Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry in China [6]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of addressing overseas electricity shortages with Chinese solutions, particularly in the context of rising industrial electricity costs due to increasing energy prices in major countries [9][14]. - It highlights the potential for significant growth in the electrolytic aluminum sector driven by export demand, as overseas power supply issues lead to production cuts [14]. - The report also points out investment opportunities in the special steel sector, particularly related to advancements in nuclear fusion technology [15]. - The lithium carbonate sector is expected to benefit from a surge in overseas energy storage demand, with prices across the supply chain showing signs of recovery [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report suggests that electrolytic aluminum, special steel, and lithium carbonate are primarily driven by domestic demand, but it presents a contrasting view that focuses on overseas electricity shortages as a growth opportunity [9][13]. - The electrolytic aluminum sector is poised for a revaluation due to strong production cut expectations stemming from overseas electricity shortages [14]. - The special steel sector is highlighted for its potential growth linked to nuclear fusion advancements, with significant demand expected for materials that can withstand extreme conditions [15]. - The lithium carbonate sector is experiencing a price rebound, with recent contracts indicating a positive outlook for the entire supply chain [16]. 2. Steel Industry - The steel industry is facing short-term profitability pressures, with slight declines in iron and steel production noted [17][19]. - Inventory levels for both social and steel mill stocks are decreasing, indicating a tightening supply [24]. - The report notes a general decline in steel prices, with various product categories experiencing price drops [34]. - Cost pressures are evident, with mixed trends in raw material prices impacting profitability across different steel production processes [27][30]. 3. New Energy Metals - The report indicates a significant year-on-year increase in lithium carbonate production, reflecting a robust supply response to market demand [39]. - The demand for new energy vehicles remains strong, with production and sales figures showing substantial growth [43]. - Price trends for lithium and nickel are mixed, with lithium prices experiencing a notable decline while cobalt prices have seen increases [48][50].

Core Insights - The nuclear power sector is expected to experience significant growth, with global nuclear power generation reaching a near ten-year high in 2024 and projected to double by 2050, surpassing 900 million kilowatts in installed capacity [1] Industry Overview - Multiple international agencies have raised their nuclear energy development forecasts for four consecutive years, indicating strong future demand for nuclear power [1] - As of November 7, nuclear concept stocks have shown robust performance, with an average increase of 63.07% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [1] Valuation Metrics - Among the nuclear concept stocks, 13 have a rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio below 30, with companies like Huaneng International, Shun'an Environment, and Jiuli Special Materials having P/E ratios under 15 [1] - Five of these stocks have a price-to-book (P/B) ratio below 2, including China National Nuclear Power, China General Nuclear Power, Dongfang Electric, China Nuclear Engineering, and Huaneng International [1] Financial Performance - Specific financial metrics for selected low P/E nuclear concept stocks include: - Huaneng International: Market value of 90.73 billion, P/E of 8.89, and a projected net profit of 14.841 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, up 42.52% year-on-year [2] - Shun'an Environment: Market value of 1.4767 billion, P/E of 12.68, with a projected net profit of 769 million, up 18.46% year-on-year [2] - Jiuli Special Materials: Market value of 2.5533 billion, P/E of 14.96, with a projected net profit of 1.262 billion, up 20.73% year-on-year [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the steel industry, indicating a positive outlook for selected companies [7]. Core Insights - The steel industry is currently experiencing a recovery from undervaluation, with significant potential for price and profit improvement as supply-side policies are implemented [2]. - The report highlights that the average daily pig iron production has decreased, while inventory reduction has slowed down, indicating a tightening supply [3][26]. - Demand for steel products has shown a decline in apparent consumption, particularly in rebar and hot-rolled coil, reflecting a temporary market adjustment [43]. - The report emphasizes the continued high growth rate of steel exports, with a net export increase of 7.6% year-on-year, suggesting robust international demand [4][14]. - The report identifies key companies that are expected to benefit from the current market conditions, including Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and New Steel [2][10]. Summary by Sections Supply - Daily pig iron production has decreased by 21,000 tons to 2.342 million tons, with a reduction in production from long-process steelmaking [13]. - The capacity utilization rate for 247 domestic steel mills is at 87.8%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous week [19]. Inventory - Total steel inventory has seen a reduced decline, with a week-on-week drop of 0.7%, indicating a tighter market [26]. - The social inventory of five major steel products stands at 10.75 million tons, down 0.2% week-on-week but up 29.8% year-on-year [28]. Demand - Apparent consumption of five major steel products has decreased by 5.4% week-on-week, with rebar consumption down by 5.9% [54]. - Weekly average transaction volume for construction steel has fallen to 96,000 tons, a decrease of 7.6% [44]. Raw Materials - Iron ore prices have declined, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at $102.1 per ton, down 5.0% week-on-week [64]. - The report notes an increase in port iron ore inventory, suggesting a potential oversupply situation [53]. Prices and Profits - The comprehensive steel price index has decreased by 1.1% week-on-week, with current rebar prices in Beijing at 3,190 RMB per ton [76]. - The report indicates that the immediate gross profit margins for long-process rebar and hot-rolled coil remain relatively stable despite price fluctuations [76].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others [3][4]. Core Views - The steel industry is gradually entering the off-season, with differentiated performance among various products. Steel production and apparent consumption are both declining, indicating seasonal characteristics. Inventory reduction rates are similar to previous years, but absolute inventory levels remain high. Steel mill profits are at low levels, and a seasonal downward trend is expected in both supply and demand [3][4]. - The report highlights that the production structure is changing, with some steel mills shifting from rebar production to plate production due to weak real estate demand. This has led to an increase in plate production and a decrease in rebar production, with supply changes outpacing demand changes in the short term [3][4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - As of November 7, 2025, steel prices have decreased, with rebar priced at 3200 CNY/ton, down 10 CNY/ton from the previous week. Hot-rolled and cold-rolled prices also saw declines of 60 CNY/ton and 50 CNY/ton, respectively [1][10]. Production and Inventory - Total steel production for the week was 8.57 million tons, a decrease of 185,500 tons from the previous week. Social inventory decreased by 20,400 tons to 10.7383 million tons, while steel mill inventory fell by 80,900 tons [2][3]. Profitability - Steel mill profits have declined, with rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled margins decreasing by 7 CNY/ton, 38 CNY/ton, and 10 CNY/ton, respectively. Electric arc furnace steel margins also fell by 14 CNY/ton [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, highlighting their potential for recovery in profitability due to capacity regulation and precise management [3][4].

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.3% on November 7, with Shengde Xintai leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances included: - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) rose by 3.41% to a closing price of 8.50, with a trading volume of 1.93 million shares and a turnover of 1.616 billion [1] - Fushun Special Steel (666009) increased by 1.61% to 5.68, with a trading volume of 870,900 shares [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) saw a rise of 1.14% to 6.19, with a turnover of 176 million [1] - Jiu Li Special Materials (002318) fell by 1.62% to 26.13, with a trading volume of 147,300 shares and a turnover of 387 million [1][2] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 180 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 145 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks included: - Fushun Special Steel had a main fund net inflow of 58.63 million, but a net outflow from retail investors of 55.44 million [3] - Shengde Xintai experienced a net outflow of 25.61 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 16.72 million [3] - Jiu Li Special Materials had a net outflow of 2.69 million from main funds, but a net inflow of 33.42 million from retail investors [3]

Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 2.01% on November 6, with Changbao Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4007.76, up 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13452.42, up 1.73% [1] Stock Performance - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) closed at 8.22, up 10.04% with a trading volume of 415,800 shares and a transaction value of 341 million [1] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 26.56, up 6.92% with a trading volume of 347,800 shares [1] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) closed at 40.24, up 4.85% with a trading volume of 78,900 shares [1] - Other notable performances include: - CITIC Special Steel (000708) at 15.31, up 1.46% - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) at 4.36, up 1.40% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net inflow of 15.29 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 16.79 million [2] - The capital flow for key stocks includes: - Changbao Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 49.96 million from institutional investors [3] - Shengde Zhengtai had a net inflow of 22.08 million from institutional investors [3] - CITIC Special Steel had a net inflow of 12.89 million from institutional investors [3]

Market Performance - The special steel sector increased by 1.71% on November 5, with Changbao Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3969.25, up 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13223.56, up 0.37% [1] Stock Performance - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) closed at 7.47, up 10.01% with a trading volume of 939,200 shares and a transaction value of 693 million [1] - Other notable performers include: - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) at 38.38, up 4.15% [1] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) at 5.62, up 3.69% [1] - Xining Special Steel (600117) at 3.19, up 2.24% [1] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) at 4.30, up 1.65% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net inflow of 113 million in main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 26.03 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks includes: - Changbao Co., Ltd. with a net inflow of 63.79 million [3] - Fushun Special Steel with a net inflow of 15.27 million [3] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel with a net inflow of 19.67 million [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the controllable nuclear fusion industry [2][3]. Core Insights - The controllable nuclear fusion industry is accelerating its industrialization process, transitioning from experimental validation to engineering demonstration, with a focus on key suppliers and core component manufacturers that have achieved domestic substitution [2]. - The overall domestic production rate of key nuclear fusion equipment exceeds 96%, with significant advancements in materials performance being a core bottleneck for the feasibility of the technology route [2]. - The industry is entering a new phase characterized by "multiple routes racing + capital resonance," with significant milestones expected, such as the BEST device demonstrating power generation by 2027 [2]. Industry Scale - The industry comprises 118 listed companies, with a total market capitalization of 2114.6 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 1755.9 billion [3]. Performance Metrics - The absolute performance over 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is 3.2%, 27.0%, and 26.1% respectively, while the relative performance is -0.5%, 2.4%, and 6.9% [5]. Key Companies and Financial Indicators - Notable companies include: - Xibu Superconductor (688122.SH) with a market cap of 50.1 billion and a strong recommendation [7]. - Antai Technology (000969.SZ) also strongly recommended with a market cap of 22.3 billion [7]. - Jiu Li Special Materials (002318.SZ) with a market cap of 25.0 billion and a strong recommendation [7]. - Other companies such as Guoguang Electric (688776.SH), Hezhu Intelligent (603011.SH), and Lianchuang Optoelectronics (600363.SH) are also highlighted, though they do not have specific investment ratings [7]. Material Innovation - Material innovation is identified as the current core bottleneck and breakthrough point for industrialization, with extreme operational environments requiring materials with high melting points, radiation resistance, and thermal fatigue performance [6]. - Domestic companies like Antai Technology and West Superconductor have made breakthroughs in tungsten-copper filters and superconducting materials, overcoming foreign monopolies [6]. Market Opportunities - The industry chain is witnessing incremental market growth across multiple segments, with energy equipment leaders establishing significant layouts and core component manufacturers benefiting from clear development paths [6]. - Companies such as Guoguang Electric, Hezhu Intelligent, and Lianchuang Optoelectronics are positioned to benefit significantly from local support [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 36.83 CNY [3][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown resilience in profitability, with a projected EPS of 1.66, 1.65, and 1.86 CNY for 2025-2027, reflecting adjustments in sales volume for composite pipe products [3]. - The company is strategically positioned in the nuclear fusion sector, which is expected to contribute to future profit growth, particularly through its involvement in the ITER project and the development of key materials [10]. - The controlling shareholder has increased their stake in the company, indicating confidence in future performance and growth potential [10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a net profit of approximately 1.26 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.73% [10]. - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 12.05 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 10.4% compared to the previous year [5]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 26.2% in 2023 to 30.6% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5]. Financial Metrics - The company’s net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1.623 billion CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 8.9% [5]. - The projected operating profit for 2025 is 1.935 billion CNY, reflecting a growth of 6.7% [5]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 24.94 billion CNY, with a current share price of 25.52 CNY [6].

Group 1 - Zhejiang Fu Holdings and Hailu Heavy Industry experienced a bidding limit increase, indicating strong market interest [1] - Changfu Co., Ltd. saw a rise of over 10%, reflecting positive investor sentiment [1] - Other companies such as Lansi Heavy Equipment, Tianli Composite, Shanghai Electric, Jiuli Special Materials, and China National Machinery General also showed upward movement, suggesting a broader trend in the sector [1]