钴镍锂新变化！20260105 摘要 美国对委内瑞拉的行动和伊朗骚乱等地缘政治事件短期利好有色金属， 但长期影响不确定；俄乌冲突升级加剧市场波动，假期期间白银、镍、 铝等有色金属表现强劲。 南美矿产资源面临资源集中、政策风险和环保审批挑战，紫金矿业和五 矿资源在南美有大量铜矿资源，中国企业需分散布局以降低政治军事风 险。 彭博商品指数调整预计短期内对白银影响大于黄金，但年度调整通常仅 引起短期震荡，不改变贵金属牛市大趋势。 2026 年商品投资主线包括：美元走弱和降息环境下，关注供给缺乏弹 性且需求端有 AI 叙事的金属品种（铜、铝、锡）；能源金属板块，特别 是碳酸锂，有望迎来反转；以及受益于国内反内卷政策的产品做多机会。 权益类资产排序：能源金属（镍、钴）首位，黄金次之，高胜率品种 （铜、铝）第三，战略小金属和新材料最后。能源金属板块正在走出底 部，黄金股票空间更大且估值合适。 Q&A 2026 年能源金属市场的主要看点有哪些？ 2026 年能源金属市场的主要看点包括以下几个方面：首先，钴已经走出了右 侧行情，显示出强劲的增长势头。其次，锂在储能需求超预期的推动下，有望 迎来年度层级的拐点。此外，由于印尼政 ...

Core Viewpoint - On January 5, 2023, the Shenzhen Stock Connect saw significant activity with 20 stocks appearing on the daily trading list, indicating notable investor interest and trading volume in these companies [1][2]. Group 1: Net Buying Activity - The stocks with net buying from Shenzhen Stock Connect included: - BlueFocus (蓝色光标) with a net purchase of 155.80 million yuan and a daily increase of 19.97% [2] - Leo Group (利欧股份) with a net purchase of 134.85 million yuan and a daily increase of 9.93% [2] - Dao's Technology (道氏技术) with a net purchase of 98.76 million yuan and a daily increase of 20.01% [2] - Other notable net buyers included Shunhao Co. (顺灏股份) and Jianglong Shipbuilding (江龙船艇) with net purchases of 78.49 million yuan and 63.01 million yuan, respectively [2]. Group 2: Net Selling Activity - The stocks with net selling from Shenzhen Stock Connect included: - Zhongchao Holdings (中超控股) with a net sale of 178.35 million yuan and a daily decrease of 7.61% [2] - Tongyu Communication (通宇通讯) with a net sale of 160.53 million yuan and a daily increase of 7.28% [2] - Lepu Medical (乐普医疗) with a net sale of 56.23 million yuan and a daily increase of 19.99% [2] - Other notable net sellers included Hai Ge Communication (海格通信) and Yanhai Co. (盐湖股份) with net sales of 13.63 million yuan and 38.23 million yuan, respectively [2].

Core Viewpoint - The price of lithium carbonate has surged at the beginning of the year due to expectations of supply tightening, with significant increases in both futures and spot prices [1][3][5]. Price Movement - On January 5, lithium carbonate futures led the non-ferrous metal sector with a rise of 7.74%, closing at 129,980 yuan/ton. The spot price for battery-grade lithium carbonate also reached a new high of 124,350 yuan/ton, increasing by 7,100 yuan from the previous day [3][4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Market analysts attribute the rising prices to a strong expectation of supply contraction, with the lithium market shifting from an oversupply to a tight balance due to increasing demand from energy storage [5][6]. - Lithium carbonate inventory has been declining for 19 consecutive weeks, indicating strong demand. As of December 2025, lithium salt plant inventories were reported at 603,000 tons, with an average inventory turnover of 50.4 days [6]. Future Supply Projections - Forecasts suggest that domestic lithium carbonate supply will increase by nearly 59% in 2026 due to the ramp-up of production from domestic salt lakes and the resumption of operations at Jiangxi lithium mines. Global lithium carbonate production is expected to reach 2.13 million tons, with an increase of 460,000 tons year-on-year [6][7]. Demand Growth - The demand for lithium carbonate is projected to grow significantly, with energy storage battery demand expected to add 250,000 tons, a 60% increase year-on-year. In contrast, demand from power batteries is expected to grow by 25% [7]. - The share of products sold to energy storage customers is approaching 50%, indicating a shift in market focus towards energy storage applications [7]. Industry Activity - The rising lithium carbonate prices have spurred increased merger and acquisition activity within the industry, with companies like Hualian Holdings and Salt Lake Co. actively acquiring lithium resources [7][8]. - Salt Lake Co. is expected to increase its lithium carbonate production capacity to 9,500 tons per year following its acquisition of a controlling stake in a lithium salt project [8].

证券日报网讯 1月5日，盐湖股份（000792）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司开展碳酸锂期货 业务，旨在有效对冲市场价格波动风险，保障经营稳定性，该业务总体已为公司带来正向收益。公司 2025年业绩预告已对外披露，报告期内业绩较上年同期实现大幅增长，具体财务数据请关注公司后续发 布的定期报告。 ...

整体看，A股交投气氛十分活跃，机构资金和各路游资纷纷出手，各有斩获。 数据显示，多家机构席位出现在了蓝色光标、盐湖股份、海格通信、西测测试的龙虎榜中，此外A股实 力游资章建平也出现在蓝色光标龙虎榜中，单日买入了6482.08万元，卖出了2.59亿元。 12连阳，沪指创33年最长连阳纪录，A股春季躁动行情渐入高潮！ 1月5日，A股迎来2026年首个交易日，三大指数全天高开高走，截至收盘，沪指涨1.38%，报4023.42 点，深成指涨2.24%，报13828.63点，创业板指涨2.85%，报3294.55点，科创50指数涨4.4%，报1403.41 点。与此同时，资金纷纷疯狂涌入A股，今日沪深两市合计成交额25463.47亿元，较上一个交易日放量 5011亿。 值得注意的是，沪指在2025年末已经走出11连阳的强势走势。在今日A股实现开门红之后，沪指从2025 年12月17日至2026年1月5日的12个交易日中，成功实现12连阳，创下A股1993年以来最长连阳纪录。最 近33年间A股最长连阳纪录为11天，分别在2006年以及2017-2018年出现过。A股最长连阳纪录为99天， 但彼时A股才处于起步阶段，市场体 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights significant trading activities in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, with a focus on major stocks, sector performances, and ETF trading volumes, indicating potential investment opportunities and trends in the market [1][2][3][4]. Trading Volume Summary - The total trading volume for the Shanghai Stock Connect was 135.21 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect reached 160.70 billion, totaling 295.91 billion [2]. - Major stocks by trading volume included Kweichow Moutai at 32.39 billion and Ningde Times at 50.67 billion, leading their respective markets [3][4]. Sector Performance - The electronic sector saw the highest net inflow of funds, amounting to 73.31 billion, with a net inflow rate of 1.67% [6]. - Other sectors with notable inflows included pharmaceuticals (41.63 billion, 3.15%) and non-ferrous metals (35.60 billion, 2.23%) [6]. - Conversely, the machinery equipment sector experienced the largest outflow, with a net outflow of 53.62 billion [7]. Individual Stock Activity - The top stocks with net inflows included Shenghong Technology (19.67 billion, 11.86%) and Zhaoyi Innovation (16.83 billion, 14.56%) [9]. - Stocks with significant outflows included Aerospace Electronics (-20.49 billion, -12.81%) and China Tang (-16.82 billion, -8.65%) [10]. ETF Trading Activity - The top ETF by trading volume was A50 ETF Huatai Baichuan, with a transaction amount of 15.87 billion, followed closely by A50 ETF Fund at 15.67 billion [13]. - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF saw a remarkable increase in trading volume, growing by 378% compared to the previous trading day [14]. 龙虎榜 (Top Stocks) - AI application stock BlueFocus saw a significant increase, with two institutions buying 1.86 billion, while it also received 1.56 billion from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [16]. - In contrast, several aerospace concept stocks faced heavy selling, with Zhongchao Holdings experiencing a sell-off of 2.2 billion from three institutions [17]. Active Trading by Institutions and Retail Investors - Institutional trading was notably active, with significant purchases in stocks like BlueFocus and Jianglong Shipbuilding [16]. - Retail investors showed high activity in lithium battery concept stocks, with Tianji Co. receiving substantial purchases from multiple trading desks [18]. Quantitative Fund Activity - Quantitative funds were also active, with significant purchases in stocks like Wuzhou New Spring, indicating a diverse interest across sectors [20].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On January 5, a total of 44 stocks were involved with institutional investors, with 19 stocks showing net buying and 25 stocks showing net selling [1]. Institutional Buying - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were: - BlueFocus: Net buying amount of 186.29 million yuan, with a daily increase of 19.97% [2] - Haike New Source: Net buying amount of 117.24 million yuan, with a daily increase of 6.35% [2] - Dongwei Semiconductor: Net buying amount of 109.60 million yuan, with a daily increase of 20.00% [2] Institutional Selling - The top three stocks with the highest net selling by institutions were: - Wuzhou Xinchun: Net selling amount of 221 million yuan [1] - Zhongchao Holdings: Net selling amount of 220 million yuan [1] - Salt Lake Co.: Net selling amount of 155.81 million yuan [3]

| 板块名称 | 主力资金净流入(亿元) | 主力资金净流入率(%) | 排名 | 电子 | 73.31 | 1 | 1.67 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 | 半导体 | 53.07 | 2.70 | 3 | 医药 | 41.63 | 3.15 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | 2.23 | 有色金属 | 35.60 | 非银金融 | 31.78 | 4.58 | | | 龙虎榜方面，今日锂电池概念股表现强势，多家一线游资抢筹。其中天际股份获（国泰海通证券宜昌沿江大道、国泰海通证券河源越王大道、国泰海通证券 上海江苏路）分别买入2.19亿、1亿、0.6亿。盐湖股份获（国泰海通证券上海江苏路、中信证券西安朱雀大街）分别买入1.08亿、0.91亿。AI应用概念股蓝 色光标走出2连板，获两家机构买入1.86亿，同时获深股通买入1.56亿，而两家一线游资（国盛证券宁波桑田路、国泰海通证券宁波广福街）分别卖出2.9 亿、1.94亿。 一、沪深股通前十大成交 今日沪股通总成交金额为1352.07亿，深股通总成交金额为1606 ...

证券时报·数据宝统计显示，盐湖股份今日收盘价为30.98元，上涨10.01%，日换手率为3.08%，成交额 为50.05亿元，全天主力资金净流入5.08亿元，近5日该股累计上涨10.01%，近5日资金合计净流入4.12亿 元。 盐湖股份1月5日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量250.00万股，成交金额7672.50万元，大宗交易成交 价为30.69元，相对今日收盘价折价0.94%。该笔交易的买方营业部为机构专用，卖方营业部为中国中金 财富证券有限公司青海分公司。 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生10笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为3.06亿元。 1月5日盐湖股份大宗交易一览 | 成交量（万 | 成交金额 | 成交价格 | 相对当日收盘折溢 | 买方营 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股） | （万元） | （元） | 价（%） | 业部 | | | 250.00 | 7672.50 | 30.69 | -0.94 | 机构专 | 中国中金财富证券有限公司 | | | | | | 用 | 青海分公司 | （文章来源：证券时报网） 两融数据显示，该股 ...

Group 1 - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect today reached 295.9 billion, with Kweichow Moutai and CATL leading in individual stock trading volume [1][2] - The electronic sector saw the highest net inflow of funds, while the mechanical equipment sector experienced the largest net outflow [6][5] - The top ten stocks by trading volume on the Shanghai Stock Connect included Kweichow Moutai at 32.39 billion, while on the Shenzhen Stock Connect, CATL led with 50.67 billion [3][4] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101) saw a significant trading volume increase of 378% compared to the previous trading day [10] - The top ten ETFs by trading volume included the A500 ETF Huatai Baichuan (563360) at 158.67 billion, followed closely by the A500 ETF Fund (512050) at 156.67 billion [9] - The top ten stocks with the highest net inflow of funds included Shenghong Technology at 19.67 billion and Kweichow Moutai at 9.75 billion [7][12] Group 3 - The AI application concept stock BlueFocus achieved a two-day consecutive increase, attracting 186 million from two institutions, while it also received 156 million from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [13][15] - The lithium battery concept stocks performed strongly, with Tianji Co. receiving significant purchases from multiple leading funds [15][14] - The trading activity of quantitative funds was notably high, with several firms making substantial purchases in various stocks [16]