截至2026年1月30日收盘，顺丰控股(002352)报收于37.5元，下跌1.63%，换手率0.62%，成交量29.41万 手，成交额11.08亿元。 董秘最新回复 投资者： 供应链及国际业务剔除并购后盈利暴增 178%，同城业务增长 38.9%，但面临极兔等对手的全 球化竞争。请问当前国际业务的核心客户结构与订单储备如何？同城、快运等新业务何时能形成稳定盈 利支撑，成为第二增长曲线的核心动力？ 董秘： 尊敬的投资者，您好！根据公司于2025年8月29日在巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的 《2025年半年度报告》，2025年上半年，若剔除海外子公司KEX亏损、公司并购KLN相关融资利息费 用的影响，公司供应链及国际分部实现净利润人民币4.3亿元，较去年同比增长178%；同城即时配送业 务实现不含税营业收入54.9亿元，同比增长38.9%。在国际快递及跨境电商物流业务领域，公司通过优 化国际产品体系、提升网络效率及强化海外本土运营能力，依托国内稳固的客群基础，公司重点开拓中 高端企业客户，提供定制化高时效国际快递服务；同时凭借品牌效应与末端揽收网络优势，公司聚焦华 人跨境消费，拓展个人境 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the shipping industry, highlighting the upward potential in both oil and dry bulk markets [7]. Core Insights - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000, a week-on-week increase of 17% [10][11]. - The BDI index has shown resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, up 21.9% week-on-week, with significant increases in various vessel types [23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Shipping - The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have resulted in a significant rise in VLCC freight rates, particularly on the Middle East to China route, which saw a 27% increase to $127,000 per day [10][11]. - The market fundamentals are weakening, with a slowdown in cargo availability and a lack of new cargo in the US Gulf market, leading to a decline in overall market activity [10][11]. Dry Bulk Shipping - The BDI index has shown a remarkable performance during the off-season, with a year-on-year increase of 89% in January, averaging 1759 points [24]. - The strong performance of the BCI index, which increased by 121% year-on-year, is attributed to supply constraints and steady demand from Brazil and West Africa [24]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for upward trends in both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy Shipping and COSCO Shipping Energy [27]. - For dry bulk, the report suggests companies like Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping, citing favorable supply and demand dynamics [28]. Industry Data Tracking - Recent data shows a year-on-year increase of 8.3% in domestic air passenger volume, with average ticket prices rising by 4.3% [29]. - The SCFI index has decreased by 10% week-on-week, indicating a decline in container shipping rates [50].

今后，东航物流与顺丰航空双方还将继续秉持服务国家战略的宗旨，持续积极融入国内国际双循环新发 展格局，充分发挥航空物流在支撑高端制造、保障产业链供应链稳定与推动国货品牌出海中的作用。 （编辑：金杰妮 校对：李海燕 审核：程凌） 《中国民航报》、中国民航网 记者钱擘 报道：2026年2月1日，东航物流旗下中货航与顺丰航空在马来 西亚槟城签署2026年度合作意向备忘录。由此，东航物流与顺丰航空2025年10月在上海签署的战略合作 协议得以深化落地，也标志着双方在新一年的业务协同进入实质性推进阶段。 此次合作备忘录的签署，是签约双方积极响应国际物流市场需求、提升供应链服务能力的重要举措，推 进了双方的全球化布局。根据备忘录，双方计划在上海浦东—洛杉矶、深圳—洛杉矶等重点航线开展运 力互换合作，并共同开发东南亚至欧美的联运产品。双方也计划通过资源整合与优势互补，进一步提升 在亚太及中美市场的综合服务能力，持续为客户提供更优质、更可靠的全球物流解决方案，合力打造更 具国际竞争力的航空物流服务，助力中国物流业的高质量发展与国际化布局。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - Geopolitical factors are driving up VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000 per day, a week-on-week increase of 17%. The Middle East to China route is reported at $127,000 per day, up 27% week-on-week [1][10]. - The BDI index is showing resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, a week-on-week increase of 21.9%. The average BDI for January is reported at 1759 points, a year-on-year increase of 89% [2][23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Transportation - The ongoing tensions between the US and Iran have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the market showing signs of weakness as the supply of cargo from the Middle East is tapering off [1][10]. - The Brent crude oil futures price has risen to $69.83 per barrel, a 9.6% increase since January 22, driven by concerns over potential disruptions in Middle Eastern oil supply [2][11]. Dry Bulk Transportation - The BDI index has shown strong performance despite seasonal trends, with significant increases in various sub-indices: BCI up 35.8%, BPI up 8.1%, BSI up 4.0%, and BHSI up 3.0% week-on-week [2][23]. - The report highlights that the supply side is constrained due to recent storms affecting shipping schedules, while demand remains robust due to favorable weather conditions for iron ore exports from Brazil [3][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping for oil transportation, and Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping for dry bulk [7][28]. - The report emphasizes the importance of performance elasticity and dividend value in the transportation sector, particularly in aviation and shipping [7][62].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive outlook for the logistics and transportation sector, particularly highlighting companies like SF Holding and China National Aviation [2][4]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector saw a year-on-year growth of 2.3% in December, with major companies benefiting from price increases amid reduced competition [2]. - The logistics sector is experiencing a recovery in demand, with a recommendation for Haicheng Co. due to its focus on smart logistics [3]. - The aviation sector is expected to see improved profitability as supply constraints ease, with recommendations for China National Aviation and Southern Airlines [4]. Summary by Sections Transportation Market Review - The transportation index fell by 1.3% during the week of January 24-30, 2026, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.1%, indicating underperformance against the broader market [12]. Industry Fundamentals Tracking Shipping Ports - The shipping market is adjusting, with the China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) at 1175.59 points, down 2.7% week-on-week and down 21.9% year-on-year [21]. - The dry bulk shipping index (BDI) increased by 14.2% week-on-week, indicating a positive trend in dry bulk demand [34]. Aviation Airports - In December 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 60.6 million, a 6% year-on-year increase, with domestic routes showing strong performance [53]. - Major airlines are expected to improve profitability, with China National Airlines and Southern Airlines highlighted for their potential [4]. Rail and Road - National railway passenger volume increased by 8.52% year-on-year in December 2025, while road freight volume showed a slight increase of 0.62% [72]. - The report notes a decline in truck traffic on highways, with a 3.32% decrease week-on-week [34]. Recommendations - The report recommends investing in SF Holding for its valuation and resilience, and in Haicheng Co. for its smart logistics initiatives [2][3]. - The aviation sector is also recommended for investment, particularly in China National Aviation and Southern Airlines due to expected profit recovery [4].

❑ 风险提示：人民币大幅贬值、油价大幅上涨、快递价格战恶化、重大海上安 全事故、重大自然灾害等。 推荐（维持） 证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2026 年 02 月 01 日 ❑ 物流：本周 TAC 上海出境空运价格指数周环比-3.9%，同比+0.7%。 地缘情绪推升油运运价,三大航发布 2025 年业绩预告 招商交通运输行业周报 周期/交通运输 本周关注：航运方面，地缘情绪推升油运运价；基础设施方面，优选个股布局 红利资产；航空方面，关注 26 年行业基本面上行趋势；快递方面，关注 26 年 行业竞争格局和估值修复潜力。 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 3.2 6.1 16.5 相对表现 2.0 -7.3 -6.8 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -10 0 10 20 30 Feb/25 May/25 Sep/25 Jan/26 (%) 交通运输 沪深300 相关报告 1、《招商交通运输行业周报—油轮 制裁力度仍在加大，2025 年快递业务 量同比增长 13.6%》2026-01-25 2、《招商交通运输行业周报—油运 景气度高涨，国常会研究部署多项促 消费举措》2026-01-18 3、《招商交通运输 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the shipping industry, highlighting strong performance in the sector despite seasonal challenges [4]. Core Insights - The shipbuilding sector is expected to show significant earnings growth, with Su Mei Da's Q4 net profit forecasted at 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 71%, driven by strong contributions from shipbuilding and power generation [5]. - The shipping market continues to experience robust demand, with one-year charter rates for VLCCs rising by 2.8% to $64,000 per day, and Cape rates increasing by 8.4% to $28,700 per day [5]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing volatility in oil transportation rates, with VLCC rates experiencing a 62% increase in a single day due to supply-demand imbalances and geopolitical tensions [5]. - The dry bulk shipping market is also showing resilience, with the BDI index rising by 21.9% week-on-week, driven by strong demand from Australia and Brazil [5]. Summary by Sections Shipbuilding Sector - Su Mei Da's Q4 net profit is projected at 2.5 billion, up 71% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [5]. - ST Songfa's Q4 net profit is estimated between 11-14 million, with a net profit margin of 14%, reflecting a 1.6 percentage point increase from Q3 [5]. - Attention is drawn to China Shipbuilding's upcoming full consolidation of assets and the release of high-priced orders in Q1 2026 [5]. Shipping Market - The report notes a continued upward trend in shipping rates, with VLCC rates increasing by 2.8% and Cape rates by 8.4% [5]. - The VLCC average rate rose by 16% week-on-week, reaching $122,326 per day, with Middle East to Far East rates dropping by 25% [5]. - The report highlights the impact of geopolitical tensions on oil transportation, particularly in the context of the Ukraine conflict [5]. Dry Bulk Shipping - The BDI index recorded a 21.9% increase, with Capesize rates rising by 35.8% to $31,809 per day [5]. - Strong demand from Australia and Brazil is noted, with limited supply contributing to higher rates [5]. Air Transportation - The report indicates a significant opportunity for airlines due to rising passenger volumes and historical high load factors, suggesting a potential "golden era" for the industry [5]. - Airlines such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines are highlighted as key players to watch [5]. Express Delivery - The report anticipates uncertainty in the express delivery sector due to fluctuating demand and industry self-regulation policies, but notes that leading companies like Zhongtong Express and YTO Express are expected to maintain their market share and profitability [5]. Rail and Road Transportation - Rail freight volumes and highway truck traffic are showing resilience, with recent data indicating a slight decline in volumes but overall stability [5]. - The report suggests that high dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts in the highway sector are worth monitoring [5].

Core Viewpoint - SF Holding (002352) experienced a decline in stock price, closing at 37.5 yuan on January 30, 2026, down 1.63% with a trading volume of 294,100 lots and a turnover of 1.108 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trading Data - On January 30, 2026, the net outflow of main funds was 74.6155 million yuan, accounting for 6.73% of the total turnover, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 99.3938 million yuan, representing 8.97% of the total turnover [1] - Over the past five days, the stock's closing prices and changes were as follows: January 30: 37.50 (-1.63%), January 29: 38.12 (+1.17%), January 28: 37.68 (-0.48%), January 27: 37.86 (-2.30%), January 26: 38.75 (-1.02%) [2] Group 2: Financial Metrics and Industry Comparison - SF Holding's total market capitalization is 188.979 billion yuan, with a net asset value of 108.975 billion yuan and a net profit of 8.308 billion yuan, ranking first in the logistics industry [3] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 225.261 billion yuan, an increase of 8.89% year-on-year, while the net profit rose by 9.07% to 8.308 billion yuan [3] - The company's financial ratios include a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.06, a price-to-book ratio of 1.92, a gross margin of 12.96%, and a net margin of 3.87% [3] Group 3: Analyst Ratings - In the last 90 days, 13 institutions provided ratings for SF Holding, with 11 buy ratings and 2 hold ratings, and the average target price set at 51.03 yuan [4]

深圳顺丰供应链作为顺丰速运旗下重要的供应链服务主体，货源稳定、网络健全。此次包机合作不仅体 现了顺丰对山航全货机运力与运行品质的认可，也标志着双方从长期以来稳定的腹舱运输合作，正式迈 向全货机领域的深度协同。航线主要运输顺丰快件，进一步提升了华东与华南之间的物流时效与服务稳 定性。 山东航空持续拓展全货机业务，深化与行业头部企业的战略合作。此次与顺丰供应链的成功携手，是山 航贯彻落实市场化运营、拓展高价值货运客户的重要成果。未来，山航将继续优化货运航线网络，提升 综合物流保障能力，为推动区域间经贸往来与产业链供应链高效流通持续贡献航空力量。（编辑：贾昊 天 校对：李海燕 审核：韩磊） 《中国民航报》、 中国民航网 记者许晓泓 通讯员倪昭鑫、于福亮 报道：1月27日2时30分，山东航空一 架波音737-800BCF全货机从南京禄口国际机场起飞，顺利抵达深圳宝安国际机场，标志着山东航空与 深圳市顺丰供应链有限公司合作的首条包机航线——南京—深圳货运航线正式投入运营。首航航班双向 运输顺丰快件类货物共约19.82吨，其中南京至深圳运输货物14.97吨，深圳至南京运输货物4.85吨。 该航线为短期包机合作项目，自20 ...

2026年1月15日，极兔速递(1519.HK)与顺丰控股(002352.SZ，6936.HK)联合发布公告，宣布达成总额83亿港元的相互持股协议。根据协议，极兔向顺丰增发 8.22亿股B类股份，顺丰向极兔增发2.26亿股H股，交易完成后顺丰将持有极兔10%股份，极兔持有顺丰4.29%股份。 这是中国物流行业迄今规模最大的战略性交叉持股案例。双方在公告中明确，此次合作旨在构建覆盖更广、效率更高的全球一体化物流网络，共同把握中资 企业出海及跨境电商的增长机遇。 应对出海供应链痛点，构建端到端服务能力 随着跨境电商进入深耕阶段，物流需求已从单纯"可达"升级为"稳定、高效、成本优化"的综合体验。然而，单一企业试图在全球范围内自建"干仓配"一体网 络，往往面临高昂的资本投入、管理复杂度与文化融合挑战。通过战略合作实现资源共享与能力衔接，正成为头部物流企业应对国际竞争、提升全链路服务 效率的务实路径。 守稳基本盘，"双轮驱动"走得更稳 链条效率，从而增强综合竞争力。同时也为中国出海企业提供更具确定性和性价比的跨境物流解决方案，在服务体验层面构建差异化的护城河。 交易公布后，多家投行上调极兔目标价至13港元以上，反映出资 ...