Core Insights - The Chinese internet food delivery industry has officially ended the "money-burning for market share" era, with a significant intervention from the State Administration for Market Regulation, halting a year-long subsidy war involving major players like Meituan, Taobao Flash, and JD Delivery [1][2][12] Group 1: Industry Changes - The subsidy war, which saw a total investment of 744 billion yuan, has been characterized as a "suicidal attack" on the industry, leading to severe financial losses for major platforms [8][12] - In 2025, the intense competition resulted in a staggering 89% year-on-year drop in adjusted net profit for Meituan and a 78% decline in adjusted EBITA for Alibaba's instant retail business [8][10] - Over 12% of small and medium-sized restaurants succumbed to the pressure of forced low-price promotions, highlighting the detrimental effects of the subsidy war [10][12] Group 2: Regulatory Actions - The regulatory body has identified "subsidy wars, price competition, and traffic control" as critical issues that require immediate rectification [12][20] - The intervention marks a significant correction of the internet business logic, emphasizing the need for sustainable practices rather than short-term gains through subsidies [14][32] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Following the regulatory intervention, JD Delivery has shifted to a model charging a 5% service fee, indicating a return to a more sustainable business model focused on providing technical services [22] - The end of the subsidy war is expected to lead to a focus on quality and safety in the food delivery market, moving away from price as the primary competitive factor [33][35] Group 4: Consumer Impact - Consumers have begun to notice price increases, with average delivery prices rising by approximately 0.8 yuan, reflecting the end of artificially low prices [28][30] - The previous low-price model is described as a bubble that compromised food safety, with the new pricing structure aimed at ensuring better quality and service [30][38]

每经记者｜张锦河 每经编辑｜段炼 | （免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。） | | --- | | 芯片股低迷，上海复旦跌超5%，华虹半导体跌近5%，兆易创新跌超3%，中芯国际跌超2%。 | 记者|张锦河 恒生科技指数跳水，跌1.844%。几大巨头表现不佳，腾讯控股跌近4%，百度集团跌近3%，小米集团跌超1.8%，京东集团跌超1.6%，阿里巴巴跌近1%。 | | 恒生科技指数成分股 | O | | --- | --- | --- | | | HSTECH 5366.440 -100.820 -1.844% | | | 名称 | 现价 ◆ | 涨跌幅 ⇒ > | | 腾讯控股 | 558.000 | -3.959% | | 00700 | | | | 哔哩哔哩-W | 243.600 | -3.715% | | 09626 | | | | 网易-S | 191.900 | -3.325% | | 099999 | | | | 百度集团-SW | 137.200 | -2.970% | | 09888 | | | 编辑|段炼 杜恒峰 校对|何小桃 封面图片|视觉 ...

春节将至，巨头们的AI大战也进入了白热化时期。 1月25日，腾讯宣布2月1日在元宝App上线春节红包活动，用户可参与分享10亿元现金，并且可以无门 槛提现至微信红包。 同一天，百度文心助手也官宣，自1月26日至3月12日，用户在百度APP使用文心助手，有机会瓜分5亿 现金红包，最高可获得1万元奖励。 阿里的千问除了已经宣布的赞助B站跨年晚会和江苏卫视春节晚会外，春节档的千问APP的营销正在紧 锣密鼓地准备中。 字节则已经拿下春晚冠名，让火山引擎和豆包AI助手联手，把AI深度融入了2026年央视春晚的互动环 节。 巨头已经到齐，盛宴即将开场。 马化腾说，腾讯唯一花钱投入比较多的就是AI，希望元宝能重现11年前微信红包的时刻。 字节跳动已初步规划 2026 年AI领域资本支出约 1600 亿元人民币。 阿里巴巴管理层则在业绩会上表示，此前提出的3800亿元AI投入规划可能偏保守，不排除进一步增加 投资的可能。 饱和式战争即将打响，AI下半场，谁也不想缺席。 01 从软件到硬件：全方位的AI流量争夺 一路行来，巨头之间的AI竞争，大体可以分为三个方面。 第一，AI赋能 在这个阶段，巨头们主要的发力点是在传统业务形态 ...

玩转AI特效、万元小马卡、吃喝玩乐免单、AI社交派对……当数十亿红包砸向14亿人的春节，一场没有硝烟的AI入口争夺战正在上演。 春节临近，互联网大厂们将红包战场从移动支付、短视频转向了AI。百度文心助手、腾讯元宝、阿里千问、字节豆包通过现金红包、免单计划、春晚合 作等形式，试图将AI助手推向国民级应用。 这场看似熟悉的撒钱营销，不仅是流量的争夺，更是对自身AI战略的一次全民级压力测试与成果验收。从发红包的方式，到红包背后的战略意图，一场 围绕AI技术实力、生态融合与用户心智的深层竞争已然拉开序幕。 流量争夺战与能力试炼 春节AI红包大战在2026年初达到白热化。2月2日至3日，阿里千问宣布投入30亿元启动"春节大请客"，且独家冠名了东方卫视、浙江卫视、江苏卫视、河 南卫视四大马年春节晚会，成为目前最大手笔的玩家。 这场战役中，腾讯早在1月25日就宣布于2月1日在元宝APP上线春节红包活动，发放总额10亿元的现金红包。 百度也在1月25日晚间宣布启动马年春节红包活动，用户在百度APP内通过AI互动、集卡等玩法就有机会瓜分5亿现金红包。 字节跳动旗下火山引擎成为2026年央视春晚独家AI云合作伙伴，AI助手豆包也 ...

新浪科技讯 2月4日下午消息，2026年支付宝集福活动首次上线智能穿戴设备扫福功能。用户佩戴夸 克、乐奇Rokid等品牌的AI眼镜，无需操作手机，通过"看一下"配合"说一句"的简单方式，即可完成扫 福、集卡、分享等全流程，实现"福在眼前"的沉浸式体验。 具体来说，当用户佩戴AI眼镜看向身边的"福"字并说出"扫福"指令后，眼镜会自动唤起摄像头，实时识 别视野中的"福"字或各类隐藏元素，识别成功后福卡即时到账。据悉，该功能已接入支付宝好友生态， 通过语音指令即可快速分享，让互动更轻松、更流畅。 责任编辑：何俊熹 责任编辑：何俊熹 新浪科技讯 2月4日下午消息，2026年支付宝集福活动首次上线智能穿戴设备扫福功能。用户佩戴夸 克、乐奇Rokid等品牌的AI眼镜，无需操作手机，通过"看一下"配合"说一句"的简单方式，即可完成扫 福、集卡、分享等全流程，实现"福在眼前"的沉浸式体验。 具体来说，当用户佩戴AI眼镜看向身边的"福"字并说出"扫福"指令后，眼镜会自动唤起摄像头，实时识 别视野中的"福"字或各类隐藏元素，识别成功后福卡即时到账。据悉，该功能已接入支付宝好友生态， 通过语音指令即可快速分享，让互动更轻松、更流畅 ...

Core Insights - The technology industry is experiencing renewed excitement in early 2026, particularly around AI innovations from major players like Tencent and Alibaba [1][2][3] Group 1: AI Innovation and Industry Dynamics - The public appearances of Ma Huateng and Jack Ma discussing AI signal a critical phase in the AI innovation race, indicating a shift towards more aggressive experimentation [3][4] - Major companies are now more cautious about innovation, focusing on ROI and budget considerations, which has led to a decrease in risk-taking [5][6] - The need for influential voices to encourage innovation is emphasized, as companies may fear the risks associated with AI development [6][7] Group 2: Company Strategies and Developments - Alibaba's Qianwen AI initially aimed at internal technology trials before pivoting to consumer-facing applications, showcasing a strategic shift in its business model [9][10] - ByteDance's Doubao AI has emerged as a significant player, leveraging its existing app ecosystem to enhance its AI capabilities [13][14] - Tencent's new AI social product, Yuanbao, is seen as a strategic move to protect its core social media business while exploring new revenue streams [18][19] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Market Challenges - The AI industry is entering a new phase of competition, with major players intensifying their efforts, potentially making it harder for mid-tier AI companies to survive [20][21] - Data indicates a significant number of AI-related companies are facing closure, highlighting the challenges for smaller players in the market [22] - The market is increasingly favoring large tech companies, which are better positioned to absorb costs and innovate, leaving independent AI firms at risk of being marginalized [32][40] Group 4: Future Outlook and Trends - The ongoing AI arms race is shifting from a focus on absolute performance to cost-effectiveness, which may impact the viability of smaller players [41][42] - The concept of an "AI slaughter line" suggests that many companies may not survive the competitive pressures of the evolving landscape [23][24] - The narrative of AI innovation continues to evolve, with the potential for new breakthroughs that could reshape the industry dynamics [43]

港股全科技赛道：恒生科技指数ETF(513180)，最新规模509亿，居同标的第一，成份股涵盖中国科技核 心资产，如中芯国际（芯片制造商）；阿里、腾讯、百度（互联网巨头）、智能硬件（小米、联想）、 互联网服务（美团、京东）等。 港股互联网龙头股权重超80%，AI应用含量更高：恒生互联网ETF(513330)，-0.75%，最新规模363亿 元，居同标的第一，成份股阿里巴巴、腾讯、网易、京东、百度等，指数AI含量超90%。 近期港股持续回调是由于美联储主席提名者沃什被视为鹰派人物，对国际流动性更敏感的港股短期波 动，这主要是避险情绪增加，而非政策基本面发生根本性变化。 国元国际指出，中长期来看，应聚焦于那些具备强大护城河、健康现金流、并在AI等新一轮技术浪潮 中占据有利位置的龙头公司，在市场过度悲观时进行左侧布局。 相关产品： 受隔夜美股AI全线下挫影响，今日港股继续走弱，恒生互联网ETF跌3%，昨日获资金单日净申购17.68 亿份。恒生科技指数ETF跌2%，昨日同样获净申购7.35亿份。截至发稿，南向资金净买入53.24亿港 元，已连续第四日净买入。 恒生科技指数较去年10月高位累计下跌20%，步入技术性熊市 ...

"老外为什么过年不放假？！""大过年的，来了订单还接不接？！" 过去，这一直是一个让外贸商家"左右为难"的问题。但今年春节，单子可以照常接，发货交给阿里国际站。由此，商家可以一边过年放假，一边"全自动发 货"，实现"假照放、单照接"的"春节躺赚"。 这背后，是阿里国际站联合菜鸟的智能仓储网络，为外贸商家打造的一站式托管服务。简单说，商家只需要完成2步：1、报名参加"春节不打烊"活动；2、 提前完成货物入仓。后续商家就可以做"甩手掌柜"，全部托管给平台。目前，报名仍在持续进行中。 同时，阿里国际站更是推出了"三免政策"：免揽收费、免操作费、免仓储费，实现0成本入仓。并为报名商品设立了专属流量池，提供搜索权重提升、春节 专属曝光等多重流量加持。 这些商品会被打上"24-hour dispatch"、"Fastshipping"的标，让海外企业买家放心下单：中国虽然在春节放假，但这些商品依然可以实现24小时内自动发货。 "上线第一天，我们就出了5单，并且全部为新客户静默下单。整个店铺的访客数至少提升了60%。"佛山市雅诗菲乐进出口有限公司相关负责人欣喜地表 示，他们正在将更多商品提前备货至菜鸟国内仓。 另一个深圳外 ...

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba is expected to face challenges in its traditional e-commerce segment while showing growth in its cloud and international digital business, leading to a mixed financial outlook for FY2026Q3 [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Projections - Total revenue for Alibaba in FY2026Q3 is projected to be 291 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 17% [1] - Adjusted EBITA is expected to decline by 47% to 29.1 billion yuan, with an adjusted EBITA margin of 10% [1] - The Chinese e-commerce group is anticipated to generate revenue of 166 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10% [1] - The cloud intelligence group is projected to achieve revenue of 43.2 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 36% [1][2] Group 2: Segment Analysis - The traditional e-commerce segment is expected to see a slowdown in customer management revenue (CMR) growth, projected at 2.5% year-over-year, due to weakening market demand and increased compliance costs [1] - The adjusted EBITA for the Chinese e-commerce group is forecasted to decline by 40% to 36.2 billion yuan, primarily due to negative growth in traditional e-commerce profits [1] - The cloud intelligence group is optimistic about long-term revenue and profit growth, with a strategic focus on "cloud + AI + chips" [2] Group 3: International and Other Businesses - The international digital business is expected to grow by 10% year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITA forecast of -1.3 billion yuan [2] - Other business segments are projected to incur an adjusted EBITA loss of 8 billion yuan, significantly impacted by investments in AI and model training [2] - The company aims to capture 80% of the incremental AI cloud market in China by 2026, indicating a strong growth strategy for its cloud services [2] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Revenue forecasts for FY2026-2028 are set at 1,036.4 billion yuan, 1,132.7 billion yuan, and 1,235.2 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 108.7 billion yuan, 116.6 billion yuan, and 149.3 billion yuan [3] - The target market capitalization for Alibaba in FY2027 is estimated at 3,177.6 billion yuan, with a target price of 166 yuan per share [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating despite short-term profit disruptions due to ongoing investments in instant retail and AI exploration [3]

春节C端大战拉响，大厂内部先出现了不统一声音。今日微信表示，已屏蔽腾讯元宝的红包链接。 现金获取方式主要有两种：其一，通过好友分享红包，每人每天最多抢3个不同用户发出的红包；其 二，通过完成任务获得抽奖机会，现金红包中奖概率约30%，单个红包金额在0.01—8.88元不等。 21世纪经济报道记者肖潇 北京报道 微信派公众号今日发文称，近期发布了《针对第三方违规行为的打击公告》，对以春节为主题集中爆发 的过度营销、诱导分享等违规行为进行打击。在此背景下，收到了用户针对元宝的反馈和投诉，其相关 春节营销活动存在通过"做任务""领红包"等方式诱导用户高频分享链接到微信群等场景，干扰平台生态 秩序、影响用户体验、对用户造成骚扰。 微信方面表示，经研判，对元宝的违规链接进行处置，限制其在微信内直接打开。相关处置措施即日生 效。 21记者注意到，目前在微信群点击元宝红包链接后，会弹出提示："网页包含诱导分享、关注等诱导行 为内容"，用户需手动复制链接至浏览器才能访问，无法直接跳转。 元宝方面随后在微博回应称，正在紧急优化调整分享机制，将尽快上线，以确保用户抢红包体验。 元宝本轮社交裂变始于四天前。2月1日，元宝春节红包活 ...