Workflow
WLY(000858)
icon
Search documents
估值修复+春节预期 五粮液(000858)强势涨停:板块联动效应、估值修复资金入场等多重因素共振
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-29 09:43
2026年1月29日,高端白酒(核心股)板块迎来集体走强,五粮液(000858)当日股价涨停,涨幅达 10.00%,股价从前一交易日收盘价102.27元上涨10.23元,最终收盘价定格在112.50元,成功创下近一个 月来股价新高,成为当日白酒板块中表现突出的上市公司。当日板块情绪的全面升温带动个股交易热度 攀升,资金做多意愿鲜明,作为浓香白酒龙头,其涨停走势也进一步放大了高端白酒板块的赚钱效应。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> 责任编辑:小讯 异动当日,进一步强化了市场情绪。其一为板块联动效应显著,当日高端白酒(核心股)板块集体走 强,贵州茅台涨超8%重回1400元关口,板块内核心标的的强势表现形成联动;其二为名人言论形成情 绪催化,知名投资者段永平公开表示"茅台当前股价真的不贵",该言论在异动当日被市场反复提及,被 解读为对高端白酒板块的正向信号,大幅提升了市场做多信心;其三为春节动销预期持续升温,"今日 酒价"数据显示1月29日2026年原箱茅台批价上涨20元至1610元/瓶,临近春节白酒进入传统销售旺季, 批价的上涨让市场对行业动销回暖的预期进一步强化;其四为估值修复逻辑得到认可,五粮液 ...
2025Q4机构持仓总结:食饮获配比例回落,乳品、零食板块加配
Investment Rating - The report rates the food and beverage sector as "Overweight" [4][6]. Core Insights - The allocation ratio for the food and beverage sector has decreased quarter-on-quarter, with significant reductions in the allocation for both liquor and non-liquor segments. Conversely, other segments such as beverages, dairy products, and snacks have seen an increase in allocation [2][16]. - The report suggests focusing on five main investment lines, emphasizing opportunities arising from supply-demand clearing. Recommended stocks include Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao for liquor; Eastroc Beverage and Nongfu Spring for beverages; and various companies in the snack and food processing sectors [6][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Sector Allocation Trends - The allocation ratio for food and beverage stocks among actively managed equity mutual funds has continued to decline for seven consecutive quarters, reaching 4.04% in Q4 2025, ranking ninth among all sectors [8][11]. - The allocation for liquor stocks decreased to 2.92%, driven by declines in leading brands such as Wuliangye and Shanxi Fenjiu [16][18]. 2. Sub-Sector Performance - Liquor and non-liquor segments saw a reduction in allocation, while other segments like snacks and dairy products experienced increases. The allocation for snacks rose to 0.26%, and dairy products to 0.44% [16][17]. - Specific stock movements include a decrease in holdings for major liquor brands, while dairy leaders like Yili and Mengniu saw increases in their allocation ratios [23][24]. 3. Individual Stock Analysis - Major liquor stocks such as Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye experienced significant reductions in their mutual fund holdings, with Moutai down by 0.8% and Wuliangye down by 13.2% [19][20]. - In the beverage sector, Eastroc Beverage's holdings decreased by 4.16%, while Yili's increased by 3.42% [23][24]. - Snack companies like Wancheng Group and Ximai Foods saw increases in their allocation ratios, indicating a positive trend in the snack segment [26][27]. 4. Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The report includes a section on earnings forecasts and valuations, indicating a cautious outlook for the food and beverage sector amidst changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [32].
白酒爆发,17股涨停!吃喝板块午后暴拉,食品饮料ETF(515710)飙涨7.1%连收4根均线!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 09:30
Core Viewpoint - The liquor sector experienced a significant surge on January 29, leading to an overall rise in the food and beverage sector, with the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF (515710) increasing by 7.1% by the end of the trading day, recovering multiple moving averages [1][4]. Group 1: Liquor Stock Performance - A wave of涨停 (limit-up) occurred among liquor stocks, with major players like Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and Yanghe all hitting the limit, while Kweichow Moutai surged by 8.61% [2]. - The price of various Flying Moutai products has seen notable increases since January 26, with the 2026 Flying Moutai original box (53 degrees/500ml) rising by 55 yuan, and the 2025 version also increasing by 55 yuan [4]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The recent recovery in Moutai sales is attributed to two main factors: the demand for high-end liquor during the Spring Festival and effective supply-demand adjustments by iMoutai, which has reached new consumer groups [4]. - The overall valuation of the food and beverage sector remains low, with the price-to-earnings ratio of the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF at 19.09 times, placing it in the 1.37% percentile of the last decade, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - According to Guojin Securities, the most challenging period for the liquor industry has passed, and external constraints on consumption are expected to ease, leading to a gradual stabilization in sales post-2026 Spring Festival [6]. - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF is recommended for investors looking to gain exposure to core assets in the food and beverage sector, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to leading high-end and mid-range liquor stocks [6].
段永平:茅台真的不贵!食品饮料ETF天弘(159736)标的指数大涨超5.5%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-29 09:11
国信证券认为,食品饮料板块2026年整体向好,建议关注四条主线:成本红利释放、经营效率提升、创 新驱动增长以及部分子行业的困境反转机会。春节旺季有望成为重要催化,预制菜国标即将出台也为行 业带来利好。 东海证券指出,在扩内需政策支持下,消费潜力有望释放,行业存在结构性机会。一方面关注餐饮供应 链、乳业等困境反转方向,另一方面看好零食、茶饮等新消费趋势,强调质价比与健康化需求。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 盘面上,两市全天窄幅震荡,消费板块大幅上涨。相关ETF方面,食品饮料ETF天弘(159736)标的指 数收盘涨5.58%,成交额达7318.67万元。成分股中,"茅五泸汾"四家头部白酒公司有三家涨停,茅台也 涨超8%。 值得关注的是,Wind显示,食品饮料ETF天弘(159736)近4个交易日(2026年1月23日—2026年1月28 日)实现连续"吸金",食品饮料ETF天弘(159736)最近十个交易日累计获资金净流入3898.37万元。截 至2026年01月28日,该基金最新规模为53.00亿元,为同标的全市场第一。 中证食品饮料指数(CS食品饮)行业相对分散,前十大集中度最低,分散投资白酒、饮料乳品、食 ...
尾盘突发!000858,强势涨停!白酒股,全线爆发!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 09:11
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 今日,A股小幅震荡,主要股指涨跌互现,大盘蓝筹股全线走强,上证50盘中一度大涨逾2%,上证指 数、沪深300等也小幅飘红,科技成长股有所调整,科创50大跌逾3%,创业板指、北证50等也小幅下 挫。下跌个股远多于上涨个股,成交温和放大至3.26万亿元。 Wind实时监测数据显示,传媒行业获得逾220亿元主力资金净流入,食品饮料获得逾168亿元净流入, 计算机获得逾138亿元净流入,有色金属获得逾73亿元净流入,房地产获得逾51亿元净流入,非银金 融、银行均获得超40亿元净流入。电子行业则遭主力资金净流出逾364亿元,电力设备净流出逾54亿 元,国防军工、机械设备均净流出超20亿元。 个股方面,蓝色光标获得逾45亿元净流入,科大讯飞获得逾36亿元净流入,五粮液、铜陵有色均获得超 20亿元净流入,北方稀土、盛和资源等11股也获得超10亿元净流入。 | HCRa | 名称 | 现价 | 主力净流入额 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600519 | 贵州茅台 1437.72 c | | 57.08亿 | | 30 ...
大切换 | 谈股论金
水皮More· 2026-01-29 09:07
Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.16% to close at 4157.98 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.30% to 14300.08 points, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.57% to 3304.51 points [2][9] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 32,597 billion, an increase of 2,671 billion compared to the previous day [2][9] Sector Performance - Despite adjustments by large institutions targeting the CSI 300 ETF and the SSE 50 ETF, these ETFs performed well, with the SSE 50 ETF rising by 1.85% and the CSI 300 ETF increasing by 0.91% [3] - The liquor sector, particularly Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, saw significant gains, with many stocks in this sector hitting the daily limit [3] - The "three barrels of oil" nearly reached new highs, while the banking sector rose by 1.82%, the securities sector by 1.08%, and the insurance sector surged by 3.44% [3] - The precious metals sector experienced a surge, driven by international gold prices exceeding $5,500 per ounce, leading to a wave of limit-up stocks [3] - The real estate sector unexpectedly saw a limit-up trend, and AI application sectors also showed a resurgence with several stocks hitting the daily limit [3] Market Dynamics - The market exhibited a clear divergence, with 1,744 stocks rising and 3,398 stocks falling, indicating a split sentiment among investors [4] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index both showed upward movement, while the ChiNext 50 Index experienced a decline of over 3% [4] - The market's trading volume remained around 30 trillion, suggesting that it has not yet entered a cooling phase, although the intensity of individual stock speculation appears to be waning [5] Capital Flow - There was a significant net outflow of 90 billion in main funds today, with a trend of "more outflows than inflows" across sectors [6] - The liquor sector led in capital inflow with 8.6 billion, followed by the cultural media sector with 7.4 billion, while the semiconductor sector saw the highest outflow of 22.4 billion [6] - The electronic components sector experienced an outflow of 9.89 billion, and even the previously strong precious metals sector saw a net outflow of 5.1 billion [6] Conclusion - The market is characterized by structural volatility, with a need for investors to adapt their strategies to avoid potential pitfalls [5] - The performance of the Hang Seng Index, which reached a new high, may provide guidance for the future trends of the A-share market [6]
白酒板块1月29日涨9.16%,金种子酒领涨,主力资金净流入83.24亿元
证券之星消息,1月29日白酒板块较上一交易日上涨9.16%,金种子酒领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98,上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08,下跌0.3%。白酒板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 661009 | 金种子酒 | 10.30 | 10.04% | 58.45万 | | 5.83亿 | | 000995 | 皇台酒业 | 14.48 | 10.03% | 26.37万 | | 3.65亿 | | 603198 | 迎驾贡酒 | 42.63 | 10.01% | 21.40万 | | 8.78亿 | | 616809 | 全徽酒 | 21.54 | 10.01% | 16.00万 | | 3.32亿 | | 600779 | 水井坊 | 41.99 | 10.01% | 18.55万 | | 7.53亿 | | 000799 | 酒鬼酒 | 56.85 | 10.00% | 29.50万 | | 16.20亿 | | 6 ...
贵州茅台罕见暴涨!白酒股大面积涨停!“拐点”真的来了?
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2026-01-29 08:57
| 沪深京市场 | | 香港市场 | 美国市场 | 英国市场 | 全球指数 | | 股转系统 | 期权市场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪深综合 | | 沪深京A股 ▼ | 创业板 ▼ | 科创板 ▼ | CDR | 沪深京指数 ▼ | | 白酒 ▼ | | 序 | 代码 | 名称 | | 最新 | 涨幅 > | 涨跌 | 成交量 | 现量 | | 0 | BK0896 | 白酒 | | 2319.88 | +5.16% | +113.84 | 26.1万手 | 03 | | 1 | 600199 | 金种子酒 | R ● | 10.30 | +10.04% | +0.94 | 58.5万手 | 4345手 | | 2 | 000995 | 三圆织与新 | ● | 14.48 | +10.03% | +1.32 | 26.4万手 | 576手 | | 3 | 603198 | 迎驾贡酒 | R . | 42.63 | +10.01% | +3.88 | 21.4万手 | 673手 | | 4 | 603919 | 金徽 ...
突然爆发!白酒股,涨停潮!
证券时报· 2026-01-29 08:55
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced narrow fluctuations, while the STAR 50 Index saw a significant decline. The total trading volume in the A-share market exceeded 3 trillion yuan, returning to above 30 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.16% at 4157.98 points, with the SSE 50 Index rising 1.65%. The Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.3%, and the ChiNext Index dropped 0.57%. The STAR 50 Index fell over 3% [1] Sector Performance Alcohol Sector - The alcohol sector witnessed a notable surge, with approximately 20 stocks hitting the daily limit. Notable performers included Gujing Gongjiu, Shanxi Fenjiu, Wuliangye, and Luzhou Laojiao, with Kweichow Moutai rising nearly 9% to surpass 1400 yuan [3][5] - Institutions indicate that as the Spring Festival approaches, demand for inventory is gradually increasing, and the stabilization of prices from leading liquor companies is becoming evident. This is expected to lead to a valuation recovery in the liquor sector post-Spring Festival [5] Financial Sector - The financial sector also showed strength, with significant gains in insurance, banking, and brokerage stocks. China Ping An rose over 5%, while China Pacific Insurance and China Life increased by over 4% and nearly 3%, respectively [8] - The banking sector is expected to maintain its appeal due to high dividends and low valuations, despite recent passive fund outflows causing some disturbances in liquidity [9] - The brokerage sector is anticipated to continue its upward trajectory, supported by strong fundamentals and potential catalysts from favorable financial policies [9] AI Application Sector - The AI application sector was notably active, with companies like Yinsai Group and Tianlong Group hitting the daily limit, and BlueFocus reaching a historical high with a nearly 15% increase [11][13] - The demand for computing power is expected to rise due to the rapid iteration of AI models and applications, indicating a positive outlook for the AI application and computing power sectors [13]
五粮液今日涨停,有3家机构专用席位净卖出3亿元
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 08:37
五粮液今日涨停,成交额104.51亿元,换手率2.54%。盘后龙虎榜数据显示,深股通专用席位买入4.73 亿元并卖出4.82亿元,1家机构专用席位净买入955.58万元,有3家机构专用席位净卖出3.00亿元。 ...