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中信建投:汽车板块景气预期或已筑底 特斯拉年报强化物理AI拐点
智通财经网· 2026-02-02 07:03
Group 1: Automotive Sector Overview - The automotive sector is currently experiencing a weak performance during the off-season, but market pessimism regarding sales expectations is gradually stabilizing, indicating a potential bottoming out of negative sentiment [1] - Tesla's recent quarterly report shows a year-on-year increase in gross profit for Q4 2025, with gross margin reaching a two-year high, driven by higher sales prices in the Asia-Pacific region and an increase in FSD subscriptions [1] - Capital expenditures for Tesla in 2026 are expected to exceed $20 billion, focusing on computing infrastructure and new factory capacity expansion [1] Group 2: Autonomous Driving Developments - 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for the commercialization of autonomous driving, with Tesla's FSD subscription rates increasing significantly throughout 2025 [2] - By the end of 2025, Tesla's FSD has accumulated over 7 billion miles (approximately 11.5 billion kilometers) of driving distance, with ongoing localization efforts in China and Europe pending regulatory approvals [2] - Tesla is shifting its strategic focus from hardware sales to physical AI, including FSD iterations, Robotaxi services, and the production of Cybercab models [2] Group 3: Humanoid Robots and Supply Chain Updates - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing volatility, with recent adjustments in trading volumes and external rumors affecting market sentiment [3] - Key catalysts for the T-chain include the release of Gen3 in Q1 2025 and the commencement of overseas production capacity and mass production later in the year [3] - There is a positive outlook for specific investment targets within the T-chain, including Tesla-related high-probability segments and undervalued companies with growth potential [3] Group 4: Commercial Vehicles Outlook - The heavy-duty truck and bus segments are expected to benefit from policy support for domestic demand and ongoing export growth in 2026 [4] - Weichai Power is favored in the heavy-duty truck sector due to increased domestic bidding and market expectations for product volume growth [4] - In the bus sector, Yutong and King Long are highlighted for their potential upside, driven by export growth and favorable valuation margins [4]
特斯拉实现干电极电池规模化生产,马斯克:锂电池生产重大突破
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 06:50
Core Insights - The implementation of dry electrode manufacturing technology represents a significant breakthrough in lithium battery production, with Tesla congratulating its engineering, production, and supply chain teams for their achievements [1] - The dry electrode process is expected to reduce costs, energy consumption, and factory complexity while significantly enhancing scalability [1] Group 1 - Tesla is designing and developing four types of 4680 batteries using different dry processing techniques, with plans to launch them in 2026 [2] - The dry process allows for the production of thicker electrodes compared to traditional wet processes, which can significantly improve battery energy density [2] Group 2 - The new batteries are designated as "NC05," "NC20," "NC30," and "NC50," each designed for different applications [2] - The "NC05" battery will be used in the upcoming Robotaxi model and future vehicles like SUVs and the Cybertruck [2] - The "NC20" battery is expected to have a larger energy capacity for use in an SUV, Cybertruck, and other future vehicles [2] - The "NC30" battery will incorporate silicon-carbon anodes to accommodate more lithium, targeting the Cybertruck and a future all-electric sedan [2] - The "NC50" battery will also feature silicon-carbon anodes, focusing on performance vehicles like the Roadster [2]
目标年产百万台!特斯拉三代擎天柱即将亮相,Model S/X二季度停产为量产机器人让路
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-02 06:46
特斯拉正在将其人形机器人Optimus擎天柱从概念推向大规模生产。公司宣布第三代Optimus将于2026年第一季度亮相,目标年产能达到100万台。 据悉,这是特斯拉首款面向量产的人形机器人。 为实现这一目标,特斯拉将做出重大生产调整。马斯克在周三的财报电话会议上表示,公司计划在2026年第二季度停止Model S和Model X车型的生产,将 位于弗里蒙特工厂的生产线改造为Optimus生产线。这标志着特斯拉正式将战略重心转向人形机器人业务。 据特斯拉财报披露,第三代Optimus相比2.5版本将实现重大升级,包括最新的手部设计。公司表示首条生产线将在2026年底前启动,并已开始为年产百万台 的产能目标做准备。 特斯拉官方最新微博强调,第三代人形机器人从第一性原理出发进行重新设计,能够通过观察人类行为学习新技能。据特斯拉内部人士透露,由于Optimus 拥有完全独立的供应链,所有部件均基于第一性原理设计,其量产爬坡期预计比汽车产品更长。 然而Optimus的推出过程并不顺利。该项目此前曾出现远程操控失误,特斯拉机器人业务负责人近期也已离职。尽管如此,人形机器人对特斯拉的战略意义 日益凸显,公司在财务上对这一 ...
特斯拉实现干电极电池规模化生产
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-02 06:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant breakthrough in lithium battery production technology through the scalable production of dry electrode processes, as announced by Elon Musk [1] - Tesla's response indicates that the dry electrode manufacturing process can reduce costs, energy consumption, and factory complexity while significantly improving scalability [1]
第三代特斯拉人形机器人即将亮相
新华网财经· 2026-02-02 06:17
Group 1 - Tesla's third-generation humanoid robot is set to be unveiled, designed from first principles and capable of learning new skills by observing human behavior, with an expected annual production of one million units [1] - Amazon has announced the elimination of 16,000 positions as part of its restructuring efforts [9]
特斯拉新一代人形机器人即将亮相?多股异动
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-02 06:13
午后,机器人概念逆势拉升,模塑科技一度封板涨停,随后开板,天奇股份、五洲新春、昊志机电、世运电路等跟涨。 2月2日,特斯拉官方微博发布消息,第三代特斯拉人形机器人即将亮相,从第一性原理出发,进行重新设计,通过观察人类行为即可学习新技能,预计年 产百万台。同时,特斯拉官方微博还配上了一系列与特斯拉人形机器人相关的视频和图片。 同日,特斯拉中国有关人士对上海证券报记者回应表示,特斯拉官方微博此次信息发布是对日前发布的特斯拉财报会相关信息的持续传播,官方微博链接 里出现的机器人不是将要发布的第三代特斯拉人形机器人。 特斯拉官方微博的特斯拉人形机器人应用场景展示 特斯拉官方微博称第三代特斯拉人形机器人即将亮相 特斯拉人形机器人第三代将进行手部设计等重大升级 在日前召开的财报电话会上,马斯克介绍,随着人工智能和机器人技术的发展,特斯拉将持续提高出行和人工智能相关产品的安全性、降低商品成本。目 前特斯拉在全球已有超过900万车主。随着业务领域的拓展和产品技术的不断进步,特斯拉正快速进化为一家涵盖自动驾驶和人形机器人、电动车、可持 续能源的综合性科技公司。 2026年1月21日,特斯拉的公司使命正式更新为:建设一个富足非凡 ...
特斯拉:第三代机器人预计年产百万台!机器人ETF(159770)盘中净申购超3000万份
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-02 06:04
Group 1 - The robotics sector is experiencing a shift from technology research to large-scale commercialization, with the Optimus V3 plan set for mass production by the end of the year being a significant milestone [2] - Investment focus should be on complete machines and core components, including actuators, reducers, and screws, as the domestic supply chain is expected to benefit in the long term [2] - The year 2026 is identified as a critical period for the commercialization of embodied intelligence, with simultaneous advancements in technology breakthroughs and ecosystem development [2] Group 2 - Tesla's announcement of the third-generation humanoid robot, with an expected annual production of one million units, indicates a significant shift in production lines at its Fremont factory, which will be converted to produce humanoid robots by the end of 2026 [1] - The Tesla humanoid robot features a fully independent supply chain, with all components designed based on first principles, suggesting a longer ramp-up period for mass production compared to automotive products [1] - The transformation of Tesla's production line signals the beginning of a capacity competition in the robotics industry, with various public demonstrations expected to drive the adoption of robots in everyday scenarios [2]
特斯拉:第三代人形机器人,即将亮相
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-02 05:56
据特斯拉官方微博消息,第三代特斯拉人形机器人即将亮相,从第一性原理出发,进行重新设计,通过 观察人类行为即可学习新技能,预计年产百万台。 责任编辑:栎树 财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> ...
特斯拉最新人形机器人2026年底前启动量产
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 05:29
(文章来源:第一财经) 2月2日,特斯拉官方微博宣布,第三代特斯拉人形机器人即将亮相,预计年产百万台。第一财经记者从 特斯拉内部人士处获悉,美国弗里蒙特工厂的Model S/X生产线将改为人形机器人产线,预计2026年底 前启动量产,最终规划年产能为100万台。因为特斯拉人形机器人拥有完全独立的供应链,所有部件均 基于第一性原理设计,其量产爬坡期预计比汽车产品更长。 ...
特斯拉第三代人形机器人,即将亮相
第一财经· 2026-02-02 05:29
第一财经记者从特斯拉内部人士处获悉,美国弗里蒙特工厂的Model S/X生产线将改为人形机器人产 线,预计2026年底前启动量产,最终规划年产能为100万台。因为特斯拉人形机器人拥有完全独立的 供应链,所有部件均基于第一性原理设计,其量产爬坡期预计比汽车产品更长。 记者|肖逸思 2月2日,特斯拉官方微博宣布,第三代特斯拉人形机器人即将亮相,预计年产百万台。 编辑 | 钉钉 ...