证券代码：601898 证券简称：中煤能源 公告编号：2024-043 中国中煤能源股份有限公司 2024 年 10 月份主要生产经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | 指标项目 | 单位 | 2024 | 年 | 2023 | 年 | 变化比率（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 10 月份 | 累计 | 10 月份 | 累计 | 10 月份 | 累计 | | 一、煤炭业务 | | | | | | | | | （一）商品煤产量 | 万吨 | 1,134 | 11,365 | 1,109 | 11,226 | 2.3 | 1.2 | | （二）商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 2,510 | 23,061 | 2,353 | 23,833 | 6.7 | -3.2 | | 其中：自产商品煤销量 | 万吨 | 1,177 | 11,215 | 1,173 | 11,140 | 0.3 | 0.7 | | 二、煤化工业务 | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5][7]. Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.61 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 2.07 billion yuan year-on-year (down 12.4%) [4]. - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a net profit of 4.83 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.03 billion yuan year-on-year (down 0.6%) but an increase of 0.01 billion yuan quarter-on-quarter (up 0.2%) [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from increased production and a special dividend, which may enhance its valuation [5]. - The company plans to launch the Libei Coal Mine (4 million tons/year) and Weizigou Coal Mine (2.4 million tons/year) in 2025, which is anticipated to provide production flexibility and maintain profitability stability amid coal price fluctuations [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company produced 102.31 million tons of self-produced coal, an increase of 1.14 million tons year-on-year (up 1.1%) [4]. - The average selling price of self-produced coal for the first three quarters was 571 yuan/ton, a decrease of 32 yuan/ton year-on-year (down 5.3%) [4]. - The cost of self-produced coal sales for the first three quarters was 287 yuan/ton, a decrease of 8 yuan/ton year-on-year (down 2.8%) [4]. - The gross profit margin for self-produced coal was 49.8%, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 18.55 billion yuan, 18.73 billion yuan, and 19.17 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9.1x, 9.0x, and 8.8x based on the closing price on November 11 [5]. - The expected dividend yield for 2023 is 4.2%, with slight increases projected for the following years [5].

Summary of Conference Call Company and Industry - The conference call pertains to a coal mining company within the coal industry. Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - The company reported a basic earnings per share of 1.10, a year-on-year decrease of 12.7% [1] - The asset-liability ratio stands at 47.1%, down 0.6 percentage points from the beginning of the year [1] - The company achieved a net profit of 48.26 billion, with a slight increase compared to the previous quarter [2][3] Cost Control - The company has made significant efforts in cost control, achieving a total cost of 28.66 billion, the lowest this year, which is a 2.8% decrease year-on-year [2] - The company anticipates that costs in the fourth quarter will be higher than in the third quarter due to maintenance and safety investments [3][4] - The company aims to keep annual costs around 300 billion, similar to last year [4] Production Capacity and New Projects - The company expects to produce approximately 18 million tons from the Dazhaizi mine this year, an increase of nearly 4 million tons from last year [6][7] - New projects, including the Lithium Coal Mine and the Weizigou Coal Mine, are expected to face delays of 3 to 6 months, with production anticipated to start in the first half of 2026 [7][8] Market Outlook - The coal price is expected to stabilize in the fourth quarter, with limited fluctuations observed recently [13][14] - The company predicts that coal prices will remain stable due to balanced supply and demand, despite potential downward pressure from increased renewable energy output [15][23] Dividend and Capital Expenditure - The company has not yet established a formal long-term dividend policy, but there is an expectation of maintaining a stable payout ratio [16][17] - Future capital expenditures are projected to be between 12 billion to 16 billion annually, focusing on coal chemical projects and power generation [20][21] Electric Power Segment - The profitability of the electric power segment varies, with some plants reporting profits around 1 billion to 4 billion [22] - Future electricity prices are expected to stabilize if coal prices stabilize, but increased renewable energy output may exert downward pressure on prices [23] Other Important Information - The company is actively preparing for next year's production plans while ensuring the completion of current year-end tasks [1] - The management emphasized the importance of balancing capital expenditures with shareholder returns, considering cash flow needs and investment opportunities [19][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 16.42 CNY, reflecting a strong outlook for growth and profitability [5][6][23]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in the coal industry, benefiting from both growth in its core coal business and optimization of its product structure. The new coal mines coming online are expected to enhance growth, while a high proportion of long-term contracts provides revenue stability. Additionally, cost control measures have led to a significant reduction in coal production costs [3][5][14]. - The development of new coal chemical businesses is seen as a strategic move to mitigate cyclical risks, with a focus on clean energy products that align with national industrial transformation goals. This integrated approach is expected to provide cost advantages and stabilize earnings [5][15]. - The company is recognized as a pioneer in state-owned enterprise reform within the coal sector, with expectations for increased efficiency and dividend payouts. The 2024 mid-term dividend and special dividend announcements mark a significant shift in the company's dividend policy, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [5][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the company's strong market position and growth potential, maintaining a "Buy" rating and a target price of 16.42 CNY [5][6][23]. 2. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 187 billion CNY, 189 billion CNY, and 192 billion CNY for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. EPS is expected to be 1.51 CNY, 1.59 CNY, and 1.70 CNY for the same years [18][19]. 3. Coal Business Growth and Product Structure Optimization - The coal business is expected to benefit from new mine production and an optimized product mix, leading to improved profitability and reduced costs. The average coal production cost is projected to decrease to 287 CNY per ton in the first three quarters of 2024, down 2.8% year-on-year [5][14][18]. 4. New Coal Chemical Business Development - The new coal chemical business is positioned to provide stronger resistance to cyclical fluctuations, with a focus on clean energy products that support industrial transformation [15][16]. 5. Group Power Business Expansion - The company is advancing its power business, which has become the sixth-largest state-owned power enterprise, indicating potential for further growth in this sector [5][15]. 6. State-Owned Enterprise Reform Leadership - The company is leading in state-owned enterprise reform within the coal sector, with expectations for enhanced efficiency and increased dividends, marking a significant milestone in its corporate governance [5][16].

尊敬的各位来宾女士们先生们大家下午好感谢各位蒞临中国中煤控股上市公司中煤能源上海能源新进能源2024年度集体业绩说明会我是中煤能源董事会秘书江群很荣幸能够担任此次会议的主持人今天 我们在这里召集三家公司与大家共享过去一年的经营成果展望未来的发展前景借此机会也衷心感谢大家一直以来对中国中煤控股上市公司的关心和支持出席今天会议的有中国中煤党委常委总会计师中煤能源执行董事总裁赵荣哲先生中煤能源独立非执行董事景凤如先生 首席财务官柴桥林先生副总裁张国秀先生首席专家煤化工事业部总经理张以霆先生营销管理办公室副主任李迎平先生上海能源董事长张福涛先生独立董事朱玉军先生总会计师张成斌先生 董事会秘书段建军先生新机能源总经理孙凯先生独立董事姚植淑先生总会计师程茂九先生副总经理王旭民先生董事会秘书戴飞先生以及三家上市公司有关部门的负责人 今天的会议有五项议程首先介绍中煤能源发展战略中国中煤发展战略和2025年主要工作安排之后由三家上市公司分别介绍2024年度经营业绩重点工作完成情况和2025年主要工作安排最后与各位现场和网络的投资者分析师进行互动交流首先我们有请赵荣哲先生介绍中国中煤基本情况发展战略形势分析和2025年主要工作 ...

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14.4万吨同比增加3.2万吨累计完成居心销量113.5万吨同比增加3万吨其中完成尿素质量131.2万吨那么受到图科厂区8月份按计划进行大剧影响那么同比减少22万吨累计完成尿素的销售量151万吨这年包含了集中销售中美集团所有平时网络公司所生产的尿素8.5万吨 那么总体销量同比减少了19.4万吨累计完成甲酸产量121.3万吨同比减少22.2万吨主要是受到了中美远星核能化公司图克厂区装置按计划大修的影响累计完成销量120.6万吨同比减少25.8万吨累计完成硝胺产量42.3万吨同比增加1.1万吨 统计完成销售量42.2万吨 同比增长0.7万吨至于煤化和产品的售价情况最新产品的销售均价为6171元每吨同比增长58苗素销售均价为2134元每吨同比价格是11.4甲醇销售价格为1767元每吨同比增长0.9 销安销售定价为2101元每吨同比下降11.7%主要煤化工产品单位销售成本情况受到原料煤成本下降因此综合影响聚气瓶产品单位销售成本6015元每吨同比下降1900尿素产品单位销售成本1527元每吨同比下降6%甲醇产品单位销售成本1781元每吨同比下降3.7% 肖安单位销售成本1288元每吨同比下降20%公司装备业务的情况前三 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights continuous cost optimization and excellent performance in the third quarter, with a focus on the company's coal production and sales metrics [1][3] - The company has shown resilience in its coal business despite a decrease in sales prices, with a notable improvement in gross margins due to cost management strategies [4][6] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 140.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.61 billion yuan, down 12.4% year-on-year [3] - In Q3 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 47.43 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 1.2% year-on-year [3] Coal Business - The company produced 35.81 million tons of commodity coal in Q3 2024, representing a 6.0% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 5.2% increase year-on-year [1][4] - The average selling price of self-produced coal decreased by 4.7% quarter-on-quarter, while the unit cost fell by 6.9%, leading to a gross profit of 270.1 yuan per ton and a gross margin of 49.6% [1][4] Coal Chemical Business - The report indicates that the coal chemical segment has seen improvements in gross margins due to cost optimization, with polyethylene and polypropylene sales volumes increasing by 2.8% and 2.6% respectively [4][5] - The overall unit gross profit for coal chemical products has improved compared to the previous year, despite some price declines [5] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue of 179.82 billion yuan in 2024, with a projected net profit of 18.40 billion yuan, reflecting a stable outlook supported by high long-term contract ratios and upcoming production from new mines [6][7] - The company plans to enhance shareholder returns through increased dividends, maintaining a positive growth trajectory in the coming years [6]

Q3 公司自产煤销售收入为 186.67 亿元（同比-5.07%，环比-3.46%），销售 | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 成本为 93.84 亿元（同比 -13.82% ，环比 -6.01% ），吨煤售价为 545.98 | | 吨（同比 -3.32% ，环比 -4.34% ），吨煤成本为 274.46 元 / 吨（同比 -12.23% | | 环比 -6.86% ）。 | 中煤能源（601898.SH） 24Q3 业绩符合预期，高分红性质凸显 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------|-------------------|--------------------- ...