炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 记者丨董静怡 编辑丨张星 如果以"价格战"定义过去两年中国跨境电商的出海征程，那么2025年，这条赛道的关键词已经改写。 速卖通、Temu、TikTok Shop、SHEIN这四家被称为"出海四小龙"的中国跨境电商平台曾以颠覆性的成 本优势，从亚马逊手中抢夺了大量流量与市场份额。 不过，单纯的低价模式在推动规模增长效果显著，但在抗风险能力上却并不强。当全球贸易规则变化与 关税压力袭来，"四小龙"也开启了转型，强化品牌、深耕本地、提升质量。 与此同时，国际监管的审视日益严峻，从数据安全、商品合规到商业模式本身，平台面临的已不仅是市 场竞争，更是系统性的合规挑战。 在初期的价格优势之后，平台要靠什么持续留住全球消费者？ 图片来源：新华社 逆风 过去，低价一直是"四小龙"的重要标签之一。 中国超大工业体系带来的规模效应以及高效运营的供应链体系为中国B2C跨境出口电商企业带来了价廉 质优的产品，成为中国B2C跨境出口电商业务扩张的重要助力。 2024年以来，受海外通胀影响，消费者对价格的敏感程度提升，间接利好于中国跨境电商平台。平台对 于供应链 ...

记者丨董静怡 编辑丨张星 如果以"价格战"定义过去两年中国跨境电商的出海征程，那么2025年，这条赛道的关键词已 经改写。 速卖通、Temu、TikTok Shop、SHEIN这四家被称为"出海四小龙"的中国跨境电商平台曾以颠 覆性的成本优势，从亚马逊手中抢夺了大量流量与市场份额。 不过，单纯的低价模式在推动规模增长效果显著，但在抗风险能力上却并不强。 当全球贸易 规则变化与关税压力袭来，"四小龙"也开启了转型，强化品牌、深耕本地、提升质量。 与此同时，国际监管的审视日益严峻，从数据安全、商品合规到商业模式本身， 平台面临的 已不仅是市场竞争，更是系统性的合规挑战。 在初期的价格优势之后，平台要靠什么持续留住全球消费者？ 图片来源：新华社 逆风 过去，低价一直是"四小龙"的重要标签之一。 中国超大工业体系带来的规模效应以及高效运营的供应链体系为中国B2C跨境出口电商企业带 来了价廉质优的产品，成为中国B2C跨境出口电商业务扩张的重要助力。 2024年以来，受海外通胀影响，消费者对价格的敏感程度提升，间接利好于中国跨境电商平 台。平台对于供应链的强把控、充分发挥价格优势的策略愈演愈烈，延伸出了风靡跨境圈 的"托 ...

Core Viewpoint - Texas Governor Greg Abbott has expanded the list of prohibited technologies, adding 26 Chinese tech companies and AI platforms, to mitigate security risks associated with foreign adversaries [1][3][4]. Group 1: Prohibited Technologies - The updated list includes various AI institutions such as Zhipu AI, Baichuan Intelligence, and MiniMax, as well as hardware manufacturers like Hisense and tech companies including ByteDance, Baidu, Alibaba, CATL, and TP-Link [1][6][7]. - The Texas Cyber Command (TXCC) is responsible for assessing threats and identifying high-risk technologies to protect sensitive information [1][5][6]. Group 2: Security Concerns - Governor Abbott expressed concerns about hostile actors using AI and other technologies to harvest user data, manipulate users, and compromise their safety [4][5]. - The TXCC aims to prevent cyber attacks that could lead to the exfiltration of sensitive information to malicious entities globally [5][6]. Group 3: Implementation and Oversight - The prohibition is based on a threat assessment conducted by TXCC, which was established in June 2023 as the largest state-level cybersecurity department in the U.S. [6][1]. - The directive to expand the prohibited technologies list was communicated through a letter to key state officials, emphasizing the need for vigilance against foreign threats [4][5].

复盘20家互联网公司2025年Q3广告营收财报数据，Morketing发现，中国互联网广告已从"增量抢流量"的野蛮生长时代，迈入"存量挖效率"的精细化对 决。平台增长的核心锚点也不再是流量多寡，而是技术缩短转化链路、提升单客价值的硬实力。 这场分化洗礼，正写下一条不容置疑的新规则：技术定效能，效能定营收，生态定格局。 | | 居昌 | 公司名 | 25Q1广告营收 | 25Q2广告营收 | 25Q3广告营收 | 24Q3广告营收 | 同比增长 | 备注 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (1乙元) | (亿元) | (亿元) | (1乙元) | (%) | | | 客户管理收入 | 1 | 阿里巴尼 | 710.77 | 892.52 | 789.27 | 703.64 | 10 | | | 包括在线营销服务及其他业务的收入 | 2 | #33 | 487.22 | 557.03 | 533.48 | 493.51 | 8 | | | 此项为营销服务 | 3 | 腾讯 | 319 | 358 | 362 | 29 ...

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones up 0.64% at 49,412.4 points, the S&P 500 up 0.5% at 6,950.23 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.43% at 23,601.36 points [1][2]. Company Updates - Major tech stocks mostly rose, with Apple increasing nearly 3% as it plans to announce a new version of Siri in late February, following a partnership with Google due to internal AI model challenges [2]. - Facebook rose over 2%, Google increased over 1%, while Tesla fell over 3% and Nvidia dropped 0.64% [2]. Earnings Season Insights - Over 90 companies in the S&P 500 are set to report quarterly earnings this week, including major players like Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, and Apple. So far, 76% of the companies that have reported exceeded earnings expectations [3]. - Investors are particularly interested in details regarding AI plans, investment speeds, and expected profits to assess the sustainability of the current bull market [3]. Semiconductor Sector - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell by 0.39%, with Intel dropping over 5.7% after a significant decline of 17.03% the previous week. Intel's projected revenue for Q1 is between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, below analyst expectations [3]. Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index decreased by 0.63%, with many popular Chinese stocks declining. Notable drops include Hesai down 10.06% and XPeng down 2.39%, while Li Auto rose 1.38% [3]. Commodity Market - Spot gold prices briefly surpassed $5,000 per ounce and then $5,100 per ounce. Long-term forecasts suggest that gold may continue to perform strongly, indicating a need for portfolio diversification [5]. - The cryptocurrency market saw a collective rise, with Bitcoin surpassing $88,000, while Ethereum increased by 4.14% [6]. Federal Reserve Outlook - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce its first policy decision of the year, with a 97.2% probability of maintaining the current overnight rate. Market speculation includes potential rate cuts later in the year [9].

Macro Research - The report highlights a "double hit" moment for US dollar assets due to Trump's comments on Greenland and tariff threats, alongside the early dissolution of the Japanese House of Representatives leading to a sell-off in Japanese bonds [3][4][22] - The US dollar's credit breakdown is re-emerging, with significant impacts on US stocks, bonds, and currencies, resulting in a strong performance of safe-haven assets like gold and silver, while cryptocurrencies face pressure [3][4][22] Strategy Research - In Q4 2025, active funds significantly reduced their holdings in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with a focus on increasing allocations to cyclical and financial value stocks, while reducing exposure to technology and healthcare sectors [7][26] - The report indicates a clear rotation in fund styles, with a notable shift towards large-cap cyclical and financial stocks, while growth and consumer sectors saw reductions in allocations [26][27] Fixed Income Research - The appreciation of the RMB and increased foreign exchange settlements may tighten interbank liquidity, depending on whether the central bank will actively increase the supply of base currency [11][14] Industry Research: Photovoltaic Equipment - The report anticipates a new cycle for the photovoltaic equipment industry driven by SpaceX and Tesla's plans to deploy a combined 200GW of solar capacity, with key equipment manufacturers expected to benefit [15][16] - The demand for solar expansion is expected to rise due to the increasing need for low-orbit satellites and the commercialization of space computing, which will drive the demand for core equipment [15][16] Fund Allocation Insights - The report notes a significant increase in allocations to cyclical and financial sectors, particularly in upstream industries like metals and chemicals, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical tensions [27][28] - The technology sector shows a marked divergence, with communication equipment receiving substantial increases due to AI infrastructure investments, while many tech segments faced reductions [27][28]

PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) is one of the Most Undervalued Foreign Stocks to Buy According to Analysts. On January 21, Reuters reported that PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) was fined 100,000 yuan, approximately $14,359, by the Shanghai district taxation bureau due to failure in submitting tax information as per the requirements. ​ The company has been facing challenges from regulators and increased competition, due to which management has warned of slowing growth in the coming quarters. As reported ear ...

岁末寒冬，年货市场的烟火气在一口口沸腾的火锅中抵达顶峰。从南海之滨的清甜椰香，到岭南大地的 弹牙肉丸，再到广阔西北的脂香羊肉，中国火锅的万千风味，正借着拼多多"多多好特产"的"隐形翅 膀"，跨越山海抵达千家万户。 凌晨4点，盐池县的王乐井乡还笼罩在西北冬夜的寒气中。牛庆磊已经来到牧场，开始了一天的工作。 他身后的养殖户们正将一批"吃中草药、喝碱水"长大的滩羊装车，这些羊即将被送往工厂，分割、包 装，然后通过快递发往上海、福建甚至香港等全国各地。 与此同时，1700多公里外的深圳，余华正在核对当天的椰子鸡订单。从海南运来的文昌鸡将在广东屠 宰，当天新鲜的椰子水和配套的沙姜、小米辣已准备就绪。这些订单大多来自北上广深，一份份清甜的 海南风味，即将成为这些城市家庭年节餐桌上的新宠。 资深电商人老唐的拼多多店铺最近也是"接单到手软"。潮汕牛肉丸、鲜切牛肉，加上毛肚、鸭肠，"鲜 掉眉毛"和"辣得过瘾"在这里实现破圈，也让老唐深深感受到"消费者口味没有封闭界限，潮汕的鲜、川 渝的辣，只要好吃，消费者都爱"。 火锅沸腾的，远不止于食材。海南的椰香、潮汕的"朥"香、宁夏的醇厚肉香，正在借由无数名商家的努 力和拼多多四通八达的 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends a rating of "Buy" for Pinduoduo (PDD.O) [1] Core Insights - The domestic main site is entering a phase of high-quality and stable development, while the overseas platform TEMU is creating a second growth pole, initiating a new cycle of value reassessment [2] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for Pinduoduo are as follows: - 2023: 247,639 million RMB - 2024: 393,836 million RMB - 2025E: 434,930 million RMB - 2026E: 514,929 million RMB - 2027E: 588,823 million RMB - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: 67,899 million RMB - 2024: 122,344 million RMB - 2025E: 114,810 million RMB - 2026E: 131,702 million RMB - 2027E: 156,059 million RMB - The PE ratio is projected to decrease from 15.5 in 2023 to 6.7 in 2027 [4][41] Overseas Business (TEMU) - TEMU has rapidly grown to become the second-largest comprehensive e-commerce user pool globally, with MAU reaching 540 million by the second half of 2025, which is 77% of Amazon's MAU [11][30] - The transition from a fully managed model to a semi-managed model is expected to enhance profitability and user experience, with a projected breakeven point for the unit economics model by 2026 [20][30] - TEMU's unique advantage lies in leveraging China's supply chain to meet global consumer demand, enhancing operational efficiency and cost competitiveness [28][29] Domestic Business - Pinduoduo is expected to maintain a GMV growth rate of 10%-15% in 2025, outpacing the industry average, despite the reduction in subsidies [31][42] - The company focuses on a "low price + experience" strategy, which solidifies its competitive moat in the market [31][42] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 4,349 million RMB, 5,149 million RMB, and 5,888 million RMB, respectively, with net profits expected to be 1,148 million RMB, 1,317 million RMB, and 1,561 million RMB [41][42] - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating a reasonable market value of approximately 299.6 billion USD for Pinduoduo, with a target price of 201.39 USD [44][50]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a rating of "Buy" for Pinduoduo (PDD.O) [1] Core Insights - The domestic main site is entering a phase of high-quality and stable development, while the overseas platform TEMU is creating a second growth pole, initiating a new cycle of value reassessment [2] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for Pinduoduo are as follows: - 2023: 247,639 million RMB - 2024: 393,836 million RMB - 2025E: 434,930 million RMB - 2026E: 514,929 million RMB - 2027E: 588,823 million RMB - Net profit projections are: - 2023: 67,899 million RMB - 2024: 122,344 million RMB - 2025: 114,810 million RMB - 2026: 131,702 million RMB - 2027: 156,059 million RMB - The PE ratio is expected to decrease from 15.5 in 2023 to 6.7 in 2027 [4][41] Overseas Business (TEMU) - TEMU has rapidly grown to become the second-largest comprehensive e-commerce user pool globally, with MAU reaching 540 million by the second half of 2025, achieving 77% of Amazon's MAU [11][30] - The transition from a fully managed to a semi-managed model is expected to enhance profitability and user experience, with a projected breakeven point for the unit economics model by 2026 [20][30] - TEMU's unique advantage lies in leveraging China's supply chain to meet global consumer demand, enhancing operational efficiency and cost competitiveness [28][29] Domestic Business - Pinduoduo is expected to maintain a GMV growth rate of 10%-15% in 2025, outpacing the industry average, despite the reduction in subsidies [31][42] - The company focuses on a "low price + experience" strategy, which solidifies its competitive edge in the market [31] Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 434,930 million RMB, 514,929 million RMB, and 588,823 million RMB, respectively, with net profits expected to be 114,810 million RMB, 131,702 million RMB, and 156,059 million RMB [41][43] - The report estimates a reasonable market value of approximately 299.6 billion USD for Pinduoduo, with a target price of 201.39 USD per share, indicating a high margin of safety at the current stock price [44][50]