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食品饮料2025年四季度基金持仓分析:白酒持仓继续下降,食品配置环比回升
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the food and beverage sector is "Buy" for key companies such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao [44]. Core Insights - The report indicates a continued decline in the holdings of the food and beverage sector within mutual funds, with the top 20 holdings' market value as a percentage of total fund equity investments decreasing to 16.31% in Q4 2025, down 0.47 percentage points from Q3 2025 [5][21]. - Kweichow Moutai's market value as a percentage of total fund equity investments is 1.31%, a decrease of 0.06 percentage points from the previous quarter, while Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao also saw declines [9][10]. - The food and beverage sector's weight in the total A-share market capitalization has decreased to 4.04%, down 0.66 percentage points [25]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Analysis - In Q4 2025, the number of funds holding Kweichow Moutai remained stable at 1,048, while Wuliangye saw a decrease of 109 funds to 175, and Luzhou Laojiao's holdings dropped by 18 to 128 [21]. - The concentration of holdings in the food and beverage sector is low, with only one company (Kweichow Moutai) in the top 20 holdings [7][8]. Sector Allocation - The food and beverage sector's heavy stock holdings accounted for 6.10% of total fund equity investments, a decrease of 0.28 percentage points from the previous quarter [25]. - The white liquor sector's heavy stock holdings accounted for 5.13%, also down 0.4 percentage points, indicating a position close to levels seen in Q1 2010 [25][39]. Individual Stock Performance - The report highlights that Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao are currently below their average allocation levels since 2009, indicating potential undervaluation [9][10]. - The report notes that the allocation coefficient for the white liquor sector is 1.92, which is below the historical average of 2.11, suggesting a potential for recovery [25][39]. Northbound Capital Changes - In Q4 2025, the northbound capital holdings for major food and beverage stocks showed a mixed trend, with Shuanghui Development seeing an increase of 0.13 percentage points, while Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye experienced declines of 0.48 and 0.58 percentage points, respectively [44][45].
食品饮料行业深度报告:2025Q4基金食品饮料持仓分析:持仓继续下降,结构向大众品倾斜
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-26 12:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the food and beverage industry [1] Core Insights - The food and beverage sector continues to see a decline in holdings, with a shift towards mass-market products. The proportion of active equity funds in the food and beverage sector decreased to 4.04% in Q4 2025, down from 4.18% in Q3 2025, reflecting a 0.14 percentage point decline [9][15] - The report highlights a continued reduction in allocations to alcoholic beverages, while holdings in mass-market products have shown signs of recovery. The proportion of holdings in white liquor decreased by 0.29 percentage points to 2.92% in Q4 2025 [14][17] - Major consumer funds have reduced their allocations to alcoholic beverages, with a notable decrease of 2.22 percentage points in white liquor holdings, while overall food and beverage allocations have increased [17][21] Summary by Sections 1. Food and Beverage Holdings Continue to Decline, Structure Shifts Towards Mass-Market Products - As of Q4 2025, the total scale of active equity fund heavy holdings is approximately 19.4 trillion yuan, with food and beverage holdings at 78.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.01% decline [9][10] - The decline in alcoholic beverage holdings is evident, with white liquor allocations decreasing to 2.92% and beer and pre-mixed drinks also seeing slight reductions [14][15] 2. Holdings Become More Diversified, Capturing Marginal Recovery Themes - The number of heavy holdings in the food and beverage sector has become more diversified, with only Kweichow Moutai remaining in the top 20 heavy holdings [24] - The report notes that the top five stocks with the largest increase in heavy holdings include Baba Foods, Yingjia Gongjiu, Youran Dairy, Ximai Foods, and Modern Animal Husbandry [28][29] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests five key directions for investment: focusing on functional health foods, improving supply chains and product/channel resonance in leading snack companies, expanding quality retail formats, investing in long-lifecycle beverage leaders, and tracking sectors with potential recovery such as dairy and large-scale dining [10][29]
张坤四季报:困难只是暂时的,中国消费“有鱼可钓”!
市值风云· 2026-01-26 10:15
当前市场对一些优质公司的定价已经非常低,甚至"即使私有化也是非常划算的"。 作者 | 市值风云基金研究部 编辑 | 小白 随着公募基金2025年四季报披露,顶流基金经理的动向再次成为市场焦点。 易方达基金张坤,作为长期价值投资的代表人物,其报告中的每一个数字与每一句观点,都引发了广 泛解读。 旗下四只产品业绩分化 2025年四季度,张坤在管规模降至483亿元,单季度缩水超80亿。 其管理的四只基金业绩呈现出明显的结构性分化,其中三只主投A股的基金表现相对承压,规模最大 的易方达蓝筹精选混合(005827.OF)四季度亏损近9%,跑输业绩基准超6%,25年全年收益不到 7%。 (来源 : Wind ) 与此同时,部分医药与传媒股也遭到明显减持,比如京东健康被两只基金砍仓约一半,此外,腾讯控 股、分众传媒等也出现在减持名单中。 然而,主投海外的易方达亚洲精选股票(118001.OF)则成为亮点,四季度实现了4.5%的正回报,跑 赢业绩基准超2%,而且该基金25年全年涨幅近42%。 | 序号 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | > | 基金规模合并值 [交易日期]最新( ... [单位]亿元 | 区间复权单位净值增长率 ...
刘晓庆、梁朝伟、岳云鹏...白酒旺季明星扎堆代言
21世纪经济报道记者肖夏 综合报道 又一家白酒品牌牵手明星。 1月26日,沱牌酒官方账号宣布,刘晓庆和喜剧达人杨雨光担任"沱牌特级嘴替",刘晓庆还将在1月31日晚做客沱牌官方旗舰店的抖音直播。 沱牌酒是舍得酒业(600702)旗下品牌,也是舍得酒业的品牌基点,在第五届全国评酒会上获评全国名酒,近年其主推的是沱牌特级T68高线光瓶酒以及主 打复古情怀的沱牌曲酒。 随着马年春节渐近,白酒消费即将进入旺季。最近一个多月来,官宣明星代言的白酒品牌越来越多。 去年12月中旬,水井坊(600779)宣布梁朝伟成为"水井坊·第一坊"品牌代言人。今年1月,谷小酒宣布罗永浩成为谷小酒品牌推荐官,牛栏山则找来岳云鹏 成为品牌代言人,古井贡酒(000596)官宣刘涛成为品牌的"新春派福官"。 前些年白酒不愁卖,明星代言并不多见。但最近一两年,白酒的经营主线转向促进动销,更接近大众消费品的营销逻辑,越来越需要借助明星的影响力。 于是包括邓紫棋、刘涛乃至已经出道40年梁朝伟,都第一次代言了白酒产品。 (梁朝伟的水井坊代言广告已经在线下铺开,21记者摄于重庆北站) 外界感到意外之余,仔细观察又觉得合情合理。去年以来,白酒品牌邀请明星代言 ...
五粮液:坚守品质初心 打造可持续质量管理新引擎
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 09:03
面对行业格局加速重塑的浪潮,白酒企业如何在不确定性中把握确定性,于变局中坚守初心,成为应对深度调整的关键。作为行业龙头企业,五粮液始终坚 定长期主义,筑牢品质根基,强化技术创新,在"守正"与"创新"的平衡中,提升质量管理效能,荣获多项质量管理领域的权威奖项,夯实行稳致远的底气, 更为白酒行业质量提升,提供了可借鉴、可推广的范本。 这一系列荣誉,不仅是对五粮液数十年如一日坚守"品质为基"的权威认证,更向世界展现了中国民族品牌质量管理的卓越实践。 坚定守正创新打造质量管理新引擎 对于企业来说,质量是立身之本,创新是动力之源,管理是生存之基。面对新一轮科技革命与产业变革浪潮,白酒作为传统产业,质量管理既要坚守传统, 又要勇于创新。五粮液以"守正"传承千年酿造智慧,以"创新"实现传统工艺与现代管理体系、数字技术的深度融合。 筑牢品质根基提升全过程管理效能 冬日的宜宾,空气中弥漫着淡淡的酒香。走进五粮液留样酒库,质量文化标语醒目可见,五粮液不同时期的产品样品整齐陈列,既见证着五粮液酒体随着时 间演进的变化轨迹,也展现了五粮液以实证方式守护产品生命周期的品质承诺。 "五粮液留样酒库始建于20世纪70年代,承担着产品质量追 ...
002155,一字涨停!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-01-26 05:13
【导读】上午A股三大指数高开低走,贵金属概念逆市大涨,商业航天、白酒等板块下挫 新的一周A股交易日开启,早盘市场走势一波三折。 三大股指高开后走出"W"形震荡行情,截至午间收盘,沪指报4141.01点,微涨0.12%;深证成指走弱,跌0.74%;创业板指同步下探,跌0.86%。 个股跌多涨少,全市场共有3756只个股下跌,1606只个股上涨,50只个股涨停。成交额方面,沪深两市半日成交额达2.24万亿元,较上个交易日放量3478 亿元。 盘面上,贵金属、石油天然气、大金融等板块涨幅居前;航天航空、计算机设备、电子化学品等板块跌幅居前。 贵金属板块大幅高开高走 上午,贵金属概念板块大幅高开,相关个股纷纷涨停。 个股方面,湖南黄金(002155)一字涨停,金徽股份(603132)、招金黄金(000506)、盛达资源(000603)、恒邦股份(002237)、四川黄金 (001337)均实现10cm涨停,晓程科技(300139)涨超16%,湖南白银(002716)、中金黄金(600489)、西部黄金(601069)、华锡有色(600301) 等纷纷上涨。 | 湖南貢金 | | | | | --- | --- | - ...
食品饮料行业周报:白酒动销渐起-20260126
CMS· 2026-01-26 04:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the liquor industry, indicating a bottoming out and potential for a rebound during the Spring Festival, with a focus on key stocks such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Shanxi Fenjiu [5][16]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the safety margin for liquor companies is derived more from brand strength, market share, and sales momentum rather than just dividend yields, which are expected to be adjusted downwards for the years 2025-2026 [1][16]. - Recent sales tracking shows that Moutai's sales and pricing are better than market expectations, with a slight increase in overall channel sales volume and stable pricing [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of cash flow and dividend planning, with companies like Yanghe planning to maintain dividends at no less than 100% of their net profit for 2025-2027 [2][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Core Company Tracking - Yanghe's net profit for 2025 is projected to be between 2.12 billion and 2.52 billion yuan, a decline of 62.2%-68.3% year-on-year, with a focus on inventory reduction and price stabilization [2][11]. - Yanjing Beer expects a net profit of 1.58 billion to 1.74 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50.0%-65.0%, with plans to launch a high-end product in 2026 [3][12]. - Yihai International anticipates low single-digit growth in H2 2025, driven by improved gross margins and a return of key personnel, which is expected to enhance business performance [4][13]. - IFBH is expected to face pressure in H2 2025, but with potential recovery in 2026 as supply issues are resolved [4][14]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a bottom-up approach to investing in liquor stocks, with a focus on key players and potential rebounds in sales, particularly in the context of the upcoming Spring Festival [5][16]. - It identifies four main lines for consumer goods: restaurant chains, dairy products, valuation-matched companies, and bottom-up recovery plays [5][17]. Industry Overview - The report notes that the food and beverage industry has a total market capitalization of 4,560.2 billion yuan, with 142 listed companies [5]. - The industry index shows a 1-month performance of 0.6%, a 6-month performance of 4.4%, and a 12-month performance of 17.7% [7].
白酒巨头,将分红20亿!
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-26 04:36
1月23日晚间,千亿市值的泸州老窖(000568.SZ)表示即将实施中期分红合计约20亿元(含税),股权登记日为1月29日,除权除息日为1月30日。根据 2025年中期分配方案:以公司现有总股本14.72亿股为基数,向全体股东每10股派13.58元现金(含税)。 酒业分析师蔡学飞表示,在行业处于深度调整周期、酒企普遍承压的情况下,泸州老窖此次推出约20亿元的中期分红计划,再次凸显了其作为白酒行业龙 头企业的财务稳健性和对股东回报的高度重视。 目前来看,泸州老窖的业绩保持稳定且持续实施较为积极的分红方案,不仅体现了该公司强大的现金流能力和长期投资价值,也传递出管理层对行业未来 前景的信心。 来源于泸州老窖公告 泸州老窖此前发布《股东回报规划》,每年分红不低于85亿元 据泸州老窖此前发布的《关于2024—2026年度股东分红回报规划》,2024—2026年度,公司每年度现金分红总额占当年归属于上市公司股东净利润的比例 分别不低于65%、70%、75%,且均不低于85亿元。原则上公司每年度可以进行两次现金分红。 据南都湾财社记者梳理,2024年,公司展开了两次分红。2024年中期分红方案为:以总股本约14.72亿股 ...
张坤四季报:困难只是暂时的,中国消费“有鱼可钓”!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 03:19
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:市值风云基金研究部 随着公募基金2025年四季报披露,顶流基金经理的动向再次成为市场焦点。 易方达基金张坤,作为长期价值投资的代表人物,其报告中的每一个数字与每一句观点,都引发了广泛 解读。 一、旗下四只产品业绩分化 2025年四季度,张坤在管规模降至483亿元,单季度缩水超80亿。 其管理的四只基金业绩呈现出明显的结构性分化,其中三只主投A股的基金表现相对承压,规模最大的 易方达蓝筹精选混合(005827.OF)四季度亏损近9%,跑输业绩基准超6%,25年全年收益不到7%。 与此同时,部分医药与传媒股也遭到明显减持,比如京东健康被两只基金砍仓约一半,此外,腾讯控 股、分众传媒等也出现在减持名单中。 然而,主投海外的易方达亚洲精选股票(118001.OF)则成为亮点,四季度实现了4.5%的正回报,跑赢 业绩基准超2%,而且该基金25年全年涨幅近42%。 | 序号 | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | ﮏ | 基金规模合并值 [交易日期]最新(.. [单位]亿元 | 区间复权单位净值增长率(区... 起始交易日期 2025-01-01 【 ...
食品饮料周报(26年第4周):各品类春节备货有序进行,预制菜国标将征求意见-20260126
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-26 02:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [4][5][11]. Core Views - The food and beverage sector is expected to perform well in 2026, driven by cost advantages, efficiency improvements, innovation, and potential recovery opportunities in the liquor segment [3][11][15]. - The report highlights a diversified performance across sub-sectors, with beverages outperforming food and liquor categories [2][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Sector Overview - The food and beverage sector saw a cumulative decline of 1.37% this week, with A-shares down 1.57% and H-shares up 1.21% [1]. - Key performers included companies like Hao Xiang Ni and Wei Zhi Xiang, with significant weekly gains [1]. 2. Sub-sector Insights - **Liquor**: - Moutai's price remains stable with an upward trend, and the focus is on sales momentum during the Spring Festival. Recommendations include Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao [2][11]. - **Beverages**: - The dairy segment is seeing orderly preparations for the Spring Festival, with a focus on leading companies like Yili. Recommendations include Nongfu Spring and Dongpeng Beverage [2][15]. - **Snacks**: - The report emphasizes strong alpha stocks in the snack sector, particularly in konjac products, with companies like Weidong and Yanjinpuzi showing strong innovation [2][13]. - **Catering Supply Chain**: - The sector is entering a peak season for inventory and sales, with new standards for prepared dishes being solicited for public opinion [2][14]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on four main lines for investment: cost advantages, efficiency improvements, innovation-driven companies, and potential recovery in the liquor sector [3][11]. - Recommended stocks include Baba Foods, Dongpeng Beverage, Weidong, and Shanxi Fenjiu, which have shown resilience and growth potential [17][19]. 4. Earnings Forecasts - Key companies are projected to maintain strong earnings growth, with Moutai expected to achieve a stable performance and Yili showing significant recovery potential [4][15][19]. - The report provides detailed earnings forecasts for several companies, indicating a positive outlook for the food and beverage sector [4][19].