Report Title - Local Boom in Convertible Bond Gold Mining (1) [2] Report Date and Analysts - Report Date: September 28, 2025 - Analysts: Luo Yunfeng (SAC No.: S1050524060001), Yang Feiran (SAC No.: S1050524070001) [3] Core Views - The core driving force of the market in this round has been the improvement of risk appetite, which is an endogenous variable of profitability. Since September, considering the decline in equity trading volume, the narrowing gap between the growth and value of equities, and the increase in the proportion of the same - direction movement of stocks and bonds, it is believed that the repair of risk appetite is basically in place. In the future, risk appetite will fluctuate within a range along with profitability, with the upper and lower limits corresponding to the levels in early January (the week of January 6) and early September (the week of September 8) respectively. On September 25, 2025, it approached the lowest level in recent years on October 12, 2024 [4]. - The recent shift of the market from "banks + micro - cap stocks" to technology has a profit foundation, that is, the overall economy is bottoming out but there are local upturns. The private - sector debt growth rate is used as a proxy variable for profitability, and its downward bottom appeared in October 2024 and has not reached a new low as of July 2025 [4]. - The long - term cycle of convertible bonds is synchronized with equities. The periodic recovery of convertible bond valuations provides signals for left - hand side position - adding and profit - taking. Therefore, short - term fluctuations may be leading and amplifying signals of equities. Recently, although convertible bond valuations have been actively adjusted, they are still at a relatively high level. After the holiday, attention should be paid to locally booming industries and performance - realizing targets [6]. 01 Risk Appetite Will Follow Profitability in Range - bound Fluctuations - The repair of risk appetite in this round may be basically in place. The highest point of risk appetite since data became available was in 2007, and the lowest point was on April 7, 2025. Excluding the impact of event - driven factors, the lowest point was in January 2025. The private - sector debt growth rate, as a proxy variable for profitability, reached its bottom in October 2024 and has not set a new low as of July 2025. The risk appetite may enter a range - bound fluctuation, and on September 25, 2025, it approached the lowest level in recent years on October 12, 2024 [8]. - The overall economic fundamentals are still in the bottom - grinding stage. In the second quarter, the real GDP grew by 5.2% year - on - year, 0.2 percentage points lower than in the first quarter. Investment has been sluggish due to the real estate sector, and infrastructure investment has declined at an accelerating pace since mid - year. Consumption has been affected by the high - then - low national subsidies at the beginning of the year, and the CPI has been in a slump. Industrial product prices have shown a trend of price increases with volume contraction. From the perspective of Wind All - A earnings data, the overall economic fundamentals are still bottoming out [11][14]. 02 Fundamental Local Boom Corresponds to the Double - Innovation Market - In terms of revenue, the improvement of the Science and Technology Innovation 50 and the ChiNext Index is leading, while the Micro - cap and Dividend Indexes have the most obvious decline. In 2025Q2, the revenue growth rate of the ChiNext Index increased by 5 percentage points to 9.3%, and the Science and Technology Innovation 50 ended its relative disadvantage for three consecutive quarters. The revenue of the Micro - cap and Dividend Indexes decreased by 7.8% and 5.9% respectively in 2025Q2 [18]. - In terms of gross profit margin, compared with 2024Q2, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 and the SSE 50 had the most significant increase in gross profit margin in 2025Q2, up 2.5 and 2.0 percentage points respectively. The ChiNext Index had a gross profit margin of 24.5% in 2025Q2, still the highest among broad - based indexes [21]. - Most indexes' year - on - year growth rate of net profit attributable to shareholders in 2025Q2 declined quarter - on - quarter. The Science and Technology Innovation Board had a significant improvement in net profit in 2025Q2, and the ChiNext Index continued to lead other broad - based indexes in terms of growth rate [24]. - In terms of specific industries, in 2025Q2, the industries with the highest year - on - year growth rate of net profit attributable to shareholders were gaming (104%), steel (82%), precious metals (76%), etc. The industries with the largest decline were real estate (- 132%), coal (- 37%), etc. The industries with positive growth in 2025Q2 and an improvement compared with 2025Q1 were banks, insurance, etc. Combining the historical percentile of valuation, the industries with high performance growth and still some room for valuation are power equipment, new energy, gaming, and consumer electronics [29][30] 03 Convertible Bonds Follow Equities to Explore Locally Booming Sectors - The long - term cycle of convertible bonds is synchronized with equities. The short - term periodic recovery of convertible bond valuations provides signals for left - hand side position - adding and profit - taking. Short - term fluctuations may be leading and amplifying signals of equities. Recently, although convertible bond valuations have been actively adjusted, they are still at a relatively high level. After the holiday, attention should be paid to locally booming industries and performance - realizing targets. Convertible bond targets with good performance in 2025Q2 are concentrated in power equipment, electronics, etc. [45] - The All - A Index can basically explain most of the long - term fluctuations of convertible bonds. The regression results show that the performance of convertible bonds mainly follows the equity market, and the equity market trend can explain 91.4% of the price fluctuations of the convertible bond market. The convertible bond market follows equities in this round, and is less affected by the bond market [48][59] - The short - term fluctuations of convertible bond valuations provide signals for left - hand side position - adding and profit - taking. From June 23 to August 25, the active increase in convertible bond valuations was greater than that of the underlying stocks. Therefore, the convertible bond market entered the downward - oscillation cycle earlier than the equity market on August 27 and had a larger decline due to the return of valuations [61] - ETF share fluctuations have a relatively small impact on the price fluctuations of underlying convertible bond targets. Since September, the growth rate of convertible bond ETF shares has decreased significantly, which may mainly reflect sentiment and valuation [64] - Convertible bonds with good profitability have larger increases and are more resistant to declines. From June 23 to August 25, convertible bonds followed the underlying stocks in a sharp rise, with the growth sector leading. Some convertible bonds in individual sectors outperformed the underlying stocks, mainly concentrated in industries and targets with excellent performance. From August 25 to September 23, convertible bonds led the All - A Index in decline, and their subsequent performance was weaker than that of equities, mainly due to the periodicity of convertible bond valuation fluctuations [70][77] - The new energy sector under the goal of carbon peaking by 2030 may be one of the most certain trading directions in the next five years. The new energy vehicle penetration rate continues to increase, and the energy storage market has an important turning point. The report focuses on Keli Convertible Bonds and Hongfa Convertible Bonds in the new energy field [83] - Keli Convertible Bonds: Kodal Precision is the global leader in precision structural parts. The company's performance has been growing steadily. The convertible bond has a relatively large issuance scale, and the current price is around 140 yuan, with a conversion premium rate of 18.6%. It is an offensive convertible bond with high - quality underlying stocks and has no risk of forced redemption for the time being [87][89][92] - Hongfa Convertible Bonds: Hongfa Co., Ltd. is the world's largest relay manufacturer. The company's performance has been growing steadily. The convertible bond has a large issuance scale, and the current price is around 134 yuan, with a conversion premium rate of 18.2%. The downward - adjustment clause is relatively loose [95][98][101]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the electric equipment and new energy sector, including CATL, Keda, and others, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [5]. Core Insights - The electric equipment and new energy sector saw a weekly increase of 3.86%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.21% [1]. - In August, the total electricity consumption in China exceeded 1 trillion kWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [4]. - The report highlights the launch of new electric vehicles, including the AITO Wenjie M7 and H5, which offer various configurations and competitive pricing [2][10]. - Solar power generation capacity increased by 230.61 GW year-on-year, although August saw a month-on-month decline in new installations [3][37]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicles - The AITO Wenjie M7 was launched on September 23, 2025, with 12 configurations and a price range of 279,800 to 379,800 CNY, featuring both range-extended and pure electric versions [2][10]. - The H5 model was also launched, priced between 159,800 and 199,800 CNY, offering similar powertrain options [2][12]. New Energy Generation - As of August 2025, the solar power generation capacity added 230.61 GW, a 64.73% increase year-on-year, but the monthly addition in August was 7.36 GW, down 55.29% year-on-year [3][37]. - The report notes a slight increase in inverter exports, with a total of 434.02 billion CNY from January to August 2025, reflecting a 7.85% year-on-year growth [30][31]. Electric Equipment and Industrial Control - Total electricity consumption in August reached 1,015.4 billion kWh, with a cumulative total of 6,878.8 billion kWh from January to August, representing a 4.6% year-on-year increase [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of key companies such as CATL, Keda, and others in driving growth within the sector [4][5]. Weekly Market Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector outperformed the broader market, with significant trading volumes reported [1][4]. - Key companies to watch include CATL, Keda, and others, which are expected to benefit from ongoing industry trends [4][5].

Core Insights - The battery theme index has shown a slight decline of 0.06% as of September 26, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks, highlighting the volatility in the sector [1] - The battery ETF managed by Harvest has seen a significant increase in net inflows and trading volume, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the battery industry [3] - Solid-state batteries are emerging as the next generation of battery technology, driven by advancements in energy density and safety, which are expected to accelerate industrialization and capital expenditure across the supply chain [4] Group 1: Market Performance - The battery ETF Harvest has recorded a 5.70% increase over the past week as of September 25, 2025, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] - The ETF's trading volume reached 37.96 million yuan with a turnover rate of 2.96%, indicating active trading [3] - The ETF's net asset value has increased by 99.90% over the past year, ranking it 417th out of 3031 index equity funds, placing it in the top 13.76% [3] Group 2: Investment Trends - The latest scale of the battery ETF Harvest has reached 1.269 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception [3] - Over the past 19 trading days, there have been 12 days of net inflows totaling 660 million yuan, showcasing strong investor confidence [3] - Wood Mackenzie forecasts that global energy storage capacity will grow more than sevenfold over the next decade, requiring an investment of 1.2 trillion USD in battery systems by 2034 [3] Group 3: Industry Developments - The top ten weighted stocks in the battery theme index account for 53.03% of the index, with significant players including Sungrow Power, CATL, and EVE Energy [4][6] - Solid-state battery technology is expected to lead to new product releases and capacity expansions, enhancing performance validation in the market [4] - The entire supply chain, including equipment, materials, and batteries, is anticipated to undergo iterative upgrades, increasing capital expenditure [4]

Core Viewpoint - KedaLi's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with an increase of 81.64% year-to-date, indicating strong market performance and investor interest [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, KedaLi reported a revenue of 6.645 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 22.01% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 769 million yuan, reflecting an 18.72% increase compared to the previous year [2]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, KedaLi had 22,500 shareholders, an increase of 17.83% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 15.11% to 8,746 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - KedaLi has distributed a total of 1.312 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.022 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Major Shareholders - As of June 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is QuanGuo XuYuan Mixed A, holding 10.6984 million shares, an increase of 466,200 shares from the previous period [3]. - Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest shareholder with 6.6435 million shares, having decreased its holdings by 466,800 shares [3].

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Keda Li Industrial Co., Ltd. has elected Mr. Shi Huifeng as the employee representative director in accordance with the revised company articles and relevant regulations [1][2]. Group 1: Company Announcement - The company held its 21st meeting of the fifth board of directors on August 15, 2025, and the first extraordinary shareholders' meeting on September 2, 2025, where the amendment to the company articles was approved [1]. - The company convened an employee representative assembly on September 25, 2025, to elect Mr. Shi Huifeng as the employee representative director, effective from the date of approval [2]. Group 2: Director Qualifications - Mr. Shi Huifeng meets all qualifications and conditions for directorship as per the Company Law and the company articles [2]. - Following the election, Mr. Shi transitioned from a non-employee representative director to an employee representative director, maintaining the total number of board members [2]. Group 3: Director Profile - Mr. Shi Huifeng, born in 1978, holds a master's degree and is a certified public accountant with no foreign permanent residency [4]. - He has been with the company since 2010, currently serving as a director, vice president, and financial director, and has held various positions in other companies [4]. - Mr. Shi directly holds 7,700 shares of the company, representing 0.0028% of the total share capital, and has no conflicts of interest with major shareholders or other board members [4].

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 9月25日晚间，科达利发布公告称，选举石会峰先生为公司职工代表董事。 ...

深圳市科达利实业股份有限公司 | 证券代码：002850 | 证券简称：科达利 | 公告编号：2025-065 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127066 | 债券简称：科利转债 | | 关于选举第五届董事会职工代表董事的公告 2025 年 9 月 26 日 附件：石会峰先生简历 石会峰先生：1978 年出生，中国国籍，无境外永久居留权，硕士学历，中 国注册会计师。曾任深圳市中科蓝讯科技股份有限公司独立董事。2010 年进入 科达利，现任本公司董事、副总裁、财务总监，惠州三力协成精密部件有限公司 董事，深圳奥特迅电力设备股份有限公司独立董事。 石会峰先生符合《公司法》等法律法规及《公司章程》关于董事任职的资格 和条件，并将按照《公司法》、《公司章程》的有关规定行使职权。 本次选举完成后，石会峰先生由原公司第五届董事会非职工代表董事变更为 公司第五届董事会职工代表董事，公司第五届董事会构成人员不变，董事会中兼 任公司高级管理人员以及由职工代表担任的董事人数总计未超过公司董事总数 的二分之一，符合有关法律法规、规范性文件及《公司章程》的规定。 特此公告。 深圳市科达利实业股份有限公司 ...

Core Insights - The European electric vehicle (EV) market is experiencing significant growth, with sales in August 2025 reaching 176,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 41.2% and a penetration rate of 31.4%, up by 8.3 percentage points [1][2] - The European Parliament has approved amendments to carbon emission assessments, delaying the tightening of emission targets originally planned for 2025, but the overall trend towards stricter regulations remains unchanged [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In August 2025, battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales reached 114,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 32.3%, while plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) sales were 62,000 units, up by 61.5% [2] - Germany saw accelerated growth in electric vehicle sales, with BEV sales of 39,000 units, up 45.7%, and PHEV sales of 24,000 units, up 76.7% [3] - The UK has reintroduced BEV subsidies, with approximately 25% of BEV models qualifying for subsidies as of August, leading to BEV sales of 22,000 units, a 14.9% increase, and PHEV sales of 9,800 units, up 69.4% [4] - France's BEV sales were 17,000 units, a 29.6% increase, despite a general decline in the automotive market, with a penetration rate of 19.4% in August, the highest of the year [5] Group 2: Market Drivers - Spain is promoting electric vehicle adoption through new model launches, promotional activities, and the MOVES III subsidy program, alongside a 15% personal income tax reduction for electric vehicle purchases [6] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Recommended investments in lithium battery companies include CATL, EVE Energy, and Xinwangda, with beneficiaries such as Innovation Navigation and Guoxuan High-Tech [7] - For lithium materials, recommended companies include Hunan Yueneng, with beneficiaries like Fulian Precision and Wanrun New Energy [7] - Recommendations for electric drive systems include Weimaisi and Fute Technology, with beneficiaries such as Xinrui Technology and Huangshan Gujie [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of long-term demand expectations as a key driver for valuation and performance in the lithium battery and photovoltaic sectors [24][28] - It highlights the significant impact of short-term marginal conditions, particularly pricing and production/output data, on market sentiment and stock performance [41][48] Summary by Sections 1. Stock Price Review - The lithium battery market began its upward trend in late 2019, driven by European carbon emission assessments and the rise of new energy vehicle consumption in China [11] - The photovoltaic market saw significant growth from 2020 to 2021 due to global carbon reduction targets and supply constraints, leading to a surge in prices and stock performance [15] - The inverter segment experienced explosive growth driven by demand from energy storage solutions, but faced a sharp decline in 2023 due to inventory issues [19] 2. Key Drivers - **Long-term Demand Expectations - Lithium Batteries** - The report notes that the adjustment of long-term demand expectations directly influences performance and valuation, with significant growth observed in 2020 due to rising demand for new energy vehicles [24] - **Long-term Demand Expectations - Photovoltaics** - The report indicates that from 2020 to 2021, demand expectations for photovoltaics were revised upwards, leading to a bullish market sentiment, but concerns about peak demand in 2023 led to a decline in valuations [29] - **Long-term Demand Expectations - Inverters** - The inverter market's performance was closely tied to demand expectations, with significant growth in 2022 driven by European energy needs, but a subsequent drop in orders in 2023 [33] 3. Short-term Marginal Conditions - **Pricing** - The report highlights that price changes in lithium and silicon materials significantly affect stock prices, with stock prices often leading material price increases [41] - **Production/Output** - Monthly production and shipment data are critical indicators for stock performance, particularly in the energy storage sector, where visibility is limited [48] - **Quarterly Profit Growth Expectations** - Market participants often use quarterly profit growth expectations to gauge industry health, with stock prices typically peaking ahead of profit expectations [49] 4. Other Insights - The report notes that valuation levels are not the primary indicators of market peaks, as fundamental expectations play a more crucial role in determining market trends [59] 5. Outlook - The report expresses optimism for the energy storage market, projecting significant growth in global installations driven by improved demand expectations and favorable market conditions [62][65]

人民财讯9月23日电，科达利（002850）9月23日在互动平台表示，公司目前订单充足，生产经营情况良 好。 ...