一、开展商品套期保值业务的目的和必要性 光伏行业相关商品及材料受市场供求关系、政策影响较为明显，主要原材 料及产成品价格波动明显。公司作为全球多晶硅主要生产企业之一，核心销售 产品为多晶硅，经营业绩易受市场价格波动影响。为减少生产经营销售商品价 格大幅波动给公司经营带来的不利影响，公司及子公司计划开展商品套期保值 业务，以有效管理价格大幅波动的风险，增强公司经营业绩的稳定性和可持续 性。相关业务开展均不以投机为目的。 二、2026年度有效期内商品套期保值计划 新疆大全新能源股份有限公司 关于开展2026年度商品套期保值业务可行性分析报告 新疆大全新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）及子公司2026年度有 效期内拟开展套期保值业务，利用金融衍生品工具提升公司管理市场风险能力， 降低销售商品价格波动对公司经营及业绩的影响，保障公司稳定生产及稳健经营， 其可行性分析如下： 1、交易品种：公司生产的产成品主要涉及多晶硅，其市场价格波动均较大， 容易对公司经营产生较大影响。为保持公司经营业绩持续稳定，规避和转移现 货市场的价格波动，公司拟开展套期保值业务，在相应品种上的套保数量将严 格遵循不超过实际业务发生规模的原则 ...

证券代码：688303 证券简称：大全能源 公告编号：2026-002 新疆大全新能源股份有限公司 关于 2026 年度开展期货套期保值业务的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 交易主要情况 | | □获取投资收益 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 交易目的 | ☑套期保值（合约类别：☑商品；□外汇；□其他：________） □其他：________ | | | 交易品种 | 与生产经营密切相关的产成品，仅限于多晶硅期货品种 | | | 交易金额 | 预计动用的交易保证金和权利金 上限（单位：万元） | 50,000 | | | 预计任一交易日持有的最高合约 价值（单位：万元） | 50,000 | | 资金来源 | ☑自有资金 □借贷资金 □其他：___ | | | 交易期限 | 2026年1月13日至2027年1月12日 | | 已履行的审议程序：新疆大全新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） 于 2026 年 1 月 13 日分别召开第三届董事会审计委员会 2026 ...

中国经济网北京1月13日讯 大全能源(688303.SH)今日收报25.90元，跌幅3.54%。 (责任编辑：徐自立) 中原证券股份有限公司研究员唐俊男2025年9月9日发布研报《大全能源(688303)：上半年业绩亏 损 稳健经营和雄厚资金巩固领先地位》称，维持公司"增持"投资评级。 大全能源股价2025年9月5日盘中创下近一年内最高点35.74元。 ...

每年的一季度，对光伏产业而言本该是传统的检修季与需求淡季。然而，今年的情况却有些不同。 "退税取消推高了出口成本，企业将压力转嫁至产品价格。海外买家也希望以更低价格采购产品，为规 避4月份以后成本增加，纷纷提前下单，导致本应进入检修的行业生产线全面开工。"一家光伏上市公司 业务负责人对第一财经记者说，"一季度本来是需求淡季，现在因为这个（退税取消），成为小旺季。" 实际上，就在2025年上半年，光伏产业曾演绎过从需求暴涨到抢装退潮与需求退坡的过程，抢装退潮后 价格普跌的情形仍历历在目。引发去年光伏需求大幅波动的主要因素是"4·30"和"5·31"两大政策节点。 企业为赶在政策生效前锁定原有补贴或固定电价政策，光伏开发商和投资方纷纷加速项目并网，分布式 光伏项目需求集中爆发，掀起了抢装潮。 然而，随着抢装潮进入尾声，供应链转折到来，需求下滑引发主产业链跌价。在去年4月的最后两周， 先是多晶硅期货创下上市以来新低，现货价格同步跟跌，随后，硅片、电池价格跌超9%，跌价主要原 因是终端组件需求快速回落。 政策调整是这一轮光伏需求行情的主要催化剂。财政部和国家税务总局日前宣布，自2026年4月1日起， 国内将取消光伏产 ...

Core Viewpoint - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products starting April 1, 2026, is a significant policy shift that has led to an unexpected surge in demand during the traditionally slow first quarter, as companies rush to secure orders before costs rise [3][4]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the cancellation of the VAT export rebate for photovoltaic products, marking the industry’s transition into a "no rebate subsidy" phase, which will increase export costs [3][4]. - This policy change has prompted overseas buyers to place orders in advance to avoid higher costs, resulting in a spike in export demand during the first quarter [3][4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Major photovoltaic companies such as Dongfang Risen, Trina Solar, and Longi Green Energy saw significant stock price increases, with Dongfang Risen hitting a new high since September 2023, closing up over 14% [3]. - The market has reacted to the antitrust situation in the silicon material sector, leading to a divergence in the photovoltaic industry chain, with upstream silicon material companies experiencing relatively low growth [4]. Group 3: Price Dynamics - Leading component manufacturers have begun raising component prices in response to the export rush, indicating a strong willingness to increase prices downstream, which may lead to improved profit margins for component manufacturers in the first quarter [4]. - The price dynamics in the silicon material sector will depend on the self-regulation of the industry alliance and the profit margins of the companies involved [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - While the current export rush has temporarily alleviated the "double weakness" in supply and demand within the photovoltaic industry, there is a risk of preemptively exhausting overseas demand for the second quarter [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that the potential for a sharp decline in demand following the export rush could mirror past experiences, emphasizing the need for self-regulation within the industry to stabilize prices [5].

"退税取消推高了出口成本，企业将压力转嫁至产品价格。海外买家也希望以更低价格采购产品，为规 避4月份以后成本增加，纷纷提前下单，导致本应进入检修的行业生产线全面开工。"一家光伏上市公司 业务负责人对第一财经记者说："一季度本来是需求淡季，现在因为这个（退税取消），成为小旺季。" 本应进入检修的行业生产线，正在全面开工。 政策调整是这一轮光伏需求行情的主要催化剂。财政部和国家税务总局日前宣布，自2026年4月1日起， 国内将取消光伏产品的增值税出口退税。政策转向标志着光伏行业进入"无退税补贴"阶段，也意味着出 口光伏产品的成本将有所上升，海外采购商纷纷抢在政策生效前锁定订单，推高了一季度的出口需求。 每年的一季度，对光伏产业而言本该是传统的检修季与需求淡季。然而，今年的情况却有些不同。 1月12日，深度博弈抢出口现象，直面终端需求的光伏组件迎来大涨，东方日升（300118.SZ）盘中一度 涨停，收盘涨超14%，创2023年9月以来新高，天合光能（688599.SH）涨逾8%，隆基绿能 （601012.SH）涨逾4%。 与此同时，盘面资金也对硅料联盟反垄断进行作出反应，使得光伏产业链表现分化，上游硅料环节呈现 出 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the photovoltaic sector [2][7]. Core Insights - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products, effective from April 1, 2026, marks the end of over a decade of direct fiscal support for photovoltaic exports, potentially leading the industry towards high-quality development [1][2]. - A "window period" is expected to create a surge in export orders and production increases in Q1 2026, improving the performance of companies heavily reliant on exports [2]. - Following the end of the export rebate, overseas pricing for photovoltaic components is anticipated to rise, benefiting leading companies with strong brand and channel advantages [2]. - The cancellation of the rebate is seen as a response to the industry's call to reduce low-price competition, which may accelerate the exit of inefficient production capacities and allow leading firms to gain market share [2]. - Companies with overseas production capabilities and local market presence are expected to benefit from the reduced cost disadvantage of local manufacturing [2]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products will be eliminated, transitioning the industry towards a more sustainable growth model [1][2]. Market Dynamics - A surge in orders and production is expected in Q1 2026 due to the impending policy change, similar to previous "rush to install" phenomena [2]. - The end of the rebate is likely to lead to a reevaluation of overseas component prices, with stronger pricing power for top-tier companies [2]. Competitive Landscape - The cancellation of the rebate is anticipated to facilitate the exit of low-efficiency production capacities, allowing leading companies to enhance their market share through technological and brand advantages [2]. - Companies with advanced technologies and cost advantages, such as those focusing on TOPCon/BC technologies and silicon material upgrades, are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [2]. Valuation of Key Companies - A table of key companies with their respective valuations and projected earnings for 2025-2027 is provided, indicating varying levels of profitability and market performance [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies, including Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH), Daqian Energy (688303.SH), Haibo Sichuang (688411.SH), Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ), Flat Glass Group (601865.SH), Longxin Group (300682.SZ), and Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) [2] Core Insights - The solar industry has experienced a decline in new installations, with November 2025 seeing a 11.9% year-on-year decrease, totaling 22.0 GW. However, the cumulative new installations from January to November 2025 reached 274.89 GW, reflecting a 33.2% increase year-on-year [3][13] - Solar module exports in November 2025 amounted to 171.4 billion yuan, marking a 33.9% year-on-year increase and a 6.6% month-on-month increase. The cumulative export value from January to November 2025 was 1854.0 billion yuan, down 9.0% year-on-year [4][16] - Inverter exports also showed positive growth, with November 2025 exports reaching 54.5 billion yuan, a 25.6% year-on-year increase and a 13.0% month-on-month increase. The cumulative export value for inverters from January to November 2025 was 587.5 billion yuan, up 8.7% year-on-year [4][28] - Solar power generation in November 2025 increased by 23.4% year-on-year, contributing to 5.29% of the total national power generation, which was 7792 billion kWh, a 2.7% increase year-on-year [5][41] Summary by Sections New Installations - November 2025 saw a domestic solar installation of 22.0 GW, down 11.9% year-on-year but up 74.8% month-on-month. Cumulative installations for the year reached 274.89 GW, up 33.2% year-on-year [3][13] Exports - Solar module exports in November 2025 were 171.4 billion yuan, up 33.9% year-on-year and 6.6% month-on-month. Cumulative exports for the year were 1854.0 billion yuan, down 9.0% year-on-year [4][16] - Inverter exports reached 54.5 billion yuan in November 2025, a 25.6% year-on-year increase and a 13.0% month-on-month increase. Cumulative exports for the year were 587.5 billion yuan, up 8.7% year-on-year [4][28] Power Generation - Solar power generation in November 2025 was 412.2 billion kWh, reflecting a 23.4% year-on-year increase and accounting for 5.29% of total national power generation [5][41] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Aishuo Co., Ltd. for new technology, Daqian Energy and Flat Glass Group for supply-side initiatives, Haibo Sichuang and Sungrow Power Supply for energy storage, Longxin Group for market-oriented strategies, and Quartz Co., Ltd. for domestic substitution [5][46]

Investment Rating - The report rates the photovoltaic industry as "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2]. Core Insights - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate for photovoltaic products, effective April 1, 2026, marks the end of over a decade of direct fiscal support for photovoltaic exports, potentially leading the industry into a phase of high-quality development [1]. - A "window period" is anticipated, leading to increased overseas orders and production ramp-up in Q1 2026, similar to previous phases of accelerated installations, which is expected to improve the performance of export-oriented photovoltaic companies [2]. - After the policy window closes, overseas component prices are likely to be renegotiated, as China, being the largest exporter of photovoltaic components, will have stronger pricing power due to the cancellation of the rebate, which is expected to lead to price increases [2]. - The cancellation of the export rebate is seen as a response to the call for reducing low-price competition in the photovoltaic industry, which will accelerate the exit of inefficient production capacities and reshape the market landscape [2]. - Companies with overseas production capacity and strong brand/channel advantages are expected to benefit from the narrowing cost disadvantage of local manufacturing, particularly in regions like the Middle East and North Africa [2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Outlook - The cancellation of the export VAT rebate is expected to enhance the industry's quality of development and reduce fiscal funds being transferred to overseas terminals [2]. - The report suggests that leading companies with technological advantages (TOPCon/BC), strong brands, and distribution channels will continue to gain market share [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with overseas production capabilities, such as Longi Green Energy, JinkoSolar, Trina Solar, and others, which are expected to benefit from the "price adjustment and capacity exit" [2]. - Companies that are advancing new technologies and material upgrades, such as Aiko Solar and Dongfang Risheng, are also highlighted for their potential to enhance product efficiency and pricing power [2]. - Cost-advantaged silicon material companies like Tongwei Co. and Daqo New Energy are recommended for investment consideration [2]. Valuation Table - A valuation table is provided, detailing the estimated net profits and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies in the industry, indicating varying performance expectations for 2025 to 2027 [3].

与此同时，光伏行业自律进入新阶段，有消息称，1月6日市场监管总局约谈了中国光伏行业协会与通威 股份、大全能源、新特能源等硅料头部企业。据了解，会议主要内容涉及通报有关垄断风险、提出明确 整改意见并对企业做好整改工作提出要求等，明确整改要求，不得约定产能、产能利用率、产销量以及 销售价格；不得通过出资比例，以任何形式进行市场划分、产量分配、利润分配；不得对当前、今后的 价格、成本、产销量等信息开展沟通协调。 2026年伊始，光伏行业在政策层面迎来双重变局。随着光伏产品增值税出口退税的全面取消，以及业内 传闻的行业自律被官方约谈叫停，持续一段时间的政策呵护与隐性秩序正被撤去。 市场对此反应剧烈，多晶硅市场情绪降至冰点，1月9日多晶硅主力合约2605大幅下跌，大全能源 （688303.SH）、通威股份（600438.SH）等硅料股周内均是大跌。 这标志着中国光伏产业将彻底告别政策温床，产业正站在一个历史性拐点上。监管的约束与财税扶持的 退坡交织，将形成一个截然不同的竞争格局，其对光伏上市公司经营业绩的影响，意味着行业估值体系 面临重构。 光伏行业开年遭遇监管铁腕 财政部和国家税务总局日前宣布，自2026年4月1日起 ...