Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [4] Core Views - The recent increase in silicon material prices has been noted, with prices surpassing 50,000 yuan/ton, and N-type re-investment material averaging 53,200 yuan/ton, while N-type granular silicon averages 50,500 yuan/ton [4] - The company's performance has been under pressure due to a significant decline in silicon material prices, resulting in a revenue drop of 67.9% year-on-year to 1.47 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a net loss of 1.147 billion yuan [1][2] - The company has proactively reduced production to control losses, with a production volume of 50,821 tons in the first half of 2025, a decrease of approximately 60% year-on-year, effectively alleviating market supply pressure [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company's cash cost per kilogram decreased to 37.66 yuan, a 6.6% year-on-year decline, despite an increase in unit costs due to fixed costs from idle production lines [2] - The company's asset-liability ratio is low at 8.04%, with no interest-bearing debt, providing a solid financial foundation to navigate industry cycles [2] - Forecasted net profits for 2025-2027 are -1.417 billion yuan, 1.259 billion yuan, and 2.324 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of -0.66 yuan, 0.59 yuan, and 1.08 yuan [2][8]

Core Viewpoint - The profit of large-scale industrial enterprises in China increased by 0.9% year-on-year in the first eight months of the year, reaching 46,929.7 billion yuan, supported by macro policies and a low base from the previous year [2] Group 1: Monthly Performance - In August, the profit of large-scale industrial enterprises saw a significant increase of 20.4% year-on-year, marking the highest growth rate since December 2023, following a decline of 1.5% in July [3] - The operating income of these enterprises grew by 1.9% in August, accelerating by 1.0 percentage points compared to July, creating favorable conditions for profit recovery [3] - The profit margin for August was 5.83%, an increase of 0.90 percentage points year-on-year, with costs per 100 yuan of operating income decreasing by 0.20 yuan, marking the first monthly year-on-year decrease since July 2024 [3] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The "anti-involution" policy has led to improved profit performance in upstream industries, with the overall profit decline narrowing to -1.9% in August from -12.7% in July, marking the best performance of the year for upstream industries [7] - The profit growth rate for the midstream sector remained stable, while downstream sectors like pharmaceutical and automotive manufacturing showed lackluster profit growth [7] - The beverage and refined tea manufacturing sector experienced a remarkable profit increase of 226.84% year-on-year in August, contrasting with a decline of 7.55% in July [8] Group 3: Ownership and Structural Insights - In August, state-owned enterprises saw a profit growth rate of 50.0%, while private enterprises experienced a growth rate of 13.2%, indicating a stronger response to the "anti-involution" policy from state-owned enterprises [8] - The performance of upstream raw material and processing industries, as well as midstream public utility sectors, showed significant improvement, with profits in these areas growing substantially compared to July [8] - The solar energy sector, benefiting from the "anti-involution" policy, is expected to see a recovery in performance for companies like GCL-Poly Energy and Tongwei Co., Ltd. [10]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **polysilicon industry** and its dynamics within the **photovoltaic (PV) sector** [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Energy Consumption Standards**: New energy consumption standards may reduce effective polysilicon production capacity by **30%**, down to **2.4 million tons/year**. Non-compliant companies may face rectification or shutdown [1][3]. - **Price Dynamics**: Polysilicon market prices are polarized; resources priced below **52,000 CNY/ton** are in high demand, while those above **53,000 CNY/ton** face limited acceptance. This is attributed to cautious price transmission from components and anticipated hydropower reductions [1][4]. - **Anti-Competition Policies**: The government has strengthened anti-competition policies, introducing penalties for below-cost dumping, which is deemed unfair pricing. This has led to a more robust internal price feedback mechanism [1][5]. - **Profitability Potential**: The average price of polysilicon is approximately **50,000 CNY/ton**, with a cash cost of about **27,000 CNY/ton**, allowing for a net profit of **7,000 CNY/ton**. However, the industry's operating rate is below **70%**, impacting profitability [1][6]. - **Supply Chain Reforms**: Expectations for supply-side reforms in the PV industry are increasing, with a clear logic for price recovery. The commitment to anti-competition measures is crucial for restoring a healthy market structure [1][7]. Additional Important Content - **Recent Price Adjustments**: As of September 5, domestic polysilicon prices have increased, with rod silicon priced at **55,000 CNY/ton** and granular silicon at **49,000 CNY/ton**. The PV sector has shown good performance, primarily driven by energy storage [1][8]. - **Challenges in the Industry**: The polysilicon industry faces challenges such as low operating rates, increased fixed costs due to depreciation, and ongoing losses for some manufacturers despite cost optimization efforts [1][11]. - **Investment Recommendations**: The industry is expected to experience a supply-demand turning point due to anti-competition measures. Key investment areas include polysilicon materials and PV glass, with specific companies recommended for attention [1][14][15]. Conclusion - The polysilicon industry is undergoing significant changes driven by new regulations and market dynamics. The focus on anti-competition measures and supply-side reforms is expected to lead to improved profitability and a healthier market structure in the photovoltaic sector.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Synchronize with the market - A" rating for the power equipment and new energy industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The power equipment and new energy industry has shown a stable market performance over the past year, with significant developments such as the tightening of energy consumption standards for polysilicon and advancements in robotics technology [1][3] - The new energy sector is experiencing a shift towards stricter energy consumption regulations, which is expected to lead to a substantial improvement in the supply-demand balance for polysilicon [3][7] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - Buy - A: 福莱特 (601865.SH), 横店东磁 (002056.SZ), 阳光电源 (300274.SZ), 阿特斯 (688472.SH), 德业股份 (605117.SH), 石英股份 (603688.SH), 博威合金 (601137.SH) - Buy - B: 爱旭股份 (600732.SH), 隆基绿能 (601012.SH), 大全能源 (688303.SH), 朗新集团 (300682.SZ) [2] - Additional stocks to actively monitor include: 协鑫科技, 通威股份, 信义光能, TCL 中环, 新特能源, 帝尔激光, 福斯特, 晶澳科技, 天合光能, 晶科能源, 迈为股份, 晶盛机电, 弘元绿能 [10] Industry Performance - In August, the industrial solar power generation increased by 15.9%, while wind power generation grew by 20.2%, indicating a robust growth trend in the renewable energy sector [4] - The average energy consumption for polysilicon is projected to tighten significantly, with new standards suggesting a reduction to 6.69 kgce/kg for 2024, compared to previous expectations [3][4] Price Tracking - Polysilicon prices have shown an upward trend, with dense material averaging 51.0 CNY/kg, up 2.0% from the previous week, indicating a tightening supply situation [6] - The price of silicon wafers and battery cells has also increased, reflecting the upward pressure from upstream costs [8][9]

送及花业 电力设备/ 光伏设备 2025 年 09 月 25 日 版灵 行业 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 反内卷再出新政策, 相关研究 券研究培 证券分析师 李冲 A0230524070001 lichong@swsresearch.com 马天一 A0230525040004 maty@swsresearch.com 联系人 李冲 (8621)23297818× lichong@swsresearch.com 事件: 9 月 24 日国家能源局局长王宏志在学习时报发表的署名文章《以更大力度推动我国新 能源高质量发展》，为光伏产业当前面临的困境指明了出路。文章直指产业痛点，提出以技 术创新驱动降本增效,专项整治光伏产业"内卷式"竞争,推动新能源从单一电力消纳向多 能综合利用转变。 申万宏源研究微信服务号 向明确 -光伏反内卷点评 明确光伏消纳发展路径转变,从单一消纳转向多能综合利用。文章提出了明确的发展路 ● 径的转变："坚持电与非电并重，推动新能源从单一电力消纳向多能综合利用转变"。 这一转变对缓解当前光伏消纳压力具有重要意义。2025 年 1—7 月,全国光伏发电利 用率为 94.7%，同 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [8] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant shift in the photovoltaic (PV) industry from a single energy consumption model to a multi-energy comprehensive utilization model, which is crucial for alleviating current PV consumption pressures [2][3] - Future development of renewable energy is expected to transition from a "resource-oriented" approach to a "market-oriented" approach, emphasizing cost control and operational efficiency over mere resource availability [2] - Key measures to break the "involution" in the industry include policy coordination and technological innovation, which are essential for addressing the supply-demand imbalance in the photovoltaic manufacturing sector [2] Summary by Sections Industry Transition - The article emphasizes the need for a transition in the PV industry towards multi-energy utilization, particularly highlighting the importance of hydrogen production from renewable sources [2] - The utilization rate of PV power generation in China was reported at 94.7% for January to July 2025, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, indicating increasing pressure on the power system [2] Market Dynamics - The report stresses that the competitiveness of PV power stations will increasingly depend on market capabilities such as cost control and bidding strategies rather than just resource conditions [2] - The current challenges faced by renewable energy in the power market include weak bargaining power and exposure to price volatility, leading to situations where companies experience "increased output without increased revenue" [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that will benefit from the "involution" reversal, particularly in the silicon material segment, including companies like GCL-Poly Energy, Daqo New Energy, Tongwei Co., and TBEA [2] - It also highlights the importance of new technology firms such as Aiko Solar in the evolving market landscape [2] Valuation Table - A valuation table is provided for key companies in the power equipment sector, detailing their stock prices, market capitalizations, and projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 [3]

华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）基金经理为柳军。 截至发稿，柳军累计任职时间16年117天，现任基金资产总规模4669.72亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 131.12%， 任职期间最差基金回报-45.64%。 从大全能源十大流通股东角度 数据显示，华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金位居大全能源十大流通股东。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）二 季度增持90.8万股，持有股数1166.71万股，占流通股的比例为2.11%。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 1668.39万元。 华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）成立日期2012年5月4日，最新规模3747.04亿。今年以来收益17.37%， 同类排名2774/4220；近一年收益43.87%，同类排名2308/3814；成立以来收益110.01%。 9月24日，大全能源涨5.22%，截至发稿，报28.84元/股，成交5.48亿元，换手率0.91%，总市值618.68亿 元。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 资 ...

Core Viewpoint - Daqo Energy's stock price has shown volatility, with a year-to-date increase of 15.87% but a recent decline of 8.80% over the past five trading days, indicating potential market fluctuations and investor sentiment shifts [1] Company Overview - Daqo Energy, established on February 22, 2011, and listed on July 22, 2021, is located in Shihezi City, Xinjiang, and specializes in the research, manufacturing, and sales of high-purity polysilicon [1] - The company's main business revenue composition is 97.95% from high-purity polysilicon and 2.05% from by-products and others [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Daqo Energy reported a revenue of 1.47 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year decrease of 67.93%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -1.15 billion yuan, down 71.10% year-on-year [2] - Cumulatively, the company has distributed 9.743 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 8.588 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, Daqo Energy had 35,100 shareholders, a decrease of 2.64% from the previous period, with an average of 15,763 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 2.71% [2] - The largest circulating shareholder is the Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF, holding 35.5622 million shares, a decrease of 727,900 shares from the previous period [3]

Industry Insights - The price of multi-crystalline silicon N-type raw materials is quoted at 50.3-55 CNY/kg, while granular silicon is priced at 49-50 CNY/kg, with an overall multi-crystalline silicon price index at 52.44 CNY/kg, indicating a slight upward shift in transaction prices [1] - The market for multi-crystalline silicon is experiencing polarization, with resources priced at 52 CNY/kg and below being more popular, leading to some crystal pulling enterprises facing supply shortages [1] - In September, multi-crystalline silicon production saw mixed changes, with an overall expected slight decline. In October, a reduction in production is anticipated in the Sichuan region due to the approaching dry season [1] - The photovoltaic industry is advancing its "anti-involution" strategy, with significant effects from price control measures, suggesting that industry chain prices may gradually cover full costs [1] - Strict new energy consumption standards for multi-crystalline silicon are expected to accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity [1] - The photovoltaic sector is likely to achieve supply-side improvements through a combination of top-level support, market-driven elimination, and technological iteration, with policies related to capacity and product quality expected to be implemented soon [1] Company Developments - TBEA (特变电工) claims that its multi-crystalline silicon cost and quality are among the best in China, with cash costs around 30,000 CNY/ton and comprehensive costs approximately 35,000 CNY/ton by July 2025 [2] - Daqo New Energy (大全能源), a leading domestic high-purity multi-crystalline silicon producer, has established partnerships with major photovoltaic companies such as Longi Green Energy, JA Solar, Trina Solar, and TCL Zhonghuan, with a production guidance of 110,000 to 140,000 tons for the entire year of 2025 [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.23% today, with a trading volume of 1,083.14 million shares and a transaction value of 17,135.39 billion yuan, an increase of 26.47% compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - Among the industries, the banking sector had the highest increase, up by 2.15%, with Nanjing Bank leading at a rise of 4.30% [1]. - The computer, social services, and comprehensive sectors experienced the largest declines, down by 3.74%, 3.73%, and 3.57% respectively [1][2]. Detailed Industry Data - **Banking**: +2.15%, transaction value 315.69 billion yuan, up 126.85% from the previous day, led by Nanjing Bank (+4.30%) [1]. - **Coal**: -0.02%, transaction value 103.20 billion yuan, up 34.02%, led by Antai Group (-5.22%) [1]. - **Utilities**: -0.28%, transaction value 229.25 billion yuan, up 23.66%, led by Jingyuntong (-5.99%) [1]. - **Oil & Petrochemicals**: -0.50%, transaction value 60.02 billion yuan, up 20.24%, led by Yueyang Xingchang (-4.60%) [1]. - **Transportation**: -0.91%, transaction value 224.70 billion yuan, up 20.14%, led by Jushen Co. (-9.87%) [1]. - **Food & Beverage**: -1.10%, transaction value 205.01 billion yuan, up 31.81%, led by Ziyan Food (-5.40%) [1]. - **Construction & Decoration**: -1.12%, transaction value 252.99 billion yuan, up 18.05%, led by Yabo Co. (-6.56%) [1]. - **Household Appliances**: -1.30%, transaction value 315.39 billion yuan, up 10.99%, led by Greer (-8.21%) [1]. - **Power Equipment**: -1.48%, transaction value 1,861.78 billion yuan, up 44.25%, led by Daqian Energy (-7.29%) [1]. - **Automotive**: -1.52%, transaction value 1,037.23 billion yuan, up 20.58%, led by Shanghai Wumao (-9.93%) [1]. - **Textiles & Apparel**: -1.58%, transaction value 128.03 billion yuan, up 15.04%, led by Sanfu Outdoor (-5.97%) [1]. - **Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery**: -1.65%, transaction value 121.46 billion yuan, up 11.51%, led by Aonong Biological (-6.99%) [1]. - **Non-Bank Financials**: -1.72%, transaction value 431.67 billion yuan, up 55.06%, led by Yalian Development (-5.63%) [1]. - **Environmental Protection**: -1.75%, transaction value 151.27 billion yuan, up 35.24%, led by Henghe Co. (-10.64%) [1]. - **Construction Materials**: -2.28%, transaction value 116.54 billion yuan, up 18.34%, led by Gongyuan Co. (-6.75%) [1]. - **Nonferrous Metals**: -2.36%, transaction value 761.40 billion yuan, up 20.71%, led by Tengyuan Cobalt (-6.04%) [1]. - **Media**: -2.36%, transaction value 390.38 billion yuan, up 24.71%, led by Jinyi Film (-8.95%) [1]. - **Beauty & Personal Care**: -2.50%, transaction value 30.26 billion yuan, up 30.69%, led by Huaye Fragrance (-4.78%) [1]. - **Defense & Military**: -2.52%, transaction value 384.06 billion yuan, up 22.18%, led by ST Sicor (-11.43%) [1]. - **Telecommunications**: -2.54%, transaction value 1,124.99 billion yuan, up 29.44%, led by Dekeli (-14.18%) [1]. - **Electronics**: -2.56%, transaction value 3,735.81 billion yuan, up 19.69%, led by Zhixin Electronics (-10.74%) [1]. - **Machinery Equipment**: -2.65%, transaction value 1,391.63 billion yuan, up 24.55%, led by Huizhong Co. (-10.29%) [1]. - **Basic Chemicals**: -2.66%, transaction value 645.44 billion yuan, up 13.75%, led by Dingjide (-7.52%) [1]. - **Steel**: -2.78%, transaction value 68.00 billion yuan, down 2.07%, led by Shougang Co. (-5.26%) [1]. - **Light Industry Manufacturing**: -2.80%, transaction value 174.20 billion yuan, up 4.62%, led by Haotaitai (-10.01%) [1]. - **Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology**: -3.02%, transaction value 805.28 billion yuan, up 33.02%, led by Kangle Weishi (-12.10%) [1]. - **Real Estate**: -3.17%, transaction value 252.56 billion yuan, up 13.91%, led by Electronic City (-9.86%) [1]. - **Commerce & Retail**: -3.57%, transaction value 38.87 billion yuan, up 81.17%, led by Nanjing Business Travel [2]. - **Social Services**: -3.73%, transaction value 151.27 billion yuan, up 0.36%, led by Yunnan Tourism (-10.01%) [2]. - **Computers**: -3.74%, transaction value 1,426.22 billion yuan, up 34.17%, led by ST Chuangyi (-19.97%) [2].