Core Insights - The metal zinc sector has seen a 2.00% increase, ranking third among concept sectors, with 30 stocks rising, including notable gains from Xingye Silver, Xiyegongsi, and Beijiete, which rose by 6.68%, 5.88%, and 5.80% respectively [1][2] Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today include: - China Shipbuilding System: +4.60% - Metal Lead: +2.03% - Metal Zinc: +2.00% - Chicken Farming: +1.90% - Salt Lake Lithium Extraction: +1.83% [2] Capital Flow - The metal zinc sector attracted a net inflow of 2.1152 million yuan, with 18 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks exceeding 30 million yuan in net inflows. Zinc Industry Co. led with a net inflow of 105 million yuan, followed by Zijin Mining, Hunan Silver, and Huayu Mining with net inflows of 103 million yuan, 58.7869 million yuan, and 53.3387 million yuan respectively [2][3] Net Inflow Ratios - The leading stocks by net inflow ratio in the zinc sector are: - Zinc Industry Co.: 13.00% - Beijiete: 12.40% - Hunan Silver: 8.80% [3] Stock Performance - Key stock performances in the zinc sector include: - Zinc Industry Co.: +5.65% with a turnover rate of 13.28% - Zijin Mining: +3.35% with a turnover rate of 0.93% - Hunan Silver: +3.76% with a turnover rate of 4.61% [3][4]

Core Insights - The industrial metal sector experienced a rise of 1.99% on November 19, with Xingye Silver Tin leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3946.74, up 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13080.09, unchanged [1] Industrial Metal Sector Performance - Xingye Silver Tin (code: 000426) closed at 31.78, up 6.68% with a trading volume of 637,700 shares and a transaction value of 19.85 billion [1] - Zinc Industry Co. (code: 000751) saw a closing price of 4.30, up 5.65%, with a trading volume of 1.87 million shares and a transaction value of 805 million [1] - Other notable performers included Shengda Resources (code: 000603) up 4.75%, Zhuzhi Group (code: 600961) up 4.57%, and Pengxin Resources (code: 600490) up 4.24% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The industrial metal sector saw a net outflow of 523 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 253 million [2] - The top stocks by net inflow from institutional investors included Yian Technology (code: 300328) with 128 million and Zinc Industry Co. (code: 000751) with 114 million [3] - Conversely, significant net outflows were observed in stocks like Zijin Mining (code: 601899) with a net outflow of 7462.79 million from retail investors [3]

Group 1: Market Performance - Gold stocks continue to strengthen, with Zhongjin Gold hitting the daily limit, and companies like Xiaocheng Technology, Chifeng Gold, and Shandong Gold rising over 5%, driving gold stock ETFs up over 4% [1] - The Gold Stock ETF has increased by 83.07% year-to-date, with an estimated scale of 13.184 billion [2] Group 2: Central Bank Activity - Global central banks have net purchased over 1,000 tons of gold for three consecutive years from 2022 to 2024, with net purchases of 1,080 tons, 1,050.8 tons, and 1,089.4 tons, exceeding 20% of global gold demand each year [3] - Goldman Sachs indicates that central banks may have purchased a significant amount of gold in November, driven by a trend to diversify reserves against geopolitical and financial risks [3] Group 3: Price Forecasts - Goldman Sachs projects that gold prices could reach $4,900 by the end of 2026, with a 55% increase in gold prices year-to-date, influenced by economic and geopolitical concerns [3] - Zhongjin's outlook suggests that the current gold bull market may not be over, with potential for gold prices to exceed $5,000 per ounce next year if current trends continue [4] - Despite the bullish outlook, gold is considered a relatively expensive asset, suggesting a strategy of maintaining an overweight position while focusing on long-term asset allocation [4]

Core Insights - The A-share non-ferrous metal industry, comprising 141 listed companies, achieved a total revenue of 2.82 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 9.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 151.29 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 41.55% [2][3]. Revenue Performance - Jiangxi Copper, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum ranked highest in revenue, with figures of 396.04 billion yuan, 254.2 billion yuan, and 176.51 billion yuan respectively. Over 70% of the companies in the non-ferrous metal sector reported year-on-year revenue growth [5][7]. - Companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum and Yunnan Copper also exceeded 100 billion yuan in revenue during the same period [7]. Profitability - More than 90% of the listed companies in the non-ferrous metal sector reported profits in the first three quarters of 2025. Zijin Mining led with a net profit of 37.86 billion yuan, achieving a year-on-year growth rate of 55.45% [7]. - Companies like Pengxin Resources and Tianqi Lithium successfully turned losses into profits during this period [8][10]. Gross Margin Analysis - The average gross margin for A-share non-ferrous metal companies was approximately 18.15%, an increase of 0.47 percentage points year-on-year. Companies such as Zhaojin Mining, Cangge Mining, and Xiaocheng Technology exhibited significant growth in gross margin [8][10]. - Notably, Xiaocheng Technology and Sichuan Gold had the highest sales gross margins at 65.07% and 64.11% respectively [11].

Group 1 - The A500 index (000510) has shown a slight increase of 0.26% as of November 19, 2025, with notable gainers including Aerospace Development (000547) up 10.01% and Spring Wind Power (603129) up 8.14% [1] - The A500 ETF fund (512050) has experienced a trading volume of 12.23 billion yuan with a turnover rate of 6.34%, and its average daily trading volume over the past month is 51.22 billion yuan [1] - The A500 ETF fund has seen a net inflow of 24.31 million yuan recently, with a total of 206 million yuan net inflow over the past five trading days, averaging 4.12 million yuan per day [1] Group 2 - Dongguan Securities suggests that profit-taking may lead to short-term volatility in the A-share market, but the long-term upward trend is expected to continue [2] - Debon Securities believes that despite short-term adjustments, the medium to long-term bull market pattern will persist, emphasizing the importance of policy support for economic data [2] - The A500 index includes 500 securities selected from various industries based on market capitalization and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of representative listed companies [2] Group 3 - The A500 ETF fund (512050) has several related funds, including the 华夏中证A500ETF联接 A (022430), C (022431), Y (022979), and the 华夏中证A500指数增强 A (023619), C (023620) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks have rebounded in early trading, with notable increases in share prices for several companies, despite recent declines in international gold prices due to weakened safe-haven demand and inconsistent expectations regarding U.S. economic data and interest rate cuts [1]. Company Performance - China Gold International (02009) increased by 3.37%, reaching HKD 134.9 - Zijin Mining International (02259) rose by 2.57%, reaching HKD 135.9 - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818) gained 2.32%, reaching HKD 28.28 - Shandong Gold (01787) increased by 1.8%, reaching HKD 32.84 [1]. Market Analysis - COMEX gold prices recently fell below USD 4000 per ounce, influenced by two main factors: a reduction in safe-haven demand and the lack of important U.S. economic data, leading to mixed investor expectations regarding the labor market and inflation trends [1]. - According to Everbright Securities, the combination of the U.S. entering a rate-cutting cycle and increased global uncertainty has led to a resurgence in gold ETF investment demand. The trend of central banks increasing gold holdings continues amid a backdrop of de-dollarization, supporting a bullish outlook for gold prices [1]. Recommendations - Everbright Securities recommends investing in Zijin Mining and suggests monitoring Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining and Zijin Mining International [1].

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks experienced a rebound in early trading, with notable increases in share prices for several companies, despite recent declines in international gold prices [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Gold International (02009) rose by 3.37%, trading at 134.9 HKD [1] - Zijin Mining International (02259) increased by 2.57%, trading at 135.9 HKD [1] - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818) saw a rise of 2.32%, trading at 28.28 HKD [1] - Shandong Gold (01787) grew by 1.8%, trading at 32.84 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - COMEX gold prices recently fell below 4000 USD/ounce, influenced by reduced safe-haven demand and inconsistent expectations regarding U.S. labor market and inflation data [1] - Citic Securities' chief economist noted that the decline in gold prices was due to weakened safe-haven support and uncertainty in economic data releases [1] - Everbright Securities reported that the U.S. entering a rate-cutting cycle, combined with increased global uncertainty, has led to a resurgence in gold ETF investment demand [1] - The trend of central banks increasing gold holdings continues under the backdrop of de-dollarization, with a positive outlook for gold prices [1]

Core Insights - In Q3 2025, insurance capital significantly increased its allocation to equity assets, with the proportion of equity assets approaching historical highs [1][4] - The investment distribution of insurance capital in Q3 2025 included 7.9% in bank deposits, 50.3% in bonds, 10.0% in stocks, 5.5% in funds, 7.9% in long-term equity investments, and 18.4% in other assets [1] - The investment in bank deposits and bonds decreased by 0.7 percentage points and 0.8 percentage points respectively compared to Q2 2025, while the investment in stocks and funds surged to 15.5%, nearing the historical peak of 16.1% in H1 2015 [1] Investment Trends - In Q3 2025, insurance capital continued to increase its allocation to dividend-paying stocks, particularly in the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) and high-end manufacturing sectors, while adjusting its internal allocations [4] - The insurance capital significantly increased its holdings in banks, steel, and textile sectors, while reducing positions in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy, military, and machinery [4] - The overall trend showed that the dividend yield remained a crucial reference for insurance capital's stock selection, with a decreasing trend in dividend yield from increased to reduced holdings [4] Stock Specifics - The top stocks added by insurance capital in Q3 2025 included Agricultural Bank of China (329.1 billion), Postal Savings Bank (125.9 billion), and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (57.4 billion) [7] - Conversely, the top stocks reduced included GCL-Poly Energy (7.0 billion), Wan Feng Auto (7.1 billion), and Aero Engine Corporation of China (7.6 billion) [7] Shareholding Activities - Insurance capital's shareholding activities accelerated in Q3 2025, with a notable increase in the number of companies targeted, particularly in Hong Kong stocks [9] - As of now, insurance capital has made 30 shareholding increases this year, surpassing the total for 2020 and 2024, with 25 of these being in Hong Kong stocks [9][11]

Core Insights - Insurance capital continues to increase its allocation to equity assets, with the proportion of equity assets reaching near historical highs in Q3 2025 [1] - The allocation structure shows a significant increase in technology and a reduction in high-end manufacturing sectors [5][6] - Insurance capital has accelerated its stake acquisitions in listed companies, particularly in Hong Kong stocks, with a notable increase in the number of acquisitions compared to previous years [9] Allocation Trends - In Q3 2025, the allocation of insurance capital to various asset classes is as follows: bank deposits (7.9%), bonds (50.3%), stocks (10.0%), funds (5.5%), long-term equity investments (7.9%), and other assets (18.4%) [1] - The investment proportions in bank deposits and bonds decreased by 0.7 percentage points and 0.8 percentage points, respectively, while the investment in stocks and funds surged to 15.5%, approaching the historical peak of 16.1% in H1 2015 [1] Sector and Stock Preferences - Insurance capital has significantly increased its allocation to banks, steel, and textile sectors, while reducing holdings in high-end manufacturing sectors such as new energy and military [5] - Key stocks that saw increased investment include Agricultural Bank of China, Postal Savings Bank, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, and Hikvision, while reductions were noted in stocks like Goldwind Technology and Aviation Industry Corporation of China [6][8] Shareholding Activities - In 2025, insurance capital has made 30 stake acquisitions in listed companies, surpassing the total for the entire years of 2020 and 2024, with 25 of these acquisitions in Hong Kong stocks [9] - The trend indicates a shift towards acquiring dividend-yielding assets in Hong Kong due to declining bond yields and rising traditional dividend assets [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zijin Mining is "Buy" with a target price of HK$39.00, representing an expected total return of 16.7% [6][8]. Core Insights - The report presents a bullish outlook on gold and copper prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, potential FED rate cuts, and increased gold reserves in emerging countries [2][4]. - Zijin Gold aims for an output target of 100 tons per annum (tpa) by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% through 2030, primarily through internal production improvements and acquisitions [3]. - The copper supply-demand dynamic indicates a robust demand forecast, with expectations of reaching 40 million tons per annum (mntpa) by 2035, despite current output challenges faced by Zijin [4]. Summary by Sections Gold Price Outlook - Mr. Lin holds a positive view on gold prices, citing historical increases during previous economic cycles and suggesting further upside potential in the current cycle [2]. Copper Supply-Demand Dynamics - Global top-10 copper miners produced approximately 8 million tons of copper in the first nine months of 2025, with Zijin experiencing a 2% year-over-year decrease in output due to mine disruptions and logistical issues [4]. Acquisition Plans - Zijin Mining is actively seeking acquisition opportunities in copper, gold, and lithium, with specific targets in South America and Africa, aiming for a lithium capacity of 200-250 kilotons per annum by 2028 [5].