Core Viewpoint - The report indicates a mixed outlook for the metals industry, with price fluctuations influenced by macroeconomic factors, supply disruptions, and changing monetary policies, particularly regarding interest rates [2][4][6]. Group 1: Lithium Prices - In the first three quarters of 2025, the average price of domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate (99.5% purity) and lithium hydroxide (56.5% purity) was 71,339.89 CNY/ton and 67,844.81 CNY/ton, respectively, representing year-on-year declines of 25.17% and 21.47% compared to the same period in 2024 [1][5]. - The price decline for lithium products has slowed in the first half of 2025, with a rebound observed in the third quarter, suggesting a potential turning point [5]. Group 2: Precious Metals - Precious metal prices have been supported by expectations of interest rate cuts, with gold prices experiencing a significant upward trend in the third quarter of 2025 [3][6]. - The overall labor market remains balanced despite a decline in non-farm employment, indicating potential economic weakness and rising inflation concerns, which further support precious metal prices [3]. Group 3: Industrial Metals - The third quarter of 2025 saw increased expectations for interest rate cuts, which provided support for industrial metal prices, particularly copper, amid supply disruptions from incidents like the Grasberg copper mine accident in Indonesia [4][6]. - The average price of LME copper in the first three quarters was 9,561.07 USD/ton, up 4.71% from 9,131.16 USD/ton in the same period of 2024, while LME aluminum prices rose by 8.44% [4]. Group 4: Energy Metals - The energy metals sector appears to have reached a bottom, with signs of a potential rebound following price declines in the first half of 2025 [5]. - The average price of cobalt in the first three quarters was 226,241.76 CNY/ton, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.78%, driven by a significant rebound in September [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that despite uncertainties regarding interest rate cuts in December, the medium-term outlook for macroeconomic easing is strong, which will support non-ferrous metal prices [6]. - Companies to watch include Zijin Mining, Zhongjin Gold, Shandong Gold, Luoyang Molybdenum, Western Mining, Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Hailiang Co., Cangge Mining, Ganfeng Lithium, and Huayou Cobalt [6].

Group 1 - Non-ferrous stocks experienced a widespread decline, with Luoyang Molybdenum falling by 3.83% to HKD 15.32, Jiangxi Copper down 3.22% to HKD 29.42, Lingbao Gold decreasing by 2.8% to HKD 15.29, and China Aluminum dropping by 2.51% to HKD 10.86 [1] - The decline in non-ferrous stocks is attributed to the weakened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, as the US dollar index surpassed the 100-point mark [1] - The US Labor Department reported a non-farm payroll increase of 119,000 in September, exceeding expectations by more than double, although the combined non-farm employment figures for July and August were revised down by 33,000 [1] Group 2 - The unemployment rate in the US unexpectedly rose to 4.4% in September, marking the highest level since October 2021 [1] - Initial jobless claims in the US decreased by 8,000 to 220,000, while continuing claims reached a four-year high [1] - Following the data release, swap contracts indicated a diminishing likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a decline of 0.57% in stock price, closing at 15.79 yuan, with significant block trades occurring on November 20 [1] Trading Activity - A total of 3 block trades were executed, with a combined trading volume of 2.99 million shares and a total transaction value of 47.21 million yuan [1] - The first trade involved 490,000 shares at a price of 15.79 yuan, totaling 7.73 million yuan, with a premium rate of 0.00% [1] - The second trade involved 1.3 million shares at the same price, totaling 20.53 million yuan, also with a premium rate of 0.00% [1] - The third trade involved 1.2 million shares, totaling 18.95 million yuan, maintaining a premium rate of 0.00% [1] Recent Trading Trends - Over the past three months, the stock has recorded 11 block trades with a cumulative transaction value of 263 million yuan [1] - In the last five trading days, the stock has seen a cumulative decline of 6.24%, with a net outflow of 1.241 billion yuan in principal funds [1]

Group 1 - The core transaction of Luoyang Molybdenum involved 2.99 million shares traded on November 20, with a total transaction value of 47.21 million yuan, accounting for 2.59% of the total trading volume for the day [1] - The transaction price was 15.79 yuan, which remained stable compared to the market closing price of 15.79 yuan [1] Group 2 - Specific trading details include a transaction amount of 20.527 million yuan for 130 shares, and another transaction amount of 18.948 million yuan for 120 shares, both at the same price of 15.79 yuan [2] - Additional transactions included a volume of 773.71 thousand shares for a total of 7.7371 million yuan, also at the price of 15.79 yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., is a significant player in the non-ferrous metals industry, particularly in cobalt, tungsten, and gold production, with a focus on expanding its precious metals business and enhancing its market position [2][7]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, with cobalt products sold in international markets [2]. - The company is involved in the mining and processing of various metals, including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus, and is recognized as one of the top five molybdenum producers and the largest tungsten producer globally [2][7]. - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and is also the second-largest producer of phosphorus fertilizer in Brazil [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [9]. Production and Growth - The company owns 80% of the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold equity production of 16,000 ounces in 2022 and a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3]. - In 2025, the company successfully completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (KGHM Gold Mine) and is advancing development work with plans to commence production by 2029 [3]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 304,200 shareholders, an increase of 28.08% from the previous period [8]. - The main shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable changes in their holdings [9]. Market Position - The company operates within the non-ferrous metals sector, specifically in industrial metals like copper, and is associated with various investment concepts such as niobium and MSCI China [8].

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market showed slight recovery on November 20, with the non-ferrous sector opening high and fluctuating, as evidenced by the significant trading volume of the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) which rose by 0.52% and reached a trading volume of over 90 million yuan [1] - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF index components mostly surged, with Zhongkuang Resources rising over 5%, while other stocks like Northern Rare Earth and Huayou Cobalt also saw gains exceeding 1% [3] Group 2: Lithium Market Dynamics - On November 19, lithium carbonate futures prices broke through 100,000 yuan/ton, indicating a clear recovery in spot lithium carbonate prices. Ganfeng Lithium's chairman stated that if demand growth exceeds 30% to 40% next year, prices could potentially exceed 150,000 yuan/ton or even 200,000 yuan/ton due to supply constraints [2] Group 3: Supply Chain and Pricing Trends - The supply chain for non-ferrous metals is facing disruptions, with several large mines experiencing operational issues, which highlights the vulnerability of global non-ferrous resource supply [6] - The copper market is expected to see average prices reach 4.55 USD per pound by 2026 due to supply concerns stemming from accidents at major mines [5] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals sector has outperformed other industries this year, with a year-to-date increase of 79% for the CITIC non-ferrous metals index, significantly leading other sectors [5] - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted for its high "gold-copper content" of 46%, making it a leading choice among similar investment products [12] Group 5: Future Outlook and Strategic Considerations - The geopolitical landscape and resource security concerns are expected to drive demand for strategic commodities, with a notable increase in green demand for copper and aluminum anticipated by 2030 [8] - The ongoing industrialization in emerging economies and the reshaping of trade patterns are likely to provide new growth opportunities for commodity demand, particularly in countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Freedom Cash Flow ETF CSI All Share (561080) has shown a positive performance with a 0.32% increase, indicating investor interest and potential growth in the underlying assets [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Freedom Cash Flow ETF CSI All Share (561080) closed at 1.239 yuan with a trading volume of 2.6976 million yuan [1] - Since its inception on April 23, 2025, the fund has achieved a return of 23.72%, with a monthly return of 5.52% [1] Group 2: Top Holdings Performance - Major holdings in the ETF include: - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) up by 0.34% - Midea Group up by 1.83% - Gree Electric Appliances up by 1.07% - Wuliangye Yibin up by 1.00% - COSCO Shipping Holdings up by 0.20% - Luoyang Molybdenum down by 0.19% - TCL Technology up by 0.48% - China Aluminum Corporation up by 1.09% - SF Holding up by 0.28% - Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry down by 0.42% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the non-ferrous metals industry, with the index rising by 1.51% and key stocks like Guocheng Mining and Yahua Group showing significant gains [1] - In October, the actual growth of the industrial added value of non-ferrous metals above designated size increased by 4.0% year-on-year, while the growth from January to October was 7.4%, which is 0.4 percentage points lower than the previous three quarters [1] - The demand in the energy storage market is robust, with leading domestic lithium battery companies placing large orders with upstream material suppliers, indicating a high growth trend in production for November [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metals ETF closely tracks the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Index, which selects 50 securities with significant size and liquidity in the non-ferrous metals sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metals Industry Index accounted for 52.91% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and Ganfeng Lithium [2]

Core Viewpoint - On November 18, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a decline of 3.05% in stock price with a trading volume of 3.052 billion yuan, indicating a significant market reaction [1] Financing Summary - On the same day, the company had a financing buy-in amount of 190 million yuan and a financing repayment of 294 million yuan, resulting in a net financing outflow of 105 million yuan [1] - As of November 18, the total financing and securities lending balance for Luoyang Molybdenum was 3.486 billion yuan, with the financing balance of 3.470 billion yuan accounting for 1.28% of the circulating market value, which is above the 90th percentile of the past year [1] - The company repaid 323,500 shares in securities lending and sold 36,900 shares, with the selling amount calculated at 574,200 yuan, while the remaining securities lending volume was 1.012 million shares, with a balance of 15.7467 million yuan, also above the 70th percentile of the past year [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012, primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of rare metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [2] - The company's main business revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 145.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [2] Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders of Luoyang Molybdenum included Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited as the fourth largest shareholder with 695 million shares, an increase of 47.472 million shares from the previous period [3] - The fifth largest shareholder, Huaxia SSE 50 ETF, held 134 million shares, a decrease of 3.6543 million shares, while Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF held 120 million shares, a decrease of 5.1787 million shares [3] - E Fund CSI 300 ETF entered as a new shareholder with 86.4742 million shares [3]

Group 1 - The gold concept sector experienced a decline at the beginning of trading, with notable drops in several companies [2] - Hainan Mining saw a decrease of 5.67%, while HeBai Group fell by 2.81% [2] - Other companies such as Yuguang Gold Lead and Huayu Mining also reported declines of 2.58% and over 2%, respectively [2]