Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that U.S. sanctions against Iran are intensifying, and OPEC has reached a consensus to increase production, indicating upward potential for the oil tanker sector [2][7] - The express delivery business volume has shown significant year-on-year growth, with a reported increase of 21.5% in 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The U.S. government has announced additional sanctions against Iran, targeting several individuals, entities, and vessels involved in Iranian oil exports, including 10 VLCC supertankers, which constitutes about 20% of the global tanker fleet [7] - OPEC has agreed to gradually increase production starting April, aiming to release 2.2 million barrels per day [7] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.09 – 03.15) Aviation Data - Domestic flight volume for the week was 84,029 flights, averaging 12,004 flights per day, a slight decrease of 0.10% week-on-week and 0.50% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.43 million, a 0.05% increase week-on-week and a 2.12% increase year-on-year [11] - The average domestic ticket price decreased by 3.49% week-on-week and 6.31% year-on-year [11] Express Delivery Data - For the week of March 3-9, the average daily collection volume was approximately 555 million pieces, a 3.99% increase from the previous week [17] - Year-to-date, the average daily collection volume is about 495 million pieces, reflecting a 36.00% increase year-on-year [17] - In 2024, the express delivery business volume increased by 21.5% year-on-year, with revenue up by 13.8% [3] Shipping Data - The BDI index for dry bulk shipping was reported at 1,517 points, a 20% increase week-on-week [48] - The VLCC-TCE rate was $38,329 per day, a 3% decrease week-on-week [49] Recent Key Reports - The report recommends focusing on companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Highway, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, as part of the investment strategy [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the aviation sector, recommending a focus on specific airlines and related companies [77]. Core Insights - Domestic flight schedules have decreased by 4% compared to 2024, but show a 22% increase compared to 2019, indicating a further easing of domestic supply [7][8]. - International flight schedules are steadily recovering, with plans to restore to 81% of 2019 levels, reflecting a 5% increase compared to 2024 [7][50]. - The overall daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is projected at 17,519 flights, an 18% increase from 2019 [7][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market Overview - Domestic flight schedules for the summer-autumn season of 2025 are expected to average 16,081 flights, down 4% from 2024 but up 22% from 2019 [5][11]. - The total daily flight schedule for coordinated airports is projected at 8,041 flights, a 21% increase from 2019 [7][11]. International Market Overview - The average daily international and regional flights are set at 2,487, recovering to 81% of 2019 levels [50][61]. - Specific regional recovery rates include 78% for Australia, 26% for North America, and 95% for Northeast Asia [50][51]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that external factors such as oil prices and currency exchange rates are improving, which could enhance airline profitability as domestic demand recovers [7][76]. - Recommended airlines include China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and others, with a focus on the overall aviation sector's recovery potential [76][77].

核心提示： 当电子屏上的"延误"字样成为消费者唯一的维权证据，航空公司却以"出港撤轮 挡时间晚于计划出港时间未超过15分钟"为由拒绝退票；当平台承诺的"接送机 服务"变成一纸空文，酒店房型与描述严重不符时——这场由航空公司、在线旅 游平台编织的"消费陷阱"，正在吞噬无数旅客的信任。极速财讯通过王妍的遭 遇，揭开航空服务领域"规则模糊化"与"执行双标化"的深层乱象。 来源|极速财讯 作者|DA 01 延误认定"迷雾"：系统显示延误，航司拒不认账 这种矛盾在民航业内并不鲜见。多家廉价航空正利用撤轮档时间与实际起飞时间，玩起了"时间差游戏"。"铁证如山的延误，航空公司狡辩没延误，拒绝退 费。如果我不截图，根本就找不到信息。关键是系统里已经挂出了延误。航司说正常。"王妍气愤地向极速财讯阐明了这一点。 （受访者供图） 对于退票标准，携程网给予极速财讯的回复是：需联系航空公司核实，而吉祥航空则坚称滑出时间是16:45，未超限。至于如何证明滑出时间，对方称这是 系统显示，无法提供截图。王妍对此表示质疑，若非延误，为何系统显示延误？为何5点起飞不算延误？ 王妍的遭遇揭开另一个隐秘角落——航司与平台在延误认定上的模糊操作，系统 ...

上海吉祥航空股份有限公司 关于控股股东股份解除质押及质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东上海均瑶（集 团）有限公司（以下简称"均瑶集团"）持有公司股份 1,020,862,080 股， 占公司股份总数的 46.42%，均瑶集团累计质押公司股票（含本次）81,325 万股，占其所持公司股份数的 79.66%，占公司股份总数的 36.98%。 公司于近日收到公司控股股东均瑶集团通知，获悉其将所持有公司的部分股 份办理了解除质押及质押业务，具体事项如下： 证券代码：603885 证券简称：吉祥航空 公告编号：临 2025-017 一、本次股东股份解除质押基本情况： 注：若有尾差，则是因四舍五入所致。 单位：万股 股东 名称 持股数量 持股比 例 本次解除 质押股数 占其所 持股份 比例 占公 司总 股本 比例 解除日期 质权人 剩余被 质押股 份数量 剩余被质押 股份数量占 其所持股份 比例 剩余被质押 股份数量占 公司总股本 比例 均瑶 集 ...

证券代码：603885 证券简称：吉祥航空 公告编号：临 2025-018 （一）运营情况 2025 年 2 月，公司客运运力投入（按可用座位公里计）同比下降 2.74%，其 中国内、国际和地区航线客运运力投入同比变动分别为-14.51%、46.13%和-9.66%； 旅客周转量（按收入客公里计）同比下降 4.83%，其中国内、国际和地区航线旅 客周转量同比变动分别为-14.48%、39.71%和-6.82%；客座率为 85.53%，同比下 降 1.87%，其中国内、国际和地区航线客座率同比变动分别为 0.03%、-3.51%和 2.59%。 2025 年 2 月，公司国内客运运力投入（按可用座位公里计）较上月环比下 降 12.03%，国内旅客周转量（按收入客公里计）环比下降 8.37%，国内航线客座 率环比上升 3.57%。国际客运运力投入（按可用座位公里计）较上月环比下降 21.18%，国际旅客周转量（按收入客公里计）环比下降 19.99%，国际航线客座率 环比上升 1.14%。 2025 年 2 月，九元航空新增以下定期航线： 新增广州—朔州—哈尔滨往返航线（每周 3 班） 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司 2 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent decline in oil prices is expected to elevate the profit margins for the aviation sector, with Brent oil prices dropping below $70 per barrel and WTI prices below $67 per barrel [8] - The report suggests that if oil prices remain low, it could lead to cost savings of approximately 4-5 billion yuan for major airlines, equivalent to a ticket price reduction of about 3%-4% [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply-demand dynamics and macroeconomic conditions to ensure that the benefits of lower oil prices translate into profits for the airlines [13] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The focus of the week is on the accelerated decline in oil prices, which is expected to enhance the profit margins for the aviation industry [6] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.02 - 03.08) Aviation High-Frequency Data Tracking - Domestic flight volume for the period was 81,367 flights, with a daily average of 11,624 flights, down 10.07% week-on-week and 7.47% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.0615 million, down 12.05% week-on-week and 4.17% year-on-year [11] - The average full ticket price decreased by 4.76% week-on-week and 3.39% year-on-year [11] - The domestic passenger load factor was 83.18%, an increase of 3.73 percentage points year-on-year [12] - International passenger volume reached 1.315 million, down 5.27% week-on-week but up 26.01% year-on-year [14] Express Delivery High-Frequency Data Tracking - For the week of February 24 to March 2, the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 534 million pieces, with a delivery volume of about 541 million pieces, showing a slight decrease of 0.56% and an increase of 0.05% respectively compared to the previous week [19] - Year-to-date (January 1 to March 2), the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 488 million pieces, up 37.41% year-on-year [20] Shipping High-Frequency Data Tracking - The BDI index for the international dry bulk market was 1,263 points, up 17% week-on-week [51] - The CCFI index for the international container shipping market decreased by 3% week-on-week, while the SCFI index fell by 5% [51] - The VLCC-TCE rate for oil shipping was $39,359 per day, down 1% week-on-week [52] Recent Key Reports - The report includes a recommended investment portfolio consisting of companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Hi-Speed, and China Eastern Airlines, among others [5]

Investment Rating - The report recommends investment in several companies within the aviation and logistics sectors, including China National Aviation (601111.SH), Southern Airlines (600029.SH), and Huamao Logistics (603128.SH) [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recovery of air travel demand, with domestic ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) for major airlines exceeding 100% of 2019 levels, indicating a strong rebound in the aviation sector [19][22]. - The logistics sector is expected to benefit from the growth of cross-border e-commerce, driven by domestic demand and the expansion of local manufacturing brands [8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of smart logistics and digital transformation in enhancing operational efficiency and meeting consumer demands [63][66]. Summary by Sections Aviation and Airports - As of December 2024, domestic ASK recovery rates for major airlines reached 132.45% for China National Aviation and 153.98% for Spring Airlines compared to 2019 [19]. - International flight recovery rates vary, with the UK at 112% and Italy at 122% compared to 2019 [22]. - The report notes that the optimism surrounding airport duty-free agreements has been priced in, with future international passenger flow recovery being a key focus [7]. Shipping and Ports - The SCFI (Shanghai Containerized Freight Index) reported a value of 1436 points as of March 7, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 5.21% and a year-on-year decrease of 23.83% [28]. - The BDTI (Baltic Dirty Tanker Index) was at 879 points, down 0.86% week-on-week and down 26.01% year-on-year [33]. - The report indicates a significant decline in shipping rates across various routes, with the CCFI (China Containerized Freight Index) showing a decrease of 7.70% year-on-year [28]. Road and Rail - In December 2024, railway freight volume increased by 8.46% year-on-year, reaching 4.59 million tons, while road freight volume grew by 9.94% to 37.74 million tons [39][46]. - The report highlights the expansion of rail capacity in the southwest region, enhancing operational efficiency [60]. Express Logistics - The express delivery sector achieved a revenue of 137.89 billion yuan in December 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 13.60% [49]. - The average price per express delivery item decreased by 13.61% to 7.75 yuan [49]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the express logistics sector, driven by e-commerce and the development of differentiated competitive advantages among leading companies [8].

证券代码：603885 证券简称：吉祥航空 公告编号：2025-015 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司 关于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份的回购进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： | 回购方案首次披露日 | 2025/2/6 | | --- | --- | | 回购方案实施期限 | 待董事会审议通过后 个月 12 | | 预计回购金额 | 万元~50,000 万元 25,000 | | 回购用途 | □减少注册资本 √用于员工持股计划或股权激励 | | | □用于转换公司可转债 | | | □为维护公司价值及股东权益 | | 累计已回购股数 | 股 4,723,628 | | 累计已回购股数占总股本比 | 0.21% | | 例 | | | 累计已回购金额 | 59,990,523.6 元 | | 实际回购价格区间 | 12.24 元/股~13.18 元/股 | 2025 年 1 月 27 日，上海吉祥航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第五届 董事会第十五次会议审议通过了《关于以集中竞价交易方 ...

证券代码：603885 证券简称：吉祥航空 公告编号：临 2025-014 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司 2025 年 1 月主要运营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 上海吉祥航空股份有限公司（以下简称"吉祥航空"或"公司"）及所属子 公司九元航空有限公司（以下简称"九元航空"）2025 年 1 月份合并主要运营数 据： （一）运营情况 2025 年 1 月，公司客运运力投入（按可用座位公里计）同比上升 18.71%， 其中国内、国际和地区航线客运运力投入同比变动分别为-4.03%、144.10%和 11.13%；旅客周转量（按收入客公里计）同比上升 17.16%，其中国内、国际和地 区航线旅客周转量同比变动分别为-3.73%、152.64%和-9.38%；客座率为 82.42%， 同比下降 1.09%，其中国内、国际和地区航线客座率同比变动分别为 0.26%、2.54% 和-1.29%。 新增贵阳—兰州往返航线（每周 3 班） 新增广州—河内往返航线（每周 3 班） 新增海口—南昌—长春往返航线（每周 4 ...