Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [67]. Core Viewpoints - The non-ferrous metals industry has seen a 6.46% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.57 percentage points, ranking third among 31 industries [3][13]. - Precious metals have shown significant growth, with an 18.10% increase in the last two weeks, while energy metals and industrial metals have also performed well, increasing by 10.92% and 7.60% respectively [17][19]. - The report highlights the impact of U.S. economic data on market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which has led to a bullish outlook for metal prices, particularly gold [6][62]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of September 11, 2025, the non-ferrous metals industry has increased by 54.36% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 38.77 percentage points [13]. - The precious metals sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 67.50%, while energy metals and industrial metals have increased by 49.26% and 48.53% respectively [19][20]. Price Analysis - As of September 11, 2025, LME copper is priced at $10,057 per ton, LME aluminum at $2,679 per ton, and LME nickel at $15,220 per ton [25]. - COMEX gold is priced at $3,673.40 per ounce, reflecting a $157.3 increase since the beginning of September [37]. Industry News - The report notes the release of regulations regarding rare earth mining and processing in China, indicating a tightening control over these resources, which may affect market dynamics [63]. - The report also mentions a significant collaboration between Codelco and SQM for lithium mining in Chile, which could diversify revenue sources for Codelco amid declining copper production [56]. Company Announcements - Western Gold announced a temporary shutdown of production equipment for maintenance, which is expected to last until the end of the year [60]. - Hongda Co. plans to invest 1.59 billion yuan in Duolong Mining, maintaining a 30% stake in the company [61]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Zijin Mining (601899), Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), and Xiamen Tungsten (600549) due to their strong performance and market positioning [63][65].

Core Insights - The rare metals theme index (930632) has shown a strong increase of 1.92% as of September 12, 2025, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Yunlu Co., Ltd. (688190) up 6.05% and Dongfang Tantalum Industry (000962) up 5.82% [1] - The rare metals ETF (561800) has seen a weekly increase of 6.45%, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - Over the past year, the rare metals ETF has achieved a net value increase of 85.48%, with a maximum single-month return of 24.02% since its inception [4] Industry Analysis - The supply increase of lithium spodumene is effectively compensating for the shortfall in lithium mica, leading to a marginal growth in domestic production and a return of lithium prices to fundamentals [4] - The cobalt sector is experiencing structural price increases, with a potential short-term benefit from improving demand as the peak demand season approaches [4] - The rare earth industry is undergoing significant supply-side reforms, with a notable increase in magnetic material exports, which rose by 75% month-on-month and 6% year-on-year [4] - The rare earth sector is expected to continue evolving with both valuation and performance improvements due to price increases, supply reforms, and strategic attributes of the sector [4] Key Stocks - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the rare metals theme index account for 57.58% of the index, including Northern Rare Earth (600111) and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) [5] - The top stocks by weight include Salt Lake Co. (000792) at 8.52% and Northern Rare Earth (600111) at 8.49% [7] - The rare metals ETF (561800) serves as an effective investment tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the rare metals industry [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price by 5.12% to HKD 13.34 is linked to a significant procurement contract by Oracle, valued at USD 300 billion, which has ignited investor interest in the computing power and AI sectors [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price increased by 5.12%, reaching HKD 13.34, with a trading volume of HKD 405 million [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Oracle's procurement contract worth USD 300 billion (approximately CNY 2.14 trillion) has heightened global investor enthusiasm for computing power and AI-related sectors [1] - The application of cobalt materials in the transistor contact layer significantly enhances device performance, particularly in advanced processes like 5nm, by reducing contact resistance and improving transistor switching speed, thereby supporting the performance leap of high-end AI chips [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)(03993) has seen a stock price increase of over 5%, currently up 5.12% at HKD 13.34, with a trading volume of HKD 405 million. This surge is attributed to a significant $300 billion (approximately RMB 2.14 trillion) computing power procurement contract by Oracle, which has ignited global investor enthusiasm for computing and AI-related sectors [1][1][1]. Group 1: Industry Insights - The computing power industry is experiencing heightened growth certainty and expectations, driven by North American cloud providers achieving positive returns from AI investments and increasing their investments in AI infrastructure [1][1]. - The application of cobalt materials in transistor contact layers has significantly enhanced device performance, particularly in advanced processes like 5nm, where cobalt silicide can greatly reduce contact resistance, thereby improving transistor switching speed and supporting the performance leap of high-end AI chips [1][1][1]. Group 2: Company Developments - Luoyang Molybdenum's copper-cobalt business continues to contribute positively to the company's performance through both volume and price increases. The production in the first half of 2025 has exceeded the planned progress, and future plans include promoting the TFM East District 17K process upgrade project to continue increasing production and reducing costs [1][1]. - The temporary suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo for four months, along with declining market inventory levels, is expected to support high cobalt prices, positively impacting the company's revenue [1][1].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) saw a stock increase of over 5%, reaching HKD 13.34 with a trading volume of HKD 405 million, driven by heightened investor interest in computing power and AI sectors following Oracle's substantial USD 300 billion procurement contract [1][1][1] Company Summary - The cobalt materials used in transistor contact layers have significantly enhanced device performance, particularly in advanced processes like 5nm, where cobalt silicide can greatly reduce contact resistance, thus improving transistor switching speed and supporting the performance leap of high-end AI chips [1][1] - The copper-cobalt business continues to contribute positively to the company's growth in both volume and price, with production in the first half of 2025 exceeding targets [1][1] - Future plans include promoting the TFM East District 17K process technology upgrade project to increase production and reduce costs, alongside intensified exploration efforts to increase reserves [1][1] Industry Summary - North American cloud providers are experiencing positive returns from AI investments and are increasing their investments in AI infrastructure, leading to strong demand for AI computing hardware [1][1] - The temporary suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo for four months, combined with declining market inventory levels, is expected to support high cobalt prices, positively impacting the company's revenue [1][1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut on the prices of precious and industrial metals, leading to a significant rise in the non-ferrous metal index by 2.93% [3] - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) saw an increase of 3.06%, with major holdings like Yunnan Copper and Northern Copper reaching their daily limit up, indicating strong market performance [3] - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund has experienced continuous net inflows over the past 15 days, totaling 346 million yuan, with its latest share count reaching 389 million and total assets hitting 575 million yuan, both marking new highs in the past year [3] Group 2 - According to Minsheng Securities, the expectation of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, combined with seasonal demand improvements in September and October, provides strong upward momentum for industrial metal prices [3] - Concerns have arisen regarding a month-on-month decline in electrolytic copper production in September, which is expected to impact October's supply, while the demand fundamentals remain robust due to the consumption peak in September [3] - In the aluminum sector, supply-side adjustments and a resurgence of holding merchants' price support sentiment, along with downstream replenishment activities, indicate sustained demand [3] Group 3 - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund closely tracks the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Theme Index, with the top ten weighted stocks as of August 29, 2025, including Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, and Luoyang Molybdenum, collectively accounting for 51.86% of the index [4] - The top ten stocks by weight in the non-ferrous metal ETF fund include Zijin Mining (15.80%), Northern Rare Earth (4.98%), and Luoyang Molybdenum (4.68%), among others, reflecting a diverse portfolio [6]

Group 1 - Non-ferrous stocks continue their recent upward trend, with China Aluminum (601600) rising by 5.77% to HKD 7.51, China Hongqiao (01378) up by 4.78% to HKD 26.28, Jiangxi Copper (600362) increasing by 3.97% to HKD 26.18, and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) gaining 3.39% to HKD 13.12 [1] - The U.S. August CPI increased by 2.9% year-on-year, while the core CPI rose by 3.1%, aligning with expectations and strengthening market bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts [1] - Citic Securities predicts that the U.S. overall CPI growth rate may hover around 3% in the coming months, maintaining the forecast of three consecutive 25 basis point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1] Group 2 - Galaxy Securities reports that expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve are rising, which could lead to marginal liquidity easing and pressure on the U.S. dollar index, benefiting industrial metal prices [1] - In terms of fundamentals, China's manufacturing PMI slightly improved by 0.1 percentage points to 49.49% in August, indicating marginal recovery in economic activity [1] - As the traditional peak and off-peak seasons transition, downstream processing enterprises are seeing a recovery in operating rates, while the supply side faces challenges from concentrated maintenance at smelting plants and policy adjustments, potentially leading to a decrease in production and accelerated destocking of industrial metal inventories [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a total profit of 14.903 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.671 billion yuan, up 60.07% year-on-year, marking a historical high [1] Financial Performance - The company's asset-liability ratio stands at 50.15%, a decrease of 9.01 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The H1 performance exceeded expectations, indicating sustained long-term growth potential [1] Business Segments - The copper and cobalt business continues to contribute to both volume and price increases, with H1 production exceeding planned targets [1] - Future plans include the implementation of the TFM East Zone 17K process technology upgrade project to enhance production and reduce costs, alongside increased exploration efforts at KFM to boost reserves [1] Market Conditions - The temporary suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo for four months, along with declining market inventory levels, is expected to support high cobalt prices, benefiting the company's revenue [1] Diversification and New Projects - The company is expanding its resource portfolio with the addition of gold products, specifically the Kaigehaos Gold Mine, which has a reserve of 659 million tons and an average gold grade of 0.55g/t, containing 359 tons of gold [1] - The surrounding infrastructure is relatively well-developed, and combined with the company's advanced mining and processing technology, this mine is expected to become a large-scale, low-cost world-class gold mine [1] Profit Forecast - The company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to 16.7 billion, 19 billion, and 21.1 billion yuan respectively, up from previous estimates of 14.9 billion, 16 billion, and 18.1 billion yuan [1] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 16x, 14x, and 13x for the respective years [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on these projections [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., is experiencing growth in its gold production and has a diversified portfolio in the mining sector, particularly in precious and industrial metals [2][3]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company primarily engages in the mining, selection, smelting, deep processing, and trading of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [7]. - The company's revenue composition includes refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [7]. Production and Financial Performance - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold equity production guidance for 2023 set at 25,000 to 27,000 ounces, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [2]. - For the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.07% to 8.671 billion yuan [8]. Market Position and Industry Standing - Luoyang Molybdenum is among the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer [2][3]. - The company is also the second-largest producer of phosphate fertilizer in Brazil, with a complete phosphate industry chain covering all aspects of production [3]. Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the company had 237,500 shareholders, a decrease of 15.95% from the previous period. The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 648 million shares, an increase of 6.949 million shares [8][9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing a strong upward trend, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has led to increased market optimism and rising prices for industrial metals [1][2] - As of September 11, 2025, the Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index (399395) rose by 1.57%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Placo New Materials (300811) up 13.16%, Dongyang Sunshine (600673) up 7.03%, and China Rare Earth (000831) up 5.61% [1] - The non-ferrous ETF fund (159880) also saw an increase of 1.19%, with the latest price reported at 1.53 yuan [1] Group 2 - The Guozheng Non-Ferrous Metal Industry Index tracks 50 prominent securities in the non-ferrous metal sector, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in this industry on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [2] - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining (601899), Northern Rare Earth (600111), and Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), collectively accounting for 50.35% of the index [2]