Core Viewpoint - PDD Holdings Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $2.76 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.56 per share, and showing an increase from $2.40 per share a year ago, indicating a 7.81% earnings surprise [1] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $15.15 billion for the quarter ended December 2024, which was 3.34% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, compared to $12.52 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, PDD has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times, but has only topped revenue estimates once [2] Stock Performance - PDD Holdings Inc. shares have increased approximately 29.8% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with a -3.5% decline in the S&P 500 [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, with current consensus EPS estimates at $2.83 for the coming quarter and $12.21 for the current fiscal year, with revenues expected to be $15.16 billion and $65.75 billion respectively [7] - The estimate revisions trend for PDD is currently mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting the stock is expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Internet - Commerce industry, to which PDD belongs, is currently ranked in the top 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]

Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team covers medium and small-cap markets, as well as blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive has a presence in key finance and investing hubs with bureaus and studios located in London, New York, Toronto, Vancouver, Sydney, and Perth [2][3] Group 2 - The company is committed to using technology to enhance workflows and has adopted various technological tools [4] - Proactive employs automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]

Core Insights - PDD Holdings reported strong financial results for Q4 2024 and the fiscal year 2024, highlighting a commitment to sustainable growth and innovation in the e-commerce ecosystem [3][5][14]. Financial Performance - Total revenues for Q4 2024 reached RMB 110,610.1 million (US$ 15,153.5 million), marking a 24% increase from RMB 88,881.0 million in Q4 2023 [5][7]. - For the fiscal year 2024, total revenues were RMB 393,836.1 million (US$ 53,955.3 million), a significant increase of 59% from RMB 247,639.2 million in 2023 [14]. - Operating profit for Q4 2024 was RMB 25,592.2 million (US$ 3,506.1 million), up 14% from RMB 22,395.0 million in Q4 2023 [7][10]. - Net income attributable to ordinary shareholders in Q4 2024 was RMB 27,446.6 million (US$ 3,760.2 million), an 18% increase from RMB 23,280.3 million in Q4 2023 [11][37]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenues from online marketing services and others in Q4 2024 were RMB 57,011.1 million (US$ 7,810.5 million), a 17% increase from RMB 48,675.6 million in Q4 2023 [8]. - Revenues from transaction services in Q4 2024 were RMB 53,599.0 million (US$ 7,343.0 million), reflecting a 33% increase from RMB 40,205.4 million in Q4 2023 [8]. Cost and Expenses - Total costs of revenues for Q4 2024 were RMB 47,798.4 million (US$ 6,548.4 million), a 36% increase from RMB 35,078.3 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to higher fulfillment and payment processing fees [6][15]. - Total operating expenses for Q4 2024 were RMB 37,219.5 million (US$ 5,099.1 million), up 19% from RMB 31,407.8 million in Q4 2023, mainly driven by increased sales and marketing expenses [9][10]. Cash and Assets - As of December 31, 2024, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled RMB 331.6 billion (US$ 45.4 billion), compared to RMB 217.2 billion as of December 31, 2023 [13]. - Total assets as of December 31, 2024, were RMB 505.0 billion (US$ 69.2 billion), reflecting significant growth from RMB 348.1 billion as of December 31, 2023 [32][33]. Earnings Per Share - Basic earnings per ADS for Q4 2024 were RMB 19.76 (US$ 2.71), compared to RMB 17.00 in Q4 2023 [12][21]. - Non-GAAP diluted earnings per ADS for Q4 2024 were RMB 20.15 (US$ 2.76), up from RMB 17.32 in Q4 2023 [12][42].

Core Viewpoint - PDD Holdings Inc. will announce its unaudited financial results for Q4 and the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, on March 20, 2025, before U.S. markets open [1] Group 1 - The earnings conference call is scheduled for 7:30 AM ET on March 20, 2025 [1] - The conference call will be webcast live and available for replay on the company's investor website [2] Group 2 - PDD Holdings is a multinational commerce group focused on integrating businesses and individuals into the digital economy to enhance productivity and create new opportunities for local communities and small businesses [3]

Core Insights - KraneShares has launched a Single-Stock Levered ETF Suite, including the KraneShares 2X Long PDD Daily ETF (KPDD) and the KraneShares 2X Long BABA Daily ETF (KBAB) [1][5] - These ETFs aim to achieve daily investment results of 200% of the daily percentage change of PDD Holdings and Alibaba's US listings or ADRs [2][6] - PDD Holdings is the fourth-largest e-commerce retailer globally, with over 19 countries of operation and $50 billion in annual gross merchandise value in 2024, while Alibaba is the third-largest, with a diversified business model [3][4] Company Overview - PDD Holdings has reshaped global retail through its platform Temu, which surpassed Amazon in monthly active users [3][9] - Alibaba has seen positive stock momentum due to its Qwen2.5 series large language model and a partnership with Apple for AI integration in new iPhones [3][4] - Both companies have higher average historical annual revenue growth rates compared to US counterparts like Amazon [4][10] Investment Strategy - The Single-Stock Levered ETF Suite provides a way for bullish investors to gain leveraged exposure to leading companies in the China internet sector [5] - PDD and Alibaba are significant holdings in the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF, with weights of 6.51% and 12.45% respectively as of March 11, 2025 [4]

Company Performance - PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) closed at $113.41, reflecting a +0.72% change, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.22% loss [1] - Over the last month, PDD shares increased by 6.99%, while the Retail-Wholesale sector and S&P 500 experienced losses of 4.52% and 2.31% respectively [1] Earnings Projections - PDD is projected to report earnings of $2.56 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 6.67% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $15.68 billion, representing a 25.24% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Analyst Estimates - Changes in analyst estimates for PDD are crucial as they reflect short-term business trends and analysts' confidence in the company's performance [3] - Positive revisions in estimates are associated with potential stock price performance [4] Valuation Metrics - PDD has a Forward P/E ratio of 9.22, which is a discount compared to the industry average of 22.21 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.27, significantly lower than the industry average PEG ratio of 1.29 [6] Industry Context - The Internet - Commerce industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 35, placing it in the top 14% of over 250 industries [7] - The top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Group 1: Stock Performance - PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR closed at $119.77, reflecting a +0.5% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.01% [1] - Over the past month, PDD shares have appreciated by 6.23%, significantly outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 0.76% and the S&P 500's loss of 2.26% [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings report for PDD is expected to show an EPS of $2.56, representing a 6.67% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is forecasted to reach $15.68 billion, indicating a 25.24% increase compared to the same quarter of the previous year [2] Group 3: Analyst Projections - Recent shifts in analyst projections for PDD are important as they often indicate changes in near-term business trends, with positive revisions reflecting optimism about the company's profitability [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - PDD's current Forward P/E ratio is 9.76, which is a discount compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 23.53 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.29, significantly lower than the Internet - Commerce industry's average PEG ratio of 1.18 [7] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Internet - Commerce industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 45, placing it in the top 18% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Rank system indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Viewpoint - PDD Holdings' stock experienced a significant rally following Alibaba's earnings report, which exceeded analyst expectations on both revenue and profit metrics [1] Company Summary - PDD Holdings is positioned favorably in the market as its stock performance is positively influenced by competitor Alibaba's strong earnings results [1] Industry Summary - The competitive landscape in the e-commerce sector is highlighted by Alibaba's recent earnings, which may set a benchmark for other companies like PDD Holdings [1]

Core Viewpoint - The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for PDD Holdings Inc. is 1.53, indicating a consensus leaning towards a "Strong Buy" [2] Brokerage Recommendations - The ABR is based on recommendations from 16 brokerage firms, with 11 ratings as "Strong Buy" and 1 as "Buy," accounting for 68.8% and 6.3% of total recommendations respectively [2] - Despite the positive ABR, reliance solely on brokerage recommendations for investment decisions may not be wise, as studies show limited success in guiding investors [4][5] Zacks Rank Comparison - Zacks Rank categorizes stocks from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) and is based on earnings estimate revisions, which are correlated with near-term stock price movements [7][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PDD remains unchanged at $11.39, suggesting stable earnings prospects [12] - PDD currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a cautious approach despite the favorable ABR [13]

Group 1 - PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR closed at $114.27, with a daily increase of +1.38%, outperforming the S&P 500, which lost 0.95% [1] - Over the past month, PDD shares gained 12.36%, surpassing the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 7.69% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.86% [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings disclosure is expected to report an EPS of $2.56, reflecting a 6.67% increase from the prior-year quarter, with revenue forecasted at $15.68 billion, indicating a 25.24% growth [2] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for PDD Holdings Inc. reflect evolving short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating analyst optimism about the company's profitability [3] Group 3 - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently ranks PDD Holdings Inc. at 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining unchanged over the last 30 days [5] - PDD Holdings Inc. has a Forward P/E ratio of 9.23, which is a discount compared to the industry's average Forward P/E of 22.92 [6] Group 4 - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.27, significantly lower than the Internet - Commerce industry's average PEG ratio of 1.09 [7] - The Internet - Commerce industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 59, placing it in the top 24% of over 250 industries [8]