Group 1 - The copper metal concept sector experienced a decline of 2.58%, ranking among the top losers in the market, with companies like China Metallurgical Group and *ST Zhengping hitting the daily limit down [1] - Major companies in the copper sector that saw significant declines include Luoyang Molybdenum (-6.10%), China Metallurgical Group (-10.03%), and Jiangxi Copper (-6.06%) [2][3] - Conversely, a few companies in the sector saw gains, with ST HZ rising by 4.86%, Shengda Resources by 3.61%, and Zhongtung High-tech by 2.86% [1][5] Group 2 - The copper metal concept sector faced a net outflow of 5.915 billion yuan, with 67 stocks experiencing outflows, and 15 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum led the outflows with 771 million yuan, followed by China Metallurgical Group and Zijin Mining, each with 486 million yuan [2] - On the other hand, stocks like Zhongtung High-tech, Shengda Resources, and Zhangyuan Tungsten saw net inflows of 122 million yuan, 81.115 million yuan, and 31.799 million yuan respectively [5]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing volatility, with the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Theme Index declining by 3.00% as of December 9, 2025, while the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF has seen fluctuations in trading volume and net inflows, indicating active market participation and potential investment opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Theme Index (000811) fell by 3.00%, with major stocks like Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) down 5.72% and China Aluminum (601600) down 5.41% [1]. - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) decreased by 3.24%, with a latest price of 1.52 yuan, but has shown a 2.74% increase over the past week, ranking in the top half among comparable funds [1]. - The trading volume for the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF was 3.27%, with a total transaction value of 113 million yuan, and an average daily transaction of 178 million yuan over the past week [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Liquidity - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF has seen a net subscription of 12 million units, with an estimated net subscription amount exceeding 18.3 million yuan based on the average transaction price [1]. - The latest fund inflow for the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF is 87.29 million yuan, with a total of 373 million yuan net inflow over the past five trading days, averaging 7.46 million yuan per day [3]. - The leverage funds are actively participating, with a net purchase of 4.66 million yuan in the previous trading day and a latest financing balance of 24.97 million yuan [3]. Group 3: Commodity Price Trends - Expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December have led to fluctuations in precious and base metal prices, with silver prices rising due to tight supply and increased liquidity expectations [4]. - Copper prices are anticipated to perform strongly due to low non-US inventories and a significant reduction in copper production guidance by Glencore for 2026 [4]. - Aluminum prices have reached new highs for the year, driven by positive macro sentiment, although seasonal demand may weaken in the near term [4]. Group 4: Sector Outlook - The non-ferrous metal sector is positioned for growth due to favorable monetary policies, rigid supply conditions, and new demand drivers, making the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF a compelling investment option [6]. - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF focuses on key strategic metals like copper, gold, aluminum, lithium, and rare earths, with a high concentration of leading companies, achieving a top five concentration of 38% [9]. - The index has shown superior performance since 2022, with a cumulative return leading its peers and a PE ratio of 23.74, indicating a reasonable valuation compared to historical levels [11].

花旗银行预计，铜价将持续攀升至明年初，第二季度均价约为13000美元/吨，并将乐观情境下的目标价 从14000美元/吨上调至15000美元/吨。 银河证券表示，全球铜矿供应短缺与全球区域性精铜供应失衡风险加剧的逻辑演绎，叠加流动性的宽松 预期，有望持续推动铜价上涨，建议关注国内铜矿龙头公司。今年以来主力铜矿扰动频发，导致2025年 全球铜矿产量预期持续下调，由年初预期的70多万的增量下降至目前的全年几乎没有增量；而2026年的 全球铜矿增量也仅有50多万吨。在国内外均有大量在建/拟建冶炼产能待释放的情况下，预计2026年全 球铜矿缺口或将进一步扩大。 中信建投（601066）建议，三大金属投资应聚焦两大逻辑：资源掌控力：优先布局紫金矿业（601899） (铜金双龙头)、洛阳钼业（603993）(全球钴铜巨头)等拥有核心矿权的企业；技术溢价：重点关注南山 铝业（600219）(航空级铝材)、恒邦股份（002237）(贵金属回收)等具备深加工能力的标的。 相关概念股： 2025年末，铜市迎来狂飙行情。过去一周内，伦敦金属交易所(LME)与上海期货交易所的铜期货价格连 续三次刷新历史纪录，国内沪铜主力合约价格更是强 ...

证券研究报告 基础材料 锂：近端强现实，远期依旧看好上涨 锂行业：近端强现实，远期需求分歧依旧较大 今年 9 月以来，碳酸锂价格持续走强，期货主力合约价格一度突破 10 万元 /吨，价格上涨主要可归因为供给端江西枧下窝矿山在 8 月停产以及需求端 下游电池需求呈现明显淡季不淡，供给扰动与需求高增速共振下，国内库存 持续去化。与此同时，国内储能招标维持高增速，导致市场对于 26 年全球 储能出货预期大幅抬升。强现实+强需求预期推升碳酸锂价格在三季度以来 持续上涨。站在当前节点展望后市，市场对具体 26/27 年需求增速预期尤其 储能的增速上呈明显分歧，该分歧直接导致市场对于碳酸锂未来的长期供需 测算结果方差较大。本文将对不同终端增速预期下的碳酸锂需求以及不同价 格下的供给进行测算，以分析未来锂价的合理中枢。 供给：预计锂资源 26 年/27 年产量增速为 32.3%/17.1% 根据我们测算，2026 年全球锂资源供应增量将主要来自国内盐湖新项目投 产、非洲矿与澳矿的放量，以及南美盐湖产能的爬产。中性预期下，我们预 测 2025 年至 2027 年全球锂资源供给量预计分别为 163.4 万吨、216.2 万 吨 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - Gold prices are expected to remain stable at high levels, with a downward trend continuing as the market awaits the December FOMC results. Concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve are ongoing, and China's central bank continues to increase its gold reserves [4][9] - Copper prices are on an upward trajectory, driven by supply constraints in non-US regions. The LME copper price reached a new high of $11,665 per ton, with significant warehouse cancellations raising concerns about potential supply shortages [10][11] Summary by Sections Weekly Research Views - Gold: The Federal Reserve's silence and mixed economic data have led to fluctuations in gold prices. The probability of a rate cut in December remains high at 80-90% [9] - Copper: The LME copper price has surged, with significant warehouse cancellations indicating potential supply issues. The market is expected to maintain a bullish sentiment towards copper stocks [10] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 5.07%, outperforming the broader market by 4.70%. The top-performing sectors included copper, aluminum, and nickel [11][12] Metal Prices and Inventories - Prices for basic metals have generally risen, with SHFE copper up 4.99% to 91,560 yuan per ton, and LME copper up 2.33% to $11,450 per ton. Inventory levels show a mixed trend, with LME copper inventory increasing by 2.0% while SHFE copper inventory decreased by 9.2% [25][31]

公告 1 臨時股東會預期時間表如下： （附註） 遞交 H 股股份過戶文件之最後時限 2025 年 12 月 22 日（星期一）下午 4 時 30 分 暫停辦理股份過戶登記手續（包括首尾兩天） 2025 年 12 月 23 日（星期二）至 2025 年 12 月 31 日（星期三） 記錄日期 2025 年 12 月 31 日（星期三） 臨時股東會 2025 年 12 月 31 日（星期三） 公佈臨時股東會結果 2025 年 12 月 31 日（星期三） 再次辦理 H 股股份過戶登記手續 2026 年 1 月 2 日（星期五） 附註：所有時間均指香港本地時間 召開臨時股東會的正式通知及相關議案，本公司將根據上市規則適時公告。 有關擬召開 2025 年第二次臨時股東會的暫停辦理 H 股股份過戶登記手續時間 茲提述紫金礦業集團股份有限公司（以下簡稱「本公司」）日期為 2025 年 11 月 28 日關於 公司董事會換屆相關事宜的公告以及關於修訂《公司章程》的公告（「該等公告」）。除另 有定義外，本公告內所用辭彚與該等公告所載者具有相同涵義。 本公司擬於 2025 年 12 月 31 日（星期三）舉行 2025 年第二 ...

证券之星消息，12月8日工业金属板块较上一交易日上涨0.41%，银邦股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3924.08，上涨0.54%。深证成指报收于13329.99，上涨1.39%。工业金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300337 | 银邦股份 | 3.58亿 | 25.02% | -2.10 Z | -14.66% | -1.48 Z- | -10.35% | | 601899 紫金矿业 | | 1.77亿 | 2.73% | -2698.50万 | -0.42% | -1.50 Z | -2.31% | | 000737 北方铜业 | | 1.13 Z | 6.16% | -4365.40万 | -2.38% | -6907.47万 | -3.77% | | 000878 云南铜业 | | 1.11亿 | 6.12% | -2008.66万 | -1.11% | -9106 ...

资金面上，数据宝统计，截至12月5日收盘，12月以来融资净买入逾1亿元的白银概念股有4只，分别为 云南铜业、兴业银锡、赤峰黄金、铜陵有色。 估值水平方面，截至12月5日收盘，13只白银概念股滚动市盈率低于30倍，其中豫光金铅、株冶集团、 紫金矿业、西部矿业滚动市盈率不到20倍。豫光金铅滚动市盈率为15.04倍，排在最低位置。今年前三 季度，公司实现净利润6.21亿元，同比增长11.99%。 据数据宝统计，截至12月5日收盘，今年以来白银概念股平均上涨79.24%，远远跑赢同期上证指数。兴 业银锡、华钰矿业、盛达资源、鹏欣资源、紫金矿业、赤峰黄金6只概念股年内涨幅翻倍。 ...

全球银价创出历史新高，成为市场关注的热点。 多股早盘一字涨停 四大领域推升白银需求大幅增长 12月8日早盘，A股主要指数全线上涨，创业板指上涨3.02%，上证指数、深证成指分别上涨0.62%、1.55%。 CPO概念、光通信、铜缆高速连接、6G、商业航天等题材涨幅领先。CPO概念龙头天孚通信触及20cm的涨停板，该股上午收盘时股价报收238.5元/股，创 下历史新高，A股市值升至1800亿元以上。 安妮股份（002235）今日早盘直接一字涨停，上午收盘时涨停板封单超过100万手。12月7日晚间，公司发布公告，公司控股股东、实控人林旭曦和张杰已 签署相关协议，拟向北京晟世天安科技有限公司(以下简称"晟世天安")合计转让15.92%公司股份，张杰拟同意放弃自标的股份交割日起所持4.98%公司股 份对应表决权。交易完成后，晟世天安将成为公司控股股东，并取得公司控制权。 今日早盘一字涨停的还有西部材料、*ST铖昌、双星新材、龙洲股份、瑞达期货等。 白银价格涨幅已翻倍 涨幅远超黄金 近期，国际银价持续走高。12月5日，伦敦银涨幅一度扩大至3.9%，触及59.33美元/盎司的历史峰值，当天收于58.29美元/盎司。 据观 ...

Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment score is 74, indicating a "relatively hot" market condition, with a tendency for the market to enter a consolidation phase as sentiment becomes cautious [4][6]. Hot Themes Tracking - **Non-ferrous Metals**: Demand expectations are boosted by potential US interest rate cuts, with copper prices rising due to financial attributes and supply constraints. Key stocks include Zijin Mining (601899) and China Aluminum (601600) [4]. - **Banking Sector**: Bank stocks offer high dividend yields, with the China Securities Bank Index yielding 6.02%, significantly above the 10-year government bond yield. This makes bank stocks attractive for long-term investors during economic slowdowns. Relevant stocks include Agricultural Bank of China (601288) and Ningbo Bank (002142) [4]. - **AI Mobile Phones**: ZTE has released a limited version of the Nubia M153 smartphone featuring the "Doubao Phone Assistant," aimed at developers and tech enthusiasts. This assistant operates at a system level, allowing for complex command execution. Related stocks include ZTE Corporation (000063) and Guanghetong (300638) [4]. Capital Flow Analysis - **Net Inflow**: The top stocks by net inflow include C-More-U (688795.SH) with 171,088.72 million, followed by BOE Technology Group (000725.SZ) with 91,808.23 million [7]. - **Net Outflow**: The stocks with the highest net outflow include Heertai (002402.SZ) with -192,121.31 million and Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050.SZ) with -100,152.71 million [9]. - **Industry Net Inflow**: The non-ferrous metals industry leads with a net inflow of 105,095 million, followed by the computer sector with 94,326 million [13]. Investment Strategy Recommendations - In a "relatively hot" market, it is advisable to moderately increase investments while being cautious of potential overheating risks [16].