.07%,总市 值1836.32亿元。 中煤能源所属申万行业为:煤炭-煤炭开采-动力煤。所属概念板块包括:动力煤、煤化工、甲醇概念、 低市盈率、中特估等。 截至10月31日,中煤能源股东户数8.23万,较上期减少11.46%;人均流通股121724股,较上期增加 0.00%。2025年1月-9月,中煤能源实现营业收入1105.84亿元,同比减少21.24%;归母净利润124.85亿 元,同比减少14.57%。 分红方面,中煤能源A股上市后累计派现450.74亿元。近三年,累计派现213.86亿元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,中煤能源十大流通股东中,中国证券金融股份有限公司位居第三 大流通股东,持股3.36亿股,持股数量较上期不变。国泰中证煤炭ETF(515220)位居第五大流通股 东,持股7250.71万股,相比上期增加4410.11万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第八大流通股东,持股 3915.19万股,相比上期减少2703.39万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF(510300)位居第九大流通 ...
美国电厂存煤能力进一步下滑 机构看好煤炭板块2026投资机会(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 00:41
随着美国国内煤炭消费爆发式增长,美国煤炭出口预计趋缓,全球海运动力煤贸易或将步入紧平衡格 局,建议重点关注具备区位与成本优势的国内煤企。 中泰证券(600918)发布研报称,交易面与基本面共振,煤炭或迎来新周期,看好2026年煤炭板块投资 机会,投资方面建议把握三条主线。基于中长期资金持续入市,煤炭"高股息、低估值"投资价值进一步 凸显,积极配置红利属性较强的标的;基于企业自身产能增长逻辑,叠加盈利弹性较大,重点关注α与 β共振的有望受益;基于煤价见底、盈利改善,重点关注困境反转的炼焦煤有望受益。 煤炭相关产业链港股: 中煤能源(601898)(01898)、兖矿能源(600188)(01171)、中国神华(601088)(01088)、兖煤澳大利 亚(03668)、中国秦发(00866)等。 10月节后煤价超预期上涨。 节后煤炭供应方面反内卷带动的收缩预期延续,边际因素在于产地降雨和大秦线检修,进口煤或受到蒙 古国政治因素影响环比有所下降。市场则担心四季度供应继续收缩。而价格超预期上涨的主要变量在需 求端,一方面下游电厂采购积极性提升,秦港船舶锚地数提升带动货船比下降,港口持续去库,另一方 面,下游用电量快 ...
中煤能源(01898) - 截至2025年11月30日止股份发行人的证券变动月报表


2025-12-01 08:40
FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國中煤能源股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601898 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 9,152,000,400 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 9,152,000,400 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 9,152,000,400 | RMB | | 1 ...
2026年度投资策略:中枢抬升,价值优先
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-12-01 08:20
Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, emphasizing a preference for value investments as the price center is expected to rise in 2026 [1]. Group 1: 2025 Review - Coal production in China showed a trend of high output in the first half of 2025, followed by a decline, with a total of 397.3 million tons produced from January to October, marking a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [2][16]. - Coal imports decreased significantly, with a total of 38.8 million tons imported from January to October, representing an 11% year-on-year decline [2][24]. - The overall coal consumption remained resilient, with a total of approximately 4.24 billion tons consumed from January to October, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1% [3][44]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics - The coal price experienced a V-shaped recovery, with prices for thermal coal, coking coal, and anthracite rebounding to 816, 1670, and 930 CNY per ton respectively by November 28, 2025 [4]. - The report highlights that the supply-demand balance is maintained through policies that regulate production while ensuring supply stability [5]. Group 3: 2026 Outlook - The report forecasts coal consumption to reach 4.95 billion tons in 2026, with a year-on-year growth of 1%, driven primarily by demand from the power and chemical sectors [5]. - It is anticipated that coal production will slightly increase to 4.87 billion tons in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.6% [5]. - The investment strategy suggests focusing on high-dividend coal companies and those showing signs of recovery from financial distress, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal [5].