Group 1: Stock Recommendations - The report recommends 10 stocks and 3 ETFs based on a top-down approach for August allocation [1] - Lu'an Huanneng is highlighted for its high spot coal ratio, significant earnings elasticity, and low PB valuation [1][8] - Huayou Cobalt benefits from integrated layout advantages, stable incremental profit from wet nickel production, and a significant decrease in cobalt imports in June [1][8] - Geely Automobile's privatization of Zeekr will enhance resource integration and decision-making efficiency, with an adjusted annual sales target of 3 million vehicles [2][8] - Cambrian is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for AI chips and has plans for hardware and software platform development [2][8] - SMIC is advancing in domestic computing capabilities with improved yield rates and is expected to benefit from the semiconductor cycle [2][8] - North Navigation is a leader in the long-range fire industry, experiencing rapid demand recovery and implementing stock incentives [3][8] - Shengquan Group is a leading supplier in high-frequency resin, expected to see rapid growth due to PCB industry demand [3][8] - CITIC Securities is well-positioned in the financial sector with a solid market position and ample IPO reserves [3][8] - Jiao You International focuses on cross-border mineral logistics, particularly in Africa, ensuring efficient and secure transportation [3][8] - China Jinmao has made significant impairment provisions and is on track to meet its sales target [4][8] Group 2: ETF Recommendations - Recommended ETFs include Military Industry ETF, TMT ETF, and Chemical ETF, reflecting sectoral strengths [4][10] - The Military Industry ETF has a total net value of 171.45 billion yuan with a year-to-date growth rate of 14.33% [10] - The TMT ETF shows a year-to-date growth rate of 12.27% and a total net value of 5.02 billion yuan [10] - The Chemical ETF has a total net value of 33.81 billion yuan with a growth rate of 9.22% [10] Group 3: Financial Data Highlights - Lu'an Huanneng's EPS is projected to be 0.65 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 23 [9] - Huayou Cobalt's EPS is expected to rise to 3.11 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 15 [9] - Geely Automobile's EPS is forecasted at 1.61 yuan in 2025, maintaining a PE ratio of 11 [9] - Cambrian is projected to have an EPS of 3.04 yuan in 2025, with a high PE ratio of 234 [9] - SMIC's EPS is expected to reach 0.64 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 144 [9] - North Navigation's EPS is projected at 0.17 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 104 [9] - Shengquan Group's EPS is expected to be 1.53 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 21 [9] - CITIC Securities is projected to have an EPS of 1.56 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 19 [9] - Jiao You International's EPS is expected to be 1.49 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 8 [9] - China Jinmao's EPS is projected at 0.12 yuan in 2025, with a PE ratio of 11 [9]

本报记者 丁蓉 小金属价格上涨与供需两端共振密切相关。 年初至今，钨、钴、稀土价格纷纷上涨。Wind数据显示，截至7月29日，钴报价263000元/吨，相比2024 年末的170000元/吨，涨幅为54.71%；钨精矿报价192500元/吨，相比2024年末的142500元/吨，涨幅为 35.09%。截至7月29日，中国稀土行业协会公布的稀土价格指数报202.70，相比2024年末的163.80，涨 幅为23.75%。 在市场回暖背景下，小金属行业相关上市公司业绩显著提升。截至目前，中国北方稀土（集团）高科技 股份有限公司（以下简称"北方稀土"）、广晟有色金属股份有限公司（以下简称"广晟有色"）、浙江华 友钴业股份有限公司（以下简称"华友钴业"）、广东翔鹭钨业股份有限公司（以下简称"翔鹭钨业"）等 上市公司上半年"成绩单"均颇为亮眼。 苏商银行特约研究员付一夫在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示："供给方面，小金属普遍存在资源储 量有限、开采难度大等特点，短期内难以快速扩大产能；需求方面，新能源车、风电、半导体等新兴产 业快速发展，带动了对钨、钴、稀土等关键材料的需求激增，这种供需错配导致价格持续上涨。此外， 受 ...

Group 1 - The top ten stocks with net financing purchases on July 29 include: Xinyi Technology (1.14 billion), Cambricon (780 million), WuXi AppTec (356 million), Guotai Junan (257 million), Minsheng Bank (241 million), Yili (219 million), Huatai Securities (202 million), Shanghai Electric (202 million), Fosun Pharma (199 million), and Huayou Cobalt (195 million) [1]

中邮证券有限责任公司研报显示，供需失衡催化小金属牛市，钨、钴、稀土价格有望继续上涨。钴价方面，金九银十旺季 备货将带动存量库存去库，继续看好钴价下半年上涨行情。钨价方面，钨价稳步上涨，短期有望突破20万元/吨。稀土方面， 目前轻稀土呈现供需边际改善状态，叠加远期人形机器人需求带动，突破前期高点可期。 "展望下半年，预计小金属牛市有望延续。一方面，新能源、军工、人形机器人等终端需求保持强劲增长，预计钨、钴、 稀土价格仍有上涨空间；另一方面，供给端受政策影响，资源品供给收紧预期升温。这些因素都会给以上品类小金属价格提供 有力支撑。"付一夫表示。 上半年"成绩单"亮眼 供需错配推动价格上涨 小金属价格上涨与供需两端共振密切相关。 苏商银行特约研究员付一夫在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示："供给方面，小金属普遍存在资源储量有限、开采难度 大等特点，短期内难以快速扩大产能；需求方面，新能源车、风电、半导体等新兴产业快速发展，带动了对钨、钴、稀土等关 键材料的需求激增，这种供需错配导致价格持续上涨。此外，受政策与地缘政治因素影响，国内对部分小金属实施出口管制， 这也在一定程度上推升了小金属的涨价。" 陕西巨丰投资资讯有限 ...

Market Overview - The energy metals sector increased by 0.59% on July 29, with Boqian New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3609.71, up 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11289.41, up 0.64% [1] Stock Performance - Boqian New Materials (605376) closed at 42.28, up 4.21%, with a trading volume of 102,200 shares and a turnover of 427 million yuan [1] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) closed at 46.48, up 2.38%, with a trading volume of 850,800 shares and a turnover of 3.968 billion yuan [1] - Tengyuan Mining (301219) closed at 59.04, up 2.06%, with a trading volume of 127,000 shares and a turnover of 758 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - Sai Rui Mining (300618) at 38.55, up 1.10% [1] - Yongxing Materials (002756) at 36.58, up 0.61% [1] - Cangge Mining (000408) at 47.68, up 0.51% [1] Capital Flow - The energy metals sector experienced a net outflow of 36.08 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 13.8 million yuan [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 174 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Tengyuan Mining (301219) had a net inflow of 66.62 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors faced a net outflow of 80.57 million yuan [3] - Boqian New Materials (605376) saw a net inflow of 65.08 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors also experiencing a net outflow of 53.37 million yuan [3] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) had a net outflow of 21.46 million yuan from institutional investors, while speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 9.79 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [6][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights a seasonal increase in inventory and slight fluctuations in the prices of base metals, with a focus on the ongoing macroeconomic environment and its impact on supply and demand dynamics [6][11]. - The report suggests that the long-term supply-demand structure is being reshaped, indicating limited downside potential for base metal prices and encouraging investors to seek new entry points, particularly for rigid supply varieties like aluminum and copper [6][11]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The report notes that the domestic industrial metal prices have shown slight fluctuations, with the non-ferrous metal index outperforming the market. The weekly price changes for LME copper, aluminum, lead, and zinc were 0.0%, -0.3%, 0.4%, and 0.2%, respectively, while SHFE prices were 1.1%, 1.2%, 0.8%, and 2.6% [6][20][21]. Macroeconomic Factors - The report tracks three macroeconomic factors: 1. China's June export value increased by 6% year-on-year, with total exports amounting to $325.2 billion [6][27]. 2. U.S. inflation showed an uptick, with the June CPI rising by 2.7% year-on-year [6][33]. 3. The European economic sentiment index continued to rise, with the Eurozone manufacturing PMI at 49.5 [6][36]. Base Metals Analysis - For electrolytic aluminum, the macro environment remains strong, but market sentiment has cooled, leading to a price retreat. The operating capacity of the electrolytic aluminum industry increased by 10,000 tons, reaching 43.975 million tons, with production at 843,400 tons, a slight increase of 0.02% [6][40][41]. - The report indicates that the aluminum processing sector's operating rate decreased by 0.1%, averaging 58.7% as of July 24, 2025 [6][43]. - In terms of inventory, domestic aluminum ingot inventory rose by 36,000 tons to 577,000 tons, while global inventory increased by 42,300 tons to 1.2921 million tons [6][43][44]. Profitability Metrics - The report states that the immediate profit per ton for the aluminum industry remains above 3,500 yuan, with the current spot aluminum price at 20,800 yuan per ton, reflecting a 0.19% increase [6][43].

Group 1: ETF Performance - The Rare Metals ETF has a turnover rate of 6.87% with a transaction volume of 83.93 million yuan, and it ranks first among comparable funds in terms of average daily trading volume over the past week at 131 million yuan [3] - The latest scale of the Rare Metals ETF reached 1.22 billion yuan, marking a one-year high and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's shares reached 1.843 billion, a three-month high, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past six days, the Rare Metals ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a single-day peak of 50.91 million yuan, totaling 177 million yuan in net inflows [3] - As of July 28, 2025, the ETF's net value has increased by 59.46% over the past year, ranking 267 out of 2938 in the index stock fund category, placing it in the top 9.09% [3] - The ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 24.02% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and the longest gain percentage being 14.06%, averaging a monthly return of 7.76% [3] - The ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized return of 9.87% over the past three months [3] Group 2: Market Insights - Huatai Securities notes that the domestic "anti-involution" policies are intensifying, combined with recent overseas fiscal and monetary easing, leading to strong performance in the metals sector [4] - The price of polysilicon has successfully recovered, boosting market confidence, which has spilled over into lithium carbonate and alumina [4] - Lithium, cobalt, and rare earths have found price bottoms from a cost perspective, with independent factors driving price increases, such as stricter mining rights reviews for lithium and strategic enhancements and shortages for rare earths [4] - Zhongyou Securities highlights that the Democratic Republic of the Congo has banned cobalt exports since February, with extensions in June, leading to a depletion of in-transit cobalt mines, and anticipates that the peak season in September and October will drive inventory reductions [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index as of June 30, 2025, include Salt Lake Co., Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, China Rare Earth, Western Superconducting, Zhongmin Resources, and Xiamen Tungsten, collectively accounting for 54.07% of the index [4]

Core Insights - The training program aims to enhance risk management capabilities of enterprises in Inner Mongolia, particularly in coal chemical and soft commodity industries, by utilizing the futures market [1] - The participation rate of listed companies in hedging activities has steadily increased, with 1,503 companies announcing hedging plans in 2024, representing a participation rate of 28.6% [1][2] - The volatility in commodity prices and intense industry competition are driving companies to improve their risk management strategies [2] Group 1: Training and Participation - The training session was attended by nearly a hundred representatives from state-owned enterprises and listed companies in Inner Mongolia, focusing on practical paths for utilizing the futures market for risk management [1] - Companies like Huayou Cobalt, Yuntianhua, and COFCO have integrated futures tools into their overall development strategies, establishing mature risk management models [1][2] - The number of industry clients participating in trading specific commodities, such as soybean meal and glass, has increased by over 20% in 2024 [1] Group 2: Industry Challenges and Solutions - Companies in sectors like chemicals, grain and oil, and livestock often operate near breakeven points, making raw material cost management critical for survival [2] - Sichuan Agricultural Fertilizer Co. has successfully implemented hedging strategies, achieving a profit of 50 yuan per ton through futures contracts [2] - The "five-in-one" methodology for integrating business and finance in hedging practices was proposed to address challenges in applying hedge accounting [3] Group 3: Market and Regulatory Environment - The futures market is recognized as a professional platform for risk management, with a comprehensive system of commodity futures and options covering key sectors of the economy [4] - Inner Mongolia has 29 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 786.88 billion yuan, but only 6 companies, or 20.69%, are engaged in hedging activities, which is below the national average [4] - Local regulatory bodies are working with exchanges to enhance the utilization of futures tools among enterprises to promote high-quality development of the capital market [4] Group 4: Feedback and Future Directions - Attendees expressed that the training deepened their understanding of the futures market's functions and they plan to explore hedging models tailored to their business needs [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Guizhou Bijie Phosphate-Coal Chemical Integration Project, led by Youshan New Materials Technology (Guizhou) Co., Ltd., aims to produce 600,000 tons of iron phosphate annually, marking a significant investment in the lithium battery material sector [2][4]. Group 1 - Youshan New Materials Technology (Guizhou) Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Zhejiang Youshan New Materials Technology Co., Ltd., under Huayou Holding Group, focusing on the research, production, and sales of lithium iron phosphate for lithium batteries [2][3]. - The project is part of a larger initiative with a total investment of approximately 73 billion yuan, which includes plans for an annual production capacity of 800,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate, 1.5 million tons of iron phosphate, and various other chemical products [4][5]. - The first phase of the project will establish facilities for the annual production of 500,000 tons of iron phosphate, 300,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate, and additional chemical products [5]. Group 2 - In 2024, Youshan Technology is expected to produce over 140,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate, with the Bijie project serving as a precursor for lithium iron phosphate production [3]. - The project has commenced with the foundation engineering officially starting on July 18, 2024, indicating a strong commitment to advancing the lithium battery material industry in the region [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the environmental impact assessment public notice for the Guizhou Bijie Phosphate-Coal Chemical Integration Project, which aims to produce 600,000 tons of iron phosphate annually [1] - The project is initiated by Youshan New Materials Technology (Guizhou) Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Zhejiang Youshan New Materials Technology Co., Ltd., which is part of Huayou Holding Group [1] - Youshan Technology focuses on the research, production, and sales of lithium battery cathode materials, specifically lithium iron phosphate [1] Group 2 - The company is actively building a competitive ecosystem in the new energy lithium battery industry through joint ventures and equity cooperation, with production bases established in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Hubei, and Yunnan [1] - In 2024, Youshan Technology is expected to produce over 140,000 tons of lithium iron phosphate, with the Bijie project serving as a precursor project for lithium iron phosphate [1]