证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2025-020 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 关于收购控股子公司少数股权的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 风险提示： 偿债风险。本次交易底价为 48,433.5139 万元人民币，首期支付保证金为 15,000.00 万元，公司截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日货币资金为 35,832.85 万元。公司拟 使用银行并购贷款和自筹资金购买标的公司股权，将会增加公司融资规模和资产 负债率，若公司所处的宏观政策、经营环境等发生重大不利变化或公司不能对现 金流进行有效管控，则可能对公司资金周转产生不利影响，从而导致一定的偿债 风险。六安产投、金安产投所持有的应流航空 28.4615%股权的评估价值为 47,587.628 万元，转让底价为较评估价格增值约 1.78%。 标的公司持续亏损风险。本次交易标的公司安徽应流航空科技有限公司 为公司控股子公司，其产品尚未实现大规模销售且仍需持续研发投入，如果在研 项目商业化转化不及预期，或者未能形成规模化销售，标的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to acquire a 28.4615% stake in Yingliu Aviation from Liu'an Investment and Jin'an Investment for a base price of 484 million yuan, which will increase its total ownership in Yingliu Aviation to 90% [1] Group 1 - The acquisition will be funded through bank merger loans and self-raised funds [1] - The transaction has been approved by the company's fifth board of directors and does not require shareholder meeting approval [1] - Liu'an Investment will retain a 10% stake in Yingliu Aviation post-acquisition [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.8%, while the CSI 300 also decreased by 0.8%. The STAR Market 50 dropped by 0.5%, the CSI 1000 declined by 1.4%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 1.4%. The Hang Seng Index experienced a decline of 2.0% [5][7]. - The best-performing sectors included oil and petrochemicals (+0.9%), while the worst-performing sectors were textiles and apparel (-2.4%), beauty and personal care (-2.3%), light industry manufacturing (-2.0%), non-ferrous metals (-2.0%), and pharmaceuticals and biology (-1.9%) [5][7]. - The total trading volume across the A-share market was 12,809 billion, with a net inflow of 1.43 billion HKD from southbound funds [5][7]. Key Recommendations - The report highlights Yingliu Co., Ltd. (603308) as a leading high-end casting company benefiting from trends in AIDC, aerospace technology, and nuclear fusion industries. The growth potential is significant due to the expected surge in demand for AIDC, aerospace engines, and nuclear power [8]. - The company is increasing its investment in blade casing processing coating projects and advanced nuclear materials, which is expected to significantly enhance its production capacity and product value [8]. - Revenue projections for Yingliu Co., Ltd. are estimated at 3,132 million, 3,858 million, and 4,694 million from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 25%, 23%, and 22% respectively. Net profit is projected to be 406 million, 555 million, and 742 million, with growth rates of 42%, 37%, and 34% respectively [8]. Important Insights - The macroeconomic research indicates that the Ministry of Finance's actions in Q3 to replenish fiscal deposit accounts may be a key observation window for the Federal Reserve's decision to halt balance sheet reduction. The adjustment of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) in the second half of the year is also crucial [9]. - The mechanical equipment sector report emphasizes a focus on engineering machinery, humanoid robots, and overseas expansion. The global market for engineering machinery is expected to grow as international market share increases and domestic demand improves due to favorable macro policies [10][11]. - The report notes that AI and automation will drive growth in the next decade, with a focus on global supply chains and the emergence of competitive overseas enterprises [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [5] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading manufacturer of high-end casting components, benefiting from trends in AIDC, aerospace technology, and nuclear fusion industries [1][9] - The company has established a complete high-end component production system and is a key member of the high-end equipment manufacturing industry chain in China [18][19] - The company plans to issue 1.5 billion convertible bonds to enhance its production capabilities in turbine blade processing and advanced nuclear materials [9][33] Summary by Relevant Sections Business Overview - The company focuses on aviation engines and gas turbine products, benefiting from the demand for domestic large aircraft and AIDC [18] - The company has a strong presence in the high-end parts, aerospace technology, and advanced materials sectors, serving various high-end equipment fields [18][22] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 2,513 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, and a net profit of 286 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.6% [4][25] - The company's sales gross margin is projected to be 34.2%, with a net margin of 10% for 2024 [27][28] Gas Turbine Sector - The global gas turbine market is estimated to be 28.14 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% from 2025 to 2034 [46] - The company is recognized as a domestic leader in gas turbine blades, with a significant increase in orders, achieving a 102.8% year-on-year growth in 2024 [2][61] Aerospace Sector - The global aerospace engine market was approximately 113.97 billion USD in 2023, expected to reach 151.20 billion USD by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.12% [67] - The company is positioned to benefit from the doubling of global aircraft numbers over the next 20 years, as predicted by Airbus [68] Nuclear Power Sector - The nuclear power industry is expected to grow, with a projected CAGR of 8.4% for installed capacity from 2023 to 2035 [3] - The company has established joint ventures to engage in nuclear fusion materials and components, enhancing its position in the nuclear energy sector [3][9]

Summary of Yingliu Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Yingliu Co., Ltd. - **Industry**: Gas turbine and aerospace engine manufacturing Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - **Significant Order Growth**: Since 2022, Yingliu has seen a notable increase in gas equipment orders, with expectations for accelerated growth in the second half of 2024, driven by rising demand in overseas power and natural gas generation markets, as well as a recovery in the aviation sector [2][5] - **Total Orders**: As of March 2025, total orders reached 1.2 billion RMB, with an additional 400 million RMB pending signature [2][5] Core Business Segments - **Gas Turbine Business**: Accounts for over 75% of total orders, approximately 1.3 billion RMB, with significant contributions from major clients like Siemens and Ansaldo [4][9] - **Aerospace Engine Business**: Orders nearing 300 million RMB, with long-term agreements signed with G1 Aviation and new orders from Safran and Rolls-Royce [4][8] Client Relationships - **Key Clients**: Major clients include Baker Hughes and Siemens, with long-term contracts leading to substantial order volumes. Baker Hughes has orders exceeding 30 million USD, while Siemens has increased its manufacturing tasks significantly [6][7] Financial Performance and Projections - **Revenue Goals**: The company aims to achieve a revenue scale of 10 billion RMB, with ARDC business projected to reach 3-4 billion RMB [4][10] - **Convertible Bond Project**: Recently approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, funds will be used for blade casing processing and nuclear energy capacity expansion, with expected annual revenue exceeding 1.4 billion RMB post-completion [4][24] Competitive Landscape - **Domestic Market**: The domestic gas turbine market is growing, with increasing demand for natural gas power generation. Yingliu is positioned as a key supplier for major domestic electrical manufacturers [13][15] - **High-Temperature Alloy Market**: The gas turbine market is valued at over 20 billion USD, with high-temperature alloy casting accounting for 20-25% of this market [23][24] Future Development and Innovations - **Nuclear Fusion Initiatives**: The company is actively involved in nuclear fusion technology, collaborating with research institutions and investing in equipment for future growth [19][20] - **Low Altitude Economy**: Investments in low-altitude economy projects are expected to yield significant revenue in the next 3-5 years, focusing on drone transportation [22] Challenges and Risks - **Tariff Impacts**: Since the implementation of tariffs in 2018, the company has not faced significant client pushback regarding pricing, maintaining a stable market share despite reduced revenue from the U.S. market [18] Conclusion Yingliu Co., Ltd. is positioned for substantial growth in the gas turbine and aerospace engine sectors, supported by strong client relationships, a robust order backlog, and strategic investments in technology and capacity expansion. The company aims to leverage its competitive advantages to achieve ambitious revenue targets while navigating market challenges.

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The UK government is increasing investment in controllable nuclear fusion, with an expected investment of £2.5 billion over five years, which is anticipated to drive the development of the nuclear fusion sector [7]. - The domestic demand for excavators has shown signs of recovery, with a 25.7% year-on-year increase in sales for the first five months of 2025 [19]. - The gas turbine industry is experiencing an upward trend in demand, with significant order increases from leading companies like Siemens Energy and GE Aviation [27]. - The railway equipment sector is expected to see sustained demand recovery, with a 5.9% year-on-year increase in fixed asset investment [46]. - The shipbuilding industry is witnessing improved profitability, as indicated by a 49.28% increase in the global new ship price index compared to the 2020 cycle low [48]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index fell by 1.17% in the week from June 9 to June 13, 2025, ranking 21st among 31 primary industry categories [15]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 6.04%, ranking 8th among the same categories, while the CSI 300 Index has decreased by 1.80% [18]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The manufacturing PMI for May was 49.5, indicating a slight improvement but still in a contraction zone [28]. Engineering Machinery - Excavator sales in May reached 18,200 units, a 2.1% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales showing a short-term decline due to high base effects from the previous year [35]. Railway Equipment - Fixed asset investment in railways and passenger volume both increased by 5.9% and 7.3% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for railway equipment demand [46]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 186.69 in May, reflecting a 0.14% year-on-year increase, suggesting improved profitability for shipbuilding companies [48]. Oil Service Equipment - Brent crude oil prices surged to around $74 per barrel, influenced by OPEC's production decisions and geopolitical factors in the Middle East [50]. Industrial Gases - Prices for industrial gases are showing mixed trends, with rare gases experiencing a downward adjustment [52]. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights significant contracts and investments in various sectors, including a 4.5 billion yuan contract for a green hydrogen system by Shuangliang Energy [54]. - The report also notes advancements in robotics, including the introduction of a domestic elderly care robot and significant funding for AI-driven robotics companies [57].

Group 1: World Bank's Nuclear Energy Financing Policy - The World Bank has lifted a decades-long ban on nuclear energy financing to accelerate the development of low-emission technologies and meet the growing electricity demand in developing countries [2][3] - The World Bank plans to support efforts to extend the lifespan of existing nuclear reactors and assist in upgrading power grids and related infrastructure [3][4] - The bank aims to help develop small modular reactors, which are expected to be cheaper and faster to construct compared to traditional reactors [3][5] Group 2: Global Nuclear Fusion Developments - Proxima Fusion, a German nuclear fusion startup, has secured €130 million in funding, marking the largest investment in the European nuclear fusion sector to date [6][7] - The funding will be used to build a "stellarator model coil" by 2027, which is crucial for achieving key technological breakthroughs [7][8] - Proxima Fusion plans to construct a demonstration plant by 2031, with an estimated cost of €1 billion, and aims to partially secure funding from European governments [7][9] Group 3: Investment Opportunities in Nuclear Fusion - The global nuclear fusion policy trend is strengthening, with Japan advancing its fusion energy timeline from 2050 to 2030 [11] - Companies in the nuclear fusion sector are expected to benefit from ongoing technological advancements and supportive policies, creating investment opportunities across the entire industry chain [12] - The focus on high-barrier and high-value segments within the nuclear fusion supply chain is recommended for potential investment [12]

Summary of the Conference Call for Yingliu Technology Company Overview - Yingliu Technology is a leading domestic player in the fields of gas turbine blades, combustion chamber nozzle rings, and aircraft engine blades, supplying major global companies such as GE and Siemens [2][3] Financial Performance - The company reported a non-recurring net profit of 136 million yuan in Q1 2025, with full-year revenue expected to accelerate to between 440 million and 450 million yuan, and projected revenues for the next two years to reach 600 million and over 800 million yuan, maintaining a growth rate of over 40% [2][6] - The gross margin for the two-machine business segment has consistently remained above 40% [2][6] Investment and Asset Development - As of the end of 2024, fixed assets are expected to reach 4.086 billion yuan, with ongoing construction projects around 1.6 billion yuan, and a research and development expense ratio maintained above 12% [2][5] Market Dynamics - The global gas turbine market is dominated by Mitsubishi, Siemens, Baker Hughes, and GE, which together hold approximately 80% of the market share. These leading companies are experiencing significant order growth and are actively expanding production, indicating accelerated industry demand [2][12] - Orders from major manufacturers are booked until 2029, reflecting strong future demand [2][12] Strategic Initiatives - Yingliu Technology is advancing its two-machine projects, including blade and casing processing coating projects, with expected future output value increasing to 1.5 billion yuan. Combined with nuclear energy projects, total output value is anticipated to increase by 2.1 billion yuan, enhancing production capacity and growth potential [2][7] Nuclear Energy Sector - The company has made significant strides in the nuclear energy sector, with clients including Emerson and Schlumberger. It is one of the few domestic manufacturers with nuclear-grade pump equipment qualifications [4][24] - The approval of nuclear power projects in China has remained steady, with at least 10 units expected to be approved annually, driving demand for equipment [4][24] Aerospace Sector - Yingliu Technology has established strategic partnerships with major players in the aerospace sector, including airlines and engine manufacturers, indicating a strong competitive position in this market [4][18][22] - The company has developed over 80 product varieties, including blades and structural components, and is expected to see a continuous increase in new orders due to rising demand in the aerospace market [22][23] Domestic Market Trends - China's civil aviation market is projected to grow significantly, with the number of passenger aircraft expected to exceed 10,000 in the next 20 years, positioning China as the largest single aviation market globally [20] - The domestic push for the localization of gas turbines and aircraft engines is accelerating, supported by government policies and recent technological advancements [21] Valuation Insights - Yingliu Technology's current valuation has just surpassed 30 times earnings, which is still lower compared to international leaders like GE and Howmet, whose valuations are typically between 50 to 60 times earnings. The company is expected to maintain a profit growth rate of at least 40% over the next three years [27] Conclusion - Yingliu Technology is well-positioned for growth in the gas turbine and aerospace sectors, with strong financial performance, strategic investments, and a favorable market outlook. The company's valuation appears to have significant upside potential given its growth trajectory and industry dynamics [27]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company has significant advantages in the aerospace and nuclear energy sectors, with low-altitude economy seen as a growth option [7]. - The company is positioned well in the "two machines" (aerospace engines and gas turbines) and "two industries" (nuclear and aviation) sectors, with a strong competitive edge and substantial market potential [7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading manufacturer of specialized equipment parts, focusing on high-temperature alloy products, precision cast steel components, and nuclear energy products [14]. - In 2024, high-temperature alloy products and precision cast steel components contributed 59% of revenue and 63% of gross profit, making it the largest business segment [17]. Aerospace Engine Business - The company’s products are recognized by international giants, and it is expected to benefit from an increase in domestic production rates [50]. - The global market for civil aviation engines is projected to grow significantly, with the company positioned to capture a share of this expanding market [52]. Gas Turbine Business - The company is one of the global suppliers for gas turbines and is expected to benefit from the transition to low-carbon energy and the demand from AI data centers [10]. - In 2024, the company anticipates a 102.8% year-on-year increase in orders for gas turbine products [10]. Nuclear Energy Materials and Components - The domestic nuclear power market has substantial potential, with the company being a pioneer in producing key components for nuclear power plants [10]. - The company supplies nuclear products to 10 of the 31 nuclear units currently under construction in China, achieving over 30% market participation [10]. Convertible Bond Projects - The company plans to issue 1.5 billion yuan in convertible bonds, with significant portions allocated to enhancing its "two machines" and nuclear energy business value chains [10]. - The projected annual revenue from these projects during the ramp-up phase is estimated to be between 1.036 billion and 1.816 billion yuan, with net profits expected to range from 132 million to 284 million yuan [10]. Low-Altitude Economy - The company is strategically positioned in the low-altitude economy, covering advanced manufacturing to operational services [10]. - It has established a full industrial chain in aviation, including core components, power systems, and complete aircraft manufacturing [10]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 400 million, 530 million, and 740 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 40%, 32%, and 39% [5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same years are projected to be 0.59, 0.78, and 1.08 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 37, 28, and 20 times [5].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the machinery equipment sector, with specific recommendations for companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Yingliu Technology [13]. Core Insights - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 0.93% over the past week, ranking 19th among 31 primary industry categories, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rose by 0.88% [3][16]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 7.29%, ranking 6th among the 31 primary industry categories, contrasting with a 1.55% decline in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [17]. - The report highlights the potential for humanoid robots to achieve commercial viability, with significant advancements in technology and training [27]. - The construction machinery sector is experiencing short-term fluctuations in operating rates, but the long-term recovery logic driven by domestic demand remains intact [28]. - The gas turbine industry is seeing an upward trend in demand, with domestic companies like Yingliu Technology benefiting from increased orders [28]. Summary by Sections 1. Stock Portfolio - Recommended stocks include Hengli Hydraulic, SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Yingliu Technology [13]. 2. Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index rose by 0.93% last week, while the year-to-date performance shows a 7.29% increase [3][17]. 3. Core Insights Update - The report notes that the machinery sector is witnessing a recovery, with specific segments like laser equipment and robotics showing strong performance [26]. 4. Key Data Tracking 4.1 General Machinery - The manufacturing PMI for May was 49.5, indicating a slight improvement but still in a contraction zone [29]. 4.2 Construction Machinery - Excavator sales in April reached 22,100 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.6% [36]. 4.3 Railway Equipment - Railway fixed asset investment and passenger volume are both showing positive growth, indicating a recovery in demand [45]. 4.4 Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.43 in April, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.32% [47]. 4.5 Oilfield Equipment - Brent crude oil prices are fluctuating around $65 per barrel, with ongoing geopolitical factors influencing the market [49]. 4.6 Industrial Gases - Liquid nitrogen prices are on the rise, indicating a potential recovery in gas prices [55]. 5. Industry Important Developments - The report mentions significant contracts and technological advancements in the general machinery sector, highlighting the internationalization of companies like Xiangdian [57][58].